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dc CB 17:35 GMT 09/27/2023
The last time a 5Y auction priced here, quants suffered a historical meltdown.

We are of course talking about the summer of 2007, and just like then, moments ago the 5Y auction priced at a high yield of 4.659%, and up 16bps from August.

5Y Auction Prices At Highest Yield Since Summer Of 2007

Mtl JP 17:24 GMT 09/27/2023  - My Profile

don't fight the FED boat filling fast and - by some standard overdone metrics - starting to list (overload on one side). Which makes it vulnerable to as little as a small fart (i.e. some nega fundamental "news")

GVI Forex 17:08 GMT 09/27/2023  - My Profile
10 year 4.60%

Will the BoJ Intervene?
GVI Forex Blog 16:57 GMT 09/27/2023

With USDJPY coming range of the pivotal 150-level traders is on alert for a surprise intervention.

History has shown that the threat is often more of a deterrent than the actual intervention unless it is backed up with a  change in monetary policy.

Will the BoJ Intervene?

US Dollar
San Francisco MONEDGE 16:46 GMT 09/27/2023  - My Profile
We see the US Dollar Index likely consolidating toward the low to mid 105 area before more strength develops. Heavy options at the 107 area across currencies and BOJ concerns growing as well for Usd/Jpy as the DXY reaches 107.

Chatter of GBP longs developing around current levels.

Posted with permission of Global View. For more perspective please visit

hk ab 16:28 GMT 09/27/2023
not many millennium have experienced the real "Carry-trade" opportunities.

Belgrade Bobby 16:28 GMT 09/27/2023  - My Profile

Belgrade Bobby 21:35 GMT 09/25/2023 - My Profile
As long as EURUSD stays bellow 1.06185 ( ultimately I would allow even 1.06350/400 ) , we are on the road to 1.04950 - target for this week.

Just few pips shy of it....

Event Risk
San Francisco MONEDGE 16:20 GMT 09/27/2023  - My Profile
We see no government shutdown in the US as the politicians play this drama game every time and end up with a budget to save themselves.

We currently favor long Australian Dollar vs US Dollar from the 0.6350 area to test the water on a near to medium term positioning basis.

Posted with permission of Global View. For more information please visit

hk ab 16:12 GMT 09/27/2023
IF that's the case, gold can go back to 600-700 zone.... or even lower.

Mtl JP 16:10 GMT 09/27/2023  - My Profile
5.75 - 6.00
but bot a pivot: "higher for longer" parking spot
reach a plateau and ... actually never pivot again to zee-ro.
not in your lifetime

hk ab 15:58 GMT 09/27/2023
what's the pivot in your mind on 10 yrs?

hk ab 15:09 GMT 09/27/2023
unsensible things can happen at any time.

Belgrade Knez 14:24 GMT 09/27/2023

once yearly low gives way, next FIB at 1.0200 and then parity

Belgrade Knez 14:13 GMT 09/27/2023
Belgrade Knez 13:58 GMT September 27, 2023
Belgrade Knez 06:07 GMT September 26, 2023

after fib at 1.0610 and 1.0600 levels have been broken, next level for me to watch are March low at 1.0516 and yearly low at 1.0483
March low tested ..... maybe yearly low by end of the month!?

or today? ...... and then parity by the end of the year!!!!!!!!!!! :)

Belgrade Knez 13:58 GMT 09/27/2023
Belgrade Knez 06:07 GMT September 26, 2023

after fib at 1.0610 and 1.0600 levels have been broken, next level for me to watch are March low at 1.0516 and yearly low at 1.0483
March low tested ..... maybe yearly low by end of the month!?

US Dollar
San Francisco MONEDGE 13:45 GMT 09/27/2023  - My Profile
Prior post reflects 10yr yield values.

Dollar Index
San Francisco MONEDGE 13:43 GMT 09/27/2023  - My Profile
If the US Dollar Index is going to stall on the upside for the US session it would be at about 45.30 in our view.

For a more weekly basis 44.80 currently holds the upside trend in our view.

Posted with permission of Global View. Please visit for more perspective.

Hk Ab 12:21 GMT 09/27/2023
Take one, short 282500

btc the new gold
jkt abel 12:09 GMT 09/27/2023
btc closes above 26500, buy for 30000

San MONEDGE 11:33 GMT 09/27/2023  - My Profile
Option expiry's at 149.00 likely triggered short covering causing the pair to gain ground. We see 149.25 and 149.50 as important for those covering flows where temporary stalls may occur on a session basis. 149.12 will likely be seen even if only temporarily. Overall we hold a long bias on short waves.

For Eur/jpy we favor a short bias until the 157.00 to 156.80 area is addressed where we may begin to see buy interest again.

Belgrade Knez 10:48 GMT 09/27/2023
few months ago BOJ said (and they repeated few times as well) they do not mind weaker yen as it's boosting their export, hence there is nothing suprizingly here

Mtl JP 10:30 GMT 09/27/2023  - My Profile

EURJPY 157.50

any trade ideas ?

Mtl JP 10:26 GMT 09/27/2023  - My Profile
btw ... Yumi Teso and Aya Wagatsuma of Bbrg
said "The market is on tenterhooks ahead of the Bank of Japan’s policy decision on Friday" - Sept 21, 2023

I think that was then and is even today a mis-characterization

Mtl JP 10:21 GMT 09/27/2023  - My Profile

Recent history of BoJ screwing with price levels
(curtesy Bbrg)

Is the past an indication of future performance ?

as degenerate players howl, laugh, clap and in general woop it up

Mtl JP 10:12 GMT 09/27/2023  - My Profile
does "understandable" mean acceptable, tolerable or in fact actively co-operable ?

sofar it would appear no green light from yellen
need a whispering insider

Mtl JP 09:52 GMT 09/27/2023  - My Profile
USDYEN 149.17
Yellen said last week whether Washington would show understanding over another yen-buying intervention by Japan “depends on the details” of the situation.

according to yellen
any intervention by Japan to prop up the yen would be understandable if it were aimed at smoothing out volatility — not at affecting the level of the exchange rate

hahaha, but the yen is anything n everything BUT volatile. It is only flying at some exchange rate AND it is rather orderly.

Mtl JP 08:39 GMT 09/27/2023  - My Profile
yes jamie, yes yes and YES!
"If I was advising a company, I would say, are you prepared for 7% rates? Are you prepared for a recession?," the JPMorgan CEO said in the interview with the Economic Times.

"They definitely don't expect five to seven. So my guess is the five to seven will have more of those consequences than the three to five and then if you have the recession and people have to roll over bonds and credit spreads gap out you are going to see more pain there. So let's all hope it doesn't happen." "I am not sure if the world is prepared for 7%."

Hey Jamie: the world WILL adjust. Recession AND high/er interest rates would be fantastic opportunity

Mtl JP 08:24 GMT 09/27/2023  - My Profile
directionally that move is best into my pocket out of yours

Bangkok KC 08:10 GMT 09/27/2023
hk ab 07:15:51 GMT - 09/27/2023
Maybe a daily $100 move is not far away.



hk ab 07:15 GMT 09/27/2023
Maybe a daily $100 move is not far away.

Bangkok KC 08:10 GMT 09/27/2023
hk ab 07:15:51 GMT - 09/27/2023
Maybe a daily $100 move is not far away.



hk ab 07:15 GMT 09/27/2023
Maybe a daily $100 move is not far away.

Mtl JP 23:23 GMT 09/26/2023  - My Profile
USDYEN 149.06
about 11 hrs ago earlier today minister Shunichi Suzuki said:
“Excessive volatility is undesirable,” and that “we are closely watching currency moves with a high sense of urgency.” and furthermore that “We share the view with the U.S. and other authorities that excessive volatility is undesirable,”

ya shunichi, go ahead and make my day! start dumping us dollars wholesale. You do that brother and jerome , according to kashkari, wont be inflation-fighting by raising rates just one more time this year.

Mtl JP 22:40 GMT 09/26/2023  - My Profile
put this under your hat
What legal responsibility do you have to help someone who is injured or in peril? The answer might surprise you

OPINION By Jonathan Turley // Why injured Grand Canyon hiker left by 'friends' cannot sue them for what they did

Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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