User Name: Password:      Register - Lost password?

Forex Forum     ← Back to Forums

Sort Order: Latest Post on Top - Latest Post Last            Post Reply

GVI Forex Jay Meisler  16:48:21 GMT - 07/27/2014  
This is our

July Newsletter

GVI Forex Jay Meisler  16:20:16 GMT - 07/27/2014  
You can't use past history as central banks have rewritten the book.

Read my last newsletter for what to watch out for.

sofia kaprikorn  14:57:06 GMT - 07/27/2014  
GVI Forex john

If I may ask when it becomes obvious for the market that the Fed is behind the curve and needs to tighten?

Asking you to share your view based on the experience you have from the previous tightening cycles. TIA.

GVI Forex john   14:32:08 GMT - 07/27/2014  
JP- You can never know if the markets have it "right". That is why we focus on "High Impact" data releases. They are high impact releases because they can CHANGE the outlook for monetary policy. By correctly anticipating how the OUTLOOK for policy is going to be impacted by a data event, you can get a jump on the markets. this is what trading on the "fundamentals" is all about. Personally, I think you cannot trade on the fundamentals alone. The technicals are indispensable for proper trade execution once you figure out how you want to position yourself.

Mtl JP  14:07:40 GMT - 07/27/2014  
john how do we know when the players have it all fully priced in, or more importantly not, and therefor spot a potential trade opportunity as a "catch up" trade ?

GVI Forex john   11:13:37 GMT - 07/27/2014  
Fundamentals for Trading. EXCLUSIVE CHART:

Here is a further explanation of the chart below for the current state of the U.S, money markets ahead of the FOMC decision on Wednesday. I have not included a currency pair.

The cost of money is interest rates. higher interest rates increase demand for a given currency and lower interest rates mean reduced demand.

There are two interest rate lines. The RED dashed line is the official Fed administered cost of overnight funds (Fed Funds). It does not change frequently. The other RED line is the free market cost of funds for two years. The market two year rate amounts to a forecast for the official administered rate for the next two years.

When it is below the official rate, depositors and lenders are saying that they expect the official rate is going to fall. If the market rate is above the official rate, it means they agree that oficial rates are going to rise.

This chart says that professional traders agree that the FED is going to increase rates sometime in the near future. Rising interest rates should be EURUSD positive.

So you can see that rational traders have ALREADY tightened monetary policy FOR the Fed. The cost of money in the two year time frame is already higher. A Fed rate hike now would only confirm what the markets already have discounted. This is how the wholesale markets for money have always operated. They MUST operate this way if the institutions are going to survive.

Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

Global-View Affiliate Program

We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.

Send me an email if you would be interested or if you know someone who would like to be an affiliate. Generous commissions payout for those accepted.

Put the word "affiliate" in the email subject line.

Contact us

Start trading with forex broker Markets Cube


Retail Forex Brokerage Changing!

Are you looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are more critical things to consider than you might have thought.

We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.

Our Best Brokers listing section includes:Forex Broker Reviews, Forex Broker Directory, Forex Broker Comparisons and advice on How to Choose a Forex Broker

If would like guidance, advice, or have any concerns at all ASK US. We are here to help you.

SEE Our Best Brokers List

Currency Trading Tools

  • Live rates, currency news, fx charts. 

  • Research reports and currency forecasts.

  • Foreign Exchange database and history.

  • Weekly economic calendar.

Directory of  Forex trading tools

Terms of Use    Disclaimer    Privacy Policy    Contact    Site Map

Forex Forum
Forex Trading Forum
Forex Forum + forex rates
Forex Forum Archives
Forex Forum RSS
Free Registration

Trading Forums
Currency Forum Guide
Forum Directory
Political Forum
Forex Brokers
Compare Forex Brokers
Forex Broker News
Forex Broker Hotline

Forex Trading Tools
Currency Trading Tools
Forex Database
FX Chart Points
Risk/Carry Trade Chart Points
Economic Calendar
Quicklinks to Economic Data
Currency Futures Swaps
Fibonacci Calculator
Currency Futures Calculator

Forex Education
Forex Learning Center
FX Trading Basics Course
Forex Trading Course
Forex Trading Handbook

Forex Analysis
Forex Forecasts
Interest Rate Forecasts
Central Bank Forecasts

FX Charts and Quotes
Live FX Rates
Live Global Market Quotes
Live Forex Charts
US Dollar Index Chart
Global Chart Gallery
Daily Market Tracker
Forex News
Forex Blog
Forex News
Forex Blog Archives
Forex News RSS
Forex Services
The Amazing Trader
Forex Opportunities
Forex Affiliates
Forex CopyTrading
GVI Forex