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Tuesday June 9, 2015 - 16:20:51 GMT
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| | Email US Mid-Session Update: April JOLTs Survey Confirms Labor Market Tightening

Tue, 09 Jun 2015 11:42 AM EST

***Economic Data***
- (BR) Brazil May FGV Inflation IGP-DI M/M: 0.4% v 0.4%e; Y/Y: 4.8% v 4.8%e
- (US) Goldman Economist Chain Store Sales w/e May 29th w/w: -2.7%; y/y: +2.1%
- (US) Weekly Redbook Sales w/e Jun 5th: +1.2% y/y, Jun MTD m/m: -1.7%; Jun MTD y/y: +1.2%
- (US) May NFIB Small Business Optimism: 98.3 v 96.9 prior
- (MX) Mexico May CPI M/M: -0.5% v -0.5%e; Y/Y: 2.9% v 2.9%e; CPI Core M/M: 0.1% v 0.1%e
- (US) Apr Wholesale Inventories M/M: 0.4% v 0.2%e; Wholesale Trade Sales M/M: 1.6% v 0.6%e
- (US) Apr JOLTS Job Openings: 5.38 v 5.04Me

US equities lost ground for the third consecutive session yesterday, and the three leading US indices have been struggling to stay in positive territory today. As of writing, the DJIA is +0.14%, the S&P500 is flat and the Nasdaq is -0.18%.

The JOLTS survey showed that Job opening surged to an all-time record high in April, widely topping expectations and surging above March's rate. The quits rate, which is seen as an indicator of employee confidence, also fell slightly in April to 1.9% from 2% in March.

Bond yields have been on a tear higher all morning, and the US 10-year yield peaked around 2.447%, its highest level since last October. Traders note that supply may be the catalyst this week, as the US Treasury has auctions for 3-, 10- and 30-year bonds over the next two days, and there is plenty of corporate issuance on tap as well. Note that yields on peripheral European 10-year bonds are more or less unchanged.

Greece submitted another proposal to its creditors and EU officials again called the offer inadequate. The two sides continue negotiations in the vain hope that PM Tsipras could potentially seal a deal with the leaders of Germany and France at a summit in Brussels on Wednesday. Few believe that is possible, however, and the meeting itself is still not yet official.

Delta's lower guidance for its second quarter hurt airline stocks last week. Today, Southwest and American both made some cautious comments that echoed Delta's remarks. American reduced its PRASM forecast and cut its margin guidance, while Southwest said it was planning for weaker-than-expected PRASM, and would cap capacity growth at +6%. LUV sank as much as 6% after the open and AAL as much as 3.5%, but both have bounced a bit higher. Airlines saw sharp losses yesterday as well after Raymond James cut AAL to neutral from outperform.

There was plenty of deal chatter making the rounds this morning. The New York Post reported that Deutsche Telecom's CEO favors Sprint as a merger partner for T-Mobile US, rather than Dish Network. Shares of biotech Receptos was volatile after a relatively unknown financial blog claimed RCPT received and rejected a $200/shr offer from AstraZeneca. CNBC's Faber reported that Alibaba was not looking to do a large deal for a US asset, and was not interested in PayPal, eBay, or other large e-commerce companies. GM's CEO said she was not interested in a merger with Fiat Chrysler.

***Looking Ahead***
- 12:00 (US) DOE Short-Term Crude Outlook
- 13:00 (US) Treasury to sell 3-Year Notes
- 19:00 (KR) South Korea May Unemployment Rate: No est v 3.7% prior
- 19:50 (JP) Japan Apr Machine Orders M/M: No est v 2.9% prior; Y/Y: No est v 2.6% prior
- 19:50 (JP) Japan May PPI M/M: No est v 0.1% prior; Y/Y: No est v -2.1% prior
- 21:00 (PH) Philippines Apr Exports: No est v $5.4B prior; Y/Y: No est v 2.1% prior


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