stocks now have one hour to prove me right (i.e. close green)
DJIA off 0.32%
SnP off 0.36%
Mtl JP 17:34:39 GMT - 10/29/2014
Babsom Break (3% puke) would be:
SnP : 1919.6
10% DJIA puke off 17,000 would be => 15,300
10% SnP puke off 1979 would be => 1781
ps / these are not predictions; just using mental calculator
SaaR KaL 17:30:13 GMT - 10/29/2014
12 sigma is 1/12^2
Mtl JP 17:01:37 GMT - 10/29/2014
12 sigma ... is that 16% ?
dc CB 16:47:15 GMT - 10/29/2014
It is here where as Brean Capital's Peter Tchir shows in the table below, that the Fed is now the proud owner of over half of the total outstandings in the entire 10-15 Year bucket!
In short: the simple reason why there is no more liquidity in cash Treasury securities (Treasury futures are a different matter entirely) is because the Fed is now the proud owner of a majority stake of what once was the most liquid maturity across the most liquid bond market in the world.
So the next time the market freaks out and bonds have a 12 sigma move, once the shock and awe passes, fee free to send your thank you cards to the Marriner Eccles building for destroying what once upon a time was the deepest, most liquid market in the world.
remember remember the 15th of Oct. the death of the Bond Shorts. 30Y-Dec 148 00 down today to 140 30...remarkable.
london red 16:05:43 GMT - 10/29/2014
stocks looking good now well abv 75/76 but 10yr not liking it, yields on the creep. so hard to call before fed. one of them is going to be wrong. dec 10 has retraced more than 50% of gains sept/black wed. if was a normal instrument you expect a first rebound to come at 61.8 or top of prev range, so 126.36/16. so they can get down to there, reverse and finish higher. fomc speak, that could mean hawkish fed (relative to expectations) and stocks down so they buy bonds on fear trade after initial sell off/spike.
Mtl JP 15:55:45 GMT - 10/29/2014
that want to predict today's stocks close:
Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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