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mkt GVI Forex 00:27 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile Dec 5 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. An interest rate decision from Australia and key inflation readings from Japan and South Korea are the big market events for the Asia Pacific region on Tuesday, with investor sentiment cooled by Monday's selloff across U.S. stocks and bonds.
mkt GVI Forex 22:04 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile With US bond yields a focus the current 10 year range is 4.20%~4.30%
mkt San Francisco Monedge 18:40 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile Probabilities favor the market targeting Usd/Jpy after today's NY session in our view, barring developing conditions to the contrary.
Potlach dc CB 17:20 GMT 12/04/2023 Udate: "We are out of money — and nearly out of time," wrote the Office of Management and Budget Director Shalanda Young to Congressional leaders in a letter made public Monday. There are a mere few weeks left before the US must stop giving money to Ukraine. Young warned that the sudden end to aid will "kneecap" Ukraine on the battlefield. President Biden has been seeking a whopping $106 billion aid package chiefly for Ukraine and Israel. But budget director Young says the proverbial writing is on the wall amid GOP resistance. "Without congressional action, by the end of the year we will run out of resources to procure more weapons and equipment for Ukraine and to provide equipment from US military stocks," Young wrote. "There is no magical pot of funding available to meet this moment. We are out of money — and nearly out of time," she said. mainstream media continues its dramatic narrative shift... Washington Post: "victory for Ukraine" is now "far less likely than years of war and destruction." https://www.zerohedge.com/political/us-will-stop-giving-money-ukraine-3-weeks
mkt San Francisco Monedge 16:49 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile Hi JP - Current read is 48%. Bullish but not yet fully seasoned until 55%. Expecting intermediate short cycle to begin to form in roughly 20-30 minutes. Confidence is not high that the selling is strong due to the negative factor orders affecting stocks. A somewhat key day for various dominant money flows in various markets in our view.
mkt Mtl JP 16:44 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile USD not being exactly consistent here up against the yen but down vs th euro but overall dlrx still got the bid as still above the 200day
mkt Mtl JP 16:39 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile UPS deserves a musk's now famous treatment and customers vote w/feet
mkt dc CB 16:21 GMT 12/04/2023 UPS to hike US diesel surcharges under adjusted formula Move comes amid ongoing decline in highway diesel pump prices https://www.freightwaves.com/news/ups-to-hike-us-diesel-surcharges-under-adjusted-formula Effective Monday, UPS (NYSE: UPS) will assess a 15.25% fuel levy on all shipments moving under those domestic services. The surcharge applies to the base rates and to any add-on charges known as accessorials.
mkt Mtl JP 16:15 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile Monedge plz share dlryen 147.00 current momentum driven model's reading tia !
mkt dc CB 16:13 GMT 12/04/2023 GVI Forex 16:04 GMT Look at metals... See my Yellen Menu. of course, a little early but it's traditional to kick them to the curb when there's a Big Bond auction-----3's, 10s, 30's in the lined up in the chute.
mkt dc CB 16:05 GMT 12/04/2023 Next week----Yellen's offerings----big Exec Meals straddling the Powell's Holiday Gift---'basket off goodies or enough coal to heat your house for One Week' Treas Sked---The Elves working furiously in Gammy's Workshop
mkt GVI Forex 16:04 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile Look at metals...a broker told me this is where the action has been... but today??
mkt Mtl JP 15:54 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile just had a look at the week's econ calendar: so-called "incoming data" to the FED gang - JOLTS tuesday ADP wednesday NFP friday
mkt GVI Forex 15:50 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile Correlations are with US yields (higher) EURUSD 1,08 defense?
mkt Mtl JP 15:44 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile DLRx continues to romp higher atm euro at 1.0845 just above Jay's magic of round number
Yen San Francisco Monedge 15:34 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile If Usd/Jpy blows through 147 it will be now. No carry over correlation to stocks so far overall.
mkt dc CB 15:33 GMT 12/04/2023 in an move to influence the FOMC---notice that the data releases plus NUZ headlines, that the prevailing narrative has changed. '(XXXXX) tumbled even more than expected, down XXXX MoM - the biggest drop since the COVID lockdowns (April 2020). (month XXX) was also revised lower (making this month's) decline even worse' This instead of saying --- oh, yeh we were lying...
mkt Mtl JP 15:31 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile some of my sensory receptors suggest that euro under 1.0850 and now under S Pivot 1 appears to be players repricing jerome's "well restrictive territory" vs "premature" to rule out tightening.
mkt Mtl JP 15:16 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile  DLRx 103.52 - continues to hover above its 200day eminently trade-able
mkt GVI Forex 14:09 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile US yields up after plunge at Friday’s close did not carry over
Yen San Francisco Monedge 12:18 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile The aforementioned intermediate buy cycle is beginning now. The peak should be around 6am Pacific Time. The ensuing cycle would be down. Should the down cycle of monetary flow be widespread, that would equate to continued weakness in Usd/Jpy and likely buy interest for US stocks. For further perspective visit www.monedge.net.
Yen San Francisco Monedge 12:07 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile Usd/Jpy was moving all of last week and this morning in 3 hour dominant cycles and 1.5 hr intermediate cycles on an intra-day basis. The next cycle is an intermediate round of buying against the dominant sell interest. Therefore, not sold on buying yet.
mkt Mtl JP 09:26 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile BRENT 77.79 crude 72.90 at a three-week low - Players do not currently appear concerned a bit about some drones or such attacking maritime vessles - of any kind.
Gold Mtl JP 01:09 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile Ab 23:29 - interesting Qtn., the answer , if tue, would probably be not so much about magnitude as about the speed of the rush for exit and so that much more interesting. globaltimes.cn has so far some tame-toned pieces on Chinese mainland's holdings of USTs
Von Der Leyen Mtl JP 00:47 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile PAR ... just be prepared to a) simply pay more and b) increasingly face new barriers to using fossil fuels. - and never mind the kabuki theaterical tiff spectacle put on by Sultan Al-Jaber, Guterres and Kerry One may want, for example, to keep a close eye on one's pension fund dumping money into alternative / "green" energy stocks.
Happy EV owners dc CB 19:37 GMT 12/03/2023 The best story I've heard so far: ---Parents sending off their child to 'college'. Want to give a used car, something reliable, not too costly to repair, can be done at the local garage rear the school. A gasoline powered was considered, but they went with a "used" EV at a really good price. And the added plus that an EV in the parking lot at the school, would add to the progressive creds of the student and the school itself. That first 'home for the holidays break' as the student was making the drive from campus, there was a problem with the EV....the battery had died. Now in a gasoline vehicle --- a new battery could be $100+++++. Much to Mom and Dads chagrin, the price was $13,000 installed...and that was in itself, not a quick-n-easy ---pop the old one out and slip the new one in sort of replacement. They didn't know or weren't told when buying the Used EV----it really was buying an expensive to replace battery----a "Used" battery.
December Begins dc CB 18:33 GMT 12/03/2023 Pentagon Confirms US Warship, Commercial Ships Under Attack In Red Sea Update (1305ET): CNN reporter Haley Britzky. NEW: The USS Carney shot down two Houthi drones today — one while responding to a distress call from the civilian commercial vessel M/V Unity Explorer, after the Carney saw at least one ballistic missile fired at the Unity Explorer & land in its vicinity: Defense official — Haley Britzky (@halbritz) December 3, 2023 Houthi rebels have claimed responsibility for the attack. Yemen's Houthi rebels issued a press statement confirming that they carried out an operation targeting two vessels: - Bulk Carrier UNITY EXPLORER (9726035). AIS offline 5d ago. - Container Ship NO.9 (9340752)https://t.co/Xu3h0mxQJn AIS data by @MarineTraffic, a @Kpler company pic.twitter.com/WrFwFqyQFB — TankerTrackers.com, Inc. (@TankerTrackers) December 3, 2023 https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/pentagon-confirms-us-warship-commercial-ships-under-attack-red-sea "Gulf of Tonkin" is trending on X in the US.
Happy EV owners PAR 16:32 GMT 12/03/2023 Electric-vehicle owners are finding a surprising downside to their new wheels: They tend to be expensive to repair after a crash. When Scott MacFiggen’s neighbor backed into his Rivian RIVN 7.58%increase; green up pointing triangle R1T pickup truck last summer, the vehicle was left with a dent the size of a bowling ball under a rear taillamp. MacFiggen was expecting a couple-thousand-dollar bill from the repair shop and to be without his truck for a couple of weeks. “I guess I was a little naive,” said the 51-year-old San Francisco resident. The actual bill came to $22,000, and the vehicle took 2½ months to fix.
Von Der Leyen PAR 15:37 GMT 12/03/2023 Von Der Leyen's plan for a greener climate. Carbon taxes and carbon trading. People pay more and the climate deteriorates. What did you expect? https://on.ft.com/3uONrQ1
December Begins San Francisco MONEDGE 19:03 GMT 12/02/2023 - My Profile November 2023 was fascinating in terms of global economic and market related activities. Trying to make a US Dollar or a Swedish Krone out of it was an environment for those who can remain reasonably calm during volatility. Markets remain subject to sudden change due to turbulent geopolitical, economic and conflict related conditions. One of the components of our system includes algorithmic cycle analysis. It is a projection based on existing market flows and the probabilities of them sustaining. The results for a few markets looking forward are : Gold Likely to pause its strong run from that ended the week and settle toward the 2070 region before seeing another wave of buying transpire, which may or may not challenge the highs of 12/1. The primary flow is the buy side. Euro Likely to pause its primary sell side cycle in the coming week at some point while the market approaches 1.0800. US Dollar Likely to pause into the 102.60 area before seeing buying interest develop. The primary flow is the sell side overall. Yen Likely to see further buy side interest develop. We commented the week prior that a buying would likely develop. The primary flow is the buy side remains the buy side overall to this point. British Sterling Likely to see limited sell side interest develop only to be followed by continued buy side interest. The primary cycle is the buy side to this point. For further perspective visit www.monedge.net.
mkt Mtl JP 12:31 GMT 12/02/2023 - My Profile Gold and historians at The Wall Street Journal: • Gold Futures Settle at Record High to End the Week Gold finished Friday at a record high, boosted by sliding interest rates, central bank purchases and war. Front-month futures on the precious metal rose 1.6% Friday and settled at $2,071 a troy ounce, their highest settlement since August 6, 2020, when they closed at $2,051.
mkt Mtl JP 12:09 GMT 12/02/2023 - My Profile Cop28 and nuclear Declaration to Triple Nuclear Energy 02 December 2023 Recognizing the key role of nuclear energy in achieving global bla bla bla - Uranium Spot Price is at a current level of 57.65, up from 53.20 last month and up from 41.30 one year ago.
In General dc CB 20:05 GMT 12/01/2023 you have to be of an age..................... I'll leave it up to you to put 2 and 2 together. GWE (link to source-- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WWcJTQBXJnA)
mkt dc CB 19:46 GMT 12/01/2023 ZH con't) That's just the start. As Bloomberg notes, gold calls were also in strong demand, both for futures and the biggest ETF tied to the metal, as bullion marched closer to a record high Friday. As shown in the chart below................ Then again, if the Fed is indeed set to cut rates as soon as March, and then proceed with more QE which will be inevitable to monetize the soaring US budget deficit and exploding interest payments, then we are set for new all time highs in everything - gold, bitcoin, stocks... oh and oil; because after the current bout of CTA selling is finally over, oil and commodities will be the next asset class to hit record highs at which point Powell's mutation into Arthur Burns will be complete, ___confidence in the Fed will be crushed.............
mkt dc CB 19:27 GMT 12/01/2023 Powell, You Have A Problem: Gold Hits All Time High As Markets Price In Rate Cuts As Soon As March ... the Fed chair appeared largely nonchallant, and in his fireside chat earlier today, what the market focused on was Powell's comment that rates are "well into restrictive territory" which not only assured there would be no more rate hikes, but steamrolled Powell's other, hawkish warning.... https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/powell-you-have-problem-gold-hits-all-time-high-markets-price-rate-cuts-soon-march ____________________________________________________________ Powell: 'they won't be tagging me 'Chairman *Co#k Block* in the Fin Press this time.
mkt Mtl JP 17:17 GMT 12/01/2023 - My Profile jerome says - walking on eggs as he is answering if there is a target on labor force participation completely ignoring the "sacrifice ratio" and the FRED Not in Labor Force (LNS15000000) Observation: Oct 2023: 99,914
mkt San Francisco Monedge 17:13 GMT 12/01/2023 - My Profile JP - female dominated quantum physics as applied to global markets results in a confirmation of random walk theory only to be discounted by the law of averages and stochastic ebb and flow. So balance is the key. It always returns to the median. ;)
mkt San Francisco Monedge 17:04 GMT 12/01/2023 - My Profile Many markets such as oil and gold are dominated by CTA's which function primarily on algorithmic systems, with about 68% employing additional discretionary management. Highly momentum oriented. An old friend who was an old school CTA lamented how bare the floors were becoming of humans entering the early 2000's. The writing on the wall was visible. Our read for Usd/Jpy is at 10% now at 147. If buying takes hold those algorithms will amplify it. |
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