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Final October Manufacturing PMI Data Mostly Have Had a Mildly Better Tone

Final October Manufacturing PMI Data Mostly Have Had a Mildly Better Tone

 November 3, 2014 10:15 GMT

Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

10:15 GMT- Current Market Conditions
:
Early  in Europe, markets are in a mixed RISK-OFF posture as markets consolidate after the surprise policy easing by the Bank of Japan of Friday. It is expected to intensify the pressure on the ECB to take action this Thursday. In the Far East, equities ended mixed. Japan was closed for a holiday  European bourses are trading lower. U.S. share futures are lower at this hour.

U.S. 10-yr yields are easier. 10-yr bund and gilt yields are lower. Peripheral European bond yields are mixed. Political instability continues to see higher Greek yields



The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.


HIGH IMPACT NEWS:  CA- PMI, US- PMI's
    • Monday has started off with the release of Manufacturing PMIs from a slew of economies. So far data have had a mildly positive bias. Monday was also a holiday in Japan.
    • Tuesday features a policy decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia and the U.K. Construction PMI.
    • Wednesday sees the second wave of global PMI data and U.S. ADP Private Jobs data. Key items
    • Thursday include Australian Employment data and monetary policy decisions by the European Central Bank and the Bank of England.
    • Friday highlights are U.S. and Canadian Employment data, plus several items from the U.K. and EZ.
    • Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
    Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
    MONDAY 
    JP Holiday
    00:13  JP Final PMI closely followed survey
    01:45  CN HSBC final PMI closely followed survey
    08:50  FR MFG PMI final closely followed survey
    08:55  DE MFG PMI final closely followed survey
    08:58  EZ MFG PMI final closely followed survey
    09:15 CH PMI closely followed survey
    09:28 GB MFG PMI closely followed survey
    14:30 CA RBC-Markit PMI closely followed survey
    14:45 US MKT MFG PMI final closely followed survey
    15:00 US ISM MFG PMI closely followed survey
    15:00 US Construction Spend important sector
    TUESDAY
    US National Elections Key to U.S. governance
    10:30 A AU Retail Sales domestic demand
    01:30 A AU Trade extremal accounts
    04:30 A AU Australia Reserve Bank no change seen
    09:28 A GB Construction PMI
    13:30 A US Trade   impacts GDP
    14:30 A CA Trade C$bn external accounts
    15:00 A US Factory Orders industrial demand
    WEDNESDAY
    00:50  JP BOJ Minutes detail on BOJ decision
    08:50  FR SVC PMI final closely followed survey
    08:55  DE SVC PMI final closely followed survey
    08:58  EZ SVC PMI final closely followed survey
    09:28  GB SVC PMI closely followed survey
    13:15  US ADP Jobs NFP predictor
    14:45  US Markit SVC PMI closely followed survey
    15:00  US ISM SVC PMI closely followed survey
    15:30 US EIA Crude impacts Oil prices
    THURSDAY
    01:30 AU % Jobless employment data
    09:30 GB Ind/Mfg Output production
    11:00 GB Bank of England no changes seen
    12:45  EZ Europe Cntl Bank key decision
    13:30 EZ ECB Webcast press conference
    13:30  US Productivity key to growth
    13:30  US Initial Claims weekly data
    15:00 CA Ivey PMI closely followed survey
    FRIDAY
    09:15  CH CPI mm SNB targets inflation
    09:30 GB Trade External accounts
    13:30 CA Jobless Key growth measure
    13:30 US Jobless Top U.s. indicator
    15:15  FRB Yellen Paris key speech
     

    FOREX CALENDAR
    Time  Imp Country Title Cons Last
    03/11/14 14:30 A CA RBC-Markit PMI n/a 53.5
    03/11/14 14:45 A US MKT MFG PMI final 56.2 56.2
    03/11/14 15:00 A US ISM MFG PMI 56.4 56.6
    03/11/14 15:00 A US Construction Spend 0.70% -0.80%
    04/11/14 0:00 A TUESDAY
    04/11/14 0:00 A US National Elections n/a n/a
    04/11/14 1:30 A AU Retail Sales n/a 0.10%
    04/11/14 1:30 A AU Trade A$bln n/a -787
    04/11/14 4:30 A AU Australia Reserve Bank 2.50% 2.50%
    04/11/14 9:28 A GB Construction PMI 63.5 64.2
    04/11/14 10:00 B EZ PPI mm 0.00% -0.10%
    04/11/14 10:00 C EZ PPI yy -1.50% -1.40%
    04/11/14 13:30 A US Trade USDb -40 -40.1
    04/11/14 14:30 A CA Trade C$bn -0.7 -0.61
    04/11/14 15:00 A US Factory Orders -0.50% -10.10%
    04/11/14 21:30 C US API Energy n/a n/a
    05/11/14 0:00 A WEDNESDAY
    05/11/14 0:50 A JP BOJ Minutes n/a n/a
    05/11/14 8:50 A FR SVC PMI final 52.4 52.4
    05/11/14 8:55 A DE SVC PMI final 54.6 54.8
    05/11/14 8:58 A EZ SVC PMI final 52.4 52.4
    05/11/14 9:28 A GB SVC PMI 58.5 58.7
    05/11/14 12:00 C US WK Mortgage Stats n/a n/a
    05/11/14 13:15 A US ADP Jobs 219 213
    05/11/14 14:45 A US Markit SVC PMI 57.3 57.3
    05/11/14 15:00 A US ISM SVC PMI 58 58.6
    05/11/14 15:30 B US EIA Crude mn n/a 2.01
    05/11/14 15:30 B US EIA Gasoline mn n/a -1.21
    05/11/14 15:30 A US EIA Distillate mn n/a -5.3
    05/11/14 15:30 B US EIA Cap Util n/a 86.60%
    06/11/14 0:00 A THURSDAY
    06/11/14 1:30 A AU % Jobless 6.10% 6.10%
    06/11/14 1:30 A AU Payrolls -30 21.6
    06/11/14 8:00 B DE Factory Ord mm 2.00% -5.70%
    06/11/14 8:00 B DE Factory Ord yy -1.10% -1.30%
    06/11/14 9:30 A GB Ind Output m 0.40% 0.00%
    06/11/14 9:30 A GB Ind Output y 1.60% 2.50%
    06/11/14 9:30 A GB Mfg Output m 0.30% 0.10%
    06/11/14 9:30 A GB Mfg Output yy 2.80% 3.90%
    06/11/14 11:00 A GB Bank of England 0.50% 0.50%
    06/11/14 11:00 A GB QE GBP bn 375 375
    06/11/14 12:45 A EZ Europe Cntl Bank 0.05% 0.05%
    06/11/14 13:30 A EZ ECB Webcast n/a n/a
    06/11/14 13:30 A US Productivity n/a n/a
    06/11/14 13:30 A US Initial Claims 283 287
    06/11/14 13:30 A US Cont Claims n/a 2.384
    06/11/14 15:00 A CA Ivey PMI n/a 58.6
    06/11/14 15:30 C US Nat Gas bcf n/a 87


    calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

    See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.



    John M. BlandJohn M. Bland is a founding partner of Global-View.com. He was a FX consultant to major corporations. He has also been a institutional forex trader, FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service and an author. John has an MBA in Finance and a BA in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
    Copyright 2014, GlobalViewpoint, Inc All rights reserved

     

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