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dc CB  21:41:19 GMT - 01/08/2016  
And THE TOP STORY TONITE

JOBS JOBS JOBS. OMG

Donna Pay No Attention to the SToX Market.
China hahahahahha.

WE GOT JOB JOBS
(except for wages....but who needs to be paid...just be happy U GOT A JOB)

NPR All ThingsConsidered.(now not only National Propaganda Radio, But Cute Cute Voices name like no one you ever enountered before in your daily life..... CUTE CUTE....

and soon to be followed by all the Other US MSM outlets.

Paving the Positive Spin for the Obama State of the Union ....Tuesday Nite.


GVI Forex john bland  21:01:03 GMT - 01/08/2016  
10-yr closing at 2.116% -3.7bp


nw kw  20:44:57 GMT - 01/08/2016  
pit. jan long vixs week out. some fear


dc CB  20:43:57 GMT - 01/08/2016  
TOMO
$99.971bln
47 takers.

A billion just ain't what it used to be. Check how much they threw at the market this week

TOMO 25 Days



GVI Forex john bland  20:38:50 GMT - 01/08/2016  
sorry busy at moment. I figuerd stox would fall and EURUSD would rally. Just what happened!

Many thanks


Saar KaL  20:17:41 GMT - 01/08/2016  
John
If you have a yahoo stock symbol...will run my analysis here


GVI Forex john bland  20:14:54 GMT - 01/08/2016  
Any opinions on how stocks will close?

I'm thinking weak into China on Monday. This in no way has been a vote of confidence in the jobs data.


Saar KaL  19:58:44 GMT - 01/08/2016  
If for EURUSD I got this tgt 1.1072
for next week...Buy below 1.0876


GVI Forex john bland  19:19:55 GMT - 01/08/2016  
Market seems to want 1.0900+??


Livingston nh  17:51:11 GMT - 01/08/2016  
John - UK fiscal impact from lower energy tax revenue
___________

Choppy oil, stox internals have been negative even while SPX moved higher, treasurys flat -- first one to establish a direction likely drags everybody else along


london red  17:48:47 GMT - 01/08/2016  
CB, train timetable for today? seems a quiet afternoon a buck will go a long way.

yen 11796/118 close key


GVI Forex john bland  17:48:16 GMT - 01/08/2016  
US 10-yr 2.145% -0.60%

I believe I saw 2.190% at one point


london red  15:40:41 GMT - 01/08/2016  
gbp is suffering from brexit hedging effects, the softer data hasnt helped either. nothing to do with oil. i said last year folk are not hedged for brexit, they are doing it now.


london red  15:39:34 GMT - 01/08/2016  
watch cable into the fix. prev low was 14567. a fix below is bearish for remainder of session and a weekly close below bearish for next wk. eurgbp will be affected but likely to top out at 7500 today. it may or may not breach the barrier there but either way should fall off after fix. there are some stops abv there but id be surprised to see appetite abv 75 cents after a volatile week.


GVI Forex john bland  15:38:58 GMT - 01/08/2016  
nh- Is GBP still seen as a petro-currency?


GVI Forex john bland  15:23:16 GMT - 01/08/2016  
DAX, and S&P at their LOD. Crude weak also. Bad for USD.


Livingston nh  15:22:49 GMT - 01/08/2016  
Oil is starting to break down again - weight on Stox - helpful to USD vs CAD, NOK (GBP? petro effect)


dc CB  14:59:30 GMT - 01/08/2016  
*while employment in professional and business services increased by 73,000 in December, temporary help services accounting for nearly half, or 34,000, of the gain.

*the most troubling aspect of today's jobs report, and perhaps the clearest explanation why there was no wage growth in December, is that the number of multiple job holders soared by 324,000 bringing the total to 7.738 million.

Multiple Jobholders Surge To Highest Since August 2008



london red  14:47:45 GMT - 01/08/2016  
ftse100 look set for a really bad finish to the day and week. may end up 1% dwn just squinting at the chart. as for s&p if we are in bear mkt they will sell off to finish zero or dwn on the day. they have been buying most dips intraday, yest they didnt.


dc CB  14:45:41 GMT - 01/08/2016  
weather???
Winter. Models are all turning to agree with WeatherBell's.

Potential Snow thru 24th



GVI Forex john bland  14:44:03 GMT - 01/08/2016  
wti $33.11 -0.19
LOD $33.08


GVI Forex john bland  14:33:54 GMT - 01/08/2016  
Take your lead from stox today. At some point they will realize, like the forex market has, that the data (payrolls) are flawed


london red  14:27:19 GMT - 01/08/2016  
if the previous days have been very volatile, the nfp day tends to be a damp squib we folks looking to tap out for the week. straddles were cheap and id suggest money has already been taken there. euro tested top end of 85-91 and failed initial test. watch the hourly close. at or below 200hma signals lower. towards hours high signals abv 109 and 10926-46 test. but vols low so dont look for extension of yesterdays high or todays low unless we can something new.


dc CB  14:27:00 GMT - 01/08/2016  
weather??? hahahahahah

Reality: we needed a good number to bolster FAILING Credibilty of the FED. The SToX MarkIT Eveing Newz everyday this week has cast an evil eye on the Fed's failures.


GVI Forex john bland  14:16:08 GMT - 01/08/2016  
Markets thinking twice now about the jobs data. I warned earlier about the weather effects here today. Most of the U.S. saw record high temperatures in November and mostly in December and the seasonal adjustments to the figures were obviously flawed. Average earnings were weak.

fwiw, January temps are back to near normal.


dc CB  14:15:22 GMT - 01/08/2016  
Some folks got their stops run.


london red  14:11:07 GMT - 01/08/2016  
10885/91 if taken out can have a crack at yest high but may be option related selling there and as by 108, folks taking profit. for me still looks like mkt ready to do away with week. if yen can stay under 118 then may get some sparks.


Livingston nh  14:07:56 GMT - 01/08/2016  
Treasurys not too impressed by NFP - took back a little of yesterday afternoon's equities induced yield decline (2 yr still under 1%) // stox may not be able to maintain all of the opening level into a weekend


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  14:06:54 GMT - 01/08/2016  
Third time up saw 1.0854 taken out following equities.


GVI Forex john bland  14:06:18 GMT - 01/08/2016  
Bank Report--

"BLS data on those not working due to bad weather shows NOV+DEC totals that average 283k since 2005. 2015's NOV+DEC total is a below-average 222k. Other notable mild years include 2006 (224k not working) and 2011 (187k)

so about +60k of weather effect in both november and december"


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  14:04:55 GMT - 01/08/2016  
I posted this on GVI Forex and proved to be dead on with post-NFP bounce high at 1.0853. Contact Me to get access on a regular basis

Friday's Trading Outlook
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:58 GMT 01/08/2016 - My Profile
1.0854 so far proving tough

Friday's Trading Outlook
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:48 GMT 01/08/2016 - My Profile
Key intra-day EURUSD level is the former low at 1.0854


london red  12:47:36 GMT - 01/08/2016  
nfp. a bit more, yen gbp perspective. yen weekly close +/- 11796/118 v imp. its 38.2 of rally. theyve been under 118 overnight tripped stops and pulled in some shorts at same time. if rallies much abv 11855 then might see squeeze of those shorts. but if falls back under 118 this afta i doubt anyone will stand in way.
cable. 14567 is the prev low. it has been broken but mkt needs a wkly close below here to tgt 140/142xx. a failure to do so might see some buying next week, the first of the year probably. there is poss one last flight for cable topping 149-153 max (gd pt to sell incidentally) but needs to avoid close below 14567 this week and also end of month as well.


london red  11:57:59 GMT - 01/08/2016  
euro/nfp. daily straddle cheap by historical standards only 75 pips while ny cut barely half a fig. daily puts initial sup/res at 108 and yesterdays high which itself it a whisker below prev high in mid 40's. so unless these two sides are broken, folk may call it a week pretty soon after london fix unless data can surprise well. mkt set up for a btter number given adp and weather so anything under 200k a disappointment. due to seasonals any increase in ahe is going to bump up the y/y so there the bar isnt so high.


GVI Forex john bland  10:19:32 GMT - 01/08/2016  
EURUSD dead flat 50 period ma on the 5min chart (1.0873).

I usually don't like to get involved in trying to predict what essentially is a random number. People much smarter than I can't do it either. However, I wonder this time around if the seasonal adjustments will be able to account for the "el nino" much milder than usual December weather. I think we see a reading above the +220K level.

A reading below 200K under the circumstances would be very weak imho


GVI Forex john bland  09:26:44 GMT - 01/08/2016  
DAX+98

DJ +210
SP +26

wti $33.65 +0.38

EUR mixed to weaker on its crosses

Chinese Markets recovered

Focus on U.S. Jobs data later






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
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A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
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A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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