AMAZON.COM SEES 1Q OPERATING INCOME $100M-$700M, EST. $658.5M
that justifies an almost 900PE....Send in the Clowns
Isn't it Rich......Isn't it Bliss....where are the clowns...just when I thought...no one is there...Isn't it rich...don't you love farce...sorry my dear...where are the clowns....don't bother they're here...isn't it queer...losing my timing in this my carrer...well maybe NEXT YEAR.
dc CB 21:18:00 GMT - 01/28/2016
Ukraine is a "so what who cares"
just another piece on the board that is currently coded "ignore"
Israel Dil 21:17:37 GMT - 01/28/2016
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - A U.S. Treasury official's assessment that Russian President Vladimir Putin is corrupt "best reflects the administration's view," White House spokesman Josh Earnest told reporters at a daily briefing on Thursday.
Livingston nh 21:14:16 GMT - 01/28/2016
JP - have a care - Santa knows if you've been bad or good
Livingston nh 21:11:54 GMT - 01/28/2016
Ukraine is a "so what who cares" victim because Syria and Islamic thuggery is higher on the kill list - Russia is the Swing Vote so killing the Syria problem makes EU refugee problem immaterial and US military engagement unnecessary - Assad is either safe or gone depending on who the Russians want
Mtl JP 21:08:16 GMT - 01/28/2016
nh it is the believing in Christmas that is the impossible
dc CB 21:05:14 GMT - 01/28/2016
dey be singing it in the Ukraine...but which UKaRAINe do you speak from where U hear this Singing?
haha - thing is ...... I can
just not wearing SS emblems but brusselsprouts instead
don't under-estimate the EU princes giving up their on their new castle
Livingston nh 20:20:05 GMT - 01/28/2016
JP - try and imagine german troops moving into WARSAW to HELP --- hahhah
Livingston nh 20:18:16 GMT - 01/28/2016
jp - NO - command and control is disjointed - NATO is a modestly unified force
Mtl JP 20:16:23 GMT - 01/28/2016
only potential problem for EU I see would be massive rise of populism getting out of hand
isnt the EU building its own internal unified military now ?
Livingston nh 20:07:56 GMT - 01/28/2016
jp - looking more towards a EUR problem than an equity crash - stox sometimes are the canary - Merkel has been a leader so regime change or just uncertainty could be a problem in the EU
Mtl JP 20:02:11 GMT - 01/28/2016
nh -2.44% is not Babson quality although it does require a 2.5% gain on the remaining base to get bak to original level
Livingston nh 19:38:30 GMT - 01/28/2016
Draghi the pragmatist might lose control to the True Believers (folks who think buying sovereign debt is inflationary) -- CBs should not buy sovereign debt because it is deflationary, so like a trade that goes right for the wrong reason
Mtl JP 19:32:12 GMT - 01/28/2016
what sort of trouble for ECB ?
Livingston nh 19:30:11 GMT - 01/28/2016
This may be nothing BUT ... - the DAX took a goodly hit today (most of Europe was negative) and if Merkel is in trouble so is Greece, refugees, and perhaps ECB
Mtl JP 19:12:17 GMT - 01/28/2016
Weidmann warns ECB not to go too far with government bond purchases
Throwing the word "credibility" around about the Fed is mistaken use, if critical of any CB or policymaker I think the better term is competence -- all last year the Fed talked about rate hikes but until the end failed to deliver -- failure to move earlier is a competence issue not credibility - credibility comes into play if the "expectation of further hikes" gets binned // the recently released transcripts show that the Fed early struggled with shrinking the balance sheet (exit the Money Swamp) but instead decided to make it worse -- that's competence issues not credibility issues// we'll see if they have a plan or are again making it up as they go along
Mtl JP 17:59:39 GMT - 01/28/2016
28.01.2016 19:00 - Bonn
International Club La Redoute e.V.
Speech held by Dr Jens Weidmann, title: "Der Euro-Raum im Jahr 2016 - Auf die richtigen Weichenstellungen für mehr Wachstum und Stabilität kommt es an"
Participation after registration. The speech will be distributed in advance with an embargo.
on the right course for more growth and stabilit about on the right course for more growth and stability
Mtl JP 17:30:24 GMT - 01/28/2016
“The Fed has seriously lost credibility. No one believes them,” - Blanchflower
Ok say it is so. What does it mean in practical terms?
high yield - aka junk bonds - have already blown out to over pre-lehman levels. do we really need official acknowledgement that things are shite ?
BUT if all the banks are now tbtf, they may not want to admit to insolvent banks in fact odds are high they would do no such thing until AFTER a week-end announcement freezing out those Out of the Circle and having re-inforced palace guards and fueled escape helicos
Mtl JP 17:11:38 GMT - 01/28/2016
rear view mirror says
Federal Reserve made “a major macro mistake” raising interest rates in December, said Danny Blanchflower, a Dartmouth College economist and former Bank of England official
dc CB / russia energy minister such a sweet character making saudi feeling n looking stupid
dc CB 14:36:08 GMT - 01/28/2016
Denial is a River in Egypt.
Denial is River of Profits for Chicago based VIRTU and CITADEL.
RUSSIA ENERGY MINISTER: TOO EARLY TO TALK OF ANY AGREEMENT ON POTENTIAL CUTS: DJ
RUSSIA ENERGY MIN: FEB OIL MTG MAY DISCUSS 5% CUT: DJ
Paris ib 14:35:14 GMT - 01/28/2016
"When OPEC started the price war last year the Saudis expected that the US producers would fall over quickly — their costs were too high.
But they didn’t collapse because we now know that about 50 per cent of the US oil production was forward sold at high prices. These forward sales are rapidly running out and during the next few months if oil stays down we are set for extensive US closures and major loan losses.
But there will be a production cut, which makes the shorters nervous, and many who have made a fortune in the last year are saying that it is time to close out positions. As the oil price rises that short covering will gather momentum. The big snow dump on the US east coast accelerated the trend."
and price collusion between saudis and putin is an ok thing .....
GVI Forex14:31:51 GMT - 01/28/2016
09:31 (IR) Iran reportedly seeking to recoup oil market share and is a challenge to any deal on cutting output - press
- Source TradeTheNews.com
dc CB 14:31:45 GMT - 01/28/2016
So higher oil/gasoline prices are now a good thing for the economy because it puts extra money in the pockets of..........
The Reverse Spin...like in Quantum Physics.
Mtl JP 14:26:21 GMT - 01/28/2016
Vlad is probably slapping self silly at the saudis being bled
dc CB 14:05:37 GMT - 01/28/2016
the DurGoods number gave Treas futures a Big Boner Green candle on the 15m charts. The Viagra has worn off...we don't have to consult a physician.
That oil NEWZ is a variation of what has been running a few times this week=== Russia call for OPEC meeting===was one variation.
Good thing algos can't think --- Christmas time RR tracks for those of U using the Red/Green colors on yr candle charts.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:58:53 GMT - 01/28/2016
Crude oil up on this headline:
08:57 (SA) Russia Oil Min Novak: Saudi Arabia proposed that both Russia and Saudi Arabia proposed a deal for the two countries to cut production by 5% a piece
- Russia is ready to meet with other producers in any format; could arrange a meeting of oil producers in Feb, but no such meeting has been formalized yet
***Reminder: Saudi Arabia has repeatedly said that they will only reduce production if every other producer cut production equally. Earlier today, Russia Energy Min Novak said OPEC is trying to organize a meeting of OPEC and non-OPEC producers in February, Russia would be prepared to participate
- Source TradeTheNews.com
Paris ib 13:57:24 GMT - 01/28/2016
Say it quietly but Real Assets (and real but not paper Gold) will make a come back. You can't have this level of double dealing going on without consequences.
I suspect that most of big European banks have accumulated silently all the Euros sold by their customers because of the negative interest rates. Now who will make the money?
Another conspiracy against the savers;( ?
Mtl JP 13:53:58 GMT - 01/28/2016
ECBs Weidmann will entetain you w/a yak after NY lunch
Paris ib 13:48:08 GMT - 01/28/2016
CB..... shhhhh, don't say THAT too loud. Before you know it you'll have an executive order to that effect.
Never have I seen an era when NO-ONE seems to believe the news, the politicians, the papers, the statistics..... just yesterday someone was telling me that listening to news now is like something in North Korea. Not that I think he has ever been in North Korea... but you know.
Confidence? You have to be kidding me.
What made me laugh was Draghi blabbing on about how a Central Bank can't just abandon its inflation target. AS IF ANYONE believes the inflation data. I mean really Mister Draghi make up the inflation data using who-know's-what informations and then invent a target for that completely FICTIONAL data and consequently get all serious about how a Central Bank (in this North Korean environment we are living in now) has to stick to its arbitrary target. Are you serious? No, just a little soldier doing your absurd duty in a surreal environment. Either that or you're out of your mind. Maybe both.
dc CB 13:41:50 GMT - 01/28/2016
“Anyone claiming that America’s economy is in decline is peddling fiction.” Barack Obama SOTU, Jan 12 2016.
I guess he's going to have to up the game and change that to:
“Anyone claiming that America’s economy is in decline is committing treason”, if these Statistcs continue ....
Paris ib 13:41:26 GMT - 01/28/2016
Just weak or shocking? Haven't looked at the details.
Looks like one and done. And a very minor 'ONE' it was, mostly a token gesture so as not to spoil the narrative of recovery.
what to with GBP in view of "Cameron’s bid to renegotiate his country’s relationship with the European Union is entering a critical few days that could pivot the talks toward a speedy conclusion or push the bloc into another major crisis." -wsj
JP, I am afraid it is both! it is just normal everyday business to call people names over there, even sometimes evident on this forum
Mtl JP 01:03:54 GMT - 01/28/2016
earlier People’s Daily called Soros a “crocodile” and a “predator”
is that a show of respect in China culture or lack of manners ?
Mtl JP 00:54:37 GMT - 01/28/2016
China Says Soros "Hasn't Done His Homework," May Be "Partially Blind"
A Whole New Level Of Moral Hazard: China Will Use Public Funds To Cover Venture Capital Losses
dc CB 20:18:57 GMT - 01/27/2016
PropOganda not workiing so good.
It’s necessary to start with these caveats because people have a tendency to react strongly, almost apoplectically, to any suggestion of weakness on Apple’s part. Like pickles, cilantro and Ted Cruz, Apple inspires extreme opinion. The doubters are now ascendant.
For release at 2:00 p.m. EST
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December suggests that labor market conditions improved further even as economic growth slowed late last year. Household spending and business fixed investment have been increasing at moderate rates in recent months, and the housing sector has improved further; however, net exports have been soft and inventory investment slowed. A range of recent labor market indicators, including strong job gains , points to some additional decline in underutilization of labor resources. Inflation has continued to run below the Committee's 2 percent longer-run objective, partly reflecting declines in energy prices and in prices of non-energy imports. Market-based measures of inflation compensation declined further; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance, in recent months.
Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee currently expects that, with gradual adjustments in the stance of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace and labor market indicators will continue to strengthen. Inflation is expected to remain low in the near term, in part because of the further declines in energy prices, but to rise to 2 percent over the medium term as the transitory effects of declines in energy and import prices dissipate and the labor market strengthens further. The Committee is closely monitoring global economic and financial developments and is assessing their implications for the labor market and inflation, and for the balance of risks to the outlook.
Given the economic outlook, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 1/4 to 1/2 percent. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting further improvement in labor market conditions and a return to 2 percent inflation.
In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. In light of the current shortfall of inflation from 2 percent, the Committee will carefully monitor actual and expected progress toward its inflation goal. The Committee expects that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant only gradual increases in the federal funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run. However, the actual path of the federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data.
The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction, and it anticipates doing so until normalization of the level of the federal funds rate is well under way. This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Janet L. Yellen, Chair; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Lael Brainard; James Bullard; Stanley Fischer; Esther L. George; Loretta J. Mester; Jerome H. Powell; Eric Rosengren; and Daniel K. Tarullo.
GVI Forex john bland 19:03:52 GMT - 01/27/2016
Release Date: January 27, 2016
For release at 2:00 p.m. EST
As part of its annual organizational meeting actions, the Federal Open Market Committee reaffirmed its "Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy," with a revision to clarify that it views its inflation objective as symmetric, and with an updated reference to participants' estimates of the longer-run normal unemployment rate in the most recent Summary of Economic Projections (December 2015).
In October 2014, in preparation for the annual reaffirmation, the Committee discussed the potential benefits of amending the statement to clarify that its inflation objective is symmetric. As indicated in the minutes of that meeting, there was general agreement on the symmetry of the objective. Following further Committee discussion regarding the most appropriate way to express this clarification, the statement has been amended to indicate that the "Committee would be concerned if inflation were running persistently above or below" its 2 percent objective. All but one participant supported the amended statement.
The Committee first adopted the statement at its January 2012 meeting and has reaffirmed it, with appropriate revisions, at its annual organizational meetings each January.
Voting for the statement were: Janet L. Yellen, Chair; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Lael Brainard; Stanley Fischer; Esther L. George; Loretta J. Mester; Jerome H. Powell; Eric Rosengren; and Daniel K. Tarullo. Voting against was James Bullard, who agreed the Committee's inflation goal is symmetric, but believed the amended language is not sufficiently focused on expected future deviations of inflation from the goal.
GVI Forex john bland 19:02:49 GMT - 01/27/2016
Fed bias turns dovish from balanced.
GVI Forex john bland 19:00:08 GMT - 01/27/2016
U.S. Fed Policy Decision January 2016
Rates: Fed Funds Target Range Steady at 0.25%-0.50%
stox, bonds, Yen are trading in lock step today. looks like christmas on a 15 min chart array, all those identicaly big red and green candles.... The FMOC shud create some really big red/green "railroad" tracks this afternoon. Keeping with the algo/trains idea.
london red 15:44:33 GMT - 01/27/2016
only thing that matters is zerosum. pat yourself on the back when you get it right and tell yourself the tech and fundies helped but at end of the day its either you or the other guy, there are no other feeding troughs.
dc CB 15:40:30 GMT - 01/27/2016
U.S. CRUDE INVENTORIES RISE TO 494.9M BBL, HIGHEST SINCE 1930
and crude rallies....going after Tues high to take out the stops. 'cause it's soooooooo Fundamental.
Kuwait says it's ready to "cooperate" to stabilize markets
a spark lady, a spark might set crude prices on fire
Mtl JP 01:01:15 GMT - 01/26/2016
SellTrade Set-Up Entry: 1.553x Target: 1.50 Stop: > 1.5775
kw 20:18 / yes nega rates are also for us small fries
In 2016 I d like to see some Asia traders and trade thoughts
the above trade idea is eur/sgd
nw kw 20:18:46 GMT - 01/25/2016
jp- cad yak does not include small fish for negative rates if applied,
do you no if eur negative rates are for us small fries?
Mtl JP 18:38:19 GMT - 01/25/2016
Draghi's yak does not include more asset purchases / more negative rates
GVI Forex john bland 18:19:00 GMT - 01/25/2016
-- Structural reforms, fiscal policies and lowering debt burden needed.
-- Core inflation tends to lead headline inflation.
GVI Forex john bland 18:16:28 GMT - 01/25/2016
Draghi comments on the wires:
-- so far I have seen nothing new on policy, but EURUSD is trading lower.
dc CB 16:10:31 GMT - 01/25/2016
Johnson Controls Inc., already exiting the auto-industry’s supply chain after decades as a key player, is now seeking to shed its U.S. corporate citizenship in a multibillion-dollar tie-up with Tyco International Plc.
The deal, announced early Monday, marks the latest attempt by a historic U.S. company to reduce its tax bill through a so-called inversion, a maneuver that allows U.S. corporations to acquire foreign-domiciled companies and shift their headquarters to reduce their tax rates.
Did they mistakenly run the measurement thru the BLS Seasonal Adjustment Algos...LOL
It’s not that 17.8 inches of snow wasn’t enough.
But the number that will go down in the history books as Washington’s official total — recorded at Reagan National Airport — is downright paltry compared with some other spots in the region, raising the question: Why the disparity?
The reason, it turns out, may be partly due to the improvised technique used by a small team of weather observers at the airport who lost their snow-measuring device to the elements midway through the blizzard. It was buried by the very snow it was supposed to measure.
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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