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GVI Forex john   10:00:00 GMT - 12/31/2014  

31 December-- 09:55 GMT- Current Market Conditions
Markets are in a MIXED RISK posture in Europe heading into New Years Day. Some markets were closed today and most of the rest  will close early. North America will put in a half-day session. Far East equity markets closed mixed today. Major European share markets are mixed. Key interest rates are steady.  In forex, the USD and EUR are mixed. Gold and oil are down.  U.S. equity futures are up.

The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

GVI Forex john   16:53:59 GMT - 12/31/2014  

31 December-- 17:00 GMT- Current Market Conditions
Markets are in a MIXED RISK heading into New Years Day. Some markets were closed. North America will put in a full-session. Far East equity markets closed mixed today. Major European share markets closed mixed. Key interest rates are steady. In forex, the USD and EUR are mixed. Gold and oil are down.† U.S. equities are up.

The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

GVI Forex john   19:14:37 GMT - 12/31/2014  
Bond market closing the year at 2.172% -83bp. (y/y)

A year ago, I predicted the 10-yr would be at or above 3.50% on this date with the Fed tapering having finished. Also we saw U.S. 3q14 GDP at +5.00%+

the 10-yr finished 2013 at 3.00%. Hard to figure current levels, especially on the back of rising equity prices.

Equities trade a normal session today.

Mtl JP  19:55:02 GMT - 12/31/2014  
john 19:14 - here is a dollar chart to contemplate for 2015

It has both +ive and -ive interest implications.
Chose the right side and you ll make out like a central banker bandit by same time next year - if not own the world !
Cheers , may 2015 be good 2 u !

dc CB  20:15:15 GMT - 12/31/2014  
30Y at the end of 2015


dc CB  20:58:59 GMT - 12/31/2014  
Happy New Year ya'll

cheers Zeus
cheer William Banzai7

Welcome 2015: Youkali

But Wait but wait but wait Kevin Henry You have Failed US

dc CB  21:11:14 GMT - 12/31/2014  
Is this from the Newest Hunger Games Script...Hacked by those nasty North Koreans???

""There are times when an investor has no choice but to behave as though he believes in things that don't necessarily exist. For us, that means being willing to be long risk assets in the full knowledge of two things: that those assets may have no qualitative support; and second, that this is all going to end painfully. The good news is that mankind clearly has the ability to suspend rational judgment long and often... He who hangs on to truth has lost. The economic truth of today no longer offers me much solace; I am taking the blue pills now."

GVI Forex john   21:31:04 GMT - 12/31/2014  
Closing Levels for 2014...

dc CB  00:20:38 GMT - 01/01/2015  

"trading the futures market against Central Banks is like playing no limit poker against a billionaire. You will always be run out of the market and the market will be controlled by those that can print money for margin (or the next ante),"

dc CB  00:23:59 GMT - 01/01/2015  

Money for nothin' and chicks for free

Mtl JP  01:24:10 GMT - 01/02/2015  
a gap ...

Dillon AL  02:26:47 GMT - 01/02/2015  
If that gap that you show (which does not appear on my vendor charts) gets closed it will be a sell. Whilst it remains open then go back and look at the gap around 112.50 to see what happens next and how history can be repeated but with different prices

Mtl JP  15:57:45 GMT - 01/02/2015  
mind the dlryen gap

nw kw  16:19:10 GMT - 01/02/2015  
DXY vs real 5s... Divergence like Sept/oct... could put the brakes on USD rally for a short time

jkt abel  16:22:50 GMT - 01/02/2015  
JP, gap closed

Mtl JP  16:30:37 GMT - 01/02/2015  
thks abel, prudence is the wise word of advice
my chart says not yet

jkt abel  16:38:07 GMT - 01/02/2015  
a lot of fingers burned badly trading cable today IMO, lots of prisoners above 1.5470 so expect that to cap the upside for the rest of January

Mtl JP  15:08:45 GMT - 01/04/2015  
john 19:14 GMT December 31, 2014 re your A year ago, I predicted ...

as long as you did not hold a position trade on that prediction ...
I personally invite you to consider and ponder
JP 19:40 GMT January 2, 2015
Week Ahead: Reply
Two 64 Thousand Dollar yes/no Questions :

1) will the FED hike rates this 2015 year
2) will the FED restart printing i.e. QE in 2015

to help you, suggest reading the Q1 vs Q3 reports for comparison and changes
Quarterly Report on Bank Derivatives Activities , courtesy of OCC

GVI Forex john   15:18:43 GMT - 01/04/2015  
1) yes. I feel the Fed is committed to the start of policy normalization.

2) no. need QE does nothing anyway. Its a waste of time.

Mtl JP  16:05:30 GMT - 01/04/2015  
john some say there is consolation in group-think:

U.S. Bond Sentiment Is Worst Since Disastrous í09 - bbrg Dec 29, 2014

Get ready for a disastrous year for U.S. government bonds. Thatís the message forecasters on Wall Street are sending. .../..
Lets kill it and make a filthy fortune in the process !

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