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GVI Forex john bland  01:01:44 GMT - 01/01/2016  
China NBS PMI December 2015





EARLIER: China PMI's
NBS: 49.70 vs. 49.90 exp vs. 49.80 prev.


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GVI Forex john bland  18:10:35 GMT - 12/31/2015  
Big slide in Canadian rigs


GVI Forex john bland  18:05:33 GMT - 12/31/2015  
US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT

U.S. Total (gas +Oil) 698 vs 700
Canada 83 vs. 162
US: 536 vs. 538 prev.


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Livingston nh  17:29:50 GMT - 12/31/2015  
The US may find out that the "new" improved sanctions (soft power) play right into the hands of the oil nations - and the Climate Changers -- and the Fed -- nobody wants cheap oil anymore

Iran is still using a copy of the successful NK Playbook to diddle the US

The risk is that US sanctions on Russia and Iran may be ignored by most of its allies so enforcement becomes questionable - if that happens you can't put the toothpaste back in the tube // never ever confuse a suggestion with a law -- enforcement is the key -otherwise "so what who cares" is the response

VERY USD negative


GVI Forex john bland  17:06:06 GMT - 12/31/2015  
Higher oil helps S&P. Higher stocks are often a weight on EURUSD.


GVI Forex john bland  17:04:43 GMT - 12/31/2015  
Oil getting a lift on reports Iranian President Rouhani ordered an expansion of the missile program in response to U.S. sanctions- IRNA


GVI Forex john bland  15:30:23 GMT - 12/31/2015  
US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-58 vs. -57 exp vs. -32 prev.


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GVI Forex john bland  14:50:45 GMT - 12/31/2015  
if these PMIs have any validity, the U.S. pretty clearly moved into a manufacturing recession


GVI Forex john bland  14:47:27 GMT - 12/31/2015  
Regional PMI but part of a general pattern of weakness


GVI Forex john bland  14:45:39 GMT - 12/31/2015  
very weak.


GVI Forex john bland  14:45:17 GMT - 12/31/2015  
U.S. Chicago PMI December 2015
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
42.9 vs. 49.7 exp. vs. 48.7 prev.

RELEASE: Chicago PMI



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GVI Forex john bland  13:35:48 GMT - 12/31/2015  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims
U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT

Initial Claims (000)
287K vs. 270K exp. vs. 267K prev.

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dc CB  20:12:39 GMT - 12/30/2015  
Ohhh the Terrorists they ruin our pretty windows


GVI Forex john bland  19:40:39 GMT - 12/30/2015  
Brussels cancels New Years Eve celebration due to threats.


dc CB  15:41:01 GMT - 12/30/2015  
CUSHING INVENTORIES +892,000 BBL


GVI Forex john bland  15:34:10 GMT - 12/30/2015  
Larger EIA build than expected, but presaged in API data yesterday. Crude lower, bad for stox?


GVI Forex john bland  15:31:36 GMT - 12/30/2015  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +2.600 vs. -1.000 exp vs. -5.877 prev.
Gasoline: +0.930 vs. +0.770 exp vs. +1.111 prev.
Distillates: +1.800 vs. +1.260 exp vs. -0.661 prev.
Cap/Util: 92.6% vs. n/a exp vs. 91.3% prev.




Weekly Petroleum Status Report



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GVI Forex john bland  15:02:26 GMT - 12/30/2015  
Much weaker than expected.


GVI Forex john bland  15:00:25 GMT - 12/30/2015  
U.S. Pending Homes Sales November 2015
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
-0.90% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.20% (r +0.40%) prev.
RELEASE: Pending Home Sales


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NY NY  07:14:45 GMT - 12/30/2015  

Buy EURAUD
Entry: Target: Stop:
 
Top Trading Opportunities for 2016

2016 brings more challenges for the Eurozone economy. While the ECB is comfortable with the current level of monetary policy they will need to extend bond purchases beyond September 2016. September is only a soft target and we can't see a scenario where growth or inflation will improve enough 9 months forward to warrant a reduction in stimulus. Also, if inflation and growth do not make significant upside progress, the ECB may need to expand the program in the coming year. The ECB's decision to provide additional stimulus in December reflected their sense of urgency and their overall concern about the economy. Their efforts are paying off as there have been signs of recovery in the Germany but meaningful risks lie ahead. The prospect of further weakness in emerging markets, particularly China, unstable geopolitical situations in the Middle East and Russia, high unemployment, stagnant wages are just some of the problems posing downside risks for the Eurozone in 2016. Countries in the region will benefit from the new round of stimulus, weaker euro and low oil prices but the benefits will be slow to come. France and Italy have not made much progress in terms of growth and while Spain is doing well it is only the fourth largest economy in the region. The fiscal position of most Eurozone nations is also very weak with only a handful producing a budget surplus in the past 3 years. The largest sector, financials will suffer from negative deposit rates. Debt levels are high and major progress towards reducing that burden is not expected over the next 12 months.

Currency Exchange Service



dc CB  23:49:07 GMT - 12/29/2015  
Dear oil market: You're kidding right?

The price of light, sweet crude jumped by as much as 4.6 percent on Wednesday morning, with the biggest gain coming just after the Energy Information Administration released its weekly tally of U.S. oil inventories.
Christmas Comes Early

Commercial crude stocks fell by nearly 6 million barrels last week, which sounds bullish until you remember one thing: Oil inventories usually fall in December. They have in all but 28 of the last 95 years, according to EIA data. The last two years that they increased -- 2008 and 2014 -- were marked by a crisis in the global economy and a crisis in OPEC, respectively.

What's more, if you look all the way back to 1920 -- when the EIA's data on crude oil stocks begins -- December stands out for having the biggest drops in oil inventories of any month.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
(SARC)
Dude!!!! WTF studies HIS-Story? It's like totally UnCool to know stuff that like happened before. We are interested it Stuff the Will Happen so we can get rich. (SARC)

Oil Mistakes Taxman for Santa



GVI Forex john bland  21:39:08 GMT - 12/29/2015  
US Weekly API Crude



ALERT
Reportedly +2.9 mn vs. -2.5mn exp



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GVI Forex Blog  15:13:26 GMT - 12/29/2015  

Conference Board data much stronger than expected.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Conference Board Sentiment Improved Data






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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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