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Exclusive: How to Trade a Liquidating Market
This is a must-read! I have written several articles on how to trade a liquidating market and given the price action over the past week, including yesterday, it is worth reiterating. Understanding the dynamics of a liquidating market, recognizing when in one, and having strategies to trade it can make the difference between having a good day and a painful one as I will explain in this exclusive report.
To put it simply, liquidating markets are different animals and have to be treated as such. One of my favorite tips is to identify the market and when it goes into a liquidating mode you need to adjust accordingly.
So once you recognize the market is in a liquidating mode, how do you trade it?
The way these type of markets tend to trade is that they move in spurts as orders get executed and positions liquidated. Once the order is done, you may see some backing and filling as selling (as in the above case) is done and buyers come in looking to catch the low. This often gives a false sense of a bottom as the market backs away from the low until the next wave of sell orders. This leads to a squeeze on those trying to pick a bottom as they get stopped out by a fresh wave of selling and a new low. The extent of the move depends on whether key technical levels get triggered as this can accelerate the move and bring in fresh selling. Liquidating markets will exhaust themselves and finally reach a bottom, either by a key technical level holding or by the selling just running out of steam.
The way to trade a liquidating market is either to sell on the backing and filling (blip up) but that is often difficult as it is hard to find a nearby stop if the chart is like a one-way street. Another way is to put a stop entry at the low or high to go with the next wave of sell order liquidations. The other way is to wait it out and only go against the move if you sense it has completely lost steam. However, the tendency is to buy at each pause, hoping to catch the falling knife after a new low. The danger in this approach is that by the time a low is in place you may be too beaten up to catch the bottom.
The key point is to recognize the type of market you are in and that the hardest trade is often the right trade. The wrong trade is to buy the easy-to-get filled at what looks like an attractive level trade.
Note I used a market that is liquidating long positions as an example. The same principle applies when short positions get liquidated.
Feel free to ask questions or comment by sending an email
Jay Meisler
[email protected]
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