The BOE is already seeking to cool its property sector with measures to limit riskier mortgages and prevent an unsustainable buildup of consumer debt
big housing shortage see they fib now
nw kw 02:30:18 GMT - 07/20/2014
gbp/chf weekly / best trend
nw kw 02:18:11 GMT - 07/20/2014
isn't rate hikes a drag on growth in this puppet stage/nzd milk puled 2. down might be under pressers now
nw kw 01:29:02 GMT - 07/20/2014
one risk is gov has to return the gov. det to market with out hurting it
Mtl JP 21:16:47 GMT - 07/19/2014
kw in the COT report GBP is largest net mass of long
some are bound to take some profit from time to time
nw kw 21:00:29 GMT - 07/19/2014
The frustrating thing for those with an interest in a strong pound sterling is that there is no apparent reason for the decline of GBP on Friday afternoon.
There is no major newsflow that can be attributed to the moves and we would suggest there are some 'grey forces' in the market pushing sterling lower.
GVI Forex john 20:52:56 GMT - 07/19/2014
The latest COT report suggests to me that traders are starting to feel that GBP gains based on a potential BOE tightening is already fully priced it. Note that Net GBPUSD longs have been cut bank over the past few weeks. No doubt the weakening of the EURUSD has dragged the GBP weaker.
Technically the GBPUSD is not as over-extended as it has been recently. This makes the GBP less vulnerable to adverse data news as it has been recently
Click on chart for COT Details
GVI Forex john 20:19:25 GMT - 07/19/2014
Fundamentals for Trading. EXCLUSIVE CHART: 2y vs BOE repo rate and GBPUSD.
The 2y yield is where the market has decided where the Official target rate will AVERAGE over the next two years. The divergence between the 2y and official reference rate shows that the major institutional players are betting that the BOE will start to "normalize" interest rates by the end of the year.
This is ahead of the U.S and of course will be data dependant. For forex traders, the GBPUSD has reacted as it SHOULD, and has risen. The current configuration GBP positive.
The divergence between these two key rates tells you all you need to know about GBPUSD fundamentals. Expect forex markets increasingly to be sensitive to U.K. economic data as the year wears on
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