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Brussels short  15:51:39 GMT - 03/06/2014  
The spread 10y Germany vs USA was 100 bp last august and is 108 bp presently so there is no evidence of massive Tbonds selling
But this spread was 40 one year ago when EUR USD was around 1.36.....


Paris ib  15:56:38 GMT - 03/06/2014  
Germany is not the point. Germany was a safe haven during the European crisis. Look at spreads between the U.S. and Portugal / Spain / Italy. What has happened to those as money left the U.S. and moved to higher yielding Europe? And what happened to the exchange rate? The U.S. did well on safe haven buying... that's over unless they can manufacture another crisis.


nw kw  15:58:22 GMT - 03/06/2014  
10y Germany yield vs USA 2y yield do you have that or trend in


Brussels short  16:07:37 GMT - 03/06/2014  
I am just saying that it is difficult to state that Us yield are going up as they move along with yields in safer countries for the last 7 months

You may be right in explaining USD is going to collapse but so far nothing has happen .


bali sja  16:09:27 GMT - 03/06/2014  
they are running out of tricks, if there is another crisis it would come from within US again just like the subprime mortgage


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  16:10:12 GMT - 03/06/2014  
To put the market in perspective, EURUSD is +0.5% y-t-d


Paris ib  16:11:44 GMT - 03/06/2014  
I didn't say the USD is going to collapse. I don't understand this tendency to exaggeration. I just don't buy into the view that the U.S. economy is on the mend or that higher U.S. yields will see new capital inflows. I note that capital is leaving the U.S. and that U.S. yields are rising and, given the U.S.'s status as a debtor nation which relies on foreign capital inflows to fund its government and its excess consumption, that is not positive for the USD. 'Not positive' is quite some distance from collapse.


jkt abel  18:10:32 GMT - 03/06/2014  
why it seems to say the word "collapse" in association with the usd? it is a collapsible currency and i can boldly say it is collapsing this year instead of year of the dollar!


jkt abel  18:11:37 GMT - 03/06/2014  
*it seems forbidden to say...


jkt abel  18:17:54 GMT - 03/06/2014  
ashraf laidi has been impressive with his calls to go anti usd this year, long euro, gbp, kiwi and aud and recently in fact just yesterday eurjpy long entry at 140.20-30 scores easily today

maybe GV can somehow get him a column here with his analysis, pretty good i must say






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