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PAR 09:25 GMT 12/09/2021
Financial repression forever.

The phase of “temporarily” high inflation in the euro area could last longer

ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos assumes that it could take longer for inflation in the eurozone to return to the target level. He said this poses a challenge for the ECB and complicates the monetary policy decision on December 16. The ECB vice president did reiterate the central bank's “official” stance, which assumes that inflationary pressures are temporary and that inflation will settle back to the two percent target level.

However, concerns seem to be growing at the top of the ECB as well. In November, the inflation rate in the eurozone reached a record high of +4.9%. According to de Guindos, the ECB must now keep a particularly watchful eye on developments in wages and wage negotiations.

Evergrande - General Motors
PAR 09:01 GMT 12/09/2021
Evergrande rated ‘restricted default’ by Fitch after a missed payment

Agency becomes first to downgrade Chinese developer as state-led restructuring gets underway

Evergrande - General Motors
PAR 07:49 GMT 12/09/2021
Shareholders lose everything.

Bondholders gets shares in the New Evergrande.

New Evergrande becomes one of the best real estate developing companies in the world.

With GM it worked out well.

Belgrade Knez 07:24 GMT 12/09/2021
Belgrade Knez 15:14 GMT December 8, 2021
closing today above 1.1340 will change my view from short to long with possible tgt to 1.1525 by the end of the month .... daily not closing above, view still short
as daily closed at the said level and not really above it, I am staying with my view being short ..... but with caution

PAR 06:59 GMT 12/09/2021

I am always surprised what happens at and just after the close of the markets in New York.

Lord's of scams. Price manipulation as never seen before to bring certain option prices in or just out of the money. If you did that in the past you got warning from the SEC. Today everything is allowed. The Far West in algo trading.

Mtl JP 06:39 GMT 12/09/2021
geez ... with apologies to bill:
how embarrassing (this is on a sidebar of linked piece):
Bill Dudley, a Bloomberg Opinion columnist and senior adviser to Bloomberg Economics, is a senior research scholar at Princeton University’s Center for Economic Policy Studies. He served as president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York from 2009 to 2018, and as vice chairman of the Federal Open Market Committee. He was previously chief U.S. economist at Goldman Sachs.

Mtl JP 06:32 GMT 12/09/2021
I do not know Bill Dudley's FED-whispering pedigree so fwiw:

...''But the taper isn’t all that will be on the agenda at next week’s meeting. Fed officials are also likely to signal a faster and larger tightening of monetary policy over the next three years — to an extent that markets haven’t yet anticipated.'' ...

The Next Fed Meeting Will Offer More Surprises
Beyond the taper, the longer-term outlook for interest rates might come as a shock to markets.

By Bill Dudley

Hk Dust 04:16 GMT 12/09/2021
Sour grapes because you got stopped out on EUR and JPY????? Funny ab

Hk Ab 04:11 GMT 12/09/2021
Mouth of dust and ………sour grapes on eur and yen

HK Dust 03:13 GMT 12/09/2021
Here’s hoping the new plan works out better than the old plan ab

Hk Ab 02:29 GMT 12/09/2021
New plan

Collection of gbp 1.32 to 1.3 stop 1.2930.
Also gbpjpy but level later

Mtl JP 23:28 GMT 12/08/2021
PAR exactly what was
- the instrument(s) that you loaded for that "VIX"

- the basis for going long

and ultimately: why unbelievable

Risk on
uk 21:45 GMT 12/08/2021
Same in the UK

PAR 20:56 GMT 12/08/2021
VIX stopped out. Unbelievable but true.

Risk on
dc CB 20:23 GMT 12/08/2021
Right now, there is no issue in the United States that is more divisive than the COVID vaccine.
We are rapidly becoming two very different nations with two very different cultures. At one time we truly were the “United” States of America, but now we have been split into two opposing camps that deeply hate one another.
Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog
Companies are rapidly fleeing to Texas. Governor Greg Abbott has stated that Texas will soon become “the home of semiconductor manufacturing.”

South Korea’s Samsung Electronics Co. plans to build a $17 billion semiconductor facility in Taylor, Texas, which makes it the largest foreign direct investment in the state’s history

Risk on
dc CB 20:07 GMT 12/08/2021
Peak Insanity. Trend for 2022

Posted Dec 8, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

Mtl JP 19:25 GMT 12/08/2021
who again is worried about inflation ?

Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates

dc CB 19:19 GMT 12/08/2021
Solid 10Y Auction Despite Modest Tail As Shorts Cover Into 1pm Deadline.

Risk on
dc CB 19:00 GMT 12/08/2021
dc CB 17:17 GMT 12/08/2021
dc CB 00:07 GMT 12/08/2021
Peak Insanity. Trend for 2022

National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases director Dr. Anthony Fauci said Wednesday on CNN’s “At This Hour” that it was a matter of “when not if” the definition of fully vaccinated will change to include a third booster shot.

Fauci said, “Well, you know, as you say, it’s a technical, almost semantic definition. And it is the definition for requirements if someone says, are you fully vaccinated to be able to attend class in a university or college or be able to work in a workplace? Right now, Kate, I don’t see that changing tomorrow or this week, or next week. But certainly, when you want to talk about optimal protection, I don’t think anyone would argue that optimal protection is with a third shot. Whether or not it officially gets changed in the definition, I think that will be considered literally on a daily basis. That’s always on the table.”

PAR 18:42 GMT 12/08/2021
Long VIX futures 21.40. We'll see.

Biden vs Trump
PAR 18:35 GMT 12/08/2021
Trump was more predictable and engaged in more dialog.

Israel MacroMicro 17:51 GMT 12/08/2021

london red 17:27 GMT 12/08/2021
i will hazard a guess it will be a decent auction, just by price action over last 24 hours. but they can always dump them tomorrow.

dc CB 17:25 GMT 12/08/2021
the last 10Y auction of 2021---US Treas--results after 1PM ET

merry christmas Gammy---or coal in her stocking.

USD reversal is imminent!
Bangkok KC 17:21 GMT 12/08/2021
Still hold long AUD/USD, GBP/USD and hold short USD/CAD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY

USD reversal is on the way.

Bangkok KC 18:09:27 GMT - 12/03/2021
USD index Head and Shoulders may lead lower.

It's time to sell USD against major currency pairs(i.e. EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY, AUD, CAD,).

... IMHO

Risk on
dc CB 17:17 GMT 12/08/2021
dc CB 00:07 GMT 12/08/2021
Peak Insanity. Trend for 2022

'DeNile is a river in Egypt'.
PTSD---Covid style.---The Brits

Up to 300,000 people facing heart-related illnesses due to post-pandemic stress disorder, warn physicians.

Tahir Hussain, a senior vascular surgeon at Northwick Park Hospital in Harrow.
“I’ve seen a big increase in thrombotic-related vascular conditions in my practice. Far younger patients are being admitted and requiring surgical and medical intervention than prior to the pandemic.

“I believe many of these cases are a direct result of the increased stress and anxiety levels caused from the effects of PPSD.

“We also have evidence that some patients have died at home from conditions such as pulmonary embolism and myocardial infarction. I believe this is related to many people self-isolating at home with no contact with the outside world and dying without getting the help they needed.”

Evening Standard

dc CB 17:11 GMT 12/08/2021
CME front month - Jan goes off the boards on Dec 31.
Feb contract is 4 cents under Jan.
March is 3.70.

BUY EUR/USD on dips
Bangkok KC 17:09 GMT 12/08/2021
Euro rally nicely as expected.
1.16 is my target.

Bangkok KC 14:39:07 GMT - 12/03/2021
It's not too late to buy Euro on dips for 1.16xx by the end of the year.

Israel MacroMicro 17:02 GMT 12/08/2021
Mtl JP 16:55 GMT December 8

and the pharmacist near you for supporting you in the process of tackling Othello syndrome day after day.

MaMi your ballet instructor :)

Mtl JP 16:55 GMT 12/08/2021
MaMi - IF anyone should be thanked it is JAY

for generously and magnanimously (look it up) offering a no-fee access to Global-View
- a platform for (mostly) FX-oriented trading types

including dick-wavers

Mtl JP 16:46 GMT 12/08/2021

CB 16:27 - thks for the concideration. u r a gentleman.
looks like east us will be baking potatoes

NatGas at 3.86 - with gap
think it ll close soon ?

dc CB 16:27 GMT 12/08/2021
this one's for you JP
But take more than 10 seconds to consider the implications going forward...into Jan and Feb, when that red turns to blue.
CME Natty Gas

to hot to handle

Israel MacroMicro 16:02 GMT 12/08/2021
you definitely capable to help many more behalf those lucky few reading your well detailed actual DAY trading TREND following ideas. most beautiful, you do not request the reader to use an enigma to realize what you mean. that makes you a python and not a cobra.

Mr. Meisler should thank you too :)

Israel MacroMicro 15:58 GMT 12/08/2021
good luck KNEZ

truly respect your approach to trading!

GVI Forex 15:58 GMT 12/08/2021  - My Profile
Note German yields, while still negative, are up even more than rising US yields today.

Mtl JP 15:28 GMT 12/08/2021

red 12:09
rather wishy-washy risk-off mood sloshing FX. I concur w/u that players keeping cannon shells dry likely waiting for jerome propaganda next week about accelerated taper and earlier (hasty?) rate hikes .

I am expecting bit of an uP n DOwn in dec for the dlr but IF I see some deeper down maybe even load the puppy up for next yr priceaction

Crypto Execs v Maxine Waters' Commitee
dc CB 15:21 GMT 12/08/2021
Coinbase, Circle, FTX, Paxos, Bitfury and Stellar - will testify before the House of Representatives Committee on Financial Services this morning.

Live Now

Belgrade Knez 15:14 GMT 12/08/2021
closing today above 1.1340 will change my view from short to long with possible tgt to 1.1525 by the end of the month .... daily not closing above, view still short

Mtl JP 15:07 GMT 12/08/2021
I don't expect usdcad fly north of 1.2670 giveortake few

Mtl JP 15:04 GMT 12/08/2021
they'll release their 'Economic Progress
Report' only tomorrow in the aft

Mtl JP 15:02 GMT 12/08/2021

speedy trade , fast as a cobra strike

Mtl JP 14:59 GMT 12/08/2021
just the policy statement

GVI Forex 14:52 GMT 12/08/2021  - My Profile
Due in 9 minutes

Israel MacroMicro 13:59 GMT 12/08/2021
poor PAR

he got one more lady to fight, it is PAR versus French, Bulgarian and now German ladies :)

PAR 13:56 GMT 12/08/2021

Christine Lagarde
Congratulations to Christian Lindner on being appointed Germany’s new Finance Minister. I look forward to working together.

Ich gratuliere Christian Lindner zur Ernennung als Bundesfinanzminister. Ich freue mich auf die gemeinsame Arbeit.

I am not so sure if Mr. Lindner is so happy with the result of Lagarde's policies. Flattering opponents is a lawyer's trick.

Israel MacroMicro 13:50 GMT 12/08/2021
with that Pfizer scheme, it is fairly expected to get free toaster when the time is due for the 10th jab

NQ = for today (18hrs from now)
Israel MacroMicro 13:48 GMT 12/08/2021
time horizon wrongly measured, I assume it needs more time to go and test the lower side mentioned, maybe I am wrong :)

PAR 12:44 GMT 12/08/2021
Covid cases in Europe seem to be declining al be it slowly.

The trend seems to be turning.

london red 12:09 GMT 12/08/2021
watch the reaction to the news. this was largely frontrun. are folks willing to pay up these prices ahead of fri cpi and then the fed? seems to be no more good news on the vaccine to come pre fed. mabye they start pulling some off soon.

GVI Forex 11:54 GMT 12/08/2021  - My Profile
Stock pop seemed to coincide with positive comments from Pfizer (3 dose vaccine neutralizes Omicron, 2 dose may still prevent severe disease)

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