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london red  08:00:48 GMT - 11/20/2014  
role reversal and usdjpy is dragging nikkei lower. nikkei stopped moving higher some time ago. vs nikkei alone fair value is around 117.10. a break of support at 118.38 suggests temporarary top.


gc sf  08:12:24 GMT - 11/20/2014  
seems short term range

28/33 - 65/66 .. till this Nikkei Situation is resolved.

if that support broke i'd agree we would at least see down to 82-85.

turned into a much more interesting day than normal.

(still say the closing level will signal what happens tomorrow)


Paris ib  08:27:07 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Trade data released overnight confirmed that Japan is eating Asia's lunch post Kuroda.

The China slowdown continues (surprise NOT), the iron ore slump accelerates and Aussie takes another hit. We have a full on currency based trade war taking place in Asia and the ramifications are likely to be ugly. Does China devalue next?

China Flash PMI

Interesting about the Nikkei. High was on the 14th of this month while other markets continued the celebration (of what?) of beggar-thy-neighbour currency devaluations? I forgot Japan was supposed to send all this money overseas. Yeah right.

Japan's Exports rise



gc sf  09:09:46 GMT - 11/20/2014  
You can see people have the mindset to buy $yen at every chance

but these xxx/jpy can chew you up and spit you out - if you overbuy them too much.

it really is going to boil down to what NYK does with these Stock Markets... and whether those re-align or not with $Yen.


london red  09:17:51 GMT - 11/20/2014  
impressive rally but just come up to res at prev high of 71. needs to clear this for second test of 119 barrier otherwise 50 retest.


gc sf  09:48:58 GMT - 11/20/2014  
just too much profit taking in the eur/jpy for the $yen to handle on its own.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  10:15:40 GMT - 11/20/2014  
SF great insight just now on USDJPY and EURJPY


gc sf  11:10:41 GMT - 11/20/2014  
this will be answered today .... is $yen really a bull market or not .. it will make a new high near 119.10 if yes and close near there -- if not it will top out @65 and run down to 117.15-20.

I don't see how the resolution will be a close in this 118.20-50 area -- the flows/buying has been relentless - so either they double/triple up and force this back up .. or it is a liquidation.


Paris ib  11:15:13 GMT - 11/20/2014  
sf - It's been a huge trend. You think we resolve this today?


nw kw  11:17:39 GMT - 11/20/2014  
compare xaujpy to xauusd //xaujpy is at channel resistance so xaujpy needs to go to the xstream I dowt it


gc sf  11:31:18 GMT - 11/20/2014  
100% yes imo -- Friday is usually the biggest day in $yen where the market never deviates by more than 20 pips... in direction.

so in NYK we will see Stocks align with $yen or $yen align with Stocks .. and we will see our 150 points tomorrow.

117.15/118.65 or 118.50/120 ... there really is nothing in between for me.

Also in xxx/jpy 185 148 102 93 ... just about every major cross big figure is in play today.


jkt abel  11:36:16 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Nothing to worry about. Today, if anything, just provide a very good entry to go long some more, tomorrow will see a good blast to finish the week in a strong higher high.


GVI Forex john   11:50:49 GMT - 11/20/2014  
 
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gc sf  11:55:12 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Abel .. the main thing for tomorrow is we get our 150 points regardless of direction - see how it goes o/n.


hk peter  13:51:48 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Support level in usdjpy pls?


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  13:56:17 GMT - 11/20/2014  
117.82 = daily pivot
117.64 = 38.2% of 115.46-118.98


Paris ib  14:17:18 GMT - 11/20/2014  
sf - 100% yes. So major top in USD/JPY today. With other land marks likely. Buckle up people. :-))


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  14:20:01 GMT - 11/20/2014  
USDJPY low so far at 117.84 is 2 pips above the 117.82 pivot. 118 clearly sets the tone


Singapore SC  14:29:14 GMT - 11/20/2014  
What do you guys show as the post fomc mins low? I have 117.35-40 but do not trust my source.


london red  14:36:53 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Couple of hourly trendl


london red  14:38:27 GMT - 11/20/2014  
Couple of hourly trendlines at 11768 and 40. But would expect to 11700/10 to be more supportive with a test of 11770/95.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  14:39:27 GMT - 11/20/2014  
 
117.36 post-minutes low according to this one hour chart


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  02:30:27 GMT - 11/21/2014  
As posted earlier:

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:39:27 GMT - 11/20/2014
117.36 post-minutes low according to this one hour chart



nw kw  02:34:08 GMT - 11/21/2014  
USD Building Permits (MoM) (OCT)
Medium
4.8% 0.9% 2.8%

most aren't pricing this in I do have lumber retrace so I still see usd strength


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  02:42:47 GMT - 11/21/2014  
Low so far 117.35


gc sf  05:08:00 GMT - 11/21/2014  
Nikkei making new daily high






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