The spread 10y Germany vs USA was 100 bp last august and is 108 bp presently so there is no evidence of massive Tbonds selling
But this spread was 40 one year ago when EUR USD was around 1.36.....
Paris ib 15:56:38 GMT - 03/06/2014
Germany is not the point. Germany was a safe haven during the European crisis. Look at spreads between the U.S. and Portugal / Spain / Italy. What has happened to those as money left the U.S. and moved to higher yielding Europe? And what happened to the exchange rate? The U.S. did well on safe haven buying... that's over unless they can manufacture another crisis.
nw kw 15:58:22 GMT - 03/06/2014
10y Germany yield vs USA 2y yield do you have that or trend in
Brussels short 16:07:37 GMT - 03/06/2014
I am just saying that it is difficult to state that Us yield are going up as they move along with yields in safer countries for the last 7 months
You may be right in explaining USD is going to collapse but so far nothing has happen .
bali sja 16:09:27 GMT - 03/06/2014
they are running out of tricks, if there is another crisis it would come from within US again just like the subprime mortgage
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:10:12 GMT - 03/06/2014
To put the market in perspective, EURUSD is +0.5% y-t-d
Paris ib 16:11:44 GMT - 03/06/2014
I didn't say the USD is going to collapse. I don't understand this tendency to exaggeration. I just don't buy into the view that the U.S. economy is on the mend or that higher U.S. yields will see new capital inflows. I note that capital is leaving the U.S. and that U.S. yields are rising and, given the U.S.'s status as a debtor nation which relies on foreign capital inflows to fund its government and its excess consumption, that is not positive for the USD. 'Not positive' is quite some distance from collapse.
jkt abel 18:10:32 GMT - 03/06/2014
why it seems to say the word "collapse" in association with the usd? it is a collapsible currency and i can boldly say it is collapsing this year instead of year of the dollar!
jkt abel 18:11:37 GMT - 03/06/2014
*it seems forbidden to say...
jkt abel 18:17:54 GMT - 03/06/2014
ashraf laidi has been impressive with his calls to go anti usd this year, long euro, gbp, kiwi and aud and recently in fact just yesterday eurjpy long entry at 140.20-30 scores easily today
maybe GV can somehow get him a column here with his analysis, pretty good i must say
Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
Global-View Affiliate Program
We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.
Send me an email if you would be interested or if you know someone who would like to be an affiliate. Generous commissions payout for those accepted.
Put the word "affiliate" in the email subject line.
looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are
more critical things to consider than you might have thought.
We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View
has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've
seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.