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BREAKING NEWS Amazing Trader 22:24 GMT 05/22/2019 Reportedly the 1922 Executive Committee calling on PM May to announce she will step down June 10th when she meets with the 1922 Committee on Friday - Telegraph **NOTE: prior reports indicated that the 1922 Committee might vote on Friday to change party leadership rules to allow Conservatives to force out PM May immediately - Source TradeTheNews.com
MAY Mtl JP 21:48 GMT 05/22/2019 the more I think about politics/ians/toxix/fx - where - if there is one - is there momentum ? A: - is there widespread dollar strength: y / n ? - does current benefit of a weaker pound carry offset of moderating foreign direct investment ? A: - how much more would GBP have to tank if a weak currency is to make it attractive for long-term investment in UK ? A: - is powell gang's current interest rate policy a war on President Trump ? A: - currently - are there too many, just right or is there room for more political toxic parts - for FX players appetite for trading theme ? A: - what is the current predominant market general time horizon ? A: - what would need to change for it to change ? A:
MAY Mtl JP 21:26 GMT 05/22/2019 and not only to forex trading: contemporary Political Risk is reflected in the bond market too sometimes the risk of holding X debt increased the yield gap over Y bond ref john's alerting suggestions about u.s. 10yr 2.4%
MAY Livingston nh 20:33 GMT 05/22/2019 At the end politicians can become toxic - Leadsom was the first but by the open in NY we should see 2 or 3 others -- May says she will campaign tomorrow BUT she is TOXIC and her "help" is likely to be refused (her own party voters may BOO) Nixon was toxic, Chamberlain was toxic, we all have our favorite -- MAY won't be able to replace departing Cabinet - I can't see her lasting thru tomorrow
Thursday AT Trading Checklist GVI Trader john 20:28 GMT 05/22/2019 LATE DJ: -101 SP: -8.1 2-yr 2.233% -2.5bp Spread 10s-2s +16.0 bp (17.2) 10-yr US: 2.393% -3.3 DE: -0.088% -0.1 UK: 1.008% -0.9 GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE Spot EURUSD: 1.1155 Pivot Point: 1.1162 This Week 1.1142-1.1188 (42 pips) wed: 1.1148-1.1180 (32) mon: 1.1142-1.1186 (42) tue: 1.1142-1.1188 (46) mon: 1.1150-1.1175 (25) fri: 1.1156-1.1184 (28) thu: 1.1166-1.1224 (58) 20-day avg: 1.1185 50-day avg: 1.1249 100-day avg: 1.1305 200-day avg: 1.1392
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 30 April 2019 GVI Forex Blog 19:37 GMT 05/22/2019
Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.
Broken NUZ dc CB 19:13 GMT 05/22/2019 Update (2:40 pm ET): Britons are still waiting on the outcome of Wednesday's confrontation between the PM and the 1922 Committee of Tory backbenchers, but judging by the latest development, it's not going well for Theresa May. Andrea Leadsom, the Tory leader in the Commons and considered a critical member of May's cabinet, has resigned, and it looks like May's decision to add a clause calling for a second referendum was the straw that finally broke her. (ZeroHedge)
Broken NUZ dc CB 19:07 GMT 05/22/2019 Dateline London: May re-submitts her plan for the 4th time. May wants a 2nd Referendum. May does not resign. Dateline Wash DC: "Trump is Covering Up" (something) - sez democrat party leaders of House and Senate . Trump holds impromptu press conference after storming out of meeting.
BREAKING NEWS Mtl JP 19:04 GMT 05/22/2019 From the mushroom feeders' may Financial Stability Report "The ratio of debt to assets for all publicly traded nonfinancial firms, including speculativegrade and unrated firms, remains close to its highest level over the past 20 years (figure 2-7)" ... and leverage in the business sector is high by historical standards
BREAKING NEWS Mtl JP 18:53 GMT 05/22/2019 .. patient for some time .. as the FED pays 2.35% to banks on their Excess Reserves and Nonfinancial corporate business; debt securities; liability, Level at 6,240,094 (millions) is .. pray tell... how many percent of assets ? Is the FED feeding mushrooms again ?
BREAKING NEWS GVI Trader john 18:09 GMT 05/22/2019 Not much reaction to Fed The stick to the "transitory inflation " mantra and suggest their view will not change soon
BREAKING NEWS Amazing Trader 18:04 GMT 05/22/2019 FOMC MINUTES FROM MAY 1 MEETING: OFFICIALS SAW PATIENT APPROACH APPROPRIATE FOR 'SOME TIME'; MANY POLICYMAKERS SAID RECENT DIP IN PCE INFLATION LIKELY TO BE TRANSITORY - Most Fed officials saw downside risks to outlook remaining - Officials saw greater downside risk for inflation; several at Fed worried by risk of low inflation expectation - Source TradeTheNews.com
BREAKING NEWS Amazing Trader 17:26 GMT 05/22/2019 Tory MP: party has been told PM May will campaign for Euro elections on Thurs and then will meet with Committee Chair Brady on Friday, and then a decision will be made - Source TradeTheNews.com
MAY haifa ac 17:16 GMT 05/22/2019 - My Profile If May goes next 8 days, the English language will be enriched by a synonymous aphorism: The "End of May" will join the "Ides of March."
VIX haifa ac 16:57 GMT 05/22/2019 - My Profile haifa ac 06:51:10 GMT - 05/17/2019 VIX- good point. Bad chart if you look at the daily MAs, the last time the 21 MA crossed the 55 MA was in Oct 2018. If the vix is holding here it is resting again on the 21 MA. It can be rather bullish. Worth watching. the Nasdaq daily 21 MA did not hold. Now it is resting on the daily 55 MA Again, if it holds we can have an explosive move. Worth watching.
BREAKING NEWS GVI Trader 16:03 GMT 05/22/2019 I guess some times its hard for a politician to realize their time is up?
BREAKING NEWS Amazing Trader 16:01 GMT 05/22/2019 Sunday Times Political editor: My understand is that the PM's Senior aides now accept that the game is up, all that is left is 'For her to come to that realisation' - Source TradeTheNews.com
Thursday AT Trading Checklist GVI Trader john 15:57 GMT 05/22/2019 GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale AA 07:30 EZ- Draghi Speech AA 09:30 UK- CPI AA 12:30 CA- Retail Sales A 16:00 US- EIA Crude AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes Thu 23 May 2019 EZ- EU Parliament Elections Flash PMIs all day A 08:00 DE- IFO Survey A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless A 14:00 US- New Homes Sales Fri 24 Mar 2019 00:00 EZ- EU Parliament Elections AA 08:30 UK- Retail Sales A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
Wednesday Trading Checklist GVI Trader john 15:53 GMT 05/22/2019 Fed Minutes-- any modification in the Powell view that soft inflation is not "transitory", but is "structural" WOULD be major. I have no idea if he is ready to change his view yet. I am just putting out what could shake the markets today. My odds for this are low, about 20% in favor of an early change. I feel those odds are likely to increase in time.
BREAKING NEWS Amazing Trader 15:52 GMT 05/22/2019 Politico's Bresnahan: at meeting Trump said Pelosi accused him of being involved in a cover up & wouldn’t negotiate with Democrats until all investigations over; Pelosi quipped “I knew he was never serious about infrastructure” before walking out - Source TradeTheNews.com
MAGA and MANA. Is MAMA coming? haifa ac 15:51 GMT 05/22/2019 - My Profile Joe Biden’s campaign pitch: Make America Normal Again we need now a president with MAMA: Make America MATURE Again https://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-biden-presidential-candidate-nostalgia-20190522-story.html
BREAKING NEWS GVI Forex 15:32 GMT 05/22/2019 - My Profile 11:30 (UK) Sky News' Craig: "Very senior MP tells me the word from the Cabinet corridor in the HoC is that the PM will resign tonight" - Craig tweets: "Very senior MP tells me the word from the Cabinet corridor in the HoC is that the PM will resign tonight, Andrea Leadsom is poised to resign to launch a leadership bid, others may also resign & David Lidington will take over as acting PM. Unconfirmed!" - Source TradeTheNews.com
Amazing Trader: EURGBP GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:31 GMT 05/22/2019 - My Profile EURGBP .8810: I posted this earlier and take a look at the EURGBP high set afterwards (.88398). This is no coicidence. Amazing Trader: EURGBP GVI Forex Jay Meisler 09:54 GMT 05/22/2019 - My Profile EURGBP .88113 AT shows next EURGBP resistance at .8840 and .8862.
BREAKING NEWS Amazing Trader 15:19 GMT 05/22/2019 PM May spokesperson: not aware of any specific meetings upcoming between PM May and cabinet members - PM May could not have been any clearer that she doesn't believe a second referendum should happen - Source TradeTheNews.com
Wednesday Trading Checklist Mtl JP 15:04 GMT 05/22/2019 Justin "pretty hair and sox" Trudeau says western countries do not need to “continue to allow” Chinese global aggression. “China is making stronger moves than it has before to try and get its own way on the world stage,” “Western countries and democracies around the world are pulling together to point out that this is not something we need to continue to allow.” Might be good idea for china to remember - just in case trudeau loses election to scheer - : “For years, Justin Trudeau has ignored the security threat the Chinese government poses to Canada and he’s allowed China to push Canada around,” “It’s time for him to show some leadership and finally stand up to China.” said Brock Harrison who is the director of communications for Scheer
BREAKING NEWS GVI Trader john 14:58 GMT 05/22/2019 BREAKING NEWS: US EIA Weekly Inventories  Crude Oil: +4.700 vs. =2.100 exp vs. -4.000 prev. Distillates:+0.800 vs. -1.00 exp vs. -0.200 prev. Gasoline: +3.700 vs. -0.300 exp vs. -0.600 prev. Weekly Petroleum Status Report TTN: Live News Special Offer 
Wednesday Trading Checklist Mtl JP 14:30 GMT 05/22/2019 always v williams, hosting some presser, repeats that there s no reason to move int rates
Brexit News Mtl JP 13:58 GMT 05/22/2019 .. EU refuses .. so ? let them gag on it or if they d like to salvage some of it sell toilet paper with printed copies on it
Brexit News UK JY 13:55 GMT 05/22/2019 One way of looking at it is if May resigns it increases the risk of a hard Brexit if a Leave PM takes over and EU refuses to change the withdrawal agreement.. .
GBP Mtl JP 13:53 GMT 05/22/2019  GBP 1.2626 ------------- Conservatives meet to change rules to kick May out of the solar system - a day before EU election - could not happen quick nuff. s/t GBPUSD = bear bias, but so-far holding above 76.4% fib (see chart) Expecting puppy to Resist firmly to rally N of 1.27 Breakdown of the afore-mentioned FIB should target 1.2450-00 zone EURGBP 8833 200day: 0.8793 lends uP bias and 0.90 trgt
Brexit News GVI Forex 13:50 GMT 05/22/2019 - My Profile GBP extending slide as talk of dumping May continues. TTN reporting some saying if May is not removed today she will be safe for two weeks.
Brexit News GVI Forex 13:45 GMT 05/22/2019 - My Profile TTN reporting an unnamed minister saying PM May is done.
Brexit News london red 13:32 GMT 05/22/2019 she wont be pushed before may 28th. i think that is the date reqd to avoid her being the shortest serving pm, the title currently belonging to brown.
Brexit News UK JY 13:25 GMT 05/22/2019 Expect pressure to build on May to resign. It is hard to say what the initial reaction would be but as nh said, it could see some relief after the dust settles.
GBP Livingston nh 12:58 GMT 05/22/2019 There is a risk of a relief rally in the Pound if MAY resigns in the next few days -- out of character so far BUT this "new" Bill is likely to be the worst defeat for a government ever, Cabinet resignations if she persists -- the Bill is to be presented on Friday so things could happen quickly
BREAKING Canada Retail Sales Better than Expected In March 2019 GVI Forex Blog 12:46 GMT 05/22/2019 Canada: Retail Sales for March 2019 better. 
BREAKING Canada Retail Sales Better than Expected In March 2019
BREAKING NEWS GVI Trader john 12:34 GMT 05/22/2019 Retail Sales March 2019  Retail Sales Headline: +1.10% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +0.80% (r prev.) X-Autos: +1.70% vs. +0.90% exp. vs. +0.60% (r ) prev. TTN: Live News Special Offer
BREAKING NEWS GVI Forex 12:28 GMT 05/22/2019 - My Profile US stocks slip on this 08:26 (US) Treasury Sec Mnuchin reiterates no plans to go to Beijing yet - Source TradeTheNews.com
Brexit News Livingston nh 12:22 GMT 05/22/2019 The leadership in the Tory scramble to become new PM will start to abandon MAY -- her latest proposal will be an anchor for anyone looking to replace her // Lame Duck w/ no support
BREAKING NEWS GVI john 12:22 GMT 05/22/2019 PM May: Brexit WAB will be published Friday after end of EU elections - Source TradeTheNews.com
Wednesday Trading Checklist London Trader 12:19 GMT 05/22/2019 May is a loser. Meanwhile markets turning to risk off.
Brexit News GVI Forex 11:19 GMT 05/22/2019 - My Profile May speaking in parliament... gbp fallss.. watch 1.2650 as this will set the tone. |
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