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Livingston nh  17:51:52 GMT - 02/19/2016  
As the Fear Trade wanes the SPX should rally above 1920 this afternoon - maybe more as the internals are starting to come into balance // oil still a wild card but should not break down yet


london red  16:38:37 GMT - 02/19/2016  
some noises from uk that deal could be done today but earlier eu diplomats told to extend stay over weekend. no cabinet meeting set for today yet so dave not ready to talk yet.


NY JM  16:31:53 GMT - 02/19/2016  
Either there is some news or those privy to the discussion have an inside track as GBPUSD and EURGBP is down.


london red  16:20:12 GMT - 02/19/2016  
the bandits i speak to havent heard anything. i think it may be closing of gbp shorts. really we should get a deal its a bit surprising it hasnt come but thats prob the fault of poland and hungary, otherwise they wouldve fudged something by now for dave to take to the sunday braodsheets ahead of the weekend poll. so long cable options o/wknd maybe not that risky given at lows.


UK JY  16:15:55 GMT - 02/19/2016  
Positive chatter from the EU summit?


london red  15:21:44 GMT - 02/19/2016  
yes looking less likely of an upside surprise, may see some disappointment into fix. 50 to focus on on the dwnside. then 35 and 20. topside 83 and 14305. now unlikely to see 14352 test given news that eu diplomats exiting hotel stay over weekend.
euro. 11122/23 initial res. while below there more downside poss.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  15:16:54 GMT - 02/19/2016  
10:11(UK) Brexit discussions at EU leader summit could go into tomorrow - press

1500 GMT session said to have been postponed through dinner

- Source TradeTheNews.com


dc CB  15:11:03 GMT - 02/19/2016  
here is Kolanovic on one of his favorite long positions: gold.

... recently established positive gold momentum is becoming more robust with time.

JPMorgan Head Quant Explains Why Most Hedge Funds Have Been Slammed In 2016



Livingston nh  14:27:55 GMT - 02/19/2016  
Interesting moves in Treasurys as Fear Trade competes w/ folks who smell smoke edging towards the exit


london red  14:10:22 GMT - 02/19/2016  
sup 87-77 and bak under pressure if below


dc CB  14:01:48 GMT - 02/19/2016  
Livingston nh 13:15

re: Kashkari...yes he's been all over the MSM..but the cynic in me is thinking this is to assuage the Sanders/Trump radicals...with yes the FED thinks about this, yes the FED has some who care. (ps however the Statute of Limitation on Criminal Prosecution is long gone)

I'm short oil, short euro, long silver. all with longer dated options.

Another Expiry today is Options on Treasury Futures.

OPEX Stocks cud run on it's own..but oil is going down, it was all BS to get out of Longs at a higher price.

Crude Vol OI



london red  13:32:20 GMT - 02/19/2016  
this. real weekly earnings 0.7 vs 0.1%


london red  13:24:25 GMT - 02/19/2016  
these negotiations are pretty much for show so if they cant agree any here then people will be throwing in towel on cable into weekend thats what i hear. another summit in a months time would see them have another go if nothing today, so june 23 date could still be on table even if failure today. any good news today is good for euro but eurgbp will come off heavily and that will hamper euro upside. It may spike but will get sold into. Cable of course will hold gains test 144/14444


Livingston nh  13:15:38 GMT - 02/19/2016  
Cb - re: the outspoken Fed guy LINK - getting some attention away from MSM "economists"

Also how do you judge the OPEX impact vs oil correlation
for stox?

___
Jp - thanx for chart

___
EU/UK "negotiation" - if this blows up or looks like too much concession either side - the weight may be on the EUR AND the GBP -- ?


dc CB  13:07:46 GMT - 02/19/2016  
April Crude still holding $2.20+/- over March. $32.45April. Shud move back toward $30 after March goes off the boards Monday.


GVI Forex 12:17:21 GMT - 02/19/2016  
1) Firmer JPY. Is it signaling risk off?

2) WTI $30 and impact on stocks (which have turned lower)

3) GBP: Cameron negotiations - watch out for headlines as it will impact GBP, which has given back yesterday's gains






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