Those who have been keeping track of the amazing bear flattening in rates in the past week will probably not be surprised by the result. Everyone else will surely like to know that it just cost the US the most to sell 2 year paper since May of 2011, which at a high yield of 0.469% was the highest yield since May of 2012, or before the great rotation out of stocks and into bond began.
And thanks to the "dots" expect to see the yield on short-dated paper to continue rising, even as the long-end drops further in an epic flattening which is sure to crush bank Net Interest Margins. It also explains why nobody talks about it on CNBC any more: after all what is there to say?
look... the FED gang is in only its 3rd "taper" of its flooding the market with trillion-dollar/yr. There is a reason the FED gang's trumpets keep repeating that tapering is not tightening and that they will remain "easy": likely trying to forestall stox from puking.
IF stox were to puke it would not be unreasonable for bonds to pop up in reaction. I would consider that a mother of selling opp. You ?
Paris ib 10:47:55 GMT - 03/26/2014
Depends JP. Taper, stock market correction.... lower bond yields. Not necessarily a disaster for the administration.
Mtl JP 10:15:41 GMT - 03/26/2014
the stock market can not be reacting as u think it should... because if it did it would stop the FED gang from tapering
Paris ib 10:04:40 GMT - 03/26/2014
No not wrong, inevitable. What surprises me is the reaction of the stock market.
Mtl JP 09:45:34 GMT - 03/26/2014
ib 09:29 u r suggesting it is wrong for bond market to spank the Fed and stox holders. why not prepare to back up the truck instead ?
Paris ib 09:29:26 GMT - 03/26/2014
Yields are moving higher no doubt. Am I the only one who thinks that given massive government debt levels this might not be a good thing?
GVI Forex09:12:56 GMT - 03/26/2014
* U.S. 2-year bond yield premium over German schatz rises to 15-month high of 29 bps - Reuters data
Source: FXWire Pro - Money Market
Paris ib 08:58:59 GMT - 03/26/2014
Thanks Nic. Something slightly weird is going on with Treasuries at the moment but I can't figure out what it is. ;-)
Genoa nic 08:41:31 GMT - 03/26/2014
the 32 B$ auction was labelled as an average one by Briefing.com: "The auction drew 0.469% (0.471% when issued) and a 3.20x bid/cover. A strong indirect bid (40.9%) provided support as directs (21.5%) saw an average takedown. Primary dealers ended with 37.6% of the supply. The complex saw little reaction to the in-line auction with maturities trading in a tight range near their respective flat lines for the remainder of the session."
Mtl JP 08:41:29 GMT - 03/26/2014
courtesy of Fixed Income Snapshot
GVI Forex john 17:07 GMT 03/25/2014 - My Profile
bid to cover 3.20 vs. 3.60
Paris ib 07:57:30 GMT - 03/26/2014
Does anyone have any details of what happened with the 2 year auction yesterday. I didn't note much news but the 2 year paper is off considerably this morning, yields gapping higher - which suggests the paper didn't find a very safe home right off the bat. Another auction today, then tomorrow.... getting interesting.
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