US 1.810% +0.1bp
DE 0.252% -1.6
UK 1.449% -1.3
JA 0.240% -3.0
EUR crosses mixed
WTI $31.52 +0.83 ($31.68-31.02)
moving into a risk-on posture heading into the U.S. session.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:52:26 GMT - 02/18/2016
I posted this earlier on GVI Forex and is working as suggested. ECB minutes bounce held 1.1110, followed by 1.1085. Contact me to request free access
The 1.1085 initial target I have been citing is next support along with 1.1075 (closing one hour bar). Below it there is little until 1.0960ish except 1.1044 = 200 hour mva (suggests 1.1050 would become pivotal).
Back above 1.1106 would be needed to slow the risk (suggests 1.1100-10)
Note EURGBP flows have been the weight on EURUSD although EUR crosses are generally weak.
GVI Forex john bland 13:46:36 GMT - 02/18/2016
Not much else coming out today. Leading Indicators is a useless number. As for crude (later than usual today) we saw an unexpected draw in the API data late yesterday (a build was forecast). It could impact oil today and therefore the other markets.
London Chris 14:34:26 GMT - 02/18/2016
EURGBP Entry: Target: Stop:
If EURGBP finds support does EURUSD go back to 1.11 or GBPUSD back to 1.43?
Livingston nh 14:35:27 GMT - 02/18/2016
The Fear Trade in treasurys still hanging around - Oil shrugged off announcement higher storage past few weeks and we should see products levels climbing even if a draw - not much follow thru on yesterday's 'agreement"
Stox may hold on until oil announcement but day before OPEX we should see at least one bout of weakness
USD/CAD closed below daily 89 ema - I may need to give up on this one
London Chris 14:35:49 GMT - 02/18/2016
Crude Entry: Target: Stop:
And if crude stalls do stocks go down?
Livingston nh 14:37:36 GMT - 02/18/2016
Based on past performance YES
Wien14:40:05 GMT - 02/18/2016
SellGBPAUD Entry: 2.0000 Target: 2.0200 Stop: 1.9300 GBP is still weak, AUD getting stronger. the bearish pattern continues.
It can be a very profitable trade in the coming period with a 1:3 risk reward ratio
BuyUSDJPY Entry: 113.50 Target: something fast Stop: 113.35
Israel Dil 16:36:04 GMT - 02/18/2016
closed usd jpy for 6 pips
Livingston nh 18:27:07 GMT - 02/18/2016
This may be an interesting switcheroo this afternoon - it has been said that STox have been following oil - maybe a decline in stox will drag oil lower // Stox internals have flipped to negative and the chart looks like a test below SPX1915
dc CB 18:40:29 GMT - 02/18/2016
Ben Bernanke's Shop and one of the trading Arms of the NYFRB's operation. I guess being well connected with FRB types is not a window into winning trade ideas. But then if U run up Futures druing the holiday, then get a couple of FED Mouth's to hint at MOAR,...(hey shut that Kashkari up, we got stuff to unload).... U have a shot a selling yr "stuff" at better prices.
Manny I Pulation.
the WSJ notes that "through the second week of February, Citadel’s main fund is down 6.5% this year, a person familiar with the matter said." As Copeland notes, "Mr. Griffin grapples with a money-losing stretch unusual for one of the hedge-fund world’s marquee names."Perhaps the HFTs are no longer profitable?
In any case, that is only part of the story.
As our source reveals, Citadel is quietly trying to unwind the $50 billion leveraged Surveyor portfolio.
Following massive losses last year by a Boston-based trader Scott Carmel (who lost over $150 million from 2015 through January 2016 trading financial stocks, and was fired for performance last month)
What the WSJ DID NOt NOTE is that "now there is a desperate scramble to try to unwind a massively leveraged equities portfolio (over $50 billion gross)."
and the Rising 45deg Gann Angle award for today's US session goes to GC, COMEX GOLD and COMEX SILVER, SI.
wait wait will the Award be scotch'd by an After Hours GoldWhacker?....no it won't ladies and germs, saved at the line
Mtl JP 00:23:15 GMT - 02/19/2016
nh 14:35 - USD/CAD closed below daily 89 ema - I may need to give up on this one
no hurry to
stick with the yellow line as your current bias pivot
I find trying to figure trades on some cross-correlations and/or fundamentals injections does not beat simple priceaction against consistent application of a few chosen techs
it does not get simpler than that imo
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