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GVI Forex john   16:12:57 GMT - 11/05/2014  
JP- impossible. This is still a USD world. Both will devalue vs. the USD and also against those currencies pegged to the USD


Mtl JP  16:08:27 GMT - 11/05/2014  
Is it realistic to expect Japan and Europe to devalue against both at once ? Kuroda is talking about reaching his 2% inflation in 2yr time horizon

Should they not be taking turns forcing their ccies into the toilet ?
Unless some condition, one that I have hard time to imagine what, is such that it forces them both (or all) to panic at once ?


london red  14:13:24 GMT - 11/05/2014  
not banking on it going up but one line of thinking is that kurodas actions have pressurised the ecb into doing more and so there is a partial expectation in the market which will be disappointed if they do nothing new. so there is that risk of being short into the meeting. theres no need to be short in advance as if they do pull a rabbit out you can always jump on board as it certainly wont be going back up given it would be a bit of a surprise after the recent measures not long ago.
euro and yen are both lt sells. and dont forget falling oil and eurjpy going up are importing deflation into europe. so a eurusd standing still at 125 does no real good.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  14:00:31 GMT - 11/05/2014  
red, do you see a risk for a EURUSD pop on the ECB meeting if Draghi gives any hint (by what he doesn't say more than what he does say) that his hands are tied (by Germany)?


london red  13:55:26 GMT - 11/05/2014  
euro. 85 first support on downside. if yields test of 70. not sure it can stay below 70 ahead of ecb but rather stay positioned short for test of it as you never know, they might push through once done there.


london red  13:48:25 GMT - 11/05/2014  
lvls as yesterday. 12502 fib. while no hourly close abv, the pressure on downside continues. abv 10 then look to 30 again then 71 if taken. but dont chase as ecb may not announce anything new, but will talk down as usual. even if they do not, you'll have plenty of pips to chase then as market will scramble up for hours so no need to try to front run that kind of high beta but low prob event.
ism later, job index will be looked at. if strong, we'll have a complete set of strong job sub components.


Central Kwun  13:36:12 GMT - 11/05/2014  

Buy usdx
Entry: Target: Stop:
positive us data bring gold up.. i dont think i would believe fudamental anymore






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