USD/JPY damaged goods..the Kuroda Clamp...by old Algo standard shud be near/over 118 by now..
'Mtl' 'JP' 19:26:32 GMT - 02/03/2016
maybe dc CB 2:30+ romp-a-loozer under way
Pasig evan 19:17:18 GMT - 02/03/2016
GBPUSD Entry: Target: Stop:
2nd resistance was the reaction high crossing at 1.4646 Tues morning but now is the 38% retracement level of the Aug-Jan-decline crossing at 1.4720.
'Mtl' 'JP' 19:13:23 GMT - 02/03/2016
voting dove Rosengren about to yak
Paris ib 19:10:25 GMT - 02/03/2016
The narrative has encouraged USD longs versus the Euro and the JPY. And that narrative is wrong.
Seems like the main straw was the ADP CONTRACTION, without any relation to it's absolute number.
'Mtl' 'JP' 19:04:11 GMT - 02/03/2016
gbpusd res 1.4660ish
maybe
'GVI 'john 19:03:47 GMT - 02/03/2016
The crowded trade has been short EURUSD. TheISM Service PMI appears to have been the last straw and the final hope for EURUSD shorts.
Paris ib 19:03:31 GMT - 02/03/2016
John you have speculative trading and you have international capital flows. The potential for an 'exit' from the USD from those holding USD assets is simply enormous. How enormous? Well potentially you have 6 trillion USD worth looking to exit through that tiny little door. AND then you have the speculators which might just starting getting their move on. This is quite a serious situation and what does the FED have? Nothing. And what does the U.S. have, thanks to its absolutely demented foreign policy? A whole bunch of enemies out there. All round it's not a good look. Foreign debt is never a great idea. And foreign debt to finance a military empire and a geo political strategy of world domination is... well, insane. The sooner it is over the better.
Two of Goldman's Top Trades for 2016
Long USD/JPY,
Short EUR/USD
'GVI 'john 18:58:08 GMT - 02/03/2016
EURUSD Bids here are not from people looking to establish new longs. This is short covering.
'Mtl' 'JP' 18:55:47 GMT - 02/03/2016
have to figure = exactly how ?
'dc' 'CB' 18:53:02 GMT - 02/03/2016
john
so that's when they lash out like a cornered animal?
If the SnP 2:15 Train is a SELL Express today...116.XX will be seen
'GVI 'john 18:44:31 GMT - 02/03/2016
fwiw 115.95 is the recent low in USDJPY. 118.80 was the close on the day before the BOJ announcement. You have to figure that 116.00 or so is the BOJ's point of pain?
\'GVI \'john 18:32:28 GMT - 02/03/2016
Not much going on in oil or stox. This looks like a EURUSD short squaring up?
london red 18:27:35 GMT - 02/03/2016
stop over those chestnut 11/24 should do it. aim to pick up 11050/60 maybe 10950/80 should surely see some buying.
london red 18:18:39 GMT - 02/03/2016
50% of 117/105 at 11109 have been pierced but price quickly fell off. failure to close abv here should see a dwnside stop run/pullback
GVI Jay 18:15:57 GMT - 02/03/2016
Superb call...
My Wednesday's Trades
GOT PK 16:11 GMT 02/03/2016 - My Profile
61.8 from 1.1495 at 1.1117. seems also to be a natural target area for the outbreak from the triangle.
'Mtl' 'JP' 17:39:54 GMT - 02/03/2016
audusd at 2x 714x top
'Mtl' 'JP' 16:37:51 GMT - 02/03/2016
euro 200 day 1.1054
london red 16:16:45 GMT - 02/03/2016
for today they should be done with major pairs. they will sup for a while and draw in stops of those taken in near the highs. but plenty of spec accts likely to be waiting to join trend tomorrow.
GOT PK 16:11:00 GMT - 02/03/2016
61.8 from 1.1495 at 1.1117. seems also to be a natural target area for the outbreak from the triangle.
london red 15:56:31 GMT - 02/03/2016
oil. i expect shorts are being covered to reduce leverage (losses elsewhere)
london red 15:55:10 GMT - 02/03/2016
euro. hourly close abv 200dma is coming up short but should see see sup at top of prev range 10950-80.
cable has run the stops but not able to sustain itself abv the prev high 14565. its likely to see weakness into boe after which they may buy the dip again (maybe 14409-14352)
'GVI 'john 15:51:17 GMT - 02/03/2016
german 2-yr note yield hit a new low of -0.495%
GVI Jay 15:50:50 GMT - 02/03/2016
1.1054 = 200 day mva
'GVI 'john 15:43:25 GMT - 02/03/2016
10-yr 1.815% -4.5bp
'GVI 'john 15:35:31 GMT - 02/03/2016
S&P -30
london red 15:33:06 GMT - 02/03/2016
euro. thats stops over 200dma done. if they get an hourly close abv here its here to stay and c 112 is what they will be looking at before a break. meantime a trendline at 11087/97
london red 15:28:08 GMT - 02/03/2016
dax is close to 9300 line in sand. a close below opens 8500 but i doubt they will wait for the close as their nerves will already be frayed.
'Mtl' 'JP' 15:25:51 GMT - 02/03/2016
is Draghi on the yak circuit today or only tom ?
Pasig evan 15:00:43 GMT - 02/03/2016
USDJPY Entry: Target: Stop:
Would buy lower, way below 118.50
london red 14:55:12 GMT - 02/03/2016
110 not yet seen. i dont know if there is a barrier. its poss but i havent heard as such. on a strong finish to the hour and they will get 110. there should be option related selling abv 110 ahead of the 11050 as there are many yards of options expiring at 110 over the next couple of weeks.
yen has sup 80/84 and 30/35.
'Mtl' 'JP' 14:50:41 GMT - 02/03/2016
red u do know how add spice to trading !
on my toy 110 did not print yet
'Mtl' 'JP' 14:48:14 GMT - 02/03/2016
long usdyen sl sub 118.80
'Mtl' 'JP' 14:39:12 GMT - 02/03/2016
odds are dlryen retests 118.80
'GVI 'john 12:10:28 GMT - 02/03/2016
ADP in about an hour could set the tone into Friday, Markets expect a major correction in NFP on Friday. The big surprise today would be strong ADP and NFP outcomes.
'GVI 'john 12:07:20 GMT - 02/03/2016
Equities turning higher from early weakness. Oil up as well. EURUSD down as negative correlation kicks in.
'GVI 'john 10:24:27 GMT - 02/03/2016
Equities Risk-Off in Europe. U.S. futures flat
DAX -130
DJ -11
SP +1
10-yr Risk-Off bias
US 1.858% -0.5bp
DE 0.298% -0.6bp
GB 1.525% -0.7bp
JA 0.069% -1.5bp
EUR mostly weaker on its crosses, Steady vs. USD
wti $30.30 +0.43 (30.61- 29.41 Range) above psychological $30 line EIA crude due today. Also watch gasoline inventories ADP payrolls could set market bias into NFP Friday.
'Mtl' 'JP' 09:23:01 GMT - 02/03/2016
SellGBPUSD Entry: 1.4430/50 Target: south Stop: tight
ahead of UK PMI
'Hillegom' 'Purk' 08:40:28 GMT - 02/03/2016
SHORT E/U 10918.
london red 08:39:20 GMT - 02/03/2016
in theory cable idea sound as failed ahead of yest high so pts to 14352 test where bears would need hourly close below. but they are waiting for servs pmi, the sector of which is the biggest component of uk gdp.
'Mtl' 'JP' 08:07:03 GMT - 02/03/2016
SellGBPUSD Entry: 1.4405 Target: 1.432 Stop: 1.4445+
y/n
tia
'Mtl' 'JP' 01:03:46 GMT - 02/03/2016
forgot chart
'Mtl' 'JP' 01:02:48 GMT - 02/03/2016
SellOTHER Entry: 7.79922 Target: 7.75 Stop: ?
mine is not an idea but a Q:
what is the next trade off this chart ?
tia
GVI Forex00:53:03 GMT - 02/03/2016
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