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GVI Forex john   17:42:20 GMT - 11/28/2014  



GVI Forex john   16:59:22 GMT - 11/28/2014  


November 28, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, December 1,2014. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: AU, JP, CN- PMIs, EZ, CH, GB- PMIs, US, CA- PMIs, COT
  • Far East: AU, JP, CN- PMIs
  • Europe: EZ, CH, GB- PMIs
  • North America: US, CA- PMIs, US- COT




Mtl JP  14:28:14 GMT - 11/28/2014  
red odds r in your favour as most adjusting should be done already


london red  14:05:35 GMT - 11/28/2014  
usual end of month eurgbp buying today may end at the fix. so may lead to change in direction.


london red  14:01:43 GMT - 11/28/2014  
yen. broken trendline at 56/59. if can overcome should test 119 barrier.


dc CB  14:01:29 GMT - 11/28/2014  
crucified on a cross of gold, silver too.



Mtl JP  13:51:21 GMT - 11/28/2014  
us 10yr yield 2.2%
nasty


GVI Forex john   13:31:03 GMT - 11/28/2014  
Canada: GDP October 2014
Canada Charts




ALERT
m/m +0.40% vs.+0.40% exp. vs. -0.10% prev.



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Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john   10:08:12 GMT - 11/28/2014  
EZ headline flash HICP (CPI) in line. Core steady. Well below ECB"just below 2.0%" target.




GVI Forex john   10:04:25 GMT - 11/28/2014  
EZ Unemployment October 2014





ALERT
11.50% vs. 11.50% exp. vs. 11.50% (r ) prev.


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Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john   10:01:59 GMT - 11/28/2014  
Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) November 2014





ALERT
Headline
yy: +0.30 vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.
CORE
yy: +0.70% vs. vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +0.70% prev.

Global-VIew EZ and German Charts




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GVI Forex john   09:55:15 GMT - 11/28/2014  
JA CPI... Japanese CPI. The impact of the Sales tax increase still in these data.






GVI Forex john   09:48:14 GMT - 11/28/2014  
EZ and German Charts
http://goo.gl/cMwmm1

EARLIER: German Retail Sales data mo/mo better than expected.




GVI Forex john   09:41:20 GMT - 11/28/2014  
German Real Retail Sales October 2014




Earlier NEWS Release
mm:
+1.80% vs. +1.50%% exp. vs. -3.20% (r -2.80%) prev.
yy: -1.70% vs. +1.70% exp. vs. +2.30% prev (r +2.40%).


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Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john   01:41:02 GMT - 11/28/2014  
Japan October 2014





EARLIER NEWS ALERT

CPI:
Core yy
yy: 2.90% vs. 2.90% exp. vs. n/a prev.

National yy:
2.90% vs. 3.00% exp. vs. n/a prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   01:34:27 GMT - 11/28/2014  
Japan Retail Sales October 2014





EARLIER Data News
yy: -1.40% vs. -0.50% exp. vs. +2.70% (r +2.80% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   19:30:40 GMT - 11/27/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
    23:30 JP Core CPI Japan inflation
    23:50 JP Retail Sales  Consumer Demand
    23:50 JP Ind Out industrial activity
    FRIDAY
    7:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer Demand
    10:00 EZ FL HICP Key ECB Metric
    12:30 CA GDP  Widest Economic Measure
    16:0 0 US Markets Close Early



Mtl JP  18:14:52 GMT - 11/27/2014  
dc CB 17:5 funny chart does not forecast $0.0 , much less negative


dc CB  17:57:23 GMT - 11/27/2014  
twitter from enery analyst... posted yesterday

CHART

Chirichella How Low can it go



Mtl JP  17:16:15 GMT - 11/27/2014  
“We are not sending any signal to anyone, we are just trying to have a fair price,” OPEC Secretary General Abdalla Salem El-Badri


dc CB  17:11:51 GMT - 11/27/2014  
punish Putin

a big part is still that Pipeline for NatGas that they want to build to reach the European market. Problamo numero uno still remains Syria - Assad - Russia backed. Break Russia = build pipeline.

The PipeDream from the hashish filled hooka.


kl fs  16:45:04 GMT - 11/27/2014  
now it seems oil is a renewable resource ;)


nw kw  16:42:07 GMT - 11/27/2014  
saudis preparing to trade gold in chin.a


Mtl JP  16:39:36 GMT - 11/27/2014  
maybe ... maybe saudis preparing to drop asking dollar fiat for their crude ?


nw kw  16:34:46 GMT - 11/27/2014  
Saudis oil spread to usa oil reported a small oil war


Mtl JP  16:34:11 GMT - 11/27/2014  
john 16:25 - re saudis ... to drive out the high cost (shale oil and tar sand) producers - and to think that Harper's Canada is fighting something called isis ...


kl fs  16:32:12 GMT - 11/27/2014  
plus to punish Putin?


GVI Forex john   16:25:58 GMT - 11/27/2014  
wti breaks below $70 LOD 69.11
seeing 69.49

I assume this is what they were intending, namely to drive out the high cost (shale oil and tar sand) producers...
CAD getting slammed.


london red  15:24:00 GMT - 11/27/2014  
i wonder if they are really willing to chase loonie up here with canadian gdp out tomorrow. reckon time to take early profits here at the 50% fib and buy in on the dip to 11266/43 tomorrow.


GVI Forex john   15:03:06 GMT - 11/27/2014  
wti 70.19 -2.50

very volatile and weak


GVI Forex john   14:59:23 GMT - 11/27/2014  
Brent Crude
Last 76.30 -1.45 (hi 77.06 lo 75.48)


GVI Forex john   14:53:04 GMT - 11/27/2014  
Report OPEC delegate says production quota unchanged.
-TTN


GVI Forex john   14:02:27 GMT - 11/27/2014  


November 27, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, November 28. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- CPI, Retail Sales, industrial Output, DE- Retail Sales, EZ- flash HICP, Unemployment, CA- GDP, US- Early Close
  • Far East: JP- CPI, Retail Sales, industrial Output
  • Europe: DE- Retail Sales, EZ- flash HICP, Unemployment
  • North America: US- Early Close, CA- GDP




GVI Forex john   13:32:13 GMT - 11/27/2014  
Canada Current Account C$ bln 3Q14
Canada Charts


NEWS ALERT
-8.4 vs.-11.0 exp. vs. -11.9 (r -9.9) prev.


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Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john   13:09:54 GMT - 11/27/2014  
flash November German HICP falls as expected. EZ flash HICP due Friday




GVI Forex john   13:00:31 GMT - 11/27/2014  
German HICP (CPI) flash November 2014



NEWS ALERT
mm: 0.0% vs. 0.00% exp. vs. -0.30% prev.
yy:0.60% vs. +0.60% exp. vs. 0.80% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex 10:44:40 GMT - 11/27/2014  
Draghi

However, should it become necessary to further address risks of too prolonged a period of low inflation, the Governing Council is unanimous in its commitment to using additional unconventional instruments within its mandate. In this context, we have also tasked relevant ECB staff and Eurosystem committees with the timely preparation of further measures to be implemented, if needed.


GVI Forex john   10:07:39 GMT - 11/27/2014  
Earlier Draghi Comments to Finnish Parliament

Introductory remarks at the Finnish parliament



GVI Forex john   10:02:45 GMT - 11/27/2014  
Consumer Confidence final November 2014





ALERT
-11.6 vs. -11.6 vs. -11.6 prev.


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GVI Forex john   09:14:01 GMT - 11/27/2014  
Global-VIew EZ and German Charts
German November JOBLESSS falls faster than expected (lower is better). Unemployment rate eases.





GVI Forex john   09:14:01 GMT - 11/27/2014  
Global-VIew EZ and German Charts
German November JOBLESSS falls faster than expected (lower is better). Unemployment rate eases.





GVI Forex john   09:11:31 GMT - 11/27/2014  
Nothing new from Draghi as far as I can see.


GVI Forex john   09:09:51 GMT - 11/27/2014  
Draghi headlines:
Inflation to remain at current levels over coming months
Inflation to increase in 2015 & 2016
Unanimous in commitment to use additional instruments if needed


GVI Forex john   08:58:31 GMT - 11/27/2014  
German Employment data better than expected.


GVI Forex john   08:57:17 GMT - 11/27/2014  
German Unemployment November 2014




NEWS ALERT
rate: 6.60% vs. 6.70% exp. vs. 6.70%(r 6.60%) prev.
change: -14 K vs. -1 exp. vs. -22K (r ) prev.


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GVI Forex john   21:58:15 GMT - 11/26/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
    THURSDAY
    US Holiday
    OPEC Meeting All day
    8:55 DE unem Kchg German unemployment
    9:00 DE fl HICP Key Metric for ECB
    13:30 CA Cur/Acct  Canadian External Accounts
    23:30 JP Core CPI Japan inflation
    23:50 JP Retail Sales  Consumer Demand
    23:50 JP Ind Out industrial activity
    FRIDAY
    7:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer Demand
    10:00 EZ FL HICP Key ECB Metric
    12:30 CA GDP  Widest Economic Measure
    16:0 0 US Markets Close Early



GVI Forex john   17:02:56 GMT - 11/26/2014  
US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-162 vs. -140 exp vs. -17 prev.

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GVI Forex john   16:55:12 GMT - 11/26/2014  


November 26, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, November 27. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- CPI, Industrial Output, OPEC- All Day, DE- Unemployment, flash HICP, US- Holiday, CA- Current Account
  • Far East: JP- CPI, Industrial Output
  • Europe: OPEC- All Day, DE- Unemployment, flash HICP
  • North America: US- Holiday, CA- Current Account




dc CB  15:47:13 GMT - 11/26/2014  
 
VIX going to the 11 handle...

2080 +++ Fri, Monday?

emini



GVI Forex john   15:31:13 GMT - 11/26/2014  
US EIA Weekly Inventories
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +1.950 vs. 0.000 exp vs. +2.610 prev.
Gasoline: +1.800 vs. -1.000 exp vs. +1.000 prev.
Distillates: -1.650 vs. -1.000 exp vs. -2.100 prev.
Cap/Util: 91.50% vs. n/a exp vs. 91.20% prev.
Weekly Petroleum Status Report




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GVI Forex john   15:17:38 GMT - 11/26/2014  
CB- the majority of today's stats were not produced or released by the government. We might want to start to take notice?


PAR 15:16:43 GMT - 11/26/2014  
US consumers only buying IPhones .


GVI Forex john   15:11:50 GMT - 11/26/2014  
Pending Homes Sales weaker than forecast. Alarming chart since the red line is a reliable leading indicator for the most important housing Statistic.



Paris ib  15:11:30 GMT - 11/26/2014  
CB - lol well that made me laugh anyhow. :-)



dc CB  15:10:05 GMT - 11/26/2014  
From: The Cynics Corner
Re: Today's crap-ola Stats.

Well the Elections over.


GVI Forex john   15:07:08 GMT - 11/26/2014  
New Homes Sales in October miss estimates.



GVI Forex john   15:02:21 GMT - 11/26/2014  
more misses on housing


GVI Forex john   15:01:39 GMT - 11/26/2014  
U.S. Pending Homes Sales October 2014
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
-1.10% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +0.30% (r +0.60%) prev.
RELEASE: Pending Home Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   15:00:40 GMT - 11/26/2014  
U.S. New Home Sales October 2014



ALERT
458 vs. 471K exp. vs. 467K (r 455 ) prev.


New Residential Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer


dc CB  14:59:05 GMT - 11/26/2014  
Those 7Y issues are going to fly off the shelves this afternoon... likes is Black Friday at BestBuy


GVI Forex john   14:58:29 GMT - 11/26/2014  
U.S. Data Charts
University of Michigan Sentiment Survey. Final data revised down from preliminary reading.



GVI Forex john   14:55:43 GMT - 11/26/2014  
U of M misses


GVI Forex john   14:55:11 GMT - 11/26/2014  
University of Michigan Sentiment Index Final November 2014
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
88.8 vs. 90.0 exp. vs. 89.4 preliminary

RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


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GVI Forex john   14:45:43 GMT - 11/26/2014  
Chi PMI another miss


GVI Forex john   14:45:11 GMT - 11/26/2014  
U.S. Chicago PMI November 2014
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
60.8 vs. 63.0 exp. vs. 66.2 prev.

RELEASE: Chicago PMI



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london red  14:36:22 GMT - 11/26/2014  
euro pivot last months low 12485


Miami JN  14:18:30 GMT - 11/26/2014  
Par, why post something like that? It is only s recap and really days nothing we don't already know,.


PAR 14:09:04 GMT - 11/26/2014  
FXStreet (Córdoba) - EUR/USD rose from 1.2480 and climbed above 1.2500, reaching at 1.2506 the strongest level since last Friday after the release of economic data in the US, that weakened the US dollar across the board.

In the US three important economic reports were released with the majority below the consensus. The positive report was the durable goods orders that climbed 0.4%, analysts projected a decline of 0.6%. Personal income rose 0.2% in October, below the 0.4% expected, while personal spending increase 0.2% versus the 0.3% analysts were expecting. Initial jobless claims rose from 292.00 to 313.000 during the week of November 21.



Before Thanksgiving holiday volumes are non existant .


GVI Forex john   13:53:30 GMT - 11/26/2014  
Weekly Jobless are notoriously volatile, but no special factors were reported to be in the data. We need to look at the data over several weeks to confirm, but we have to watch them closely.


GVI Forex john   13:49:10 GMT - 11/26/2014  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims back above 300K. Trend developing?...
Click on chart for over ten-year history


GVI Forex john   13:41:56 GMT - 11/26/2014  
U.S. CPI and Core PCE Deflator. Fed Targets PCE Deflator. Rising,




GVI Forex john   13:37:41 GMT - 11/26/2014  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims
U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT

Initial Claims (000)
313K vs. 288K exp. vs. 291K (r 292K) prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
2.316 vs. n/a exp. vs. 2.370 (r 2.333) prev.
Press Release




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GVI Forex john   13:35:01 GMT - 11/26/2014  
U.S. Personal Income/PCE Deflator October 2014
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Personal Income +0.20% v +0.40% exp v +0.20% pre
PCE Defl +1.60% vs. +1.50% exp. vs. +1.50% prev.

RELEASE: Personal Income



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GVI Forex john   13:32:57 GMT - 11/26/2014  
U.S. Durable Goods Orders October 2014
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
Headline: +0.40% vs. -0.60 exp. vs. -1.30% prev.
Ex-Trans: -0.90% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. -0.10% prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer


PAR 12:13:15 GMT - 11/26/2014  
Data released by the US Mortgage Brokers Association indicated that mortgage applications fell 4.3 percent in the week ended 21 November. The fall comes after a 4.0 percent rise the previous week and is the first drop since 7 November.

House purchases declined 4.8 percent after an 11.7 percent gain the previous week.

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage approved was 4.15 percent versus 4.18 percent the previous week.


GVI Forex john   11:51:35 GMT - 11/26/2014  
FWIW- U.S. markets should wind down early for the week this afternoon in the U.S. In addition to the Thanksgiving holidays, parts of the Northeast U.S. will see a significant snowfall. This would be about a month earlier than normal. This could add to the rush to the doors this afternoon!

So look out for thin markets later today, but there should a lot of interest in the OPEC decision on Thursday.


GVI Forex john   11:33:26 GMT - 11/26/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
    WEDNESDAY
    09:30 GB GDP Widest Economic Indicator
    12:30 US PCE defl y Top Fed Inflation Measure.
    12:30 US Personal Income Key to demand
    13:30 US Initial Claims Weekly Jobless
    13:30 US Dur Goods Industrial demand
    13:45 US Chicago PMI regional Indicator
    13:55 US U Mich final Long term Sentiment Survey
    15:00 US New Homes Sales Housing Metric
    15:00 US Pending Homes Predictor of Existing Homes Sales 15:30 US EIA Crude Impacts Spot oil prices
    18:00 TRY 7-yr Treasury borrowing
    23:30 JP Core CPI Japan inflation
    23:50 JP Ind Out industrial activity
    THURSDAY
    US Holiday
    OPEC Meeting All day
    8:55 DE unem Kchg German unemployment
    9:00 DE fl HICP Key Metric for ECB
    13:30 CA Cur/Acct  Canadian External Accounts
    23:50 JP Retail Sales  Consumer Demand
    FRIDAY
    7:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer Demand
    10:00 EZ FL HICP Key ECB Metric
    12:30 CA GDP  Widest Economic Measure
    16:00 US Markets Close Early



GVI Forex john   11:08:26 GMT - 11/26/2014  
November 2014 UK CBI Distributive Trades
U.K. Charts



-- NEWS ALERT --
+27 vs. +29 exp. vs. +31 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   09:34:47 GMT - 11/26/2014  
U.K. revised headline 3Q14 GDP unchanged.



GVI Forex john   09:30:25 GMT - 11/26/2014  
UK GDP-- 3Q14 revised
U.K. Charts




-- NEWS ALERT --

QQ +0.70% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +0.70% prev.
YY +3.00% vs. +3.00% exp. vs. +3.00% prev.


RELEASE: U.K. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   18:30:19 GMT - 11/25/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
    WEDNESDAY
    09:30 GB GDP Widest Economic Indicator
    12:30 US PCE defl y Top Fed Inflation Measure.
    12:30 US Personal Income Key to demand
    13:30 US Initial Claims Weekly Jobless
    13:30 US Dur Goods Industrial demand
    13:45 US Chicago PMI regional Indicator
    13:55 US U Mich final Long term Sentiment Survey
    15:00 US New Homes Sales Housing Metric
    15:00 US Pending Homes Predictor of Existing Homes Sales 15:30 US EIA Crude Impacts Spot oil prices
    18:00 TRY 7-yr Treasury borrowing
    23:30 JP Core CPI Japan inflation
    23:50 JP Ind Out industrial activity
    THURSDAY
    US Holiday
    OPEC Meeting All day
    8:55 DE unem Kchg German unemployment
    9:00 DE fl HICP Key Metric for ECB
    13:30 CA Cur/Acct  Canadian external Accounts
    23:50 JP Retail Sales  Consumer Demand
    FRIDAY
    7:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer Demand
    10:00 EZ FL HICP Key ECB Metric
    12:30 CA GDP  Widest Economic Measure
    23:30 JP Unemployment 3.60% 3.50%



GVI Forex Jay Meisler  17:50:38 GMT - 11/25/2014  
 
I prefer the key one hour trendline, currently at 1.2510, as the key on top (along with 1.2504)


london red  17:39:07 GMT - 11/25/2014  
euro. hourly trendline now 124565. supports current move. last month high 12485. if looking like a close abv here (end of month ie friday) will ruffle a few feather and some short covering. while below a close no higher than 12430 is favourite.


Mtl JP  16:26:47 GMT - 11/25/2014  
Euro-area financial institutions should consider creating securities that combine sovereign bonds to give the European Central Bank more assets to buy, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said.


nw kw  16:23:52 GMT - 11/25/2014  
new usa gov gets power ante nuke poss stop Iran oil


Mtl JP  16:19:51 GMT - 11/25/2014  
loon correlates to crude pricing at about .70
maybe if crude bumps another $20 bucks loon goes to 1.20


GVI Forex john   16:17:44 GMT - 11/25/2014  


November 2, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, November 2. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: GB- GDP, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Weekly Jobless, Durable Goods, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan, New Home Sales, Pending Homes, Crude, 7-yr
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB- GDP, Distributive Trades
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Weekly Jobless, Durable Goods, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan, New Homes Sales, Pending Homes, Weekly Crude, Natural Gas, 7-yr




london red  16:17:39 GMT - 11/25/2014  
loonie. support held well, still no hourly close under 11243 but still all to play for until a higher high. but if we get one (north of 11316) should yield a retest of 11400. the pullback has yielded a good amount of lower highs and lows so a break of this trend should be pretty clean and they are likely to follow it at the very least initially (11362)


Mtl JP  15:33:19 GMT - 11/25/2014  
john a reminder about the Commerce Department's GDP release:
it is ONLY an ... estimate


GVI Forex john   15:25:17 GMT - 11/25/2014  
Trying to look at the Conference Board Survey as objectively as possible. The short-term outlook is suddenly looking a little toppy to me. We will have to see how the next few figures come in.


GVI Forex john   15:07:25 GMT - 11/25/2014  
U.S. Data Charts
CHART: Univ of Michigan & Conference Board Sentiment. Conference Board Survey much weaker than expected.







Mtl JP  15:02:37 GMT - 11/25/2014  
so GDP overshoots and cons conf undershoots ?


GVI Forex john   15:01:53 GMT - 11/25/2014  
two misses


GVI Forex john   15:01:05 GMT - 11/25/2014  
U.S. Conference Board Survey November 2014
U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT

88.7 vs. 96.0 exp. vs. 94.5 (r 94.1)prev.


RELEASE: Consumer Confidence Data



TTN: Live News Special Offer






GVI Forex john   14:59:39 GMT - 11/25/2014  
U.S. Richmond Fed Index November 2014
U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT
+4 vs. +17 exp. vs. +20 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


Mtl JP  14:08:19 GMT - 11/25/2014  
break south of 12360/50 probably needs some new + additional catalyst


GVI Forex john   14:01:24 GMT - 11/25/2014  

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Case Shiller-20 August 2014
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+4.90% vs. +4.60% exp. vs. +5.70% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



london red  13:56:37 GMT - 11/25/2014  
+ve surprise no doubt about it. business investment creates jobs and thats encouraging. inventory gain a small blot on an otherwise decent report.


PAR 13:52:37 GMT - 11/25/2014  
Some of the factors supporting this upward revision are quite encouraging - for instance, the upwards revision to equipment and software spending (business investment, now 10.7% from 7.2% initially), and personal consumption (consumer spending now 2.2% from 1.8%), and residential investment (homebuilding - now 2.7% from 1.8%).”

“There was, as expected, a slight additional drag from the net export sector, worth about $20bn over the quarter (annualised rate). And this more than offset the further increase in inventory building (revised up about $16bn) over the same period.”

“Whilst some parts of this release do suggest that the US economy has more momentum than initially indicated, both inventories and the defence component of government spending are likely to revert to being considerable drags in the fourth quarter, taking GDP growth closer to 2.0% than 3.0%, and the profile for GDP will remain very choppy, masking an underlying growth rate of between 2.5% and 3.0%.”

“At the margin, these figures make it easier for the Fed to move towards pushing rates higher next year. But a lot can happen between now and the April 2015 rate hike the market is pricing in, including much weaker inflation and a possible re-run of the 2013 government shutdown, and we are taking nothing for granted.”


london red  13:51:49 GMT - 11/25/2014  
euro. data gap filled now needs to move below 12409/02 for 12360/50, otherwise they might get bored and try yest high and trendline.


GVI Forex john   13:49:08 GMT - 11/25/2014  
Canada: Retail Sales mixed vs. estimates.
Canada Charts



PAR 13:48:10 GMT - 11/25/2014  
With US economy growing at almost 4 % FED may consider raising rates sooner rather than later .


GVI Forex john   13:44:50 GMT - 11/25/2014  
Final 2Q14 Revised annualized GDP. upwardly revised mostly inventories.






PAR 13:37:46 GMT - 11/25/2014  
US economy much stronger than anticipated . Are Yellen and the FED missing something ?


NY JM  13:35:52 GMT - 11/25/2014  
Looking ahead: Forecasts for the US 4Q GDP is around 2.7%


GVI Forex john   13:35:30 GMT - 11/25/2014  
Canada: Retail Sales September 2014
Canada Charts





NEWS ALERT
Headline: +0.80% % vs. 0.50% exp. vs. -0.30% (r -0.20%) prev.
X-Autos:+0.10% % vs. +0.40% exp. vs. -0.30%(r -0.2%) prev.


RELEASE: Canadian Retail Sales




TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   13:31:38 GMT - 11/25/2014  
3Q14 GDP
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+3.90% vs. +3.20% exp. vs.+3.50% prev.


RELEASE: U.S. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer


london red  13:24:19 GMT - 11/25/2014  
loonie. suggested cad sales will beat and us gdp misses, so pair may test 11225/43. i suspect it will rebound to 11266 or higher by the close if those lower levels seen. the recent low of 11191 should be safe assuming the recent correction is over. below there is an imp fib at 11143 which could be targeted on a bounce to 11225/43 in the event of a break, but in that case stops below recent low of 11122 should be safe.


gc sf  12:12:33 GMT - 11/25/2014  
I just looked at NZD Monthly chart and count something like 17 times it threatened to break down - but never has as yet.

It is flattening out though so maybe tomorrow Asia will work out better .. 7685 ish.


Mtl JP  10:38:45 GMT - 11/25/2014  
Carney: More likely that inflation will fall below 1%


GVI Forex john   09:58:30 GMT - 11/25/2014  
Global-VIew EZ and German Charts
EARLIER: German GDP unchanged.




GVI Forex john   09:48:53 GMT - 11/25/2014  
German GDP 3Q14 Final



Earlier NEWS Release
QQ: +0.10% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.
yy: +1.20% vs. +1.20% exp. vs. +1.20% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


london red  09:14:58 GMT - 11/25/2014  
kiwi. just moved below daily trendline 7799. has not closed below this for some time but has traded below it a couple of times. recent low of 10 day ma comes in at 7766, so anything below there will confirm the break of the daily trendline. until then you stay short but have to be cautious.


Paris ib  09:04:45 GMT - 11/25/2014  
Thanks Ginko. So that's a full house: prices rising everywhere including Japan while Central Banks go with 'deflation' and Government borrowing continues to crowd out private borrowing at 'doctored' interest rates. Meanwhile the so-called economic recovery fails to show up. What a surprise.

Over in Australia it looks like they are gearing up to replace the Mad Monk with another ex Goldman alumni as iron ore tanks, mining takes a hit and the rest of the economy begins to enter a slump. The AUD is looking down a black hole.

USD/JPY still a 'sell on rallies' though it might take a while before it becomes an outright sell.

And the 'war on China and Russia' continues. No repercussions for the massive JPY devaluation but I read somewhere that the U.S. is looking into imposing tariffs on China.

European stock markets still have a way UP to go but the Nikkei and the U.S. markets are hitting the ceiling. It might be dull into the end of the year but 2015 looks like it will be fun. :-)

Calling AUD lower



GVI Forex john   23:27:23 GMT - 11/24/2014  
sf- thanks. Got it


gc sf  23:15:37 GMT - 11/24/2014  
GVI - John - spam in the Gold Forum if you have a minute.


GVI Forex john   22:15:30 GMT - 11/24/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
    23:50 JP BOJ Minutes Policy insight
    TUESDAY
    07:00 DE GDP Widest Economic Indicator
    13:30 CA Retail Sales Consumer Demand
    13:30 US GDP 3Q14 Widest Economic Indicator
    15:00 US CB Consumer Conf Short Term Sentiment Indicator
    18:00 UST  5-yr Treasury Borrowing
    WEDNESDAY
    09:30 GB GDP Widest Economic Indicator
    12:30 US PCE defl y Top Fed Inflation Measure.
    12:30 US Personal Income Key to demand
    13:30 US Initial Claims Weekly Jobless
    13:30 US Dur Goods Industrial demand
    13:45 US Chicago PMI regional Indicator
    13:55 US U Mich final Long term Sentiment Survey
    15:00 US New Homes Sales Housing Metric
    15:00 US Pending Homes Predictor of Existing Homes Sales 15:30 US EIA Crude Impacts Spot oil prices
    18:00 TRY 7-yr Treasury borrowing
    23:30 JP Core CPI Japan inflation
    23:50 JP Ind Out industrial activity
    THURSDAY
    US Holiday
    8:55 DE unem Kchg German unemployment
    9:00 DE fl HICP Key Metric for ECB
    13:30 CA Cur/Acct  Canadian external Accounts
    23:50 JP Retail Sales  Consumer Demand
    FRIDAY
    7:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer Demand
    10:00 EZ FL HICP Key ECB Metric
    12:30 CA GDP  Widest Economic Measure
    23:30 JP Unemployment 3.60% 3.50%



tokyo ginko  20:57:48 GMT - 11/24/2014  
good morning IB,

'Ginko still hasn't told us if prices are actually falling in Japan in JPY terms or not. There are no deflation anywhere else'

in JPY terms - prices up
in Foreign Currency - prices down

best time to invest in Japan...hav some attractive real estate deals here to go.

GT all!


GVI Forex john   13:42:16 GMT - 11/21/2014  
Canada: Headline and BOC Core CPI hutter than expected. Core CPI above target.
Canada Charts



GVI Forex john   13:33:10 GMT - 11/21/2014  
Canada: Bank of Canada Core and Consumer Prices October 2014





NEWS ALERT
yy: +2.30% vs. +2.10% exp. vs. +2.10% prev.
Headline
mm: +0.10% vs. -0.20% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.
yy: +2.40% vs. +2.00% exp. vs. +2.00% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GC gcm  11:45:04 GMT - 11/21/2014  
IB
re: Chinese GDP /export growth.
You are right about one thing. Export figures don't equate with the reported export growth. Want a more valid source: Figures from Chinas biggest port container terminal. Figures based on empty and full container traffic puts the real GDP @5.5%.This calculation is more than 6 months old. The figures should be a lower for the next count ( in 1 month). Chinese "break even " figure for their economy needs to be over 6.5%. Below that means recession.
You will hear a lot on this forum and other media comments and reports of how good Chinese economy is by brainwashed " local comrades", the fact is China is in recession.
I am looking forward to the next container traffic count.
p.s I use this data for all long term positioning of fund assets.
regards
The Wizard of Oz


london red  11:39:08 GMT - 11/21/2014  
watch this 11266 fib on loonie. many gone long this week and stops like under 11243.


Mtl JP  11:23:35 GMT - 11/21/2014  
where are the SKoreans ?


Paris ib  11:13:35 GMT - 11/21/2014  
To be clear Chinese export related growth eats everyone else's lunch ie. everyone else's GDP.


Paris ib  11:11:36 GMT - 11/21/2014  
Absolutely. I was just looking at some stuff on China. China reported this big export surge that appears to be fake and tied more to capital flows. It doesn't tally with Hong Kong data (which was supposedly the big recipient of all these exports). In order to export capital from China that capital has to be export related. Questions about what is going on but signs of capital exodus - parking in Australian property for example. There is no way that the huge move in USD/JPY has not adversely impacted China. This rate cut tells us they are trying to address the issue but seriously what will it do? Not much. I still think we may see a devaluation which would not be good for the economy of the rest of the world. The idea that Chinese economic growth is good for the rest of the world (ex commodity exporters) is just not supported by the facts.


GVI Forex john   11:04:13 GMT - 11/21/2014  
The rate was not completely out of the blue. I had heard vague chatter about a rate cut yesterday, but I did not think it was imminent.

Keep in mind that the AUD is the China proxy because of its large raw materials export relationship.


GVI Forex john   10:59:51 GMT - 11/21/2014  
For the record
China cuts RRR rate

10:32*(CN) CHINA PBOC CUTS BENCHMARK INTEREST RATES; effective from Sat, Nov 22nd
- Cuts 1 year deposit Rate by 25bps to 2.75%
- Cuts 1-year lending Rate by 40bps to 5.60%

- Source TradeTheNews.com


GVI Forex john   22:46:52 GMT - 11/20/2014  


November 20, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, November 21. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: EZ- Draghi, CA- CPI
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: EZ- Draghi
  • North America: CA- CPI, US- COT




GVI Forex john   22:08:30 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
FRIDAY  
13:30 CA CPI BOC targets CPI
14:00 EZ Draghi expect a dovish tone



GVI Forex Jay Meisler  17:45:09 GMT - 11/20/2014  
 
JP, I am using the 4 hour chart where the trendline is currently at 1.2591, yesterday's high 1.2600 and the 200 period mva at 1.2603 (last time above it was on Oct 29).

1.2538 = 20 day mva, which reflects the current consolidation that has tried but so far failed to turn into a retracement.

As I noted this week, EURUSD 1.2500 first traded on Oct 3 and after over a month in a half has not been able to establish below despite a low set at 1.2358.

The hope trade is for seasonal USD weakness to take over and setup a better level to go short but trading based on hope is always a long shot.



Mtl JP  17:32:55 GMT - 11/20/2014  
on the upside euro would probably need to see action above the 50 day 1.2668 to cull some of the +/- 28 billion in COT positions


Mtl JP  17:27:05 GMT - 11/20/2014  
every racehorse needs a rest at some point
eurdlr will take off either out of 1.2450 or 1.26 breakout

suggest crack open a beer or brew some tea in the meantime
-
gbpusd still in nega-bias mode, 1.56 and lower likely


Paris ib  17:23:00 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Yeah I think 150 EUR/JPY is doable. I just wonder if there is a target for the EUR/USD out there. I haven't heard any numbers but I'm pretty sure there must be a target of some sort.


Prague JIT  17:12:33 GMT - 11/20/2014  
ib: JPY target was good. But the traders took it as the lesson: Buy this pair as long as possible. On every Friday evening I am a pip-picker-fisher. Saw it and trading 160 and 76 as well. To trade it, do not look how it was. Two or three digits.... For now I see the tgt. 120 USD and 150 EUR ag. the JPY is still possible. Good round number for all. Next holiday week will be important. Above 124/126 USD/JPY is their CB in the deep trouble. 100 pips daily. We have the silly same cb here. Happy w/e gl Regards,


Paris ib  16:31:18 GMT - 11/20/2014  
JIT - with the cover of the '2% inflation target' Japan has devalued the USD/JPY nearly 50% - from 80 to the USD/JPY to today at 118 (119 this morning). No concern has been expressed by the USA about this manoeuvre and some pundits are encouraging the ECB to follow suit. A 50% devaluation and no mention of currency manipulation? In an era where inflation is "anything the statistics departments say it is".... an inflation target makes no sense. But I'm still trying to figure out what these Central Banks are gunning for.

They have currency targets. That's for sure. Originally Japan cited 100 - 110. We are way past that. Euro? What's the target there?


Prague JIT  16:17:12 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Paris / ib.: Trying to answer all your questions shortly: Is the 2% dogma target ok for all old-good-economies? Why not 1,2? The motor settled to this? Why not 0,5? Everything above zero works. Below.....


PAR 16:10:48 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Rates need to stay at zero or close to zero to keep the cost of financing the budget deficits down , to keep the balance sheets of the central banks looking good and to keep the stock markets pushing higher helping the 1% and hoping for some trickle down effects.

I see no other reasons why in an economy growing at +3% like the USA ,rates should be at zero


GVI Forex john   15:52:57 GMT - 11/20/2014  


November 20, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, November 21. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: EZ- Draghi, CA- CPI
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: EZ- Draghi
  • North America: CA- CPI, US- COT




GVI Forex john   15:31:00 GMT - 11/20/2014  
US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-17 vs. -10 exp vs. +40 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Paris ib  15:15:58 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Why not March? Is there a recovery? Zero rates have to be an anomaly historically and only justified by an emergency. If there is a recovery in the States why can't rates move up from zero. We're not talking a huge move. 10 basis points or so. Somebody has to explain to me why that is not possible or justified because I just don't get it.


GVI Forex john   15:15:43 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Odds on an early rate hike remain very low. Fed focus is on new job creation, average earnings and inflation. Government said today that price falls due to falling oil prices ore in the pipeline.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  15:13:55 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Soon is a relative term (June 2015?)

Tepid reaction to the data so far.


Paris ib  15:10:54 GMT - 11/20/2014  
So odds on for a rate hike soon?


GVI Forex john   15:10:00 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Existing Homes Sales is by far the most significant housing statistic. Data were better than expected.



PAR 15:09:19 GMT - 11/20/2014  
US rates stay low even after somewhat better than expected US economic data .


GVI Forex john   15:05:01 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Strong U.S. data across the board USD higher.


GVI Forex john   15:03:17 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Consumer Confidence preliminary November 2014





ALERT
-11.6 vs. -10.8 vs. -11.1 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john   15:02:06 GMT - 11/20/2014  
U.S. Leading Indicators October 2014
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
+0.90% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.80% (r +0.70%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john   15:00:58 GMT - 11/20/2014  
U.S. Philly Fed Index November 2014
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
+40.8 vs. +18.0 exp. vs. +20.7 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   15:00:22 GMT - 11/20/2014  
U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln) October 2014
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
5.260 vs. 5.150 exp. vs. 5.170 r. 5.180) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Paris ib  14:58:42 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Ironically if we do get hikes it will be in an attempt to stop a slide in a currency. Right now everyone is cheering the BoJ but wait around a bit. News from the Ukraine today telling us that prices are going through the roof as the currency collapses.


GVI Forex john   14:51:48 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Just about every PMI missed today. Global economy slowing? Will ANY Central Bank ever tighten?


For the record I don't see the PMI's as good economic forecasters...


PAR 14:50:55 GMT - 11/20/2014  
That will send US treasury yields sharply lower . Yellen happy .


GVI Forex john   14:47:50 GMT - 11/20/2014  
U.S. flash Markit Manufacturing PMI misses expectations and weakens.



PAR 14:47:40 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Strong dollar starting to hit US economy .


GVI Forex john   14:45:56 GMT - 11/20/2014  
thats a big miss!


GVI Forex john   14:45:21 GMT - 11/20/2014  
U.S. Markit flash Mfg PMI November 2014
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
54.7 vs. 56.5 exp. vs. 55.9 prelim


Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer


dc CB  14:40:22 GMT - 11/20/2014  
GVI Forex john 13:32
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

WASHINGTON — Up to four million undocumented immigrants who have lived in the United States for at least five years can apply for a program that protects them from deportation and allows those with no criminal record to work legally in the country, President Obama is to announce on Thursday, according to people briefed on his plans.

Obama’s Immigration Plan Could Shield Four Million



Mtl JP  14:16:30 GMT - 11/20/2014  
apparently "the Bills are paying around $10 an hour plus a ticket to Sunday’s game for the privilege of clearing off the stadium" from snow


Mtl JP  14:05:26 GMT - 11/20/2014  
pray tell how does Joe's last day on Friday at JPM and starting at GS on Monday matter to FX ?
tia


GVI Forex john   13:54:25 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Google definition: "the unemployment which exists in any economy due to people being in the process of moving from one job to another."


GVI Forex john   13:52:11 GMT - 11/20/2014  
"frictional unemployment" means there is a level below which unemployment will not go due to people moving typically in and out of jobs for reasons other than the economy. Otherwise, zero mathematically would be the floor.


Mtl JP  13:47:29 GMT - 11/20/2014  
gap now closed
see what a short gbpusd against 1.5720 will do


GVI Forex john   13:47:08 GMT - 11/20/2014  
U.S. October CPI a touch hotter than expected, but it is seen lower later...

U.S. Data Charts



Mtl JP  13:45:44 GMT - 11/20/2014  
what does "frictional" mean ?
tia


GVI Forex john   13:43:15 GMT - 11/20/2014  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims about at frictional lows...



Click on chart for over ten-year history

PRESS RELEASE: U.S. Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims


Mtl JP  13:39:12 GMT - 11/20/2014  
gap at 1.2536


GVI Forex john   13:34:06 GMT - 11/20/2014  
U.S. Consumer Price Index October 2014
U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
Headline:
m/m: 0.0% vs. -0.10% exp. v +0.10% pre
y/y: 1.70% vs. +1.60% exp. v +1.70% pre
Core:
m/m: +0.20% vs. +0.10% exp. v +0.10% pre
y/y: +1.80% vs. +1.70% exp. v +1.70% pre


RELEASE: Consumer Price Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john   13:32:10 GMT - 11/20/2014  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims
U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT

Initial Claims (000)
291K vs. 280K exp. vs. 290K (r 293 K) prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
2.330 vs. n/a exp. vs. 2.341 (r 2.403) prev.
Press Release




TTN: Live News Special Offer


Mtl JP  13:25:32 GMT - 11/20/2014  
gbpusd struggling to make a new high (i.e break and hold above 1.5720) gives it currently nega bias


london red  12:54:38 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Cable. Couple of channels at 15717,18, fib 21. Prev high 36 200 hour 37. Then biggie 15780/86. Support at 15675/80.


london red  11:32:19 GMT - 11/20/2014  
nikkei and yen stopped holding hands a couple of days ago but this mornings sell off in the nikkei kicked off selling in the usdjpy. a currency keeps going and going until it reaches a support or resistance it cant break and then pulls back. you take profits and ask questions later. the strongest trend can change every single second of the day.
dont think the barriers at 119 were anything special. it was more overbought at 119 than 117 and thats probably a big factor why the bears managed to win their first fight for a while as markets can be overbought for a while but dont move in a straight line for long. added to the fact that we can expect jawboning c. 120. you have to remember that moves of these speeds dont allow corporates to hedge properly, thats why people start commenting. little things, worries, start to build up the higher you go. thats why im looking at just 120/12150 initially and will reassess once up there.
61.8 of 11740 leg at 11801. normally these give a bounce even if small. but a move lower and it will cascade as i think stops are going to be under 11795. if you bought break of 11795 yest, then you pulled your stopped higher to c. breakeven on the 11850 break. now 119 didnt get done so stops still likely to be at entry. yup these so called fast acting specs move quite slow.


Paris ib  11:04:58 GMT - 11/20/2014  
red - so what you think is leading here? Stocks or currency?


london red  11:03:25 GMT - 11/20/2014  
should test the bids at 118 eventually while no hourly close abv 11850. 117/11750 would probably mean nikkei down to shs neck just abv 17000, so both likely to bounce. nikkei to 200 hour maybe, yen to 11795 initially then decision to be made on further pullback or recommencement of main uptrend.


GVI Forex john   11:00:12 GMT - 11/20/2014  
UK CBI Industrial Output Trends October 2014
U.K. Charts





-- NEWS ALERT --

+3 vs. -5 exp. vs. -6 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



Paris ib  10:39:59 GMT - 11/20/2014  
kw - it all depends on when the market stops listening to the 'talk' and starts focusing on the facts on the ground. If we have a stock market correction FIRST U.S. Treasuries will rally - yields will fall - after the correction and provided we don't get a huge bounce (how many bounces can you get?) then we may have a sell off in Treasuries but only if the USD comes under significant selling pressure.

Right now all the pin heads are talking about this imaginary DEFLATION and how clever and brave the Japanese are. Ho. Ho.
If China devalues that might change things... or maybe we have a reassessment regardless. Let's see.


nw kw  10:35:55 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Japanese were net sellers of U.S. Treasuries in September 2014//can now get u/j retrace for has no support from U.S. Treasuries

soft us indexs


Paris ib  10:32:21 GMT - 11/20/2014  
While they 'talk' about buying in offshore markets the Japanese were net sellers of U.S. Treasuries in September 2014.

Japan sells Treasuries



Paris ib  10:29:12 GMT - 11/20/2014  
And all this in the name of fighting what? deflation? Don't make me laugh.

Ginko still hasn't told us if prices are actually falling in Japan in JPY terms or not. There are no deflation anywhere else.

Top marks to Kuroda and co. for public relations. What a con.


Paris ib  10:25:24 GMT - 11/20/2014  
John what if China devalues? What then?

What gets me is the Japanese have devalued the Yen (massively), actually repatriated funds (while telling everyone they were about to start sending money overseas), boosted exports (at the expense of their Asian neighbours) and actually managed to be PRAISED by other countries for their actions. Is this the greatest scam, or what?

Everyone has front run these Japanese Pension funds (who so far have not turned up buying on foreign markets) and pushed the USD/JPY up. Japan gets an export boost and gets to repatriate funds (see recent TIC data) at a fabulous exchange rate. I think this manoeuvre makes the rest of us look like the greatest bunch of plonkers.

Meanwhile the China slowdown continues, impacting the Aussie. But seriously the fact that China has export competition in NO WAY impacts the Euro. As far as the Euro is concerned any slowdown in a country like China which is a huge net exporter to the world - thus extracting GDP from everyone else - is no concern at all.


GVI Forex john   10:17:45 GMT - 11/20/2014  
I suggest you stand back a little and see the larger trends in the two EZ, the Chinese and Japan PMIs. To me they all look heavy, although that is not as definitive for Japan?

Implies more EUR weakness,and pressure on JPY and AUD (via China). Agree??


GVI Forex john   09:40:52 GMT - 11/20/2014  
U.K. Retail Sales data increase and beat expectations. GBPUSD higher.



UK Charts=> http://goo.gl/qhfE28


GVI Forex john   09:34:35 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Retail Sales beat. GBP higher.


GVI Forex john   09:33:25 GMT - 11/20/2014  
GB Retail Sales October 2014



-- NEWS ALERT --

mm: +0.80% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. -0.30% (-0.40%) prev.
yy: +4.30% vs. +4.20% exp. vs. +2.70% (+2.30%) prev.

x-fuel
Mfg mm: +0.8% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. -0.30% prev.
Mfg yy:+4.60% vs. +4.20% exp. vs. +3.10% (+2.80%) prev.


RELEASE: UK Retail Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   09:28:31 GMT - 11/20/2014  
EARLIER: Japan flash PMI. Data miss.


http://goo.gl/YKFTSK


GVI Forex john   09:26:08 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Japan flash PMI November 2014





EARLIER NEWS ALERT
52.1 vs. 52.7 exp. vs. 52.4 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john   09:22:42 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Earlier: HSBC flash PMI misses...



More Charts: http://goo.gl/YKFTSK


GVI Forex john   09:19:33 GMT - 11/20/2014  
China missed earlier


GVI Forex john   09:18:53 GMT - 11/20/2014  
China flash HSBC PMI November 2014





Earlier

HSBC: 50.0 vs. 50.2 exp. vs. 50.4 flash


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   09:11:16 GMT - 11/20/2014  
EZ, GE, FR flash Mfg PMIs weaker.



EZ, German and French flash Services PMIs. Mostly weaker



GVI Forex john   09:01:41 GMT - 11/20/2014  
A number of misses in PMI data.


GVI Forex john   09:00:37 GMT - 11/20/2014  

EZ Flash PMI Estimates November 2014






ALERT
EZ
mfg: 50.4 vs. 50.6 exp. vs. 50.6 prev.
svc: 51.3 vs. 52.3 exp. vs. 52.3 prev.

France
mfg: 47.6 vs. 48.5 exp. vs. 48.5
svc: 48.8 vs. 48.5 exp. vs. 48.3

German
mfg: 50.0 vs. 51.5 exp. vs. 51.4
svc: 52.1 vs. 54.5 exp. vs. 54.4


Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   22:42:42 GMT - 11/19/2014  


November 19, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, November 20. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP & CN- flash PMI, EZ- flash PMIs, GB- Retail Sales, EZ- Consumer Confidence, US- CPI, Weekly Jobless, flash mfg PMI, Philly Fed, Existing Homes Sales
  • Far East: JP & CN- flash PMI.
  • Europe: EZ- flash PMIs, GB- Retail Sales, CBI Ind Output, EZ- Consumer Confidence.
  • North America: US- CPI, Weekly Jobless, flash mfg PMI, Philly Fed, Existing Homes Sales, Lead Indicators, Nat Gas.




GVI Forex john   21:16:18 GMT - 11/19/2014  
THURSDAY
01:45 CN HSBC flash PMI key sentiment measure
08:00 FR MFG PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:00 FR SVC PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:28 DE MFG PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:28 DE SVC PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:58 EZ flash MFG PMI key sentiment measure
08:58 EZ flash SVC PMI key sentiment measure
09:30 GB Ret Sls consumer demand
13:30 US CPI Fed targets inflation
13:30 US Initial Claims weekly jobless
14:45 US Mfg MKt PMI flash key sentiment measure
15:00 US Existing Homes Top Housing Statistics
15:30 US EIA Crude impacts crude prices
FRIDAY  
13:30 CA CPI BOC targets CPI
14:00 EZ Draghi expect a dovish tone



dc CB  20:09:25 GMT - 11/19/2014  
118+ ...yenny henny penny

less than 24 hrs....the 120 Express...at this rate by Friday close


Paris ib  20:05:26 GMT - 11/19/2014  
CS - pretending they are ready to hike if needed and knowing they can not do that without cratering the economy. I still go with incompetence. The way economics is taught is near on criminal IMVHO and what we got here is a bunch of academics who believe what they read in their text books.


gc sf  20:04:44 GMT - 11/19/2014  
we did have 2 BOE People vote for a Hike - so at least there is 2 honest people - about where some of these interest rates should be heading.


FW CS  20:01:15 GMT - 11/19/2014  
Ib
or Make a list of honest officials in power that list will be very short. Fed wants to talk hawk but unwilling to be a hawk. A paper hawk so to speak. Reversal day in euro today as well down. Hmmm. Up down up down up down. Euro not ready to resume downtrend


Paris ib  19:52:53 GMT - 11/19/2014  
sf - with the FED I always get the impression they know there is some kind of huge problem just under the surface which they are scared witless will come out. What could that be? All the Gold is gone? (Looks pretty darn likely.) The U.S. needs to maintain offshore investor confidence at all costs (even at the cost of getting the Japanese to destroy their own currency and encouraging the ECB to do the same). I often wonder if we will ever find out what is really going on. I don't believe the statistics (deflation is an outright LIE) so you end up having to collect clues here and there to try and work it out. All I can say though is thank god for the internet. :-)


Paris ib  19:47:39 GMT - 11/19/2014  
CS - well then they should all be in jail. Honest to god is there anyone out there in a position of public trust these days who shouldn't be in jail? Make a list, I'm sure everyone in every country could add a dozen or so names without even trying.


gc sf  19:44:03 GMT - 11/19/2014  
the soviets tried to operate to a plan

the only plan I see from the FED is sheer panic every time the Stock Market drops.... they almost seem like AIG - trying to insure every risk at any price -- the only difference being they can print the money... and they are underwriting all the major players at the same time.


FW CS  19:42:33 GMT - 11/19/2014  
Ib
If the answer is incompetence than one of these times you think they would make a mistake in our favor but that rarely ever happens. Fed still in a corner. Probably will now see damage control by other fed officials watch the hawks come out again.


london red  19:38:44 GMT - 11/19/2014  
117.95 resisted once. if 70 holds will test again.


Sydney ACC  19:37:45 GMT - 11/19/2014  
Expecting top temperature of 35 centigrade in Sydney today. Its 6:37 and its already 23 degrees


PAR 19:35:51 GMT - 11/19/2014  
FED is like the former Soviet Plan Bureau , they keep allocating capital to the wrong sectors .


GVI Forex john   19:34:26 GMT - 11/19/2014  
re: recent poor weather yesterday was the coldest November day in NORTH AMERICA in nearly 40 years!

50% snow cover on the continent is over a month early. Significant snow cover leads to seasonal cold weather. Upstate N.Y. is expecting six feet (2 meters) of snow!

No doubt this is the fault of "global warming" again!


Paris ib  19:23:28 GMT - 11/19/2014  
CS - have you ever imagined what it's like to be in their shoes? I have. Either they are grossly incompetent and have no idea why 'things' are not working like they are 'supposed to' or they are deliberately taking down the economy. In the first case they are just totally confused and trying to look like they are in charge. In the second case they know their policies will have god awful results down the road and they have moved all their assets to Paraguay (or similar). Moi, I go with incompetence.


PAR 19:23:12 GMT - 11/19/2014  
Recent bad weather another reason to stay cautious .


FW CS  19:20:17 GMT - 11/19/2014  
ib
I think the Fed will continue to talk tough but not raise or raise ONCE then that is it. They cant raise without destroying the economy/bond market and they know it. Loss of confidence as you said their credibility took a big hit.


Paris ib  19:19:08 GMT - 11/19/2014  
JP - you may have noticed that economic conditions on what is casually termed 'the street' are not exactly stellar. This past decade and a half of FED speak and fiddling with short term rates and bond yields (QE) hasn't exactly yielded the results which were promised.

USD taking it on the chin. You a buyer then?


Mtl JP  19:17:59 GMT - 11/19/2014  
Rep. Steve Cohen, a Tennessee Democrat, at a House Judiciary Committee hearing, suggested a moat around the WH roughly six-feet wide may be “attractive” and “effective.”


Paris ib  19:15:52 GMT - 11/19/2014  
CS - agreed. Japan wanted and GOT a massive currency devaluation - for reasons which are not altogether clear. I'm not sure that the U.S. can go in for something like that. Japan still has a savings glut. The U.S. certainly does not. Either way I think the FED has really sunk in status this past decade. Indeed, since towards the end of the Greenspan era. Now they are getting to be a bit of a laughing stock. Not a good look.


GVI Forex john   19:15:04 GMT - 11/19/2014  
Bottom-line: Dovish Fed tone...


dc CB  19:14:55 GMT - 11/19/2014  
 
JP

they do give the Best Guidance.

WmBanzai7 needs to update this one with a Gammy Theme


Mtl JP  19:14:26 GMT - 11/19/2014  
credibility issue ... about what issue exactly ?


Paris ib  19:12:56 GMT - 11/19/2014  
PAR - I think u'll find the record was yesterday. So far today not so much.


Paris ib  19:11:51 GMT - 11/19/2014  
Out of bullets except for say backdoor QE which may or may not have an impact on the currency down the road. Do they have a credibility issue? God yes.


PAR 19:11:42 GMT - 11/19/2014  
Stocks at new record high after another round of extra dovish FOMC comments .


Mtl JP  19:11:22 GMT - 11/19/2014  
"guidance" - as long as players breathlessly await it - is still a bullet


FW CS  19:09:16 GMT - 11/19/2014  
ib
Their next move would be a Japan style QE announcement this current Fed is nothing but talk. They talk hawk but then do nothing at game time. So it was all a bluff


GVI Forex john   19:07:56 GMT - 11/19/2014  
press release

final paragraphs...

To support continued progress toward maximum employment and price stability, the Committee today reaffirmed its view that the current 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate remains appropriate. In determining how long to maintain this target range, the Committee will assess progress--both realized and expected--toward its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial developments. The Committee anticipates, based on its current assessment, that it likely will be appropriate to maintain the 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate for a considerable time following the end of its asset purchase program this month, especially if projected inflation continues to run below the Committee's 2 percent longer-run goal, and provided that longer-term inflation expectations remain well anchored. However, if incoming information indicates faster progress toward the Committee's employment and inflation objectives than the Committee now expects, then increases in the target range for the federal funds rate are likely to occur sooner than currently anticipated. Conversely, if progress proves slower than expected, then increases in the target range are likely to occur later than currently anticipated.

When the Committee decides to begin to remove policy accommodation, it will take a balanced approach consistent with its longer-run goals of maximum employment and inflation of 2 percent. The Committee currently anticipates that, even after employment and inflation are near mandate-consistent levels, economic conditions may, for some time, warrant keeping the target federal funds rate below levels the Committee views as normal in the longer run.

Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, October 28-29, 2014



Paris ib  19:07:16 GMT - 11/19/2014  
So slightly dovish. Next FOMC meeting what are they likely to do? Nothing at all. And the meeting after that. Same. And after that. Same. But we could examine their little statements for a clue about what? About what type of economic conditions the U.S. is likely to face in say 6 months? Yeah right. On hold till we get new economic information. Which is not likely in the very short term. No room for further easing in any case. They're out of bullets.


dc CB  19:06:55 GMT - 11/19/2014  
*FOMC OPTED NOT TO MENTION FINANCIAL MARKET TURMOIL AFTER DEBATE

they just sent Bullard Out to remind the markets about the Yellen Put..."The Bullard Bottom".

So what could they say in the Minutes...the Greenspan/Bernanke/ now Yellen PUT is alive and kicking the Short's Butt?


GVI Forex john   19:03:42 GMT - 11/19/2014  
U.S. Fed Policy Minutes






NEWS ALERT
U.S. Fed Policy Minutes
-- all but one was in favor of considerable time language

-- one opposed end of bond buying program in October

-- concern about lower inflation


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john   17:01:15 GMT - 11/19/2014  
CALENDAR CORRECTION: Fed Minutes are @ 19:00 GMT, NOT 18:00 GMT.

Sorry for the inconvenience!


GVI Forex john   16:55:54 GMT - 11/19/2014  


November 19, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, November 20. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP & CN- flash PMI, EZ- flash PMIs, GB- Retail Sales, EZ- Consumer Confidence, US- CPI, Weekly Jobless, flash mfg PMI, Philly Fed, Existing Homes Sales
  • Far East: JP & CN- flash PMI.
  • Europe: EZ- flash PMIs, GB- Retail Sales, CBI Ind Output, EZ- Consumer Confidence.
  • North America: US- CPI, Weekly Jobless, flash mfg PMI, Philly Fed, Existing Homes Sales, Lead Indicators, Nat Gas.




GVI Forex john   15:32:43 GMT - 11/19/2014  
US EIA Weekly Inventories




NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +2.610 vs. -1.000 exp vs. -1.740 prev.
Gasoline: +1.000 vs. + 0.500 exp vs. +1.800 prev.
Distillates: -2.100 vs. -1.500 exp vs. -2.800 prev.
Cap/Util: 91.2% vs. n/a exp vs. 90.10% prev.
Weekly Petroleum Status Report




TTN: Live News Special Offer


Mtl JP  13:46:41 GMT - 11/19/2014  
more like euro positive lol
1.26 should be Res


GVI Forex john   13:38:38 GMT - 11/19/2014  
Starts and Permits. Mixed data. On Balance USD positive?



GVI Forex john   13:30:44 GMT - 11/19/2014  
U.S. House Starts & Permits (000) October 2014




NEWS ALERT
Starts: 1009 vs. 1025 exp. vs. 1017 (r 1038) prev.
Permits: 1080 vs. 1038 exp. vs. 1031 prev.


New Residential Construction



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   09:30:23 GMT - 11/19/2014  
Latest BOE Policy Vote and Minutes

U.K. Charts



-- NEWS ALERT --

Rates:Tighten = 2 Unchanged =7 Ease =0
QE: Add = 0 Unchanged =9 Reduce =0


Bank of England




TTN: Live News Special Offer




GVI Forex john   21:37:12 GMT - 11/18/2014  
Weekly US API DatA




NEWS ALERT
(Estimates and Previous data for EIA Survey)
Crude Oil: +3.700 vs. -1.000 exp vs. -1.740 prev.
Gasoline: +0.520 vs. +0.500 exp vs. +1.800 prev.
Distillates: -3.000 vs. -1.500 exp vs. -2.800 prev.
Cap/Util: 89.90% vs. n/a exp vs. 90.10% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer



Paris ib  21:26:13 GMT - 11/18/2014  
China holdings down
Japan holdings down
Overall foreign holdings down

Treasuries held by foreigners



Paris ib  21:24:29 GMT - 11/18/2014  
According to this data foreigners increased their holdings of long term securities in the U.S. by 152 billion in the month of September alone BUT in the entire 12 months up to and including Sept the total buying was 51 billion. So foreigners bought way more in the month of Sept than in the entire year prior. This data is slightly strange IMVHO.

TIC data



Paris ib  21:16:11 GMT - 11/18/2014  
"The figures released showed China and Japan, the two largest foreign holders of Treasuries, reduced their stockpiles in September 2014. China’s holdings dropped $3.4 billion to $1.27 trillion, while Japan’s fell $9 billion to $1.22 trillion, the data showed......"


GVI Forex john   21:02:19 GMT - 11/18/2014  
U.S. TIC flows August 2014




ALERT

Net Capital Flows -55.6 USDb: n vs. n/a vs. +74.5 prev.
Long-Term Flows +164.38 USDb: vs. n/a exp. vs +52.1 prev.


RELEASE: U.S. TIC Data



TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john   18:37:32 GMT - 11/18/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
WEDNESDAY
04:30 JP Bank of Japan  policy decision
09:30 GB BOE Minutes  expect a dovish tone
13:30 US House Starts/Permits Leading indicators of Housing
18:00 FRB Fed Minutes  tone important
THURSDAY
01:45 CN HSBC flash PMI key sentiment measure
08:00 FR MFG PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:00 FR SVC PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:28 DE MFG PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:28 DE SVC PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:58 EZ flash MFG PMI key sentiment measure
08:58 EZ flash SVC PMI key sentiment measure
09:30 GB Ret Sls consumer demand
13:30 US CPI Fed targets inflation
13:30 US Initial Claims weekly jobless
14:45 US Mfg MKt PMI flash key sentiment measure
15:00 US Existing Homes Top Housing Statistics
15:30 US EIA Crude impacts crude prices
FRIDAY  
13:30 CA CPI BOC targets CPI
14:00 EZ Draghi expect a dovish tone



GVI Forex john   18:31:19 GMT - 11/18/2014  
It can't be good for the USD if Obama continues to steer away from the center.


GVI Forex john   18:28:01 GMT - 11/18/2014  
Obama spokesman says he will not support the Keystone XL pipeline bill.

Bill has passed House and is due for a Senate vote @ 18:00 EST. The Senate vote will be very close.

Obama playing to his left.


GVI Forex john   16:04:13 GMT - 11/18/2014  


November 18, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, November 19. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- BOJ Decision, GB- BOE Minutes, US- House Starts & Permits, Fed Minutes
  • Far East: JP- BOJ Decision.
  • Europe: GB- BOE Minutes.
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, House Starts & Permits, Fed Minutes.




GVI Forex john   15:02:14 GMT - 11/18/2014  
NAHB Index continues to outperform. Homebuilders are perpetual optimists.


GVI Forex john   15:00:17 GMT - 11/18/2014  
U.S. NAHB Index November 2014




NEWS ALERT
58 vs. 55 exp. vs. 54 prev.

RELEASE: NAHB Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   13:31:14 GMT - 11/18/2014  
U.S. PPI October 2014




NEWS ALERT
Headline: +0.20% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. -0.10% (r. ) prev.
Core: +0.40% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. 0.00% (r. ) prev.


RELEASE: Producer Price Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer


london red  10:58:33 GMT - 11/18/2014  
ib, they are printing money, they want to weaken their currency. they try this every few years and it always ends it tears but what else can they do. for me 120/12150 then i will reassess.


Paris ib  10:39:25 GMT - 11/18/2014  
John - sometimes the market just expects whatever just happened unexpectedly. Like a loop. But why new stimulus would be announced on the back of the surprise stimulus we just had doesn't make sense if you stop and think about it.

No announced new election date either. Bit of confusion over there in Japan it seems to me.


GVI Forex john   10:36:58 GMT - 11/18/2014  
Agree, I am not sure where those reports about a stimulus program were being sourced. I think he would have mentioned it by now?


Paris ib  10:36:11 GMT - 11/18/2014  
Calls of 145 and conspiracy theories:

"An easy explanation is that Japan is being ordered to destroy its currency in order to protect the over-printed US dollar. As a vassal state, Japan suffers under US political and financial hegemony and is powerless to resist Washington’s pressure."

Dr Roberts again



Paris ib  10:31:43 GMT - 11/18/2014  
After recent developments the idea that EVEN MORE new stimulus is to be announced is a bit far fetched. The BoJ has already jumped the shark (perhaps they knew the GDP before hand) to do any more would look like outright panic. Let's face it they have already panicked. Not a good look. Now they have to look at least semi in control. Or at least business like.


GVI Forex john   10:24:05 GMT - 11/18/2014  
No surprises from Abe so far: 18 mo delay of consumption tax, Snap elections to be called on Friday for Dec 21.

Nothing on new stimulus yet.


london red  09:45:10 GMT - 11/18/2014  
aldi and co continuing their invation of british supermarket space, causing a drag and no end in sight with brit firms alloting multi billion war chest to lower prices in combat. lower oil means continued lower ppi and cpi. weak eurgbp keeping inflationary prices at bay too.
great news for the xmas shopper.


GVI Forex john   09:42:15 GMT - 11/18/2014  
PM Abe speaking now earlier than expected...


GVI Forex john   09:38:50 GMT - 11/18/2014  
U.K. CPI & RPIX mixed to above expectations. GBPUSD up, but no new pressure on BOE to tighten.



U.K. Charts


GVI Forex john   09:35:26 GMT - 11/18/2014  
Inflation data a touch higher than expected, but they are seen lower in the near term as lower energy prices start to hit.


GVI Forex john   09:32:41 GMT - 11/18/2014  
October 2014 UK CPI/RPIX




-- NEWS ALERT --


CPI mm: +0.10% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. 0.00% prev.
CPI yy:+1.30% vs. +1.20% exp. vs. +1.20% prev.

RPIX yy: +2.40% vs. +2.30% exp. vs. +2.30% prev.

UK Core Output PPI
yy: +0.90% vs. +0.80% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.


RELEASE: Consumer Price Indices


TTN: Live News Special Offer




london red  09:27:39 GMT - 11/18/2014  
maybe better to travel than arrive in case of yen. hourly close not just spike abv new high 11706 would put that theory to bed, otherwise 11645/30 pullback maybe.


GVI Forex john   09:22:39 GMT - 11/18/2014  
Japan' PM Abe press conference due in an hour
Expect:
- Sales tax delay by 18mos
- Call for snap elections
- JPY 2-3 tlm stimulus package

Nothing new here USDJPY has already spiked higher.


GVI Forex john   22:39:15 GMT - 11/17/2014  


November 17, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, November 18. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: GB- CPI, DE- ZEW Survey, US- PPI
  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: GB- CPI, DE- ZEW Survey.
  • North America: US- PPI, NAHB Index, API.




GVI Forex john   21:56:40 GMT - 11/17/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
TUESDAY
09:30 GB CPI BOE targets inflation
13:30 US PPI inflation measure
21:00 US TIC Net Flows  capital flows
WEDNESDAY
04:30 JP Bank of Japan  policy
09:30 GB BOE Minutes
13:30 US House Starts/Permits Housing data
18:00 FRB Fed Minutes
THURSDAY
01:45 CN HSBC flash PMI key sentiment measure
08:00 FR MFG PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:00 FR SVC PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:28 DE MFG PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:28 DE SVC PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:58 EZ flash MFG PMI key sentiment measure
08:58 EZ flash SVC PMI key sentiment measure
09:30 GB Ret Sls consumer demand
13:30 US CPI Fed targets inflation
13:30 US Initial Claims weekly jobless
14:45 US Mfg MKt PMI flash key sentiment measure
15:00 US Existing Homes Top Housing Statistics
15:30 US EIA Crude impacts crude prices
FRIDAY  
13:30 CA CPI BOC targets CPI
14:00 EZ Draghi



Mtl JP  17:23:57 GMT - 11/17/2014  
for reference recent usdyen high at 117.04


Mtl JP  17:23:46 GMT - 11/17/2014  
for reference recent usdyen high at 117.04


Mtl JP  17:15:50 GMT - 11/17/2014  
on deck this week:
19/11/14 4:30 A JP Bank of Japan 0.10% 0.10%


GVI Forex john   16:56:56 GMT - 11/17/2014  
sf- agree 100% lots of moving parts...


gc sf  16:55:45 GMT - 11/17/2014  
John - we may have no data tomorrow - but I'm pretty sure Abe will be speaking/making announcements - we should have another volatile session tomorrow in Asia.

there still seems split readings on what this all means -- but ultimately it will be decided by the Nikkei move again.

a close here @116.45 is the worst possible result in terms of maintaining momentum .. which would mean the initial move will just gap higher/lower.


GVI Forex john   16:20:46 GMT - 11/17/2014  


November 17, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, November 18. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: GB- CPI, DE- ZEW Survey, US- PPI
  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: GB- CPI, DE- ZEW Survey.
  • North America: US- PPI, NAHB Index, API.




GVI Forex john   16:15:41 GMT - 11/17/2014  
but bonds are in competition with stocks. Its axiomatic. When stock prices go up bond prices go down.


Mtl JP  16:08:32 GMT - 11/17/2014  
stocks generally prefer cheaper n accessible money


NY JM  16:07:39 GMT - 11/17/2014  
Now stocks slipping...note JPY correlation


GVI Forex john   16:01:43 GMT - 11/17/2014  
The classic relationship is for bond yields to rise when stock prices rise. The two are in competition for the investor dollar. Works the other way also then equity prices fall.


london red  15:59:21 GMT - 11/17/2014  
Mental note to sell 15786 res, thats all i have JP. But i often have more patience than market, so if below 156 I will be left hoping for a one off event rather than technicals to get my entry this week.


USA YV  15:58:24 GMT - 11/17/2014  
I believe global wealth is restructurig until year end. Good for trading volatility, bad for reading synchronic markets


Mtl JP  15:49:00 GMT - 11/17/2014  
JM bond yields higher, stocks recovering is incongruent.
one is wrong


Mtl JP  15:39:12 GMT - 11/17/2014  
red 15:11 plz throw down a few billion here n there so that gbpdlr can reach my 76.4% fib on the daily...
x-mass s coming, need some toys and wnt 2 buy a pony for Livingston. tia


GVI Forex john   15:27:03 GMT - 11/17/2014  
Belgrade Knez 14:37 GMT 11/17/2014 John, can you post the link where one can watch Draghi speach please? Draghi Testimony

Draghi Webcast



NY JM  15:17:41 GMT - 11/17/2014  
US bond yields higher, stocks recovering, fx following despite weaker than expected data today


london red  15:11:30 GMT - 11/17/2014  
yen. possible bull trap thru intraday fib res at 11645. similar price action to bear trap thru 38.2 at 11607 earlier today.
euro. similarly bear trap in play thru 200 hour ma at 59. close abv at top of hour required to set it off, otherwise test of 39 pivot on the cards.


Mtl JP  14:47:21 GMT - 11/17/2014  
good time for Beppe Grillo to win his referendum on leaving the euro as soon as possible


GVI Forex 14:39:49 GMT - 11/17/2014  
No surprises from Draghi

09:11 (EU) ECB's Draghi: 2014 was a challenging year for monetary policy; outlook is increasingly sobering as growth weakened over the summer - quarterly update to EU Parliament
- Reiterates risks to economic outlook remain to the downside- Reiterates inflation in Euro Zone remains very low, reforms remain insufficient
- The turning point in credit growth is already behind us
- Reiterates ECB council in agreement that it can use more unconventional measures if necessary, but need more time to see the impact of the recent measures already taken- Sees early signs the credit package is delivering tangible benefits
- Additional measures to be taken could be changes in the size and composition of the balance sheet

- Source TradeTheNews.com


Mtl JP  14:39:22 GMT - 11/17/2014  
u massochist..
c JP 13:39 for webcast link


Belgrade Knez  14:37:33 GMT - 11/17/2014  

John,
can you post the link where one can watch Draghi speach please?



jkt abel  14:37:03 GMT - 11/17/2014  
:) thank you Draghi, selllllll euro


GVI Forex john   14:31:43 GMT - 11/17/2014  
Draghi comments NOT EUR supportive.


GVI Forex 14:30:42 GMT - 11/17/2014  
Draghi Testimony:
EZ growth momentum has weakened
Lack of structural reform downside risk to EZ
Willing to take more unconventional measures


GVI Forex john   14:26:50 GMT - 11/17/2014  
Industrial Production miss

10-yy 2.306% -1.2bp

2.30% in play??


Singapore SC  14:18:49 GMT - 11/17/2014  
eur$ weaker. Did Draghi say anything because US data was weak?


GVI Forex john   14:18:04 GMT - 11/17/2014  
U.S. Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization October 2014




ALERT
Ind Production: -0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +1.00% (r +0.80%) prev.
Capacity Utilization: 78.90% vs. 79.30% exp. vs. 79.30% (r 78.90%) prev.

RLEASE: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization



TTN: Live News Special Offer



More Charts


Mtl JP  13:39:42 GMT - 11/17/2014  
at Top of The Hour
Hearing at the European Parliament on 17 November 2014
At 15:00 p.m. CET Mario Draghi, President of the ECB, speaks in front of the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON) of the European Parliament.
Webcast


GVI Forex john   13:35:37 GMT - 11/17/2014  
Empire PMI November 2014




ALERT
10.16 vs. 12.0 vs. 6.2 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer


U.S. Charts: http://goo.gl/tQwKPr


manila tom  11:42:36 GMT - 11/17/2014  
i think usdjpy is still going up until xmas


Mtl JP  11:34:32 GMT - 11/17/2014  
numbnuts Abe and Kuroda are playing a confidence game with fiscal policy. MSM headlines were screaming shock and surprise when they opened the spiggot. Now for a second time MSM headlines are screaming shock and surprise. The third MSM shock and surprise screaming may very well come when market loses confidence.


manila tom  11:28:58 GMT - 11/17/2014  
JP if usdjpy 145, euro will be below parity?


london red  11:03:32 GMT - 11/17/2014  
not sure about that JP, have 120/12150 nxt yr not betting on higher til that tgt reached. abv 124 possibility of 135/140. lot of water to cross first.


Mtl JP  10:55:26 GMT - 11/17/2014  
red - lets help it ... not weaken but collapse
how does 145 usdyen sound ?


london red  10:47:45 GMT - 11/17/2014  
john, annualised -1.6% thats bad. exports continue to be subdued despite yen. they have no choice but to do more. it wont make any difference for japan, but they have to be seen doing something. so the yen will weaken further over the coming months.


GVI Forex john   10:10:23 GMT - 11/17/2014  
Blame inventories for the Japan GDP miss. Technical recession. Japan quarterly GDP reading of -0.40% is not annualized.


GVI Forex john   09:49:48 GMT - 11/17/2014  
EARLIER: preliminary 3Q14 GDP misses. More doubts about JPN sales tax increase.



GVI Forex john   09:43:05 GMT - 11/17/2014  
BREAKING NEWS: Japan 3Q14 GDP





Earlier NEWS ALERT

qq: -0.40% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. -1.80% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   14:43:56 GMT - 11/16/2014  
GLOBAL-VIEW FORUMS ARE EASY TO USE!

Click on the title of any post and you can see the complete discussion of a topic.

For Example, Click on the BREAKING NEWS title and you will get all the data news, charts, calendar posts, etc. for the current week.


GVI Forex john   14:38:16 GMT - 11/16/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
00:50 JP GDP qq 3Q14 0.50% -1.80%
MONDAY
08:00 EZ Draghi Testimomy in Brussels
14:15 US Ind Production manufacturing Output
TUESDAY
09:30 GB CPI BOE targets inflation
13:30 US PPI inflation measure
21:00 US TIC Net Flows  capital flows
WEDNESDAY
04:30 JP Bank of Japan  policy
09:30 GB BOE Minutes
13:30 US House Starts/Permits Housing data
18:00 FRB Fed Minutes
THURSDAY
01:45 CN HSBC flash PMI key sentiment measure
08:00 FR MFG PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:00 FR SVC PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:28 DE MFG PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:28 DE SVC PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:58 EZ flash MFG PMI key sentiment measure
08:58 EZ flash SVC PMI key sentiment measure
09:30 GB Ret Sls consumer demand
13:30 US CPI Fed targets inflation
13:30 US Initial Claims weekly jobless
14:45 US Mfg MKt PMI flash key sentiment measure
15:00 US Existing Homes Top Housing Statistics
15:30 US EIA Crude impacts crude prices
FRIDAY  
13:30 CA CPI BOC targets CPI
14:00 EZ Draghi



GVI Forex john   18:57:05 GMT - 11/14/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
00:50 JP GDP qq 3Q14 0.50% -1.80%
MONDAY
08:00 EZ Draghi Testimomy in Brussels
14:15 US Ind Production manufacturing Output
TUESDAY
09:30 GB CPI BOE targets inflation
13:30 US PPI inflation measure
21:00 US TIC Net Flows  capital flows
WEDNESDAY
04:30 JP Bank of Japan  policy
09:30 GB BOE Minutes
13:30 US House Starts/Permits Housing data
18:00 FRB Fed Minutes
THURSDAY
01:45 CN HSBC flash PMI key sentiment measure
08:00 FR MFG PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:00 FR SVC PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:28 DE MFG PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:28 DE SVC PMI flash key sentiment measure
08:58 EZ flash MFG PMI key sentiment measure
08:58 EZ flash SVC PMI key sentiment measure
09:30 GB Ret Sls consumer demand
13:30 US CPI Fed targets inflation
13:30 US Initial Claims weekly jobless
14:45 US Mfg MKt PMI flash key sentiment measure
15:00 US Existing Homes Top Housing Statistics
15:30 US EIA Crude impacts crude prices
FRIDAY  
13:30 CA CPI BOC targets CPI
14:00 EZ Draghi



Mtl JP  16:01:10 GMT - 11/14/2014  
ib , PAR... comedy break for your stress relief:

Attorney-general nominee Lynch could face questions on prosecuting banks

..."questions not only about whether banks are too big to jail but whether individual prosecutions will be pursued."...
-
jail banks ?


Paris ib  15:55:57 GMT - 11/14/2014  
Jay it's interesting to hear what the explanations are that are given out. The order does not explain the bounce in gold, the sell off on bond markets.....

It seems to me that a huge part of what is going on is a shift away from the Western domination of the global economy. Or at least an attempt to shift away. So we have the BRICs setting up their own development bank recently, the consistent move away from the use of the USD as a commercial currency and all the bilateral currency agreements being made by China, who is also purchasing all the deliverable Gold there is out there (though apparently Russia recently joined that train). And then we have the push back from the West or better Washington.... which (let's face it) has lived off Asian capital inflows for way too long. The readjustment might be painful but it is necessary.

Lame Duck



GVI Forex john   15:49:03 GMT - 11/14/2014  


November 14, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, November 17. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- GDP, EZ- Draghi, US- Industrial Production
  • Far East: JP- GDP
  • Europe: EZ- Draghi.
  • North America: US- Empire PMI, Industrial Production.




Mtl JP  15:45:17 GMT - 11/14/2014  
exactly what is a "drive buy order" ?
tia


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  15:43:39 GMT - 11/14/2014  
ib, just passing on what I heard - large drive buy order. maybe there is more to it but whatever the case, it caught the market with perfect timing.


Paris ib  15:39:18 GMT - 11/14/2014  
Real tradeable assets: that is bullion.


GVI Forex john   15:31:40 GMT - 11/14/2014  
US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)



ALERT
+40 vs. +35 exp vs. +91 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Paris ib  15:30:26 GMT - 11/14/2014  
Jay that's a bit glib as an explanation. I think we have larger and darker forces at work here. We have clear and obvious attempts to manipulate the market and that's been true for a while now. The latest attempt being the madness of the Japanese authorities. But they are far from alone in this insanity. Sooner or later attempt to manipulate the market fail. And anyone who is reasonable is sitting here waiting for the fall out and hoping not to get burnt.

What I know: sooner or later lending to world governments will look incredibly stupid, inflation will become obvious despite the best efforts of the statistics departments, the price of real tradeable assets will rise reflecting real demand and a very real and widespread lack of confidence in the 'authorities'. Currency markets are likely to go mad. Stocks are at risk.



PAR 15:26:07 GMT - 11/14/2014  
Rumors of SNB buying EUR before moving to negative interest rates . Better make some money on inside information ?


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  15:20:20 GMT - 11/14/2014  
Large buy order in EURUSD out of Asia caught this market short.


USA YV  15:19:11 GMT - 11/14/2014  
Can I hear comments on the recent anomoly of Positive Sentiment news spiking bonds and gold while trashing USD? Thanks a bundle.


GVI Forex john   15:10:18 GMT - 11/14/2014  
I never know what to make of the Sentiment surveys. If I were in manufacturing I feel it would be in my self interest to reply positively.


Maybe someone like nh has a good feel about whether sentiment surveys have much validity?


The U.S. election results just over a week ago were a very negative "sentiment survey"!


BD MI  15:05:31 GMT - 11/14/2014  
Is there news out?????????????????


GVI Forex john   15:03:17 GMT - 11/14/2014  
University of Michigan-Conference Board Sentiment. Preliminary September Michigan Survey up strongly. Data subject to revision in about two weeks.







GVI Forex john   15:01:27 GMT - 11/14/2014  
U.S. Business Inventories September 2014




ALERT
+0.30% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.20% (r +0.10%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


Central Kwun  14:56:59 GMT - 11/14/2014  
shame on US! so fake


GVI Forex john   14:55:13 GMT - 11/14/2014  
Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index November 2014





NEWS ALERT
89.4 vs. 87.5 exp. vs. 86.9 prev


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Mtl JP  14:49:06 GMT - 11/14/2014  
and thus it is best ignored


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  14:47:46 GMT - 11/14/2014  
U of M sentiment gets released to subscribers before we see it.


GVI Forex john   14:42:41 GMT - 11/14/2014  
University of Michigan Survey up next. Market expecting a stronger number. This is the first reading for November.


GVI Forex john   13:39:36 GMT - 11/14/2014  
U.S. Retail Sales. Stronger than expected.



GVI Forex john   13:32:51 GMT - 11/14/2014  
U.S. Advance Retail Sales October 2014




ALERT
+0.30% vs. -0.00% exp. vs. +0.60% pre
Ex-Auto: +0.60% v +0.30% exp. v -0.30% pre


PRESS RELEASE: U.S. Advance Retail Sales



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   13:31:09 GMT - 11/14/2014  
U.S. Import Prices October 2014




NEWS ALERT
-1.30% vs. -1.20% exp. vs. -0.50% (r -0.60%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john   12:52:35 GMT - 11/14/2014  
GLOBAL-VIEW FORUMS ARE EASY TO USE!

Click on the title of any post and you can see the complete discussion of a topic.

For Example, Click on the BREAKING NEWS title and you will get all the data news, charts, calendar posts, etc. for the current week.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  11:57:20 GMT - 11/14/2014  
US retail sales data for October will provide the first official reading on consumer spending in Q4. Retail spending fell by 0.3% in September possibly due in part to an earlier than usual Labor day holiday. We forecast a 0.4% rebound in October, driven by stronger car sales. Dealer reports already suggest that these rose last month.

Lloyds Bank Daily Economic Outlook


Paris ib  10:26:09 GMT - 11/14/2014  
The officially deemed level of inflation out there bears no relation to the actual rise in prices. As for petrol prices, they are high and have not gone down. In Italy extra taxes have pushed them up to record levels. Deflation? Not a chance.

Of course as long as inflation is 'deemed' to be low 'real' GDP growth is higher than it would otherwise be. What's not to like?


GVI Forex john   10:16:59 GMT - 11/14/2014  
EZ 3Q14 GDP. Preliminary data stronger than expected.




Global-VIew EZ and German Charts


GVI Forex john   10:14:07 GMT - 11/14/2014  
EZ Final HICP. Headline HICP unrevised. Headline CPI ECB target.




Global-VIew EZ and German Charts


GVI Forex john   10:04:55 GMT - 11/14/2014  
Final EZ HICP (CPI) October 2014





ALERT
mm: -0.10% vs. +0.00% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.
yy: +0.40% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.

HICP core
yy: +0.70% vs. +0.80% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john   10:01:20 GMT - 11/14/2014  
Eurozone GDP 3Q2014





ALERT
qq: +0.20% vs +0.10% exp. vs. -0.20% (r ) prev.
yy: +0.80% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +1.20% (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


target="_blank">Eurozone GDP Data


GVI Forex john   09:32:37 GMT - 11/14/2014  
German GDP data were as expected...

EZ GDP at the top of the hour


GVI Forex john   09:17:05 GMT - 11/14/2014  
German GDP 3Q14




Earlier NEWS Release
QQ: +0.10% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. -0.20% (r %)prev.
yy: +1.20% vs. +1.10% exp. vs. +1.20% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


Dillon AL  23:18:12 GMT - 11/13/2014  
There you have it in a nutshell ACC. Those companies believe they are better at managing that money than their investors but the reality is the only reason for buy-backs is to improve EPS. That does not help the economy


Sydney ACC  22:57:17 GMT - 11/13/2014  
But what of the billions stashed away by the likes of Apple, Google, Microsoft et al.

Unless this money is used to buy back their own shares which indirectly returns the funds to the equity market it is invested in the money markets earning miniscule rates of return.

I rarely see comments regarding these unproductive funds which could be used by shareholders to invest in other companies possibly more productively.


Dillon AL  22:49:39 GMT - 11/13/2014  
So taking the article. The bank that never sleeps says that there is benefit but the reality is they mention a slowing economy so the benefit will be saved not spent.
Ditto same point about Grossenburg why would he not just keep the money rather than spend it.
And as for farmers hauling their crops to market benefiting well yes but they got hurt this last year with falling grain prices so I do not believe that the economy will benefit from what essentially is worth to the man / woman in the street somewhere around 400-500 bucks per year assuming a weekly fill up
The turn down in the economy will make people cautious.


dc CB  22:29:38 GMT - 11/13/2014  
“If oil prices stay between $75 and $95 a barrel, we would see the kind of stimulus package that the Federal Reserve or Congress could never do,”

The owner of Grossenburg Implement, a farm equipment business, Mr. Grossenburg sends his small fleet of trucks hundreds of miles from his main location in the small town of Winner, S.D., every day during the fall harvest season. Grossenburg Implement consumes roughly 250,000 gallons of diesel and gasoline a year, he said, so the savings at the pump could lift the company’s annual profit by $100,000

Lower Oil Prices Give a Lift to the American Economy



GVI Forex john   22:06:58 GMT - 11/13/2014  


November 13, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, November 14. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: DE- GDP, EZ- GDP, Final HICP, US- Import Prices, Retail Sales, University of Michigan, Business Inventories
  • Far East: JP- No Major Data
  • Europe: DE- GDP, EZ- GDP, Final HICP
  • North America: US- Import Prices, Retail Sales, University of Michigan, Business Inventories, Natural Gas, COT Report




Mtl JP  21:48:44 GMT - 11/13/2014  
dc CB from that chart when is crude and refined gasoline going to be sold at $0.00 ? or, better yet: consumers be paid $0.02 to fill their tanks?
you know... in keeping with banks' negative rates theme


dc CB  21:45:05 GMT - 11/13/2014  
 
14:55 US U Mich prelim Key sentiment Survey

should be off the charts


GVI Forex john   20:49:43 GMT - 11/13/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
FRIDAY
7:00 DE GDP key German statistic
10:00 EZ 3Q14 GDP key EZ statistician
10:00 EZ HICP final EZ October CPI
13:30 US Retail Sales consumer demand
14:55 US U Mich prelim Key sentiment Survey
 



GVI Forex john   16:03:01 GMT - 11/13/2014  
US EIA Weekly Inventories



NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -1.740 vs. +0.500 exp vs. +0.460 prev.
Gasoline: +1.800 vs. +0.500 exp vs. -1.210 prev.
Distillates: -2.800 vs. -1.500 exp vs. -1.380 prev.
Cap/Util: 90.1% vs. n/a exp vs. 88.40% prev.
Weekly Petroleum Status Report




TTN: Live News Special Offer


london red  15:34:06 GMT - 11/13/2014  
euro. current day high about right for triangle top. so if to move higher it will run a few stops (any new high constitutes/qualifies as higher) to 125 plus but selling 10-20 with stop over 35 should work. if wrong you are looking at a move towards last weeks high, the importance of which has been highlighted by viies. but they wont bust that ahead of tomorrow gdp.


PAR 15:32:48 GMT - 11/13/2014  
WTI approaching $ 75 .


GVI Forex john   15:28:13 GMT - 11/13/2014  
JOLTS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey

These data serve as demand-side indicators of labor shortages at the national level. Prior to JOLTS, there was no economic
indicator of the unmet demand for labor with which to assess the presence or extent of labor shortages in the United States. The availability of unfilled jobs—the job openings rate—is an important measure of the tightness of job markets, parallel to existing measures of unemployment.


PAR 15:15:33 GMT - 11/13/2014  
Keyword is " DISAGREEMENTS " .


GVI Forex 15:13:05 GMT - 11/13/2014  
Pop in EURUSD nay have come from this (which seems like damage control but market reacted anyway)

10:05 (EU) ECB's Liikanen (Finland) says last week's report of tensions between Draghi and other ECB council members is inaccurate - press interview
- Denies the report that Draghi and Germany's Weidmann are not getting along.
- Liikanen says discussions at the ECB meeting last week was civilized, and disagreements are a normal part of the policy discussion and process.

- Source TradeTheNews.com


GVI Forex john   15:09:30 GMT - 11/13/2014  
Fed said to watch the JOLTS Data very closely for policy purposes.




PAR 15:04:43 GMT - 11/13/2014  
Jobless claims approaching the magical 300000 number .


GVI Forex john   15:01:04 GMT - 11/13/2014  
U.S. BLS JOLTS Survey September 2014



ALERT
Job Openings:
mln: 4.73 vs. 4.75 exp. vs. 4.84 prev (r 4.850 ) rev.

BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary




Mtl JP  14:34:52 GMT - 11/13/2014  
not wanting to sound facetious but would the non-political SNB not be first more concerned with the strength of chf rather than that of the euro ?


GVI Forex john   14:30:17 GMT - 11/13/2014  
Chatter SNB is actively supporting the !.2000 EURCHF peg. That means they are buying EUR for CHF. In other words they want the EUR to strengthen vs. the CHF.

Indirectly, I would suppose this is EURUSD supportive.


Mtl JP  13:54:27 GMT - 11/13/2014  
awww.... what is a 12,000 rise in initial jobless claims besides noise ?


GVI Forex john   13:44:31 GMT - 11/13/2014  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims about at frictional lows...



Click on chart for over ten-year history


PRESS RELEASE: U.S. Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims


GVI Forex john   13:32:23 GMT - 11/13/2014  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims



NEWS ALERT

Initial Claims (000)
290K vs. 280K exp. vs. 278K (r n/a K) prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
2.392 vs. 2.320 exp. vs. 2.348 (r 2.356) prev.
Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   13:25:10 GMT - 11/13/2014  
November 13 Speech--Chair Janet L. Yellen
Welcoming Remarks At the European Central Bank, Federal Reserve Board, and Federal Reserve Bank of New York Conference: Global Research Forum on International Macroeconomics and Finance, Washington, D.C.
No Q&A

12:45 p.m. ET 17:45 GMT


GVI Forex john   09:57:02 GMT - 11/13/2014  
EARLIER: German final HICP unchanged from flash report




GVI Forex john   09:53:16 GMT - 11/13/2014  

BREAKING NEWS: German HICP (CPI) final October 2014




Earlier NEWS Release
mm: -0.30% vs. -0.30% exp. vs. -0.30% prev.
yy:+0.70% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +0.70% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john   22:43:56 GMT - 11/12/2014  


November 12, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, November 12. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Industrial Output, DE- final HICP, US- Weekly Jobless, JOLTS Survey, 30-yr Auction
  • Far East: JP- Industrial Output
  • Europe: DE- final HICP.
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, JOLTS Survey, Weekly Crude, 30-yr Auction.




GVI Forex john   21:38:26 GMT - 11/12/2014  
Weekly US API DatA



NEWS ALERT
(Estimates and Previous data for EIA Survey)
Crude Oil: -1.500 vs. +0.500 exp vs. +0.460 prev.
Gasoline: +1.100 vs. +0.500 exp vs. -1.210 prev.
Distillates: -1.300 vs. -1.500 exp vs. -1.380 prev.
Cap/Util: 90.2% vs. N/A exp vs. 89.20% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john   20:42:23 GMT - 11/12/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
THURSDAY
5:30 JP Ind Out construction
7:00 DE HICP German CPI
13:30 US Initial Claims Weekly jobs data
17:00 UST 30-yr Auction
FRIDAY
7:00 DE GDP key German statistic
10:00 EZ 3Q14 GDP key EZ statistician
10:00 EZ HICP final EZ October CPI
13:30 US Retail Sales consumer demand
14:55 US U Mich prelim Key sentiment Survey
 



GVI Forex john   15:01:07 GMT - 11/12/2014  
U.S. Wholesale Inventories September 2014




ALERT
+0.30% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.70% (r +0.60% ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john   14:38:24 GMT - 11/12/2014  


November 12, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, November 13. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Industrial Output, DE- final HICP, US- Weekly Jobless, JOLTS Survey, 30-yr Auction
  • Far East: JP- Industrial Output
  • Europe: DE- final HICP.
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, JOLTS Survey, Weekly Crude, 30-yr Auction.




GVI Forex john   14:36:40 GMT - 11/12/2014  
GLOBAL-VIEW FORUMS ARE EASY TO USE!

Click on the title of any post and you can see the complete discussion of a topic.

For Example, Click on the BREAKING NEWS title and you will get all the data news, charts, calendar posts, etc. for the current week.


GVI Forex 14:21:08 GMT - 11/12/2014  
09:12 (EU) ECB's Draghi: level of unemployment in Euro Zone remains unacceptably high; reiterates interest rates expected to remain low for a long period of time
- High unemployment is hampering growth
- ECB remains committed to expanding its balance sheet, and can take additional unconventional policy actions if we see medium term inflation expectations worsen

. - Source TradeTheNews.com


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  13:56:46 GMT - 11/12/2014  




NEWS ALERT
TTN reports Draghi may be speaking at a conference in Rome so stay alert.


NY JM  13:23:37 GMT - 11/12/2014  
Double bottom around 1.5811


Mtl JP  13:20:40 GMT - 11/12/2014  
 
gbp's risk / opportunity around 1.58
initial 1.5720-ish on the downside


Mtl JP  13:13:50 GMT - 11/12/2014  
JM keep a close eye on your ol' favorite - whole number, 1.58.
If that cracks suggest using fibs for targets / support


NY JM  12:41:15 GMT - 11/12/2014  
There were bottom pickers at 1.5872-75, 1.5847-50 and then again at 1.5810-15. The last ones have the best chance as long as 1.5790-00+ trades but must be some underwater longs hoping for a bounce

EURGBP offsets have kept EURUSD above 1.2450 but upside so far capped by 1.2480.


Mtl JP  12:31:45 GMT - 11/12/2014  
 
some GBP levels 4 u 2 pick


UK CH  12:12:11 GMT - 11/12/2014  
What the aargh!! GBPUSD down 130 pips --- key support is around 1.5790 so maybe we see 1.5800-20 holds. Nice bloodbath.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  11:22:40 GMT - 11/12/2014  
This is not a USD centric market

Notice how EURUSD caught a bid when GBP slipped following the BOE inflation report as EURGBP firmed

USDJPY has barely moved as GBPJPY slipped as well as other GBP crosses


GVI Forex 10:39:34 GMT - 11/12/2014  
GBP slips following BOE inflation report


GVI Forex john   10:39:16 GMT - 11/12/2014  
BOE Inflation Report



-- NEWS ALERT --

BOE Inflation Report
Lowers CPI forecasts. Keeps GDP growth forecast at 2.50%. Says market sees first rate hike in 3Q2015. When rates rise, the increase will be gradual.

Bank of England




TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john   10:02:17 GMT - 11/12/2014  
Eurozone Industrial Output September 2014





NEWS ALERT

mm: +0.60% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. -1.80% (r -1.40% ) prev.
yy: +0.60% vs. -0.20% exp. vs. -1.90% (r-0.50% ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john   09:42:31 GMT - 11/12/2014  
U.K. Charts


U.K. Claimant Unemployment falls exactly expected. Unemployment steady. (Declining Claimant Count is stronger and vice-versa).




GVI Forex john   09:32:13 GMT - 11/12/2014  
U.K. Employment Data September/October 2014




-- NEWS ALERT --

Claimants (000): -20.4 vs. -20.0 exp. vs. -18.6 (r 18.4) pre
Unemployment: 6.00%vs. 5.90% exp. vs. 6.00% pre
Avg Earnings (x-bonus): +1.30% v +1.10% exp. v +0.90% pre
Avg Earnings (+ Bonus): +1.00% v +0.90% v +0.70% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer


Mtl JP  01:51:35 GMT - 11/12/2014  
because hope springs eternal perhaps numbnuts Abe's political popularity (mis)fortunes will do him in


dc CB  23:48:42 GMT - 11/11/2014  
 
APEC
WilliamBanzai7


tokyo ginko  23:10:50 GMT - 11/11/2014  
Japan will only sink when there is no more tuna to eat.


Mtl JP  23:06:53 GMT - 11/11/2014  
Japan will be news when it sinks and disappears.
Either into an economic black hole or into a crevice in the ocean.


NY JM  23:03:08 GMT - 11/11/2014  
Abe news is not news. Market traded on it already.


Mtl JP  22:50:38 GMT - 11/11/2014  
john 21:46 lol, in an indirect and subtle way you are calling currency warrior Abe a political whore. As long as he sticks to ccy war and does not wake up harsh feelings in other spirits that would engage numnuts Abe's Japan in a financial war to destroy it economically or, more dramatically, to find the real reason why Japan sits on The Ring of Fire (Susano)


dc CB  22:32:01 GMT - 11/11/2014  
The ABE WOOOOOOOO
aided by the Kurda (sp) BOJ Captain of the Cheerleading Squad

11633 and BEYOND. 120 121 125 130 140 150 180 200

Kirk: engines full. It's on ...Currency War.

WARP Speed Cptn, don't know it I can hold her!

USD/JPY



GVI Forex john   21:46:53 GMT - 11/11/2014  
REPORT: Japan's PM Abe to delay Sales Tax increase to April 2017.
May call snap elections within a month.


GVI Forex john   21:29:52 GMT - 11/11/2014  


November 11, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, November 12. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: GB- Unemployment, BOE Inflation Report, EZ- Industrial Production, US- 10-yr Auction
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB- Unemployment, BOE Inflation, EZ- Industrial Production.
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, Wholesale Inventories, 10-yr Auction.




gc sf  21:01:22 GMT - 11/11/2014  
well thanks John - that just means we wont be doing much till tokyo then .. may as well go walk the dog now.


GVI Forex john   20:52:31 GMT - 11/11/2014  
RBNZ: Kiwi remains elevated. Exchange rate could fall further.


GVI Forex john   16:52:11 GMT - 11/11/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
WEDNESDAY
9:30 GB Employment Major statistic
9:30 GB BOE Inflation Report insight to BOE policy
17:00 TRY 10-yr Auction
THURSDAY
5:30 JP Ind Out construction
7:00 DE HICP German CPI
13:30 US Initial Claims Weekly jobs data
16:00 US EIA Crude
17:00 UST 30-yr Auction
FRIDAY
7:00 DE GDP key German statistic
10:00 EZ 3Q14 GDP key EZ statistician
10:00 EZ HICP final EZ October CPI
13:30 US Retail Sales consumer demand
14:55 US U Mich prelim Key sentiment Survey
 



GVI Forex john   14:33:00 GMT - 11/11/2014  


November 11, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, November 12. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: GB- Unemployment, BOE Inflation Report, EZ- Industrial Production, US- 10-yr Auction
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB- Unemployment, BOE Inflation, EZ- Industrial Production.
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, Wholesale Inventories, 10-yr Auction.




GVI Forex john   22:14:41 GMT - 11/10/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
TUESDAY
CA/US (partial) Holiday
WEDNESDAY
9:30 GB Employment Major statistic
9:30 GB BOE Inflation Report insight to BOE policy
15:30 US EIA Crude
17:00 TRY 10-yr Auction
THURSDAY
5:30 JP Ind Out construction
7:00 DE HICP German CPI
13:30 US Initial Claims Weekly jobs data
17:00 UST 30-yr Auction
FRIDAY
7:00 DE GDP key German statistic
10:00 EZ 3Q14 GDP key EZ statistician
10:00 EZ HICP final EZ October CPI
13:30 US Retail Sales consumer demand
14:55 US U Mich prelim Key sentiment Survey
 



GVI Forex john   19:56:56 GMT - 11/10/2014  
U.S. Holidays November 11, 2014
Foreign Exchange & Interest Rates closed
Equities, Commodities open

Calendar is for futures.

In essence, Banks and government offices are closed.


GVI Forex john   16:10:54 GMT - 11/10/2014  


November 10, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, November 11. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: CA/US- Holidays
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data.
  • North America: US/CA- Holidays.




GVI Forex john   10:07:42 GMT - 11/10/2014  
EARLIER China CPI. Tame inflation.



GVI Forex john   10:03:42 GMT - 11/10/2014  
BREAKING NEWS: China CPI October 2014





Earlier
CPI yy: +1.60% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. +1.60% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john   20:47:51 GMT - 11/09/2014  


November 7, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, November 10. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: CN- CPI, US- 3-yr auction
  • Far East: CN- CPI.
  • Europe: No Major Data.
  • North America: US- 3-yr auction.




GVI Forex john   19:19:20 GMT - 11/08/2014  
GLOBAL-VIEW FORUMS ARE EASY TO USE!

Click on the title of any post and you can see the complete discussion of a topic.

For Example, Click on the BREAKING NEWS title and you will get all the data news, charts, calendar posts, etc. for the current week.


GVI Forex john   19:17:40 GMT - 11/08/2014  
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):

MONDAY
17:00 TRY 30yr Auction
TUESDAY
CA/US Holiday
WEDNESDAY
9:30 GB Employment Major statistic
9:30 GB BOE Inflation Report insight to BOE policy
15:30 US EIA Crude
17:00 TRY 10-yr Auction
THURSDAY
5:30 JP Ind Out construction
7:00 DE HICP German CPI
13:30 US Initial Claims Weekly jobs data
17:00 UST 30-yr Auction
FRIDAY
7:00 DE GDP key German statistic
10:00 EZ 3Q14 GDP key EZ statistician
10:00 EZ HICP final EZ October CPI
13:30 US Retail Sales consumer demand
14:55 US U Mich prelim Key sentiment Survey
 






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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