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GVI Forex Blog  16:14:18 GMT - 06/12/2014  
The security situation is decaying rapidly in Iraq. In the north, the Kurds moved to seize Kirkuk and its oil fields after the city was abandoned by Iraqi armed forces. Reportedly the Kurds have long coveted the city and its crude resources US Market Update: Equity Consolidation Continues

GVI Forex Jay Meisler  16:40:23 GMT - 06/12/2014  
Traders are wary of reacting too hard to crisis news having been burnt doing so last year with Cyprus and this year with Ukraine.

Iraq may be different as it is not going away but only time will tell.

In any case it argues for a defensive end to the week.

Livingston nh  17:00:20 GMT - 06/12/2014  
The lack of reaction because previous "crises" weren't really a crisis is why the wolf usually eats the pigs -- is this political, financial or military crisis? context in Iraq is oil so somebody will care

GVI Forex Jay Meisler  18:01:40 GMT - 06/12/2014  
Seems big risk in usdjpy if risk off gathers steam.

Risk in eurusd is if market starts to cover open positions - hard call but Friday looks like a hard hat day so just pointing out a risk.

Question for fx is where do you find cover.

london red  19:14:19 GMT - 06/12/2014  
looks like euro short covering will gather steam. risk of escalation over weekend, another round of expiries at 136 and lowered gdp expectations (goldman looks for 3.7% q2, good luck with that, while i have seen even -1.6 revisions for q1). looks like we need to run through 70-90 we the 10 day becoming a panic line in sand for me. if we go higher than we travel faster. interim, eurgbp at 8064 is an earlier marker. that one can climb fast since market is heavily short.

Livingston nh  19:22:55 GMT - 06/12/2014  
Consider that Turkey is more important than UKR -- this is not political it is military/religious --- watch the linchpin and it is not Iraq

london red  19:41:49 GMT - 06/12/2014  
nh, what levels interest you in try (usd i presume). its come a long way back since the corruption issues.

Livingston nh  20:02:52 GMT - 06/12/2014  
red - usd/try 2.15 would be first stop - above 21 dma and daily 89 ema right above // if the market locks on to Turkey issue w/ kurds and Iraq (or islam war) THE WINTER HIGH COULD GET PASSED

EU does much trade w/ Turkey -- chaos is usually not good for business

london red  20:15:02 GMT - 06/12/2014  
bought eurgbp 8020. carney on the wires confirms what everyone else has been saying - rate may rise earlier. everything now in price imo. stop at 7990

dc CB  20:20:08 GMT - 06/12/2014  

*Pound spikes talk of rate hike by BOE Gov Carney

what better way to protect against $113 Brent. no slacker there.

....why did Blair go with those americans besides reaping a personnal fortune?

dc CB  20:23:36 GMT - 06/12/2014  
looking like WTIC $107 before the globex close

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