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pump n pump Macau Steven 02:08 GMT 02/25/2021 I prefer to keep copper miner stock for 1 more years. Copper price is going to the moon and so does the quantity transacted. My copper miners already up 250%
Mkt Hk Ab 02:07 GMT 02/25/2021 US can “control” their stat but not other countries. When yields in the world all are hiking at the same time, the carry will resume
Trend - Irony Mtl JP 23:50 GMT 02/24/2021 viies 21:35 if this is any consolation parasites (or viruses) eventually kill their host
Trend - Irony dc CB 23:24 GMT 02/24/2021 they shall not suffer like the common proles - they are better than that. ______________________________________________ The U.S. House version of the “American Rescue Plan Act of 2021” – a $1.9 trillion emergency aid package to help America recover from the coronavirus pandemic has an extra perk for federal workers: Enhanced paid time off if your child is enrolled in a school that isn’t back to full-time, in-classroom instruction. “Emergency Federal Employee Leave Fund.” Among those eligible are those who are “unable to work” because they are caring for school-aged children not physically in school full time “due to Covid-19 precautions[.]”
pump n pump Mtl JP 23:22 GMT 02/24/2021 viies 21:35 - fwiw there is a growing pool of analysts / researchers are gunning for yields to revisit lows / go negative
pump n pump Israel MacroMicro 22:29 GMT 02/24/2021 is there any interest to cause people to buy HSBC to get divident higher than 0.75% annually, holy people does not work in banks, or times changed and I missed it?
pump n pump Tallinn viies 21:35 GMT 02/24/2021 Bloomberg writes: global head of fixed income research Steven Major’s at HSBC, remains “mildly bullish” on Treasuries and hasn’t altered his year-end yield calls, citing demographics that suggest retirement savings of aging populations will continue to flow into bonds. It’s a stance that’s underpinned his outlook and led him to call a bull run that’s lasted longer than many ever imagined. Major stood out in 2014 for correctly predicting that 10-year yields would drop to about 2.1%, while the median forecast at the start of the year was 3.4%. He expects the 10-year Treasury yield will end this year at 0.75%, a call well below the consensus of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. “There is a healthy tension between the near-term reflation debate and longer-term secular view of lower-for-longer rates,” Major said. “Ultimately, we think yields will stay low.”
pump n pump Tallinn viies 21:00 GMT 02/24/2021 nasdaq100 tested back below 50 day sma for 2-nd day in row and bounced again. slow stochastic crossed up today. inside day today. close near the high of the day. if tommorow previous day high will be taken out, it is a start for new highs.
pump n pump london red 20:55 GMT 02/24/2021 yeah copper is just mad. well almost. no new ath made yet. i mean how can you not see a new high abv 464 with all of this money printed. then add in all of this new demand. surely it hits 500 bucks at a minimum. so im comfortable to buy dips in the miners. if we see them. i cut one of my miners this week (bhp). that may turn out to be a shitty move. but i cut and didnt sell entirely, so i will give myself credit there.
pump n pump dc CB 20:31 GMT 02/24/2021  Will end of month dressing blast this thru? RE: FED - FOMC 'annces' on March 17, St. Patricks Day --- no parade in NYC --- because of.... you guess.
Hyper Active US Treasury dc CB 20:18 GMT 02/24/2021 PAR 08:24 GMT 02/24/2021 Difficult to find a nice overview of all the amounts they sell. Does anybody have a site with an overview? PAR, start here. https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/press.htm
FED PAR 19:12 GMT 02/24/2021 Ugly and difficult sell of $61 billion 5 year paper. Not much interest .
FED Mtl JP 19:06 GMT 02/24/2021 the last para in the link below: - “It will be interesting to see whether households will maintain these high rates of home purchases and refinances into 2021 and more generally how households will adjust their balance sheets depending, in part, on whether and how long forbearances continue on payments on federally backed mortgages and student loans,” New York Fed economists said in a blog post accompanying the release.
FED Mtl JP 18:46 GMT 02/24/2021 give 'em more . moRE . MORE !! as the 7 million gumflapper said debt interest payments are a better metric than debt to GDP - Household debt rises to $14.6 trillion due to record-breaking rise in mortgage loans
EUR/USD trend reversal is imminent! HK Kevin 17:56 GMT 02/24/2021 No luck, stop profit of short EUR position from 1.2156 at 1.2146.
FED Mtl JP 17:55 GMT 02/24/2021 By Greg Robb - Asked if he sees asset bubbles forming- Powell says he sees "a very mixed picture." While "some asset prices are elevated by some measures," other aspects of financial stability remain "moderate" like leverage in the financial system and funding risk,
Mkt Mtl JP 17:32 GMT 02/24/2021 what is a school teacher making in Texas - average $60K ? lesson in automatic cc debit, junk e-mail and flex plans - ‘I was just panicking’: Some Texans face extraordinary electric bills after winter storms
FED PAR 17:27 GMT 02/24/2021 FED officials say US unemployment is above 10%. Official US figures say US unemployment is 6,3%. What kind of Comedia Del Arte is that. Economic fake news kill government credibility.
money machine london red 17:10 GMT 02/24/2021 lol maybe u will be right. but back in 2018 it peaked about 30 bucks away from its 50dma and we are even further now.
money machine Israel MacroMicro 16:52 GMT 02/24/2021 why not red? why not within 3-4 sessions? seems you after all still trying to act logically :)
money machine london red 16:47 GMT 02/24/2021 yes looks like it. but i have closed or skimmed a couple of things. CAT up more than 10% in 4 sessions. up nearly 30% abv prev peak in 2018. the high before that was 50%. so maybe some way to go but i dont think they do it over next 3 or 4 sessions.
money machine Mtl JP 16:43 GMT 02/24/2021 players appear to like what they hear DJIA 31,778.30 +240.95 +0.76% SnP 3,904.62 +23.25 +0.60% 10-yr 1.394%
money machine Tallinn viies 16:32 GMT 02/24/2021 powell said: asset prices somewhat elevated. what??? definatelly not. tesla droped from 900 to 620. this is a miracle. more than 30% discount. people are grazy to buy cheap stock :)
pump n pump london red 16:24 GMT 02/24/2021 i agree you cant have us rates at 3 or 4% as it will cripple ability to invest after debt repayments. however, mkt is pricing in what it sees and a fast move higher in rates willunsettle those that thrive from low rates capital ie. 100x sales stocks in tech sector. traditional businesses are better equipped to deal with a slightly higher rates environment while banks thrive on it. but to answer your point yes i dont think they will let rates run too far, they will step in front of it before it breaks 2% i think. they may even take mkt action.
pump n pump Israel MacroMicro 16:13 GMT 02/24/2021 I agree if you are saying that interest rate yields are the graveyard in the making within the financial markets.
pump n pump Israel MacroMicro 16:10 GMT 02/24/2021 red, I cannot see how markets acting to price something real currently. we are making money out injections of liquidity pockets generated out political reasoning. in my understanding, those are not real markets. the lucky few will manage to transform those gains into long lasting value, trade hit and run, move the profit into long lasting value. imo
pump n pump Tallinn viies 16:09 GMT 02/24/2021 london red 15:58 GMT 02/24/2021 - yields never go up. I have been in banking business more than 25 years. worked for markets department. we were selling interest rate swaps and cap´s to corporate customers to protect against higher interest rates. just showing historical interest rates charts to client and explaining what may happen if rates go up. blablabla. during 25 years I can not remember any single customer who have stayed in + with interest rate hedges. they never go up constantly. maybe 1 year it is moving higher but taking a 5 year average and it is just not possible. there is so much debt in the world and rates can not go up because all world may fall a part then. not able to serve it. it is not going happen. world is built this way that stock indexes up and interest rates down. commodities and fx yo-yoing between.
pump n pump london red 16:07 GMT 02/24/2021 MM, think they are actually performing quite well, as in, as they should. repricing of rates is happening without too much bother so far.
pump n pump Israel MacroMicro 16:03 GMT 02/24/2021 in the macro field, the most poisonous factor for now are the markets being a political playground. it is not a commodity they price anymore. markets as markets (== to price actual realistic goods) are dead.
pump n pump Macau Steven 15:59 GMT 02/24/2021 Powell: If bubble cannot save the world, then let me make a bigger one.
pump n pump london red 15:58 GMT 02/24/2021 well you would expect crude to go up with yields. inflation higher commodities higher. we are probably due a pullback in some commodity areas but thats where you want to be essentially.
pump n pump Macau Steven 15:58 GMT 02/24/2021 Crude oil Underlying fundamental is improving and most players are selling on bounce.
pump n pump Tallinn viies 15:34 GMT 02/24/2021 brent crude just hit new yearly high. up +3% today. 1 month up 22% so 10 year yield may do whatever. it doesnt matter.
pump n pump Tallinn viies 15:32 GMT 02/24/2021 my point is Powell has no clue what kind of bubble he is creating. and this is best what can happen to us. long only plays.
pump n pump london red 15:18 GMT 02/24/2021 if you take a look at indicies where there is v little tech and low pes, they are firmer today. uk ft100 has been slapped about and knocked down more times than tigers woods girlfriends but isnt being affected by the rates cycle negatively given the very low pe ratios and high weighting in inflation sensitive elements such as commodities and financials. a severe storm takes all boats down but while its a gentle climb on rates, these kinds of stocks do well.
pump n pump Mtl JP 15:12 GMT 02/24/2021 more than 20% of just SnP listed companies are "zombie" zombie: unable to pay interest on debt
pump n pump london red 15:12 GMT 02/24/2021 viies, s&p less so given majority are on lesser multiples so higher rates affect the future cashflow less. its the techs with high pe ratio or those without pe ratios at all, the jam tomorrow ones that get biggest hit.
pump n pump Israel MacroMicro 15:12 GMT 02/24/2021 those with risk appetite for the very short term may play long now NQ
pump n pump Tallinn viies 15:11 GMT 02/24/2021 last 3 months offered investors exeptionally good returns. Powell just confirmed with his speech it will continue... 3 months returns: eurusd +2,4% crude oil +46% nasdaq100 +9% tesla +46% audusd +8,5% iron ore +33% corn +32% wheat +14% soybeans +20% rapeseed +16% silver +14% gamestop +264% lumber +62% choose you battle and just buy stuff this is the message from Powell.
pump n pump Tallinn viies 14:51 GMT 02/24/2021 and it doesnt influence sp500 companies? sp500 -5 points.
Carry Hk Ab 14:50 GMT 02/24/2021 Do we have a glimpse chance to resume carry game after 20 years now? |
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