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Tuesday February 10, 2015 - 17:09:57 GMT
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| | Email US Mid-Session Update: Negotiations Imminent for Greece and Ukraine

Tue, 10 Feb 2015 11:58 AM EST

***Economic Data***
- (BR) Brazil 4Q National Unemployment Rate: 6.5% v 6.8% prior
- (US) Goldman Economist: Chain Store Sales w/e Feb 6th w/w: -2.1%; y/y: +1.9%
- (US) Redbook Retail Sales w/e Feb 6th: +2.1% y/y, Feb MTD: +0.2% m/m
- (US) Jan NFIB Small Business Optimism: 97.9 v 101.0e
- (US) Feb IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism: 47.5 v 51.9e
- (US) Dec Wholesale Inventories M/M: 0.1% v 0.1%e; Wholesale Trade Sales M/M: -0.4% v -0.3%e
- (US) Dec JOLTS Job Openings: 5.028M v 4.990Me
- (UK) Jan NIESR GDP Estimate: 0.7% v 0.6% prior

European markets helped improve sentiment this morning after reports circulated about a set of reasonable demands from the Greeks ahead of negotiations with EU officials. The JOLTs jobs report helped sustain the sunny feeling into US cash trading. As of writing, the DJIA is up 0.43%, the S&P500 is up 0.50% and the Nasdaq is up 0.75%.

The December JOLTS job openings report - Fed Chair Yellen's favorite gauge of employment demand - topped expectations and climbed 181K from November to a total of 5.03M, its highest level since 2001. The quit rate, a measure of the number of people who leave their current employer and often viewed as an indicator of optimism of available jobs, was unchanged at 1.9%.

The Greek government has signaled that it could be willing to compromise, and has unveiled a moderate four-part plan to reduce the burden of austerity on the country's economy. The Greeks are asking for a bridge loan and debt swaps in exchange for a batch of new structural reforms and pledges to fulfil 70% of the current reform program, and the government will also continue to run a primary budget surplus. EU officials later said they have not seen this proposal, and euro has been volatile, taking a round trip from 1.1335 to 1.1275 and back again over the European and US session.

The IEA monthly report warned that there would be more pressure on oil prices as the impact of reduced investment levels would take a long time to play out. At a conference in London, the CEO of independent oil trader Vitol warned that crude prices could resume a downward trajectory as growth in US stockpiles keeps up despite the significant idling of US drilling capacity. Vitol said the oil market to remain oversupplied for a while yet. Crude prices are testing below $51 today after rising as high as $54 during yesterday's session.

Aeropostal is up 13% this morning after raising its fourth quarter guidance for the second time in as many months and appointing a new CFO. The company's anticipated quarterly loss is a fraction of the initial outlook, but comps are still seen down 9%. Selected other retailers are moving higher on the news. Qualcomm is up 4% after hiking its FY15 guidance just two weeks after cutting the outlook with quarterly earnings. After earnings reports, Coca-Cola is up 3% after modestly topping expectations and keeping volume growth positive. Coke said 2015 would be a year of transition for the company, with high single-digit EPS growth anticipated in 2016.

***Looking Ahead***
- 12:00 (US) DOE Short-Term Crude and Short-Term Natural Gas Outlooks
- 12:00 (US) USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) Crop Report
- 12:45 (US) Fed's Lacker to speak on Economy in Raleigh, North Carolina
- 13:00 (US) Treasury to sell $24B in 3-Year Notes
- 16:00 (KR) South Korea Jan Export Price Index M/M: No est v -2.4% prior; Y/Y: No est v -4.3% prior
- 16:00 (KR) South Korea Jan Import Price Index M/M: No est v -5.1% prior; Y/Y: No est v -13.0% prior
- 16:30 (US) Weekly API Oil Inventories
- 16:45 (NZ) New Zealand Jan Retail Card Spending M/M: No est v -0.1% prior; Total Card Spending M/M: No est v -0.3% prior
- 18:00 (KR) South Korea Jan Unemployment Rate (Seasonally Adj): 3.5%e v 3.5% prior


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