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Livingston nh  15:29:17 GMT - 01/17/2016  
jp - "All seven stock markets in Gulf states tumbled as panic gripped traders. Dubai's DFM General Index slumped 4.8pc to 2,682.56, while Saudi Arabia's Tadawul All Share Index collapsed by 7pc to 5,409.35, its lowest level in almost five years."

cb noted the beginning of backwardation - so this could be the start tonight for the oil panic


Mtl JP  10:28:51 GMT - 01/16/2016  
(Reuters) - International sanctions on Iran will be lifted on Saturday when the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) issues its final report on Tehran's disputed nuclear program, Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said.
-
Iran should add 700 000 bbls of oil to the market offer


GVI Forex john bland  20:55:56 GMT - 01/15/2016  
Atlanta Fed tracking 4Q15 GDP estimate lowered to 0.6% from 0.8% saar.


Livingston nh  19:11:10 GMT - 01/15/2016  
re: art cashin Fed comment -- this is the mindset that needs to be broken - even the dovey mopes at the Fed know this // way outside the Fed job description (started by G'span)


london red  19:04:52 GMT - 01/15/2016  
work kept me busy today JP, lots of paperwork to ready. doing a lot of deals recently and thats what im here for. but i actually cut my brexit cable to 10% from 20% on 14281 the lt fib of 27x/11x. stop is still over the 46 handle but likely will fall to a whisker over 145. last tgt will be near 140 but i need to see under 14226 to see it. you know me im v bearish on brexit result for uk and i did warn that mkt not hedged but that was north of 150 and the risk now is for a bounce. they are unlikely to do a deal in feb, so vote will get set back from june to maybe september. if they cant do a deal by may then vote probably early 2017. so all those hedges are going to expire and will need to be done again. there will be some backing out which should result in some short covering.


Mtl JP  19:00:36 GMT - 01/15/2016  
dc CB 18:55 but euro not going to 1.0925-ish
at least not yet


dc CB  18:58:26 GMT - 01/15/2016  
1849.25 famous last words LOL


dc CB  18:55:39 GMT - 01/15/2016  
venture to say for today bottom is in

Emini hourly



Mtl JP  18:54:18 GMT - 01/15/2016  
Red - in retrospect
how d u miss the gbp dump


london red  18:52:13 GMT - 01/15/2016  
yen. said to be some covert offical bids near 11650. id suppose if that goes then they throw in towel but id wait for 11629 before passing judgement. but you have to buy huge dips as it always works.
XLE actually not looking too bad. didnt make new low and has an inverse shs of sorts. when the crap starts to do better thats a good sign esp while oil down 6%.


Mtl JP  18:51:48 GMT - 01/15/2016  
it is NOT a 3 day weekend for currencies
maybe mice will party while cats r away


Mtl JP  18:48:30 GMT - 01/15/2016  
 
it did hit 1857 and it did not go on a round of sellin


dc CB  18:42:54 GMT - 01/15/2016  
Art Cashin on CNBC via ZH 3min clip

Art Cashin Comments On Today's Crash: "The Fed Will Try Anything"



GVI Forex john bland  18:39:51 GMT - 01/15/2016  
Note Brent LOD hit below $29.00


dc CB  18:31:04 GMT - 01/15/2016  
plus it is a 3 day weekend....too much time to Think

watch the usual suspects for hints: VIX VXX UDS/JPY.

10 and 5 Futures are starting to pull back on profit taking.

It is OPEX.

But if it dosen't work, that sez more than if they manage the same ole same ole stick save. Tues would be fearsome.


Israel Dil  18:28:00 GMT - 01/15/2016  
it's not a panic (yet?), it's just a chaos :-)


Israel Dil  18:27:17 GMT - 01/15/2016  
ita nor a panic (yet?), it's just a chaos :-)


dc CB  18:24:59 GMT - 01/15/2016  
don't know what he said.

Re: rally
The PPT will give it a shot no doubt. 400-500pts Down is a big pill to ask the average Amurican to swallow.

After ignoring SToX in the weekend press last week - in deference to the O's "everything is coming up roses" SOTU....

whot will be the MSM line this weekend....I know: Don't panic...leave yr money where it is ...it will come back...long term "investing"....


london red  18:23:02 GMT - 01/15/2016  
i was looking for 1843ish to buy. its entirely poss they frontran. i usually have more patience than mkt inclination to fall. if fails 1885-90 then i still am inclined to buy but if higher then my 43 is slightly compromised. still a buy but less conviction and with a eye to 1790.


Mtl JP  18:19:24 GMT - 01/15/2016  
dc CB what d he say
-
expecting a stoks ramp up into the close ?


Mtl JP  18:11:21 GMT - 01/15/2016  
low energy cost should be a boon to an economy
yet it appears that it is not - duh


GVI Forex john bland  18:08:47 GMT - 01/15/2016  
wti $29.33 -1.86 LOD $29.15
Brent $29.07-1.80 LOD $28.86


Mtl JP  18:07:40 GMT - 01/15/2016  
stock market decline of 3% = "Babson Break"
DJ off appro 3.22%
Nazdog off appro 4.15%
SnP off appro 3%


GVI Forex john bland  18:04:42 GMT - 01/15/2016  
US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Total (incl gas) U.S.: 650 vs 664 (-14) prev
US (oil): 515 vs. 516 (-1) prev

Canada 220 vs. 159 (+61) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer



dc CB  17:57:53 GMT - 01/15/2016  
zerohedge ‏@zerohedge 2m2 minutes ago

Dallas Fed’s Kaplan to Appear on Q&A Session in 5 Minutes. The former Goldmanite knows what to say


dc CB  17:48:50 GMT - 01/15/2016  
"worse than Ishtar"
The Hollywood Money Line

Bullard Bounce II



Mtl JP  17:46:07 GMT - 01/15/2016  
john script readers an not be deep
but you could read that as nuff is nuff and sold euro 1.0975


GVI Forex john bland  17:43:39 GMT - 01/15/2016  
Nice to know their sources are a bunch of script readers who are only one question deep!


Mtl JP  17:40:33 GMT - 01/15/2016  
apparently Treasury watches world financial markets and evaluates what kind of impact they could have on the broader U.S. economy.


Mtl JP  17:37:18 GMT - 01/15/2016  
Treasury Department closely watching market movements, White House says - MarketWatch
Why - nothing better to do ?


Israel Dil  15:40:36 GMT - 01/15/2016  
“The implementation of the Chang’e-4 mission has helped our country make the leap from following to leading in the field of lunar exploration,” Liu said.

In 2013, China landed a rover dubbed Yutu on the moon and the following year an unmanned probe completed its first return mission.

Beijing has plans for a permanent orbiting station by 2020 and aims to eventually send a person to the moon.

boost to Chinese stox



Mtl JP  15:27:33 GMT - 01/15/2016  
apparently Merkel is not going
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/davos/12099618/davos-world-economic-forum-conference-what-is-when-is.html


Israel Dil  15:24:01 GMT - 01/15/2016  
shimon (hardcore currupt) peres came out heart cath yesterday and he said "I want to Davos and no matter what the doctors say. if Peres and hid alike gather, don't expect a Huan friendly outcome.


london red  15:15:26 GMT - 01/15/2016  
JP, i have scaled out large part of cable shorts. stop is over 14605 for remaining 20%. its possible we see 140xx 142xx but id expect a move to 151-154 first before below 140 and 135.


Livingston nh  15:11:24 GMT - 01/15/2016  
jp - yeah probably - markets are wrong as often as not -- look how many Fed moves were predicted last year


Mtl JP  15:10:10 GMT - 01/15/2016  
ib / keep on dreaming that they should stick to reading and writing books
a motherload of them will be concentrated in Davos 20-23 January


Mtl JP  15:07:14 GMT - 01/15/2016  
nh 15:02 r u suggesting 13:44 and 12:40 got it wrong ?


GVI Forex john bland  15:02:31 GMT - 01/15/2016  
finally a better number UM is soft data anyway.


Livingston nh  15:02:25 GMT - 01/15/2016  
The Fed is on the right path - it took too long but finally - they won't retreat because they can't - it would be too costly and 1/4 point cut is not going to increase the price of oil, resuscitate China or save Brazil // a recession call is always risky especially in a post industrial service based economy because most of the standards don't reflect different economic reality in most countries -- the problem w/ economics is that different times require different solutions, analogies don't cut it

Market will get over it


GVI Forex john bland  15:00:54 GMT - 01/15/2016  
U.S. Business Inventories November 2015
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-0.20% vs. +0.00% exp. vs. +0.00% (r -0.10%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john bland  15:00:18 GMT - 01/15/2016  
Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index January 2016
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
93.3 vs. 93.0 exp. vs. 92.6 prev


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Paris ib  14:53:41 GMT - 01/15/2016  
Welcome to Zimbabwe. We'll all be bartering soon. Stock up flour sacks people. Dearie me.


Paris ib  14:52:43 GMT - 01/15/2016  
Well then they should stick to reading and writing books. They have no business running the country. Or trying to. That is bonkers and we all know it. But this inertia has crept in. This idea that 'experts' have the answers is nuts. The results are there for all to see and yet the pundits keep pretending it will all work out. It is all so very Naked Emperor.


Mtl JP  14:51:06 GMT - 01/15/2016  
do u think retail folks would actually be paid to take out a loan ?
buahahaha


GVI Forex john bland  14:47:18 GMT - 01/15/2016  
no they do not. They are academics.


Paris ib  14:45:36 GMT - 01/15/2016  
John.... does this Dudley person really think that is an adequate or appropriate response at this point? I mean seriously. Do they not understand FAILED POLICY?


GVI Forex john bland  14:44:15 GMT - 01/15/2016  
Dudley
-- negative rates could be on the table if needed
-- does not expect them to be needed


GVI Forex john bland  14:24:41 GMT - 01/15/2016  
Ive been posting we are in a manufacturing recession for well over a month. The rest of the economy will follow.


Mtl JP  14:19:41 GMT - 01/15/2016  
r u calling it R ecession yet ?


GVI Forex john bland  14:17:03 GMT - 01/15/2016  
Another data miss. Bad figures are accumulating.


GVI Forex john bland  14:16:18 GMT - 01/15/2016  
U.S. Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization December 2015
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Ind Production: -0.40% vs. -0.20% exp. vs. -0.60% (r -0.90%) prev.
Capacity Utilization: 76.5% vs. 76.80% exp. vs. 77.00% (r 76.9%) prev.


target="blank">RELEASE: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization



TTN: Live News Special Offer


london red  13:45:06 GMT - 01/15/2016  
yes us numbers gone from $hit to worse. 1.5 yards 1.10 today should keep it in check. nxt wk quite light topside so if stocks fall may try 11050/80 after ny cut.
yen 116.29 sup. if they panic then 115.52. but it that goes will be ugly intraday though they may buy dip as per usual to finish a fig off lows no less. still lets not get too far ahead of play.


Livingston nh  13:42:54 GMT - 01/15/2016  
FI sectors away from Treasurys not faring as well - flight to safety and a hoped for reprieve from the Fed

Dudley - see if he echoes Bullard's concern about " inflation expectations" (the new NEXT BIG Thing)


Mtl JP  13:41:39 GMT - 01/15/2016  
can u see a day when both stox and bonds collapse ?


GVI Forex john bland  13:35:16 GMT - 01/15/2016  
Lousy numbers across the board. Good for bond prices! (falling yields)...


GVI Forex john bland  13:33:04 GMT - 01/15/2016  
U.S. Advance Retail Sales December 2015
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-0.10% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. +0.20% (r +0.40%)

x-autos +0.20% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.40% (r +0.30%)

x-autos & gas 0.0% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.60% (+0.50%)




TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john bland  13:31:33 GMT - 01/15/2016  
U.S. PPI December 2015
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
Headline: -0.20% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. +0.30% (r. ) prev.
Core: +0.20% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. +0.30% (r. ) prev.



size="3">RELEASE: Producer Price Index



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GVI Forex john bland  13:30:21 GMT - 01/15/2016  
Empire PMI January 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-19.4 vs. -4 vs. -4.6 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john bland  20:12:26 GMT - 01/14/2016  
CNBC: GS to lay-off 10% of fixed income traders


GVI Forex john bland  16:37:17 GMT - 01/14/2016  
not much of a response in crude.


GVI Forex john bland  16:35:23 GMT - 01/14/2016  
Major Libyan pipeline hit by explosion --TTN


Mtl JP  16:28:35 GMT - 01/14/2016  
Panic has returned to the markets, says Credit Suisse
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/panic-has-returned-to-the-markets-says-credit-suisse-2016-01-14?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts


GVI Forex john bland  15:30:15 GMT - 01/14/2016  
US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-168 vs. -178 exp vs. -113 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex 14:58:56 GMT - 01/14/2016  
09:56 (US) Fed's Bullard (hawk; FOMC voter in 2016): does not see much more appreciation in dollar going forward - Q&A
- expects divergence in monetary policy between US and Europe has been priced in- should help curb further increases in value of the dollar
- does expect some problems in parts of oil market related to decline in oil prices

- Source TradeTheNews.com


GVI Forex john bland  14:57:51 GMT - 01/14/2016  
Bullard:
-- does not see much more appreciation of the dollar in 2016



GVI Forex john bland  14:20:07 GMT - 01/14/2016  
St. Louis Fed President Bullard
-- Inflation expectations becoming worrisome
-- low oil prices bullish for economy


GVI Forex john bland  13:31:09 GMT - 01/14/2016  
U.S. Import Prices December 2015
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
-1.20% vs. -1.50% exp. vs. -0.40% (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john bland  13:30:47 GMT - 01/14/2016  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims
U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT

Initial Claims (000)
284K vs. 275K exp. vs. 277K prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex 13:08:59 GMT - 01/14/2016  
07:30 *(EU) ECB DEC MINUTES: 10bps cut in Deposit Rate seen as leaving room for more policy action; action seen to ensure price stability
- Reiterates view that monetary policy to remain accommodative for as long as necessary
- Risk on inaction clearly outweighed risk of no action
- Reiterates prepared to act using all instruments within mandate
- Possible downward drift in EU Harmonized CPI (HICP) expectations hard to reverse
- Council not unduly influenced by market expectations
- Some members sought a more aggressive cut of 20bps
- Others members concerned about side effects of a cut over 10bps
- Some members did not support policy change or would only support limited adjustments
- Option of expanding monthly purchases by more than 6 months and frontloading raised
- To review technical parameters in spring 2016

- Source TradeTheNews.com



GVI Forex john bland  12:33:07 GMT - 01/14/2016  
European Central Bank (ECB) Minutes for December 2015




NEWS ALERT

Some members wanted a more aggressive rate cut. Others worried about rate cut side-effects
ECB



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GVI Forex john bland  12:18:55 GMT - 01/14/2016  
"The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets monetary policy in order to meet the 2% inflation target and in a way that helps to sustain growth and employment. At its meeting ending on 13 January 2016, the MPC voted by a majority of 8-1 to maintain Bank Rate at 0.5%. The Committee voted unanimously to maintain the stock of purchased assets financed by the issuance of central bank reserves at £375 billion, and so to re-invest the £8.4 billion of cash flows associated with the redemption of the January 2016 gilt held in the Asset Purchase Facility."

Bank of England maintains Bank Rate at 0.5% and the size of the Asset Purchase Programme at £375 billion



GVI Forex john bland  12:02:55 GMT - 01/14/2016  
Only mild surprise vote for no policy change was sill not unanimous


GVI Forex john bland  12:00:37 GMT - 01/14/2016  
January 2016 Bank of England Policy Decision







-- NEWS ALERT --

Policy Unchanged (repo rate 0.50%)
Asset Purchases unch @ GBP 375 bln v. GBP 375 bn

Rates:Tighten = 1 Unchanged =8 Ease =0

Bank of England




TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john bland  09:01:16 GMT - 01/14/2016  
German GDP 4Q15




Earlier NEWS Release

yy: +1.70% vs. +1.70% exp vs. +1.70% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john bland  08:54:46 GMT - 01/14/2016  
Australia Employment December 2015




-- EARLIER NEWS --
Employment: -1.0 vs. -10.0K exp. vs. +74.1K (r +75.0 K) prev.
Rate: 5.80% vs. 5.90% exp. vs. 5.80% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

abs,gov.au




london red  07:52:05 GMT - 01/14/2016  
euro. will need a fall from stocks today or downside is a given. abv 10905/07 and the squeeze is on to tgt 10950/70. on downside sups at 10840/44 then 10820. stops likely likely below fig and also belo 50% of 105xx/110xx and also cloud base 83-88 key zone. below there no coming back today.

not bad return wakfhoury. but try turning 1000 into 100,000 in less than 3 years. as a side bet. i agreed to write a book if i did it. now thats the real challenge.


GVI Forex 01:10:29 GMT - 01/14/2016  
19:30 *(AU) AUSTRALIA DEC EMPLOYMENT CHANGE: -1.0K (first decline in 3 months and largest decline in 8 months) V -10.0KE;
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 5.8% V 5.9%E
- Participation Rate Rate: 65.1% v 65.2%e
- Full-Time Employment Change: 17.6K v +41.6K prior
- Part-Time Employment Change: -18.5K v +29.7K prior
- Hours Worked: +0.3M v -13.0M prior
- Prior employment change revised higher from +71.4K to +74.9K

- Source TradeTheNews.com


Israel Dil  20:25:26 GMT - 01/13/2016  
anyone sees terror alert in DC just now?


Belgrade Knez  20:19:37 GMT - 01/13/2016  

london red

can you share your view about EURUSD please?

Thank you.



london red  19:56:37 GMT - 01/13/2016  
s&p. low was 1833 when tested channel 1835. this time monthly channel at 1843. if gets dwn there can make monster shs with the channel as the neck and top of head the all time high. there is a fib at 1790 which can halt it if they dip to it but close month at/abv 1843 channel. below there is channel from 2008 at 1743. if under there shs likely in full swing and tgt the 38.2 fib at 1576 which also happens to be last high back in 2007. i doubt we see these later numbers as mkt never goes dwn, but there they are. this week id expect then to buy/frontrun the 1843 no more +/- a pt or two


Livingston nh  19:44:51 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Say "goodnight Gracie"


dc CB  19:40:00 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Uff Da


dc CB  19:25:57 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Z---well a lot of the stuff I own is lined with silver...my smart phone, solar panels, computers the car.

nice to have you back


Livingston nh  19:23:20 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Zeus - platinum gold hedge ? - sell gold buy platinum ?


USA ZEUS  19:14:56 GMT - 01/13/2016  
dc cb- and perhaps the SILVER lining is found when you consider the impact of the current gold/silver ratio vs historical levels......

All the best,
Z


Livingston nh  19:13:31 GMT - 01/13/2016  
cb - the FOMC may indicate "hold" in their book length statement BUT there is no going back


dc CB  19:10:29 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Janet and Co may have to backtrack in the next FMOC Statement.
Gold and Silver will go to the Moon.


Livingston nh  19:08:45 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Inflation is not weak - oil and its commodity companions are weak -- the Achilles heel for the Fed


GVI Forex john bland  19:03:52 GMT - 01/13/2016  
U.S. Fed Beige Book
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
Inflation and wage pressures weak
manufacturing demand hurt by strong USD
Labor markets continue to improve
Economic growth modest in most districts


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Livingston nh  18:59:50 GMT - 01/13/2016  
cb - sorry, "month" was referring to Jan exp - not enough "juice" left to squeeze (I think the game for these folks is getting too dangerous)


dc CB  18:53:05 GMT - 01/13/2016  
that's 1892.5, Monday's low----if that then 1880----1860----Dudley's DoRight 1831------Bullard's Bottom ---1813


dc CB  18:50:58 GMT - 01/13/2016  
don't think that OPEX will save anything. If there is not another Short squeeze this week then that in itself points to Very Bad Stuff coming. If ESH takes out 1895.5 today....we be going down hard.

Maybe the Beige Book will.....naaaaaaaa


Livingston nh  18:45:11 GMT - 01/13/2016  
cb - after last week's performance it doesn't look like OPEX will be enough to salvage the month - all week the market internals have been negative despite the prices rising to today's opening high -- sand running out under the seaside castle


Livingston nh  18:35:53 GMT - 01/13/2016  
This is a last chance deal for the Fed -- push the Treasury holdings back into the market - it's the easiest way to normalize a market because it will provide price discovery, a realtime assistance in deciding on further rate moves (up or down) // market is still stretching for yield but the Mopes at the Fed don't see that as a risk


london red  18:27:02 GMT - 01/13/2016  
1850 one week calls if we get down there. at about 184x is a channel line which provided sup for bounce last time we were down there. need to see under 1900 first 76.4% (cash not spoos).
loonie moving abv prev low 14310. a daily close tgts the 76.4 just over 145. since we tested 14310 yest and had a gd pullback, a close abv is required today or they may well take a deeper profit.
yen. 11796 is a fib. has been holding abv and outperforming stocks despite last few hour stock drop. may see a quick drop to 11760/50 if stocks cant muster a rally in last couple of hours.


dc CB  18:17:42 GMT - 01/13/2016  
2 down one to go ....the 30. Then StoX may turn and OPEX punish the bears. If not I wonder how the Financial and the MainStream press will choose to ignore the MarkIT again this weekend. Nothing to see here ....move along. Don't spend all yr PowerBall winnings in on place.


dc CB  18:13:16 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Dec 9 auction went at 2.23

TreasDrct



GVI Forex john bland  18:10:50 GMT - 01/13/2016  
I show a 2.29% close in the 10yr on 12/29/15


dc CB  18:09:28 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Indirects Tendered for almost $17bln and won almost $15bln of the jsut shy of $21Bln in the total Offering. Central Banks worried about Their Economies...perhaps seeing more NIRP????


GVI Forex john bland  18:03:46 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Worries about the economy?


GVI Forex john bland  18:03:02 GMT - 01/13/2016  
10-yr Auction:
2.09% bid to cover 2.77 vs 2.64
strong auction


dc CB  15:50:21 GMT - 01/13/2016  
CUSHING CRUDE INVENTORIES REACH RECORD HIGH OF 64M BBL

Biggest 2-Week Gasoline Inventory Build On Record



GVI Forex john bland  15:32:05 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Large build in products. Not as much as crude.


GVI Forex john bland  15:31:19 GMT - 01/13/2016  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +0.230 vs. +2.500 exp vs. -5.000 prev.
Gasoline: +8.440 vs. +2.700 exp vs. +10.800 prev.
Distillates: +6.100 vs. +1.980 exp vs. +6.300 prev.
Cap/Util: 91.2% vs. 92.5% prev.




Weekly Petroleum Status

Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john bland  15:03:30 GMT - 01/13/2016  
nh- Good Question. Also there are plenty of producers who will step up and meet any unmet demand. I guess Russia's hope was to spook prices higher.


Livingston nh  14:56:23 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Russia oil cuts - and replace revenue w/what? -- WTI is probing on a 4 hr chart the 21 ema (31.70) and above is the hrly 89 ema (31.95) // Iran US prisoners and Russia cuts might have spiked oil over the summer but the down trend now intact until SUPPLY starts to decline


GVI Forex john bland  14:43:24 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Russia Deputy FinMin:
Russia may cut oil output -- REPORT


GVI Forex john bland  13:33:40 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Fed's Rosengren
-- future rate rises gradual
-- Fed actions data driven
-- future rises depend on higher inflation
-- needs confidence 2% inflation target will be hit


GVI Forex john bland  13:30:01 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Fed's Kaplan (Dallas)
-- ZIRP has costs
-- Bias for policy normalization
-- 3 to 4 hikes base case. Too soon to say what happens this year


GVI Forex john bland  10:05:07 GMT - 01/13/2016  
European data miss.


GVI Forex john bland  10:04:26 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Eurozone Industrial Output November 2015

EZ and German Charts




NEWS ALERT
mm: -0.70% vs. -0.30% exp. vs. +0.60% (r +0.80%)prev.
yy: +1.10% vs. +1.30% exp. vs. +1.90% (r +1.080) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john bland  10:04:17 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Eurozone Industrial Output November 2015

EZ and German Charts




NEWS ALERT
mm: -0.70% vs. -0.30% exp. vs. +0.60% (r +0.80%)prev.
yy: +1.10% vs. +1.30% exp. vs. +1.90% (r +1.080) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john bland  10:01:56 GMT - 01/13/2016  
Eurozone Industrial Output November 2015

EZ and German Charts




NEWS ALERT
mm: -0.70% vs. -0.30% exp. vs. +0.60% (r +0.80%)prev.
yy: +1.10% vs. +1.30% exp. vs. +1.90% (r +1.080) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john bland  09:17:08 GMT - 01/13/2016  
December 2015 China Trade USDb





- Earlier NEWS --

+60.1b vs. +52.1b exp. vs. +54.1b prev.
Exports (y/y): -1.4 vs. -8.00% exp. vs. -6.80%


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john bland  19:08:12 GMT - 01/12/2016  
wti touches below $30.00 ($ 29.96)


GVI Forex john bland  19:02:23 GMT - 01/12/2016  
10 of 12 regional Reserve Banks requested a Discount Rate hike in December 2015


Mtl JP  18:21:31 GMT - 01/12/2016  
Doctors go on strike in England for the first time in 40 years

Thousands of doctors have gone on strike in England as a bitter, long-running dispute with the government over pay and working hours finally came to a head.


GVI Forex john bland  15:02:11 GMT - 01/12/2016  
U.S. BLS JOLTS Survey November 2015
U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
mln: 5.430 vs. 5.450 exp. vs. 5.380 prev (r ) rev.

BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary



TTN: Live News Special Offer


london red  13:40:04 GMT - 01/12/2016  
levels to watch. yen 11805. some solid resistance there if broken will lead to a further recovery in the pair. stocks have move back off 1900 but yen likes to overshoot so could be a quick half fig if thru there. pivotal on a closing basis. cable. LT fib at 14370/82. should see an intraday bounce there. mkt is v bearish rightly so and mpc risks a 9-0 result but is st oversold and may see a bounce down there esp if doesnt bounce beforehand. worth covering shorts secured this week or a long with stop under 14350. loonie. mkt has bounced off 50hma and created a decent tail on hourly candle. if this sticks into top of hour this may be all the pullback of 14261 fib that we see. an hourly close abv 14261 will see the prev low 14310 tgted but will need oil lower to confirm. if does not then will see a bigger sell off from that 14310 than we saw off 14261.


Livingston nh  13:37:34 GMT - 01/12/2016  
jp - the practitioners of QE have failed to grasp two salient points -- What is new money? and How does it move? -- Gov't debt is pre-existing money and if it doesn't move then it can't produce anything


Mtl JP  13:31:31 GMT - 01/12/2016  
out earlier
“There is no plan B, there is only one plan,”
“If you print enough money, you will always get inflation. Always,”
Praet ECB’s top economist
-
Bottom Line
Gold is BoD with euros


Mtl JP  13:13:47 GMT - 01/12/2016  
Villeroy Says ECB Can Act If Needed With Inflation Too Low

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-12/villeroy-says-ecb-can-act-if-needed-as-inflation-remains-too-low


GVI Forex john bland  09:37:55 GMT - 01/12/2016  
UK output data weaker than expected. GBP weaker vs. EUR and USD.


GVI Forex john bland  09:34:50 GMT - 01/12/2016  
UK Industrial/Manufacturing Output November 2015
U.K. Charts





-- NEWS ALERT --

Ind mm: -0.7% vs. 0.10% exp. vs. +0.10% (r 0.0%)prev.
Mfg mm: -0.40% vs. 0.00% exp. vs. -0.40% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



Mtl JP  01:31:17 GMT - 01/12/2016  
almost just in time - Korea’s FinMin nominee ready to prop up the sluggish economy


Mtl JP  01:16:55 GMT - 01/12/2016  
China defends yuan, says betting against it is ‘ridiculous’

Wagers that the yuan will slump 10% or more against the dollar are “ridiculous and impossible,” a senior Chinese economic official said Monday, warning that China had a sufficient tool kit to defeat attacks on its currency.

“Attempts to sell short the renminbi will not succeed,” said Han Jun, deputy director of the office of the Central Leading Group on Financial and Economic Affairs, at a briefing at the Chinese Consulate in New York. “The expectations of markets can be changed.”

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/china-defends-yuan-says-betting-against-it-is-ridiculous-2016-01-11?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts


GVI Forex john bland  17:44:06 GMT - 01/11/2016  
Lockhart
-- economy likely to justify more rate hikes in 2016.
-- inflation expectations well anchored.
-- economy likely to grow 2-2.5% of higher.


Mtl JP  01:39:19 GMT - 01/10/2016  
nh no worry there are bigger pet-peeves
like Vlads “Leaders Number One” perfume available in Moscow only


Livingston nh  00:13:32 GMT - 01/10/2016  
jp- HAHH, aaarrggh I have apparently lost another lengthy response to the vagaries of CYBERSPACE


Mtl JP  18:14:59 GMT - 01/09/2016  
JAN. 8, 2016
ECB’s Lane Says Bond Buying Can Be Increased
The European Central Bank will expand its program of government bond purchases if that is needed to raise the inflation rate to its target, a member of its governing council, Philip Lane, said in an interview.


GVI Forex Blog  01:42:29 GMT - 01/09/2016  

China CPI. Inflation at 1.60% y/y in line with expectations.




BREAKING NEWS: China CPI In Line/font>






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
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A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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