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ECB LAGARDE CRUELLA PONZI MAFIA KAFKA PAR 21:10 GMT 12/06/2023 If Lagarde's son had not listened to his maman's advise and kept his Bitcoins he would sitting on a nice profit.
AudUsd San Francisco MONEDGE 19:47 GMT 12/06/2023 - My Profile Highly aggressive but we are lightly preferring the buy side of this pair now near 6540-550 and with no trouble reversing course, if only for minor gains. Overall we are more interested in the sell side higher.
Forex SciFi GVI Forex 18:25 GMT 12/06/2023 - My Profile What would you say if I told you that US yields would tumble and the dollar would close firmer? Forex Scifi?
Gold San Francisco MONEDGE 18:06 GMT 12/06/2023 - My Profile See limited sell interest around 2050, our overall bias posted Saturday remains on the buy side.
COP28 - WEF DAVOS PAR 17:16 GMT 12/06/2023 COP28 is more luxurious and lucrative for big business and tycoons.
BLUE CARBON - BETTER THAN BITCOIN PAR 17:09 GMT 12/06/2023 In late September, Zimbabwe’s environment minister signed away control over a staggering amount of land — almost 20% of his country — to a little-known foreign company. Blue Carbon was a small, new outfit, not even a year old, but its chief was no fledgling entrepreneur: he was an Emirati royal whose family had ruled Dubai for 190 years, flush with oil money. The Dubai-based Blue Carbon has secured forested land nearly equivalent to the size of the United Kingdom across five African nations to run projects to conserve forests that might otherwise be logged, preventing huge amounts of planet-heating carbon dioxide, or CO2, from entering the atmosphere. Blue Carbon can then use that conservation to create carbon credits to sell to companies and governments to “offset” the climate pollution they generate while they continue to burn planet-warming fossil fuels. The flurry of forest conservation deals with Zimbabwe, Zambia, Kenya, Liberia and Tanzania were announced in the months ahead of the annual United Nations’ COP28 climate summit, being hosted this year in December by the United Arab Emirates. But according to several analysts and climate advocates CNN spoke with for this story, these conservation deals are the latest attempt by the petrostate to use green initiatives as a smokescreen for its plans to continue pumping fossil fuels.
Usd San Francisco MONEDGE 17:06 GMT 12/06/2023 - My Profile Probabilities improving just a bit for Usd/Chf to hold around 1.8730 at present, even if temporary.
EV dc CB 16:51 GMT 12/06/2023 Where that 7.5 Billion $$$$ go? Good luck with that treasure hunt. Grifters rejoice ________________________________________ President Joe Biden's 2021 infrastructure bill boasts a $7.5 billion investment in electric vehicle (EV) chargers, and his administration insists the country is "on track" to install over a million public chargers by the end of the decade—but reports indicate that so far not a single one has actually been built. Zero Public EV Chargers Built Since Congress Approved $7.5 Billion To Expand Network
mkt dc CB 16:42 GMT 12/06/2023 Fun with Numbers: Oil Day bets DOE Crude -4.63mm (-1.00mm exp) - biggest draw in 3 months Cushing +1.83mm Gasoline +5.42mm (+700k exp) Distillates +1.27mm (+1.00mm exp) For the second week in a row, the Biden admin added crude to the SPR (+330k barrels)... https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/wti-extends-losses-5-month-lows-despite-crude-draw-production-decline
ECB LAGARDE CRUELLA PONZI MAFIA KAFKA PAR 16:15 GMT 12/06/2023 Cacophony at the ECB. It starts to look like a fish market.
mkt San Francisco Monedge 15:22 GMT 12/06/2023 - My Profile We prefer lightly testing the sell side of Eur/Usd near the figure at the moment with zero reluctance to reverse bias.
mkt San Francisco Monedge 14:22 GMT 12/06/2023 - My Profile Come consolidation briefly expected any time now again in Usd/Jpy.
mkt San Francisco Monedge 12:19 GMT 12/06/2023 - My Profile Usd/Jpy. We have been short only in very early US since 147.47. Overall preference yesterday was long. Fundamentals entering today's data releases seems somewhat balanced overall. Labor participation rate remains historically low but other data such as job availability has remained supportive. Yields still favor the US with the recent declines. Dxy has to close below 103.90 for any decline of substance to materialize in our model.
mkt GVI Forex 10:31 GMT 12/06/2023 - My Profile Event risks ADP - often see a reaction even though it is not a good indicator if NFP BoC rate decision (CAD weaker ahead of it)
ECB LAGARDE CRUELLA PONZI MAFIA KAFKA PAR 07:26 GMT 12/06/2023 ECB comments creating currency depreciation and bond asset bubble which will again lead to: INFLATION INFLATION INFLATION
mkt dc CB 01:02 GMT 12/06/2023 API Crude +594k (-1.00mm exp) Cushing +4.28mm - biggest build since April 2020 Gasoline +2.83mm (+700k exp) Distillates +890k (+1.00mm exp) Another week, another set of across-the-board inventory builds with Cushing stocks soaring... here's that word/phrase again____WTI was hovering at mid-November intraday lows around $72.40 ahead of the data and extended losses after the**** unexpected**** build... (The Grifter's Word of the Week)
mkt dc CB 00:48 GMT 12/06/2023 great headline: The Canary Just Died: Sudden Spike In SOFR Hints At Mounting Reserve Shortage, Early Restart Of QE "We expect to see more upward pressure on repo in the months ahead. Further upward repo pressure may reflect limited amounts of excess cash in the system and raise the risks of an early end to Fed QT." (paywall) https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/canary-just-died-sudden-spike-sofr-hints-mounting-reserve-shortage-early-restart-qe
mkt San Francisco MONEDGE 22:20 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile The yield on the US 10yr Note hit its lowest level since August 31st in todays session.
mkt Caribbean! Rafe... 20:10 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile fwiw... 5.75% is still a valid call until spring-sprong season. oil @ 115 is also valid till about the same time. SPR is being refueled a few buckets at a time, not enough motorists pulling up with loaded trucks. Nowadays, they only donate 1 or 2 drums each...
Nifty 50 Caribbean! Rafe... 19:48 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile While checking out the charts, I detected a stampede in progress (SIP) in the indian markets... banks.. auto.. IT etc basically all across the board. in 98% of my model signals each of them picked it up separately.
mkt dc CB 19:46 GMT 12/05/2023 Authored by Simon White, Bloomberg macro strategist, The depth of expected rate cuts from the Federal Reserve is close to being consistent with a recession. If a contraction is on the cards (unlikely in the near term), stocks and credit are mispriced. Otherwise short-term rates now look too low for a soft-landing scenario......................................................... Favorable liquidity conditions are poised to continue to provide a tailwind for risk assets, implicitly lowering rates through a further easing in financial conditions. There is thus an increasing chance the Fed will feel compelled to hike rates again to prevent a re-acceleration in inflation. ________________________________________________________________ So taking my last post and this one----------cud Fri be black swandive time---- File Under 'Unexpected' and check back later, FED Rate-Cut Pricing Will Soon Need A Recession To Be Justified
mkt Mtl JP 19:41 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile EUR0 1.0781 - currently like turd frozen in early winter grass. still I starting to take a bias as I expect the dlr to decline in dec I think dlrx at 1o4 is getting rich
mkt dc CB 19:36 GMT 12/05/2023 Stock Buybacks Hit All-Time High In November, But Enter "Blackout Period" This Friday The biggest buyer of stocks in November (along with CTAs) goes quiet this Friday and will not return until late January. (paywall) https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stock-buybacks-hit-all-time-high-november-enter-blackout-period-friday
Nifty 50 Caribbean! Rafe... 19:34 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile Caribbean! Rafe... 19:15 GMT October 31, 2023 Yesterday/Monday Nifty did a 3 in 1 combo... gapped 418 points... hit the target 20608... closed above target (see my 19:15). ===== Stock markets surge over 2 pc to hit lifetime highs; Sensex nears 69k-mark, Nifty breaches 20,500 The broader Nifty also climbed 418.90 points, or 2.07 per cent, to hit its all-time closing high of 20,686.80. On the 50-stock benchmark Nifty, 44 closed with gains. https://www.msn.com/en-in/money/markets/stock-markets-surge-over-2-pc-to-hit-lifetime-highs-sensex-nears-69k-mark-nifty-breaches-20-500/ar-AA1kXMNu ===== I posted the targets 1 - 1/2 month ahead of time...
LONG USD/CHF Bangkok KC 17:42 GMT 12/05/2023 1st long @0.8750 2nd long @0.8690(if see) Take profit around 0.9200
Short GBP/USD Bangkok KC 17:37 GMT 12/05/2023 1st short @1.2600, 2nd short @1.2700(if see) , Take profit somewhere below 1.2000
mkt Mtl JP 17:30 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile EURO 1.0796 AS I type - uncanny LoD sofar today got S right on its Pivot 1 IF pupy closes N of 1.08 I d be inclined to call a turn in dlr's decline and eurdlr's drive to 1.0780-ish just a petered-out correction
mkt Mtl JP 17:25 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile DLRx 103.88 on my daily chart - continues to hover N of its 200day *** katching uo on yakkers ... schanbel made me - almost - gag with her "tail between legs" (i.e dovish) yak , noramlly know for rather hawkish blabla. re the DLR: I am not exactly enthusiastic about it running much higher, I am expecting the puppy to pull back some don't forget two more jobs related releases this week on deck still
COP28 San Francisco Monedge 16:12 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile CB - So was I. Funny enough the nuns were generally right though with varying degrees of hell dependent on severity of life-lesson infraction.
COP28 dc CB 16:07 GMT 12/05/2023 raised a catholic and taught by nuns in grade school----the overriding lesson was---since we are telling you what to do, you have a choice to not do it---but since You Have Been Informed---if you don't You Will Burn Eternally in the Fires of Hell. You had your chance.
COP28 dc CB 16:02 GMT 12/05/2023 The problem is that any discussion---Debate--is no longer premitted----if either side (as if there were only two sides!) trys ---- screaming mobs emerge drowning out any chance of that. It's a very effective tactic.
COP28 San Francisco Monedge 15:53 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile CB - If the world can amplify the ability to produce non-carbon production without the use of carbon based materials then perhaps there is some daylight in the cause.
COP28 dc CB 15:34 GMT 12/05/2023 However a few COPs ago this would have been considered HERESY----burn 'em at the stake level heresy..... Just as Pope Alexander VI, aka Rodrigo de Borja-The Borgia Pope) burned Girolamo Savonarola. Back when Catholicism defined the world. ****Speaking at the summit, U.S. climate envoy John Kerry said the world can't achieve "net zero" emissions without building new reactors.**** "We are not making the argument that this is absolutely going to be the sweeping alternative to every other energy source," Mr. Kerry said during a launch ceremony. "But ... you can't get to net zero 2050 without some nuclear, just as you can't get there without some use of carbon capture, utilization, and storage." Speaking at the summit, U.S. climate envoy John Kerry said the world can't achieve "net zero" emissions without building new reactors. "We are not making the argument that this is absolutely going to be the sweeping alternative to every other energy source," Mr. Kerry said during a launch ceremony. "But ... you can't get to net zero 2050 without some nuclear, just as you can't get there without some use of carbon capture, utilization, and storage." The United States and 21 other countries from four continents signed a pledge at the United Nations climate summit on Dec. 2 to triple global nuclear energy capacity by 2050 from the levels recorded in 2020. https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-joins-21-other-countries-pledge-triple-nuclear-energy-capacity-2050
Mkt San Francisco Monedge 15:28 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile On the whole, other than oil (which is buying instability), today in the US does not look like much of a risk on environment.
Usd GVI Forex 15:02 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile ISM services beats and prices still elevated but JOLTS falls more than expected Market reacting to the latter.
Usd GVI Forex 14:28 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile MARKET CHATTER Entry: Target: Stop: A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan As the S&P500 (.SPX) stalled on Monday at its high for the year, taking a breather from last week's 'peak rates' rally, smaller U.S. stocks picked up the baton and are playing catchup into the yearend.
Usd San Francisco Monedge 14:20 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile Dollar Index remains a buy as long as it holds 103.60 holds in our model. Perhaps the ECB official taking further rate hikes off of the table helps to support that condition.
mkt GVI Forex 13:33 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile DATA Entry: Target: Stop: Key event riisks ISM services and JOLTS
ECb GVI Forex 10:21 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile FRANKFURT, Dec 5 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank can take further interest rate hikes off the table given a "remarkable" fall in inflation and policymakers should not guide for rates to remain steady through mid-2024, ECB board member Isabel Schnabel told Reuters. Exclusive: ECB hawk Schnabel scraps more rate hikes after 'remarkable' inflation drop
COP28 PAR 07:53 GMT 12/05/2023 While all politicians and European bureaucrats are discussing the most extreme carbon trading programs in sunny Dubai. Europe is facing a normal winter with snow, ice, and cold. European governments seem unprepared as traffic comes to a halt, airports gets closed, and homeless people die on the streets of the European capitals.
EURUSD Belgrade Knez 07:01 GMT 12/05/2023  started shorting from 1.0960 ..... supports at MP then 1.0750 then 1.0690 ....
mkt GVI Forex 00:27 GMT 12/05/2023 - My Profile Dec 5 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. An interest rate decision from Australia and key inflation readings from Japan and South Korea are the big market events for the Asia Pacific region on Tuesday, with investor sentiment cooled by Monday's selloff across U.S. stocks and bonds.
mkt GVI Forex 22:04 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile With US bond yields a focus the current 10 year range is 4.20%~4.30%
mkt San Francisco Monedge 18:40 GMT 12/04/2023 - My Profile Probabilities favor the market targeting Usd/Jpy after today's NY session in our view, barring developing conditions to the contrary.
Potlach dc CB 17:20 GMT 12/04/2023 Udate: "We are out of money — and nearly out of time," wrote the Office of Management and Budget Director Shalanda Young to Congressional leaders in a letter made public Monday. There are a mere few weeks left before the US must stop giving money to Ukraine. Young warned that the sudden end to aid will "kneecap" Ukraine on the battlefield. President Biden has been seeking a whopping $106 billion aid package chiefly for Ukraine and Israel. But budget director Young says the proverbial writing is on the wall amid GOP resistance. "Without congressional action, by the end of the year we will run out of resources to procure more weapons and equipment for Ukraine and to provide equipment from US military stocks," Young wrote. "There is no magical pot of funding available to meet this moment. We are out of money — and nearly out of time," she said. mainstream media continues its dramatic narrative shift... Washington Post: "victory for Ukraine" is now "far less likely than years of war and destruction." https://www.zerohedge.com/political/us-will-stop-giving-money-ukraine-3-weeks |
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