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GVI Forex 18:40:11 GMT - 10/31/2014  
Virgin Galactic said its SpaceShipTwo rocket plane suffered an "in-flight anomaly" during a powered test flight on Friday — and other sources said ...


GVI Forex john   17:54:49 GMT - 10/31/2014  
Next Tuesday 4 November
1/3 of the Senate is up for election
entre House is in play

Current forecasts favor Republicans taking control of the Senate by a small margin. Many races are very very close so any result is possible

Republicans are expected to increase their control of the House and pick up a few seats.

Bottom line, Obama could face a hostile legislature in his final two years.



One week from today. She could touch on policy

November 7 Speech--Chair Janet L. Yellen
Policy Since the Onset of the Financial Crisis
At the International Symposium of the Banque de France: Central Banking: The Way Forward?, Paris, France
10:15 a.m. ET


GVI Forex john   16:13:32 GMT - 10/31/2014  


October 31, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, November 3. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: AU- Mfg PMI CN- PMIs, EZ- Mfg PMI's CH- PMI, GB- PMI, CA- PMI, US- PMI's
  • Far East: AU- Mfg PMI CN- PMIs
  • Europe: EZ- Mfg PMI's CH- PMI, GB- PMI
  • North America: CA- PMI, US- PMI's, Consumer Spending




GVI Forex john   14:01:15 GMT - 10/31/2014  
University of Michigan Sentiment Survey. Final data revised up from strong preliminary.







GVI Forex john   13:55:27 GMT - 10/31/2014  
University of Michigan Sentiment Index Final October 2014




ALERT
86.9 vs. 86.4 exp. vs. 86.4 preliminary


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex 13:54:12 GMT - 10/31/2014  
Clearly Chicago PMI outperformed


GVI Forex john   13:45:03 GMT - 10/31/2014  
U.S. Chicago PMI September 2014




ALERT
66.2 vs. 59.5 exp. vs. 60.5 prev.

RELEASE: Chicago PMI



TTN: Live News Special Offer


NY JM  13:12:20 GMT - 10/31/2014  
I call this using crosses to trade spot 101:

What was holding up the other currencies was offsets from JPY crosses. When the JIY crosses paused, other currencies lost their bids.


london red  12:42:17 GMT - 10/31/2014  
euro. sup 47, below there risk to 15/00
cad. first support 38/43. if stays abv there can move much higher. watch oil.


GVI Forex john   12:32:33 GMT - 10/31/2014  

Canada: GDP August 2014





ALERT
m/m -0.10% vs.0.00% exp. vs. 0.00% prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john   12:30:57 GMT - 10/31/2014  
U.S. Personal Income/PCE Deflator September 2014




ALERT
Personal Income +0.20% v +0.30% exp v +0.20% pre
PCE Defl +1.40% vs. +1.50% exp. vs. +1.50% prev.


RELEASE: Personal Income



TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john   10:04:21 GMT - 10/31/2014  
EZ headline flash HICP (CPI) higher as expected. Core falls. Well below ECB"just below 2.0%" target.




GVI Forex john   10:00:51 GMT - 10/31/2014  
EZ Unemployment September 2014





ALERT
11.50% vs. 11.50% exp. vs. 11.50% (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john   10:00:15 GMT - 10/31/2014  
flash HICP (CPI) October 2014





ALERT
Headline
yy: +0.40% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.30% prev.
CORE
yy: +0.70% vs. vs. +0.80% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.




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GVI Forex john   09:03:39 GMT - 10/31/2014  
EARLIER... Japanese CPI. The impact of the Sales tax increase still in these data.






GVI Forex john   08:49:17 GMT - 10/31/2014  
EARLIER: German Retail Sales data mo/mo much weaker than expected.





GVI Forex john   08:32:02 GMT - 10/31/2014  
September 2014 German Real Retail Sales




Earlier NEWS Release

mm: -3.20% vs. -0.90% exp. vs. +3.50% (r) prev.
yy: +2.30% vs. +1.20% exp. vs. +0.10% prev (r).


TTN: Live News Special Offer


dc CB  21:23:10 GMT - 10/30/2014  
The New York-based bank on Thursday revised its quarterly net income to $2.8 billion from a previously reported $3.4 billion, citing legal expenses.

The bank's operating expenses rose from $12.36 billion to about $13 billion.

Citi previously reported third-quarter net income of $3.44 billion, or $1.07 per share, on Oct. 14. The results exceeded Wall Street estimates

Citi Restates Earnings Due to Regulatory Probes



GVI Forex john   20:40:47 GMT - 10/30/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):


FRIDAY
00:30 JP Core CPI BOJ target
04:30 JP Bank of Japan No Rate change seen
07:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer demand
10:00 EZ FL HICP  ECB target
12:30  US PCE deflator Fed Target
13:55  US U Mich final Key Sentiment Survey



dc CB  14:52:24 GMT - 10/30/2014  
GVI Forex john 13:13 GMT October 30, 2014 -
GDP data growth being dismissed as driven by government spending. I believe there are national elections in a week???

the Forever WAR helped a lot

defense spending



GVI Forex john   14:45:08 GMT - 10/30/2014  
US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)




ALERT
=87 vs. +85 exp vs. +94 prev.

EIA Press Release




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dc CB  14:42:07 GMT - 10/30/2014  
Gold and Silver got the traditional post FMOC wacking today.
A big smack across the face of any who Doubt the Wisdom of the Committee.


SaaR KaL  14:26:01 GMT - 10/30/2014  
Silver Heading to 18.00


Mtl JP  14:19:21 GMT - 10/30/2014  
 
10-yr is backing up some this am
yields down -> usd down


GVI Forex john   14:16:59 GMT - 10/30/2014  


October 30, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, October 31. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: JP- CPI, Bank of Japan, DE- Retail Sales, EZ- HICP (CPI), Unemployment, CA- GDP, US- Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, University of Mich Survey
  • Far East: JP- CPI, Bank of Japan
  • Europe: DE- Retail Sales, EZ- HICP (CPI), Unemployment
  • North America: CA- GDP, US- Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, University of Mich Survey, COT Report




london red  14:16:08 GMT - 10/30/2014  
Miami, yields and dollar dont always move together, relative spreads also arent always leading drivers. its just one of many variables. today yields arent helping the dollar.


Miami JN  13:34:46 GMT - 10/30/2014  
Red, can the dollar move higher if bond yields do not move higher?


london red  13:31:43 GMT - 10/30/2014  
dec 10yr squeezing higher all day. 50% fib of sept low and black wed high is yest hih at 127. price stopped a whisker short of 61.8% yesterday. maybe an inside today and move outside of those two confines tomorrow.


GVI Forex john   13:13:02 GMT - 10/30/2014  
GDP data growth being dismissed as driven by government spending. I believe there are national elections in a week???


GVI Forex john   12:46:38 GMT - 10/30/2014  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims about at frictional lows...



Click on chart for over ten-year history


london red  12:43:41 GMT - 10/30/2014  
yen. usd should gain support at 10835/50.
euro. looks to be ready to rebound given reaction to gdp. probably trendline caps at 12655 14/16 res ahead of this. key pivot 12686, keeps low test in play.
cad data quite good. ~11100 +-10 pips good area to go long.


GVI Forex john   12:35:17 GMT - 10/30/2014  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims





NEWS ALERT
Initial Claims (000)
287K vs. 281K exp. vs. 283K (r 284K) prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
2.384 vs.2.351exp. vs. 2.389 (r 2.355) prev.
Press Release



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GVI Forex john   12:31:37 GMT - 10/30/2014  
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. GDP 3QQ14p





ALERT
+3.50% vs. +3.00% exp. vs.+4.60% prev.


RELEASE: U.S. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   10:06:53 GMT - 10/30/2014  
Consumer Confidence final October 2014





ALERT
-11.1 vs. -11.1 vs. -11.1 prev.


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PAR 09:03:28 GMT - 10/30/2014  
German economy in very good shape despite bad weather and Russian sanctions .


london red  09:02:47 GMT - 10/30/2014  
saxony and bavaria inflation -0.2 and -0.3 repectively. dragged lower by fuel and food. not suggestive of good things for german or european inflation.


GVI Forex john   09:02:00 GMT - 10/30/2014  
German October JOBLESS fall faster than expected (lower is better). Unemployment rate is steady.




GVI Forex john   08:57:14 GMT - 10/30/2014  
German unemployment BETTER than expected.


GVI Forex john   08:56:05 GMT - 10/30/2014  
German Unemployment October 2014




NEWS ALERT
rate: 6.70% vs. 6.70% exp. vs. 6.70% prev.
change: -22K vs. +4k exp. vs. +12K (r +9K ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


Sydney ACC  22:01:46 GMT - 10/29/2014  
The cash rate is 3.5%. The latest 12 months CPI was 1.3%. That leaves NZ together with NZ as the only countries with positive real rates of return. Australia has, however, only 0.2% real rate of return. This alone makes NZD really attractive.
On the other hand fundamentals are weak. Plus China and other emerging market economies are weakening. Its possible that with FOMC now behind us the market may concentrate on the fundamentals.
AUD/NZD is probably the best indicator.


GVI Forex john   21:50:55 GMT - 10/29/2014  
Bottom-line, the RBNZ is trying to jawbone its currency lower again. Do the markets care?

I don't think so, any other thoughts?


GVI Forex john   21:32:51 GMT - 10/29/2014  
OCR unchanged at 3.5 percent

Statement issued by Reserve Bank Governor Graeme Wheeler:

The global economy is growing at a moderate rate although recent data suggests some softening in the major economies, apart from the United States. Monetary policy is expected to remain supportive for longer in all the major economies.

Growth in the New Zealand economy has been faster than trend over 2014, reducing unemployment and adding to demands on productive capacity. Strong construction sector activity, high net immigration, and interest rates, which remain low by historic standards, continue to support the expansion. Output growth is expected to moderate over coming years, towards a more sustainable rate.

Lower commodity prices and increased global financial market volatility have taken some pressure off the New Zealand dollar. However, its current level remains unjustified and unsustainable and continues to constrain growth in the tradables sector. We expect a further significant depreciation.

CPI inflation remains modest, and was 1 percent in the year to September. Contributing factors are subdued wage inflation, well-anchored inflation expectations, weak global inflation, falls in oil prices, and the high New Zealand dollar. House price inflation has fallen significantly since late-2013, in part due to interest rate increases and the LVR restrictions.

The economy appears to be adjusting to the policy measures undertaken by the Bank over the past year. CPI inflation is currently at a low level despite above-trend growth. However, inflation is expected to increase as the expansion continues. A period of assessment remains appropriate before considering further policy adjustment


GVI Forex john   21:27:26 GMT - 10/29/2014  


October 29, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, October 30. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: NZ- RBNZ decision, DE- Unemployment, US- Weekly Jobless, GDP, 7-yr
  • Far East: NZ- RBNZ decision
  • Europe: CH- KOF Index, DE- Unemployment, EZ- Consumer Confidence
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, GDP, Natural Gas, 7-yr.




GVI Forex john   20:43:42 GMT - 10/29/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):

THURSDAY
08:55  DE unemployment
12:30  US Initial Claims
12:30  US GDP broadest growth measure
FRIDAY
00:30 JP Core CPI BOJ target
04:30 JP Bank of Japan No Rate change seen
07:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer demand
10:00 EZ FL HICP  ECB target
12:30  US PCE deflator Fed Target
13:55  US U Mich final Key Sentiment Survey



GVI Forex john   20:26:33 GMT - 10/29/2014  
BOC's Poloz:
- Continued policy stimulus needed to close output gap
- Considerable excess capacity in economy
- Current policy appropriate


GVI Forex john   20:06:00 GMT - 10/29/2014  
RBNZ: NZD level is still unjustifiable and unsustainable..


GVI Forex john   20:00:26 GMT - 10/29/2014  
BREAKING NEWS:October 2014 Reserve Bank of New Zealand





NEWS ALERT
Keeps rates steady at 3.50%, as expected


RELEASE: Reserve Bank of New Zealand


TTN: Live News Special Offer


london red  19:50:04 GMT - 10/29/2014  
cable. 15994. below here extends the downside. people will start talking 15750/15850. if they can stay abv into the close, there might be a little relief rally london am but stops abv 16090 are unlikely to be troubled.
kiwi. market forced me into short after fomc and will be going flat into meeting. last low at 7793 in focus and if you squint you can see a shs. 4h shows this up well. anything below 7790 takes us below the neck with an eventual target of c. 7600. even if they bounce 7974 should continue to prove an infallible for bears on a closing basis over the coming days.


GVI Forex john   19:38:41 GMT - 10/29/2014  
RBNZ due at 20:00 not 21:00 as indicated at top of page.


Paris ib  18:11:48 GMT - 10/29/2014  
Why John? The FED is slightly more hawkish. The short end is getting creamed. EURO is softer. The ECB will be OK with a softer Euro and needs no reason to ease with short term market rates in the States heading higher. ECB sits pat.


GVI Forex john   18:09:40 GMT - 10/29/2014  
No major surprises from the Fed will keep pressure on the ECB to ease.


PAR 18:07:36 GMT - 10/29/2014  
Almost no market impact. Dollar marginally stronger , stocks marginally lower , PPT in full control . Central committee and the comrades happy with decision of comrade Yellen.


GVI Forex john   18:07:35 GMT - 10/29/2014  
When the Committee decides to begin to remove policy accommodation, it will take a balanced approach consistent with its longer-run goals of maximum employment and inflation of 2 percent. The Committee currently anticipates that, even after employment and inflation are near mandate-consistent levels, economic conditions may, for some time, warrant keeping the target federal funds rate below levels the Committee views as normal in the longer run.

Press Release



dc CB  18:05:51 GMT - 10/29/2014  
*KOCHERLAKOTA DISSENTS AT FOMC, SEEKING QE CONTINUATION


GVI Forex john   18:04:34 GMT - 10/29/2014  
FED:
Rates near zero for a considerable time
Significant improvement in employment


PAR 18:02:52 GMT - 10/29/2014  
Did Bullard ask for QE4 ?


GVI Forex john   18:00:27 GMT - 10/29/2014  
U.S. Fed Policy Decision October 2014




NEWS ALERT
Rates: Unchanged
Asset Purchases: ENDED

RELEASE: Policy Statement


TTN: Live News Special Offer


nw kw  14:36:41 GMT - 10/29/2014  
Iran oil was selling cheaper and dragged oil down, might subside


GVI Forex john   14:31:25 GMT - 10/29/2014  
US EIA Weekly Inventories




NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +2.060 vs. +3.000 exp vs. +7.100 prev.
Gasoline: -1.240 vs. -1.000 exp vs. +1.300 prev.
Distillates: -5.300vs. -1.500 exp vs. +1.050 prev.
Cap/Util: 86.6 vs. 86.8% exp vs. 88.10% prev.

Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john   14:07:38 GMT - 10/29/2014  


October 29, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, October 30. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: NZ- RBNZ decision, DE- Unemployment, US- Weekly Jobless, GDP, 7-yr
  • Far East: NZ- RBNZ decision
  • Europe: CH- KOF Index, DE- Unemployment, EZ- Cpnsumer Confidence
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, GDP, Natural Gas, 7-yr.




Livingston nh  12:06:25 GMT - 10/29/2014  
thanx, red


london red  12:03:37 GMT - 10/29/2014  
loonie. interesting opening, move straight lower through yesterdays 65 support. leaves daily candle with two options. first option a sharp move to 11094/11104. generally, when we fail to retrace a good portion of the previous periods range, we tend to get a sharp move in the prevailing direction. normally i would expect to see 11190-11206 (the second option ie. we do some back towards the end of the session), but given the early price action a move to the suggested range of 11094-11104 is quite possible. its fomc night and we could do the extension down to 1.11, then they see or hear something they dont like and we go to 11206 plus. this is a possibility and i will certain be looking for a rebound as a base view from 1.11.


GVI Forex john   10:08:00 GMT - 10/29/2014  
I agree 100%. I thought you were thinking about a tightening. I don't understand the RBNZ tightening bias with rates at a lofty 3.50%!


london red  10:02:06 GMT - 10/29/2014  
john if you mean room for a cut i agree, but tightening is way off the radar. i bet there base view privately is no tightening at all next year.
so if fed gives the kiwi a bump higher i would fade into rbnz meet.


GVI Forex john   09:53:39 GMT - 10/29/2014  
 
Red - I think the RBNZ is worried about deflation. I feel the attached chart is driving policy. There is no room for a policy tightening now.


london red  09:38:56 GMT - 10/29/2014  
john i expect the rbnz to fade any fed dovish slant.


GVI Forex john   09:11:53 GMT - 10/29/2014  




RBNZ Decision early Thursday

"In tomorrow's OCR Review, we expect the OCR to remain unchanged at 3.50%, the pause duration to extend, and the resumption of the tightening cycle to become conditional. All this is currently priced in, such that 2yr swap rates should not move materially in response." -- Westpac NZ


Mtl JP  23:03:54 GMT - 10/28/2014  
relating to FED and zirp and QE zh has this post :

Fireworks Fly As Peter Schiff Warns "An Economy That Lives By QE, Dies By QE"

-
Schiff makes one , what I think, is relevant and important observation, namely that "the Fed's total lack of willingness to allow stocks to fall (see Bullard 2 weeks ago) or a 'cleansing' recession leaves the nation's economy in far worse shape than it was before the Fed's intervention."

In my mind the If is not in Qtn, only the When of the death of a QE fuelled economy. Recall Yellen's 3rd mandate. That is about who she would prioritize saving.


GVI Forex john   20:48:55 GMT - 10/28/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
WEDNESDAY
18:00 FRB Fed Rates No Rate Change
21:00 NZ RBNZ Cash Rates
23:50 JP Ind Out  Production
THURSDAY
08:55  DE unemployment
12:30  US Initial Claims
12:30  US GDP broadest growth measure
FRIDAY
00:30 JP Core CPI BOJ target
04:30 JP Bank of Japan No Rate change seen
07:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer demand
10:00 EZ FL HICP  ECB target
12:30  US PCE deflator Fed Target
13:55  US U Mich final Key Sentiment Survey



GVI Forex john   20:40:22 GMT - 10/28/2014  

Weekly US API DatA



NEWS ALERT
(Estimates and Previous data for EIA Survey)
Crude Oil: +3.200 vs. +3.000 exp vs. +7.100 prev.
Gasoline: -1.000 vs. -1.000 exp vs. +1.30 prev.
Distillates: -3.000 vs. -1.500 exp vs. +1.050 prev.
Cap/Util: 88.3% vs. 88.7% exp vs. 88.10% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer


dc CB  18:21:27 GMT - 10/28/2014  
Mtl JP 17:16 GMT
...IBM, +0.62% said Tuesday its board of directors authorized a new $5 billion stock buyback program.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Americans have experienced stagnant or falling wages despite increasing their productivity by 8 percent. One example shows the connection: Walmart spent $7.6 billion on buybacks last year, but for the same amount of money could raise all of its employees’ pay to at least $25,000 a year (as they have demanded) without hurting its business or raising its prices.

as Hillary sez: corporations don't ceate jobs



PAR 17:38:26 GMT - 10/28/2014  
DOW 17000 today .


Mtl JP  17:16:30 GMT - 10/28/2014  
...IBM, +0.62% said Tuesday its board of directors authorized a new $5 billion stock buyback program. This adds to an existing share repurchase program, which had $1.4 billion remaining as of the end of September. Big Blue said it expects to request an additional share buyback authorization at the company's board meeting in April.../..


dc CB  16:16:21 GMT - 10/28/2014  
JP
330/1850 at 18% makes a exciting conversation topic

Consumer Conf is a psych survey.
Pumping gas is a psych stress point, not a logical spreadsheet.
Most Americans drive SUVs and Pickups. Low 20s mpg, with 25 gallon tanks. Fillup at $3.70...ouch watch those #s roll $92.
dollars. FUp at $2.75 -- $69


GVI Forex john   16:12:08 GMT - 10/28/2014  


October 28, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, October 29. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: FOMC Decision
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, Weekly Crude, FOMC Decision




Mtl JP  15:35:51 GMT - 10/28/2014  
lets see...
Average Annual Miles per Driver by Age Group

lets take 15,000 miles / yr
lets assume 30 miles/gallon
annual fuel consumption = 500 gallons
500 x $3.70 = $1850
500 x $3.04 = $1520
assumes $330 nominally lesser annual fuel cost expense, ceteris paribus. Hardly a make or break amount, particularly when dived into weekly payments of $6 or $7. Wanna take that to a mortgage dispensing banker and put that on the application ?
-
330/1850 at 18% makes a exciting conversation topic ONLY for a dick-waving pundits.


Mtl JP  15:17:57 GMT - 10/28/2014  
who are the "being cited" experts ?
names please
tia


NY JM  15:15:45 GMT - 10/28/2014  
Lower cost of energy, specifically gas at the pump, is being cited as a key reason for the better consumer confidence reading.


Mtl JP  15:13:10 GMT - 10/28/2014  
Speaking for myself I am not a big fan of operating a roof over one's head with a 3 or 5% down, on a 1 or 2 year teaser rate in a neighbourhood where 2 income household is precarious.
-
I have just been notified of a new municipal evaluation roll. I am facing a 50% hike in my property valuation for municipal taxation purpose. So far I am not hearing from the council that they will reduce the mill rate.


dc CB  14:53:58 GMT - 10/28/2014  
it's the price of gas-at-da-pump

on Oct 15th it was $2.9999, the big Woop break of the $3.00 mark.
In June it was $3.65

now look. AKA slealth printing of money For for the "Folks"

Maryland my Maryland



GVI Forex john   14:40:31 GMT - 10/28/2014  
JP- the difference is that the cost of a roof over your head is mostly fixed. The significant variable costs are energy and food, which most central Banks conveniently exclude from their inflation calculations. Go figure!


london red  14:33:49 GMT - 10/28/2014  
cad. fib 60. further down to 30. close below 65 v bearish longer term. they should hold this 65 into fed. so downside poss to 30-65 and then rebound to 90.


Mtl JP  14:23:00 GMT - 10/28/2014  
cost of roof over one's head is arguably the biggest baudget part for most folks.
Shiller shows that folks's "asset" is curently again loosing in price.


GVI Forex john   14:19:06 GMT - 10/28/2014  
PM As you suggested, it might be energy (not just gasoline!) prices. That is a big part of the budget of most consumers.


Chicago RM  14:13:06 GMT - 10/28/2014  
CB must be polling a different country because that blockbuster number does not compute with what I read and hear and see. Ebola, school shootings, geopolitics, inept government. Perhaps it is falling energy prices that is inspiring confidence or maybe the pollsters live in Colorado where weed is legal and they were high when they did the poll.


GVI Forex john   14:08:02 GMT - 10/28/2014  

CHART: Univ of Michigan & Conference Board Sentiment. Conference Board Survey much stronger than expected.







GVI Forex john   14:03:47 GMT - 10/28/2014  
Both numbers beat. Consistent with mixed recent data flow from U.S.


london red  14:03:43 GMT - 10/28/2014  
19 keeps 31/40 in the game but thats a ball buster of a number.


GVI Forex john   14:02:14 GMT - 10/28/2014  
U.S. Richmond Fed Index October 2014





NEWS ALERT
+20 vs. +11 exp. vs. +14 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john   14:00:57 GMT - 10/28/2014  
U.S. Conference Board Survey October 2014





NEWS ALERT
94.5 vs. 87.0 exp. vs. 86.0 prev.


RELEASE: Consumer Confidence Data



TTN: Live News Special Offer






NY JM  13:38:59 GMT - 10/28/2014  
Bad news = good news for stocks day


Livingston nh  13:34:26 GMT - 10/28/2014  
durable goods fig is "orders" - this affects future GDP - Q3 may surprise to upside on trade figs (final n/a until next mo.) and lower deflator (Q2 knocked out 2 pts from nominal GDP) -- Service based economy


london red  13:29:24 GMT - 10/28/2014  
euro. short set up once res tested. short by 68-80, test of 87-91 poss stop over 12806 fib. prev high of 91 will mark right shoulder of shs set up. market will work in these confines probably til end of week, only fed can give signal to move higher 128/129.
13 oct high 68 and trendline also at 68. abv these the res band to be tested. support remains 40 and 31, below back in line to prev band.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  13:28:00 GMT - 10/28/2014  
JP, agree. My point is durable goods is not a # you expect to see follow through but in this case it has raised the dovish risk over the FOMC meeting.

Just watch 1.2750 now that stops have been run.



GVI Forex john   13:12:47 GMT - 10/28/2014  
A major number this week is U.S. GDP @12:30 GMT on Thursday. GDP is seen at an annualized prelim 3Q14 3.00% vs. +4.60% in 2Q14..


GVI Forex john   13:12:47 GMT - 10/28/2014  
A major number this week is U.S. GDP @12:30 GMT on Thursday. GDP is seen at an annualized prelim 3Q14 3.00% vs. +4.60% in 2Q14..


Mtl JP  13:11:41 GMT - 10/28/2014  
now IF you want to play headlines, maybe use Durable Goods to guage a hint at player reaction to CB Consumer Conf exp 87 vs 86 prev will be at top of the hour


london red  13:07:32 GMT - 10/28/2014  
cable. while 62 holds, the figure 162 possible. res at prev high 16226


london red  13:04:46 GMT - 10/28/2014  
yen. trendline at 46 if 60 taken but they could reach 39, a good point for a quick rebound to 46 trendline and higher to 56/60.


Mtl JP  13:04:29 GMT - 10/28/2014  
Jay c Bottom Line in my 12:05
-
u (and I) will never out-trigger price reaction to a headline.
because you (and I) are NOT IN THE CIRCLE


GVI Forex john   13:01:06 GMT - 10/28/2014  
U.S. Case Shiller-20 August 2014




ALERT
+5.57% vs. +5.60% exp. vs. +6.70% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  12:59:48 GMT - 10/28/2014  
There was a time when the durable goods orders report would be ignored since it was subject to wide swings and large revisions.

As with any news, it is the reaction that tells you more than the news itself.


NY JM  12:55:46 GMT - 10/28/2014  
You can also use 1.2719-23 (suggests 1.2720) as support.


london red  12:50:47 GMT - 10/28/2014  
yen. marginal break of trendline at 74 briefly, but back abv there.
euro. support at 31 and 40. below there as we were. if stays abv then 85.


GVI Forex 12:48:00 GMT - 10/28/2014  
Bloomberg on Durable Goods.

Durable Goods ".. figures may prompt some economists to cut forecasts for third-quarter GDP. A report later this week is projected to show the world’s largest economy grew at a 3 percent annualized rate from July through September after a 4.6 percent gain in the previous three months"


tokyo ginko  12:47:25 GMT - 10/28/2014  
durable good data provide good daily entry level for usdjpy for test higher later...gt all !


Mtl JP  12:44:20 GMT - 10/28/2014  
german index up 1.53% = please tell me: how inspiringly good is that ?


GVI Forex john   12:40:06 GMT - 10/28/2014  
U.S, data, along with U.K. data recently have turned mixed. Is the economy slowing?


Mtl JP  12:38:30 GMT - 10/28/2014  
as does Gold spike higher


GVI Forex john   12:33:14 GMT - 10/28/2014  
Durable Goods data a miss. Disappointing, EURUSD spikes higher. R1 1.2731 breached. R2 is 1.2755.


GVI Forex john   12:30:51 GMT - 10/28/2014  
U.S. Durable Goods Orders September 2014




NEWS ALERT
Headline: -1.30% vs. +0.30 exp. vs. -18.20% (-18.30%)prev.
Ex-Trans: -0.20% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.40% (+0.70%) prev.





TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   08:55:54 GMT - 10/28/2014  
EARLIER; Japanese Retail Sales yy. Steady very recent improvement?



GVI Forex john   08:46:28 GMT - 10/28/2014  
Japan Retail Sales September 2014





EARLIER Data News
yy: +2.30% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +1.20% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer




GVI Forex john   21:40:51 GMT - 10/27/2014  


October 27, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, October 28. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: JP- Retail Sales, US- Durable Goods, Case Shiller, Conference Board Consumer Confidence
  • Far East: JP- Retail Sales
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Durable Goods, Case Shiller, Richmond Fed, Conf Bd Consumer Confidence, 2-yr Auction, API Energy




GVI Forex john   20:47:07 GMT - 10/27/2014  

Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
TUESDAY
00:50 JP Retail Sales Retail demand
12:30 US Dur Goods Mfg demand
14:00 US CB Consumer Conf Key Sentiment Survey
WEDNESDAY
18:00 FRB Fed Rates No Rate Change
21:00 NZ RBNZ Cash Rates
23:50 JP Ind Out  Production
THURSDAY
08:55  DE unemployment
12:30  US Initial Claims
12:30  US GDP broadest growth measure
FRIDAY
00:30 JP Core CPI BOJ target
04:30 JP Bank of Japan No Rate change seen
07:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer demand
10:00 EZ FL HICP  ECB target
12:30  US PCE deflator Fed Target
13:55  US U Mich final Key Sentiment Survey



GVI Forex john   15:33:04 GMT - 10/27/2014  
Calendar Item: Due to the change, Europe closes one hour later relative to North America until next weekend when North American clocks move back one hour.


GVI Forex john   14:37:26 GMT - 10/27/2014  


October 27, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, October 28. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: JP- Retail Sales, US- Durable Goods, Case Shiller, Conference Board Consumer Confidence
  • Far East: JP- Retail Sales
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Durable Goods, Case Shiller, Richmond Fed, Conference Board Consumer Confidence, 2-yr Auction, API Energy




dc CB  14:19:37 GMT - 10/27/2014  
NAR chief economist, says moderating price growth and sustained inventory levels are keeping conditions favorable for buyers.
...“Additionally, the current spectacularly low mortgage rates should help more buyers reach the market.”

Despite improved housing conditions and low interest rates, tight credit conditions continue to be a barrier for some buyers. Of the reasons for not closing a sale, about 15 percent of Realtors® in September reported having clients who could not obtain financing as the reason for not closing1.


GVI Forex john   14:07:22 GMT - 10/27/2014  
Pending Homes Sales flat and thus weaker than forecast. They suggest flat upcoming Existing Homes Sales data. Investors are said to be out of the market.



GVI Forex john   14:00:59 GMT - 10/27/2014  
U.S. Pending Homes Sales September 2014




NEWS ALERT
+0.30% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. -1.00% prev.
RELEASE: Pending Home Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john   13:51:35 GMT - 10/27/2014  
Focus is now on ISM PMI to see if it confirms the flash Markit report.


GVI Forex john   13:48:43 GMT - 10/27/2014  
U.S. flash Markit Service PMI. down more than expected from September, but still at a high level.



GVI Forex john   13:45:29 GMT - 10/27/2014  
U.S. Markit flash Services PMI October 2014





ALERT
57.3 vs. 58.0 exp. vs. 58.9 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   12:13:08 GMT - 10/27/2014  
 
NEW CHART: Latest ZEW and IFO surveys "expectations" minus "current situation". This provides the implied forecasts. Both Surveys are SUB-ZERO AND THUS pessimistic for next six months. Has ZEW bottomed?


GVI Forex john   11:00:26 GMT - 10/27/2014  
October 2014 UK CBI Distributive Trades



-- NEWS ALERT --
+31 vs. +25 exp. vs. +31 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


SaaR KaL  10:51:32 GMT - 10/27/2014  
Red
EURGBP
Longs and tgt this week
0.7920 0.7843
0.7937 0.7825
0.7954 0.7807
0.7972 0.7789


london red  09:23:20 GMT - 10/27/2014  
eurgbp. 1h chart. descending tirangle with base close to a big prev low of 74. area of 70-74 vital support as below there likely to break into lower range. last hourly high of 92 should cap if triangle to stay true. and currently making way down to triangle base of this high. we need to see the base tested even if rebounds again as a failure to test suggests triangle may fail and allow upside break.


GVI Forex john   09:10:54 GMT - 10/27/2014  
IFo: Recent PMI jumps mot evident in their data.


GVI Forex john   09:05:03 GMT - 10/27/2014  
German Ifo data: German data softer than expected across the board. This is a broadly followed report. EURUSD soft.




GVI Forex john   09:01:30 GMT - 10/27/2014  
IFo Misses across the board.


GVI Forex john   09:00:50 GMT - 10/27/2014  
German IFO Survey October 2014



NEWS ALERT

Climate: 103.2 vs. 104.3 exp. vs. 104.7 prev.
Conditions: 108.4 vs. 109.9 exp. vs. 110.5 prev.
Expectations: 98.3 vs. 98.7 exp. vs. 99.3 prev.


IFO Climate Survey



TTN: Live News Special Offer






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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