“I think a move to a quantitative easing would bolster psychology .... every country in the world needs an easier monetary policy.” - Ray Dalio Bridgewater founder and enemy of the people
houston mw 07:47:11 GMT - 01/26/2016
My estimate is for a Fed to take rates to 0% by summer and negative late summer or early fall. Definitely will make it harder for Democratic candidates to stand and defend Obama's 8 years.
Sydney ACC 07:29:55 GMT - 01/26/2016
Every recession since WWII has got progressively worse. Part of the reason has been actions of governments and central banks endeavouring to ameliorate the effects of each one of these recessions. This has effectively compounded the effects of the next one.
If I'm right the next one is going to be a humdinger.
Stock up on the baked beans.
Paris ib 07:23:43 GMT - 01/26/2016
Personally I think this clear out will have very healthy consequences for the world in general, although the control freaks and the deviants won't agree with me. Discrediting 'the authorities' is no bad thing. Neither is discrediting 'the media', which is really a joke these days. Maybe it always has been but now it shows.
Paris ib 07:21:16 GMT - 01/26/2016
John I agree with you about the NO V shaped recovery. And I think everyone, including the central bankers, have already got there. Maybe Mom and Pop investor will be surprised if they have been listening to all the reassuring rhetoric from the 'pundits'. But that's about it.
No-one thinks 'the authorities' - Central Banks, Governments - can pull a rabbit out of the hat this time. So crunch time. Or party time. Or however you see it.
Mtl JP 01:31:23 GMT - 01/26/2016
In just 44 somewhat anger-and-frustration-filled seconds, DoubleLine's bond guru Jeffrey Gundlach unleashes some very uncomfortable truths on Janet Yellen and the "idiots" at The Fed... "they have got to dial this [hawkish] rhetoric back or the markets are going to humiliate them."
Draghi Says ECB Credibility at Stake in Hitting Inflation Goal - bbrg
“Meeting our objective is about credibility,” the ECB president said in a speech near Frankfurt on Monday. “If a central bank sets an objective, it can’t just move the goalposts when it misses it.”
Here is hoping market makes a scimmia of Mario
nw kw 00:39:06 GMT - 01/26/2016
gbp might be dropping this round gl.
NY JM 21:57:52 GMT - 01/25/2016
John, the only answer is printing money and that is just pushing on a string. Fiscal policy is the way to stimulate and that is not an option. Printing not spending = lack of confidence
GVI Forex john bland 21:07:43 GMT - 01/25/2016
I don't know about a meltdown soon, but I think the "crowded trade" is investors looking for another "V-bottom" in stocks and that its not going to happen for a very long time.
Whether they realize it or not, they are waiting for the next global growth catalyst and there is none on the horizon. No new internet, China, U.S. consumer, etc. I think when investors realize this, stocks are going to fall and the central banks are going to realize they can do nothing about it.
Paris ib 20:43:57 GMT - 01/25/2016
What's your thoughts here? We going into a melt down soon?
GVI Forex john bland 20:41:22 GMT - 01/25/2016
ib- I agree with you. great minds think alike!
nw kw 20:41:14 GMT - 01/25/2016
blaming sods arbraw, casing out of stocks from oil disaster they deserve. bloom // games begin?
Paris ib 20:38:14 GMT - 01/25/2016
All those clever clogs talking about a rally of a few weeks and THEN another sell off might just have to have another look at that.
Sell off, dead cat bounce and then ongoing sell off looks more like it.
Confidence in the economy, in the authorities, in the markets.... pretty close to zero. That's OK when the market is rallying, when it's not there really is NO tolerance for pain. NONE.
Central bankers? Looking like a very bad idea indeed.
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