BERLIN (Reuters) - The euro zone needs to press ahead with structural reforms and closer integration, including an euro zone finance ministry, to deliver sustainable growth, the heads of the French and German central banks wrote in a German newspaper on Monday.
GVI Forex john bland 19:49:19 GMT - 02/05/2016
US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count
Total (inc gas) U.S.: 571 vs 619 (-48) prev
US (oil): 467 vs. 498 (-31) prev
-- will act in March if necessary
--monetary policy noi a magic wand
'Mtl' 'JP' 00:50:36 GMT - 02/05/2016
quik dip and bak up and zzzzzz
GVI Forex00:35:11 GMT - 02/05/2016
19:30 *(AU) AUSTRALIA DEC RETAIL SALES M/M: 0.0% V 0.4%E; Q4 Q/Q: 0.6% V 0.9%E
- Source TradeTheNews.com
'dc' 'CB' 23:13:05 GMT - 02/04/2016
oh, and beyond sheep herd management, he had a decent pedigree himself. Uncle Siggy taught me much about the human condition, which I turned into a lucrative carreer 'splainin' to Corporations How to sell their wares(crap if U ask me, but I'm just a well, very very very very very well paid SNOB). Focus Groups dat was the Money Maker...
Bernays was by two branches of his family tree the nephew of psychoanalysis pioneer Sigmund Freud. His mother was Sigmund's sister Anna and his father was Ely Bernays, brother of Freud's wife Martha Bernays. In 1892 his family moved to New York City,
'dc' 'CB' 22:52:49 GMT - 02/04/2016
Sorry man, I got it Wrong
It's Gilbert and THE GIANT GRAPE.
Not what I said before, back then, when I PreDICK-ted the Recovery Raise Rates Cauze It's All Good.
No forget that. It's Eeyore time guys ...prepare for it...hug it and y'll sleep sound...don't let the bedbugs bite....hahahahah
Eeyore: pessimistic, gloomy, depressed, anhedonic, old grey stuffed donkey. **
A. A. Milne....winnie the pooh
See US Presidential Elections: How to Approach the Voter. Edward Bernays*****
****Edward Bernays Class of 1912 Cornell University with a degree in agriculture(Sheep Herd Managment), but chose journalism as his first career.
'GVI 'john 22:26:51 GMT - 02/04/2016
-- Economy still on track for gradual Fed Rate rises
-- What Fed does determined by economy
-- Fed does not react to every swoon in market
-- Premature to change outlook now
'dc' 'CB' 21:49:00 GMT - 02/04/2016
'Mtl' 'JP' 20:31 GMT
'GVI 'john 20:30 GMT
if you want to get a clue about what is diving all this then look up****** Valerie Jarrett*****....yeh even Google will send U to some links.
Everyday in every way telling the O what is a Great Idea...xxxxx is... or not so great....Born: November 14, 1956 (age 59), Shiraz, Iran
Great wine grape. I don't drink often. After a hard day of trading... it's an Austrailian Shiraz.
'Mtl' 'JP' 20:31:38 GMT - 02/04/2016
Politico - 13 hours ago
President Barack Obama is about to unveil an ambitious plan for a “21st century clean transportation system.”
'GVI 'john 20:30:20 GMT - 02/04/2016
We need another high speed rail line between LA and Las Vegas. Yes that is going to fly!
\'GVI \'john 20:28:44 GMT - 02/04/2016
White House wants oil companies to pay a $10 barrel fee to finance a new transportation scheme.
london red 20:08:49 GMT - 02/04/2016
poss option setup for tom nfp if circle around a fig or less for straddle. pick up daily 11250 put if price reached those 11246/52 fibs after which it should drift lower as those specs long take some off the board. buy covering 112 call at the figure.
of course you can trade naked spot but it requires a generous stop. and market tends to be a bit more generous than you are. and since im not the giving kind to those that have, i prefer the option play thru the event.
london red 19:41:00 GMT - 02/04/2016
as things stand they have between 5 to 12 years depending on how much they burn through. for now they plan to ride it out.
'Mtl' 'JP' 19:31:34 GMT - 02/04/2016
another speculator bet is that the Saudi head snippers will be free-floating their riyal in the near future
Dallas Fed President Kaplan
-- Financial conditions have tightened
-- Fed should be patient on Rates
-- Energy market Crisis could get a bit worse before it improves
london red 14:33:18 GMT - 02/04/2016
the 50% broken fib at 11109 would be a natural pt to fade, maybe 15/40 some buying takes place
london red 14:32:25 GMT - 02/04/2016
euro. 11235 is 61.8 of 117/104. the 46 is 50% of 65/160 and 52 the 61.8 of 105/117. so some natural res there. overcoming this takes us higher on a daily close. expect mkt to buy dip in euro/option related buying and also selling spikes to cover exposure.
'dc' 'CB' 13:37:17 GMT - 02/04/2016
Shares of ConocoPhillips (COP) fell 4% Thursday after the company missed fourth-quarter profit expectations and lowered its dividend. The company reported a net loss of $3.5 billion , or a loss of $2.78 per share, wider than a net loss of $39 million , or a loss of 3 cents per share, in the year-earlier period.
"While we don’t know how far commodity prices will fall, or the duration of the downturn, we believe it’s prudent to plan for lower prices for a longer period of time."
Oil-field service company Weatherford International PLC(WFT) said Wednesday that it planned to continuing cutting jobs in the face of the sector's lingering downturn and would slash about 15% of its already reduced workforce.
Weatherford, one of the largest oil-field service companies in the world, said it would eliminate 6,000 position from a workforce of about 39,500. The cuts are slated to be made in the first half of 2016. In 2015, the company reduced its headcount by 14,000.
"We have just completed what is probably the most challenging year in our history," said Bernard J. Duroc-Danner , CEO of the company."
Carney: We won't be bound by what we've said previously
Pasig evan 13:10:07 GMT - 02/04/2016
GBPUSD Entry: Target: Stop:
Immediate resistance at 1.4645/50
london red 13:03:31 GMT - 02/04/2016
nearterm there are some large 112 expiries which might draw trade but think euro can see 11235/52 fibs today
'Mtl' ''JP'' 13:02:21 GMT - 02/04/2016
Carney continues to peddle CBankers collective's angst at low prospects of inflation
'Mtl' ''JP'' 12:56:07 GMT - 02/04/2016
SellGBPUSD Entry: mrkt Target: south Stop: >1.4630+
'Mtl' ''JP'' 12:50:09 GMT - 02/04/2016
rockstar saying pound players got it wrong on rate expectations ??
GVI Forex12:44:35 GMT - 02/04/2016
GBPUSD popped on Carney reiterating next move in rates is likely up and not down
07:33 (UK) BOE Gov Carney: Global financial conditions have deteriorated notably
- QIR press conference
- Trade outlook is challenging; net exports expected to drag on growth; weaker GBP currency is one positive point
- UK domestic demand remains resilient- Sees real incomes growing solidly going forward
- MPC sees inflation risk to the downside but expectations are well anchored
- Reiterates view that next rate move likely higher and not lower
hourly close no lower than 65 puts to bed any further downside and have to see topside squeeze this afta. if doesn manage 65 close have to revisit low maybe gets my 11-24 zone. boe is pretty negative but not seeing many willing sellers rather opposite folk fear the short squeeze and buying dips. sound strategy for now.
'Mtl' ''JP'' 12:36:29 GMT - 02/04/2016
now rokstar of banking Carney yakking
london red 12:27:44 GMT - 02/04/2016
my pivot. qualitative rather than quantative.
GVI Jay 12:25:41 GMT - 02/04/2016
We show the daily pivot at 1.4526. R1 = 1.4668 vs. 1.4666 HOD.
EURUSD R1 = 1.1199
london red 12:24:19 GMT - 02/04/2016
cable. 65 is the pivot, they have bought the brief dips below. if can get a 1min close under should move lower
london red 12:08:38 GMT - 02/04/2016
maybe we can get to 14525/13 and that would be a good pt to fade. if below 145 then full retracement to 14409 but i doubt it, as to many scrambling to buy.
\'GVI \'john 12:01:55 GMT - 02/04/2016
BOE more dovish than expected. No policy changes GBP lower. Previous hawkish dissenter drops his tightening vote.
'GVI 'john 12:00:53 GMT - 02/04/2016
BREAKING NEWS: February 2016 Bank of England Policy Decision
cable. end of wk straddle about 1.5 figs daily just over a figure. so thats initial sup/res. prior to that on dwnside is 14565 prev low which has hampered trade on both sides over last 24 hrs.
london red 11:33:42 GMT - 02/04/2016
cable. the MC is in the house shortly. mkt is wondering whether mpc will reduce inflation and growth forecasts a bit but also whether boe member maccafferty, the only one to have voted consistently for a 25bps hike, will rein in his enthusiam and fall in with the rest of the crowd, yielding a 9-0 unchanged vote.
if we get something along those lines, there should be some short term weakness towards 14500/13 but mkt likely to buy this dip. topside there is the broken channel on wkly/mnthly at 14700/05 before a couple of fibs at 14784/14811. thats probably as much as it could see today but if euro gets another shot in the pipe and those cable fibs are taken, the 50% of 159/140 comes in a whisker above 1.50 and should be a good pt to sell ahead of fridays nfp which should see some profit taking ahead of that data.
Lower dollar > Higher commodity prices > Low inflation solved.
Also Draghi is lying . In Europe inflation is much higher than official figures show . Inflation should be calculated by a completely independent institute .
'GVI 'john 08:53:38 GMT - 02/04/2016
-- global forces holding down inflation
-- low inflation for too ;long can have second round effects
-- ECB will not surrender to low inflation
bali sja 04:40:33 GMT - 02/04/2016
Kissinger is trying to lick Vlad's boots to save Obama's face
US and co are losing that war in Syria
'Mtl' ''JP'' 04:36:43 GMT - 02/04/2016
RT reporting Kissinger is in Moscow for a yak w/Vlad
wonder on what is old killer Henry congratulating Vlad or what it is that he has come begging Vlad for
'KL' 'KL' 20:08:28 GMT - 02/03/2016
Maybe take the story with a "dust of Salt"....
Right... I SAY Cut...but Backdoor I keep Selling because I need to prop up my Regime and I can Sell at the Back door with a higher price...while you Holy Righteous continue to suffer the Cash Flow Constrain..... OPEC is DEAD...their days are numbered and their new export is Terrorism....
Anyway..covering at leisure 1% at a time Eurusd short under 1.1086....
PPT to rescue the DOW and SnP...OPEC PPT rescue WTI crude.....LOL...its a Sunni v Shai Game of Thrones!!...Rant for the day but still with a trade position...that is how its done here....LOL
'GVI 'john 20:01:01 GMT - 02/03/2016
take this story with a grain of salt
'GVI 'john 20:00:03 GMT - 02/03/2016
Non-specific report some oil producing countries have agreed to an emergency meeting (Iran, Venezuela, Russia, plus three others) presumably to discuss production. Not a lot of details.
'dc' 'CB' 18:22:27 GMT - 02/03/2016
'dc' 'CB' 18:21:18 GMT - 02/03/2016
they just put a big clamp on one leg of the Algo "rally" conglomerate
'Mtl' 'JP' 18:17:31 GMT - 02/03/2016
BOJ reckons .. why dont they just pass laws like the chinese commies ?
'dc' 'CB' 18:09:56 GMT - 02/03/2016
TOKYO -- The Bank of Japan will limit the scope of its newly introduced negative interest rate to a small portion of financial institutions' current-account deposits -- between 10 trillion yen and 30 trillion yen ($84.5 billion to $253 billion), The Nikkei has learned.
The amount will represent no more than a tenth or so of the total. The BOJ reckons that even a narrow application of its new monetary easing tool will spur banks to lend and invest.
Bank shares plunged after the policy change was introduced last week. The BOJ is trying to give the stock market a sense of the size of the impact on financial industry earnings.
Over the next few months keep in mind that the stats of the day will be influenced by comparisons w/ last year -- Q4 14 and Q1 15 were very weak (except Q4 14 NFP) -- A service based economy w/20% of it based on "health care"
'Mtl' 'JP' 13:58:32 GMT - 02/03/2016
nh 13:38 - more protection against euro pop uP little for euro puke down
micro short-term I ll sell the next 5min bar closing under 1.0950
'dc' 'CB' 13:51:03 GMT - 02/03/2016
DUDLEY SAYS IN MNI INTERVIEW MARKET TURMOIL MAY ALTER OUTLOOK
who cudda seen that coming?
New Hampshire Primary Feb 9. Yellen Humphrey Hawkins Feb 10 and 11. a wide margin win by Bernie Sander in NH may embolden Yellen's interrrrrrorrrgators to as dicey questions about the FED's apparent failures.
Livingston nh 13:38:59 GMT - 02/03/2016
So Fischer and Dudley are whining but they are way out of step with others on Fed -- watch the credit spreads not just Treasurys
'dc' 'CB' 13:36:29 GMT - 02/03/2016
USD line in the sand at 100 is pretty clear.
Lower USD = Higher Crude. Fear here is taking out $25/bbl
will be an interesting EIA report as Lg Forces at work to sustain price...Algo's no doubt set to MAX PAIN Stop Run.
interesting that Nat Gas is toying with $2.00 level in the middle of Feb...that sez a lot about the state of the energy mkt...was near $2.50 with the Winter premium not that long ago. many New Widows this month.
'Mtl' 'JP' 13:28:00 GMT - 02/03/2016
dovish Dudley yak kicking usd down like a sick dog
HK RF@ 13:18:07 GMT - 02/03/2016
The number is a bit better than expected, but contraction kicked in.
'GVI 'john 13:16:29 GMT - 02/03/2016
ADP a bit higher than forecast, but generally in line.
servs pmi around 55 isnt so hot for uk rates given growth skewed 75% to servs but its not data but peoples positioning and expectations that drives direction. cable was down pretty much everyday mid dec thru to mid jan. brexit hedging was taking place and a large short position was bulit up. thats why they bought the dips the past week or so.
'GVI 'john 09:34:59 GMT - 02/03/2016
shawn. I don't think so. Hard to trade GBP on data.
Spain Markit services PMI Jan 54.6 vs 54.3 exp
european stox opening down
short euro 35 sl 1.0875 tp
london red 08:03:00 GMT - 02/03/2016
futures are pricing in a mild cut this year before any hike in 2017. the cut may not come but hikes are a long way off. cable has been rerated due to some better news on the brexit front, slightly better data and essentially it had met a lot of folks initial tgt on the downside and was oversold.
'Mtl' 'JP' 07:55:09 GMT - 02/03/2016
UK - NEISR :
maintains its 2016 economic growth estimate at 2.3 percent
first interest rate hike only after the U.K. referendum
london red 07:55:01 GMT - 02/03/2016
120.03 was a fib sup so must recover or tests 119.63 fib again.
'Mtl' 'JP' 07:49:44 GMT - 02/03/2016
119.95 - thks abel
twin numbnuts Abe : gvt and BOJ will continue to work as one to hit 2% inflation and defeat deflation
these two just keep on giving... lol
jkt abel 03:36:16 GMT - 02/03/2016
careful, numbnuts have a date with daily pivot at least
i think this is still a battle around 120
'Mtl' 'JP' 03:31:45 GMT - 02/03/2016
now according to numbnuts markets somewhat overreacting to fears of China's slowdown
kl fs 03:27:16 GMT - 02/03/2016
JP, i think it is a done deal
nothing numbnuts false god can do
'Mtl' 'JP' 03:24:30 GMT - 02/03/2016
maybe usdyen sees 20day 118.31
'Mtl' 'JP' 03:21:26 GMT - 02/03/2016
numbnuts has got a 2nd appearance in about 3hrs
'dc' 'CB' 03:19:18 GMT - 02/03/2016
the USD/JPY has retraced over 62% of the Kuroda Pop.
It's like those good ole Intervention Days...But these days they think they can just use Words and the Idiot Market will panic and supply the capital to make the move.
'Mtl' 'JP' 03:16:52 GMT - 02/03/2016
no, chart points techs
kl fs 03:14:06 GMT - 02/03/2016
first time it created magic, not so lucky second time, third time Kuroda will be sacked
JP, you based your usdjpy trade on hope from the false god?
'Mtl' 'JP' 02:50:21 GMT - 02/03/2016
numbnuts saying that he can push interest rates below 0.1% if needed
I guess .... there is no one physicaly there to stop him
just did not say how far below
'Mtl' 'JP' 02:43:18 GMT - 02/03/2016
what a bozo
just give everyone a million yen instead of bloviate and embarrass self in public :
inflation trend is improving steadily
Japan's economy has continued to recover moderately - haha
will do whatever it takes to hit 2% inflation - why dont you gagg
Will pursue innovation in monetary policy means - lets go
doesapparently this Japanese turkey has no self respect in his old days
'Mtl' 'JP' 02:34:00 GMT - 02/03/2016
link to numbnuts yak
fresh more meddling in markets news out of China:
- lower the minimum downpayment requirement for first-time home buyers (luring new pigeons into unsold units)
- stepped up administrative measures to control capital outflows
- SAFE has capped purchases of insurance products overseas with UnionPay debit and credit cards at USD 5,000 per transaction
- lowered USD/CNY fixing to 6.5510 yesterday from 6.5539 on Monday
I like the key idea whether their capital control efforts succeed in the end? ironically... if it's even 60-70% successful, then all the property bubbles around the world will pop hard.
similar effects of rude crashing on various govy budgets and bank loans
GVI john 18:30:37 GMT - 02/02/2016
U.K. Home Secretary
-- EU proposal today might be a basis for compromise
'Mtl' 'JP' 15:25:21 GMT - 02/02/2016
PAR who wants calm markets ?
how does one make pips in calm markets ?
perish dumb ideas if not stupid CBankers
PAR15:13:25 GMT - 02/02/2016
In order to calm markets EURUSD should go to 1.2000 and Draghi like Mourinho should retire .
Draghi s policies explained :
Pasig evan 15:05:52 GMT - 02/02/2016
EURUSD Entry: Target: Stop:
1.0965 Euro next resistance after 1.0940
'dc' 'CB' 14:44:27 GMT - 02/02/2016
it's an NHL morning in the Treas market.
'dc' 'CB' 14:40:04 GMT - 02/02/2016
how many rate hikes did Stanley Fisher----the Vice Chair say that there wud be this year....when he spoke YESTERDAY!!
Oil, Nat Gas, Stocks, Bonds...seem like the Market -- yes the Market not the MarkIT --- woke up this Groundhog day and said....This is all BULL SHEIT. GET OUT NOW!!!!
'Mtl' 'JP' 14:39:05 GMT - 02/02/2016
dc CB think that 1% too high ?
'dc' 'CB' 14:35:08 GMT - 02/02/2016
'Mtl' 'JP' 14:17:03 GMT - 02/02/2016
(Reuters) - China's state-owned ChemChina is nearing a deal to take over Swiss seeds and pesticides group Syngenta SYNN.VX for around 43 billion Swiss francs ($42 billion), two people familiar with the matter told Reuters on Tuesday.
'Mtl' 'JP' 14:00:13 GMT - 02/02/2016
red N of 1.0950 could see run to 1.1060 top
'''Mt''' '''JP''' 13:49:25 GMT - 02/02/2016
red 13:44 undisciplined short eurusd trade against 1.0950 could be riski
london red 13:44:49 GMT - 02/02/2016
euro. has some ma/fib/cloud res from 10950-80, like to top out before running stops over 110.
s&p. we started at top of last weeks range so they had to backfill a bit. sups at 1900 and 1882. below last weeks low on a closing basis likely to see 1800 again.
yen. fibs at 120.02 and 119.63 should sup ahead of nfp friday.
'''Mt''' '''JP''' 13:11:24 GMT - 02/02/2016
NYT is not breaking any news btw - it is late as is typical of it
but BP kept the 10cnt/ share qtrly dividend
regardless there is no FX trade off it
just keep selling gbpusd and / or eurusd on pops
review in 2017 if u ll still be needing to trade FX
'dc' 'CB' 12:57:38 GMT - 02/02/2016
For all of 2015, BP said it lost $6.48 billion, compared with a profit of $3.78 billion in 2014
Most OPEC members against emergency OPEC meeting.-- OPEC officials
GVI Forex11:44:00 GMT - 02/02/2016
UK's Cameron: EU proposals real progress but more must be done.
GVI john 11:38:51 GMT - 02/02/2016
GBP reacting positively to proposals.
GVI Forex11:36:55 GMT - 02/02/2016
EU proposals to settle UK demands being released...
-- Non EUR states not part of bailouts
-- No restrictions on EUR business for companies outside of EZ
-- National parliaments can band together to block EU laws.
GVI Forex10:53:17 GMT - 02/02/2016
SNB's Jordan: CHF remains overvalued by 7-8%
GVI john 10:06:53 GMT - 02/02/2016
If the ECB is targeting inflation, they still have a big job ahead.
there will be an announcement around 12 noon. it has been telegraphed and doesnt contain anything ground breaking according to draft.
cable making a long tail into hourly close off 38.2 fib 14150/14450. a run abv yest high will set off more stops and short covering. imm pretty short.
UK Chris 09:40:49 GMT - 02/02/2016
Watch for headlines
Reports that a possible agreement between the UK and EU may be announced later today, which could pave the way for a referendum in June
GVI john 09:30:44 GMT - 02/02/2016
UK Construction PMI misses
GVI john 09:30:08 GMT - 02/02/2016
Construction PMI January 2016
-- NEWS ALERT --
55.0 vs. 57.5 exp. vs. 57.8 prev.
Fischer seems to have changed his tune. He is a lot less the hawk that he was a very short while ago. It sounds like he is suddenly not trusting the employment statistics either. I have no idea if he is speaking only for himself or the Fed leadership as well?
GVI john 18:05:50 GMT - 02/01/2016
Fed Vice Chair Fischer:
-- does not know what Fed will do at next FOMC
-- economic conditions only warrant gradual rate rises
-- increased economic uncertainty triggered volatility
-- modest overshoot of unemployment rate appropriate
-- labor slack may remain in market more than unemployment rate suggests
GVI john 16:14:36 GMT - 02/01/2016
Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracking forecast for 1Q16 GDP +1.2% pa. Initial 1Q16 estimate
GVI john 16:05:21 GMT - 02/01/2016
Draghi confirming latest policy statements. So far nothing new.
GVI john 15:16:37 GMT - 02/01/2016
"Strong USD" and weak overseas demand a weight on Mfg sector. U.S and everyone else need a weaker currency. Everyone can't weaken their currency at once!
PAR15:12:40 GMT - 02/01/2016
US manufacturing as bad as Chinese manufacturing , if not worse .
PAR15:08:53 GMT - 02/01/2016
Central Economic Planning by Central Banks doesnt work .
Not in China , not in Europe , not in USA as it also did not work in the former Soviet Union.
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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