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Mtl JP  21:35:37 GMT - 03/12/2016  
China's record of failures continues

PBOC Zhou Xiaochuan spouts usual Chinese alliswell b/sh!t
Industrial Production YTD YoY: 5.4% vs exp 5.6% vs prior 6.1%
Retail Sales YTD YoY Feb 10.12% vs exp 10.9% vs prior 10.7%

Mtl JP  15:48:04 GMT - 03/12/2016  
Indian banks, already burdened with their highest ratio of stressed assets in 13 years, saw a surge in their bad loans provisions last quarter.

Indian banks urgently need to reduce their troubled loans

Mtl JP  22:38:38 GMT - 03/11/2016  
Oil price may bottomed, IEA says
The International Energy Agency says there are signs of a market bottom, but no rebound in sight.

nw kw  20:33:52 GMT - 03/11/2016  
xaucad strength week and last time in new week swings soft, might be a fast trade for usd strength now oil loaded. gl

Mtl JP  19:00:12 GMT - 03/11/2016  
out earlier:
The debt burden carried by Canadian households edged up to yet another record high in the fourth quarter of 2015, as debt continued to outpace sluggish income growth.

Statistics Canada reported Friday that the ratio of household credit-market debt to disposable income, the key measure of the debt load, rose to 165.4 per cent in the quarter, eclipsing the previous record of 164.5 per cent set in the third quarter.
That is good news in the making.
Fot those with no / little debt and cash in reserve.
Biding their time.

Mtl JP  18:09:12 GMT - 03/11/2016  
john 18:06 do u c that as a catalyst for some trade ?

GVI Forex john bland  18:06:44 GMT - 03/11/2016  
fall in rig count continues...

GVI Forex john bland  18:06:00 GMT - 03/11/2016  
US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count
U.S. Data Charts

Total (inc gas) U.S.: 480 vs 489 (-9) prev
US (oil): 386 vs. 392 (-6) prev

Canada 98 vs. 129 (-31) prev

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland  13:34:11 GMT - 03/11/2016  


Jobs: -2.3K vs. +9.0K exp. vs. -5.7K prev.
Rate: 7.30% vs. 7.20% exp. vs. 7.20% prev.

RELEASE: StatCan Monthy Employment Report

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland  13:31:43 GMT - 03/11/2016  
U.S. Import Prices January 2016
U.S. Data Charts

-0.30% vs. -0.80% exp. vs. -1.10% (r -1.00%) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

jkt abel  10:16:06 GMT - 03/11/2016  
red, looking at euraud, i think there is a slight chance that the squeeze may be done
friday though, anything can happen still

london red  10:08:09 GMT - 03/11/2016  
11066/76/80/89. pivot range. shoild bounce at least once. if to go up it frm there. if cant hold this squeeze is done.

GVI Forex john bland  09:32:39 GMT - 03/11/2016  
UK Trade January 2016
U.K. Charts


Total: -10.30 vs. -10.30 exp. vs. -9.90 (r -10.50) prev.

Non-EU: -2.20 vs. -2.70 exp. vs. -2.40 (-3.00) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Paris ib  16:46:29 GMT - 03/10/2016  
Percy Bysshe Shelley.... matie. An English Poet 1792-1822.

Israel Dil  16:08:19 GMT - 03/10/2016  
you ok ib? ;-)

you Alice in chains type?

'Layne Staley stated that the lyrics are about censorship in the mass media, and "I was really really stoned when I wrote it, so it meant something else at the time", he said laughing.'

Paris ib  15:53:40 GMT - 03/10/2016  
"‘Rise like Lions after slumber
In unvanquishable number.
Shake your chains to earth like dew
Which in sleep had fallen on you—
Ye are many—they are few."

Ye are many

Paris ib  15:49:27 GMT - 03/10/2016  
Guns blazing indeed. They might not be out of bullets but the problem is the market DOES NOT care. So all their fancy pants new instruments aren't worth a nickel.

Of course the mainstream media tried to hype it. So we get these groovy hyperventilating headlines. Goldmans - the new spokeman for the regime - will keep on with its parity call and still the market DOES NOT care.

Masters of the Universe? Well yes. But someone is making a huge miscalculation of scale:

"For thousands more years the mighty ships tore across the empty wastes of space and finally dived screaming on to the first planet they came across—which happened to be the Earth—where due to a terrible miscalculation of scale the entire battle fleet was accidentally swallowed by a small dog." Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy

dc CB  15:42:00 GMT - 03/10/2016  
“The central bank came out all guns blazing,” said Craig Erlam, a senior market analyst at OANDA. “The decision to ease monetary policy across a broad range of tools sent a strong message to the markets that it is not willing to sit by while they repeatedly fall well short of their 2 percent inflation target.”

EURO DOWN One of the biggest impacts from the central bank’s package of measures was on the euro, which slid 1.2 percent to $1.0857. The lower returns on euro holdings and the prospect of more euros in circulation weighed hard on Europe’s single currency.


Time Stamp on that one Please LMAO

Wall St. Rises on Strong Earnings Data

GVI Forex john bland  15:30:59 GMT - 03/10/2016  
Natural Gas consensus dead on

GVI Forex john bland  15:30:22 GMT - 03/10/2016  
US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)
U.S. Data Charts

-57 vs. -57 exp vs. -48 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex 14:23:39 GMT - 03/10/2016  
Watch out in oil

09:22 OPEC/non-OPEC production freeze meeting is unlikely to take place on March 20th because Iran has not yet committed to an output freeze - financial press

- Source

GVI Forex john bland  13:59:11 GMT - 03/10/2016  
Draghi Don't expect that ECB will have to cut rates any lower, but new facts could emerge

GVI Forex john bland  13:30:57 GMT - 03/10/2016  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims
U.S. Data Charts


Initial Claims (000)
259K vs. 275K exp. vs. 278K prev. (r 277k)

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Israel Dil  12:55:54 GMT - 03/10/2016  
it's a strong junkie, running tests with increased dosis

PAR 12:54:03 GMT - 03/10/2016  
More cocaine to come in the future . This is not the end .

PAR 12:51:38 GMT - 03/10/2016  
Could have gone further .

GVI Forex john bland  12:48:09 GMT - 03/10/2016  
ECB ease more aggressive than expected.

GVI Forex john bland  12:47:25 GMT - 03/10/2016  
European Central Bank (ECB) March 2016


Refi Rate cut 5bp to 0.00%
Marginal Lending Rate cut 5bp to 0.25%
Deposit Rate cut by -10bp -0.40%

Asset Purchases (QE) per mo increased 20bn to 80bn

Press Release: ECB Decision

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland  09:20:39 GMT - 03/10/2016  
China CPI February 2016

Earlier News Alert
CPI yy: +2.30% vs. +1.80% exp. vs. +1.80% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh  22:24:26 GMT - 03/09/2016  
CB - funny thing is w/ a different messenger the folks in both camps might be even larger

dc CB  21:36:41 GMT - 03/09/2016  
filler up, check the oil and the tire pressure. And please was the windshield.

here's a quarter for you son.

GVI Forex john bland  20:51:53 GMT - 03/09/2016  
NEW ZEALAND: Official Cash Rate reduced to 2.25 percent

nw kw  20:46:34 GMT - 03/09/2016  
dill still short u/cad for xaucad descending so no cad retracement yet

dc CB  20:42:49 GMT - 03/09/2016  
Livingston nh 19:00 GMT

one more thing that will PO the hoi polloi. the relentless rise in the price of gas at the pump. It hit $1.80 today, and that will go up again tom as the price of Wholesale is up another 8 cents today..

at this rate it will be over $2.50 by Easter---so a rise of $1.00 in 4 weeks. Hit $3.50 by Memorial Day and higher into June and Bernie/Trump will have a new cudgel to to beat-on Hillary and and the Wall Street Speculators driving up the price when for the past year, Job Loses in the Oil Patch, Booms Towns Closing Down, Texas in a Depression, has been the tenor of the headlines.

Sydney ACC  20:25:06 GMT - 03/09/2016  
Much of what was said in the RBNZ statement could apply to Australia as well.
1. Global growth applies just as well to resource commodities. Iron ore fell; back yesterday following Monday's spectacular rise, although gas seems buoyed presently.
2. While still maintaining a reasonable lrevel of immigration it's not as high as it was during the commodity boom.
3. The TWI and the AUD/USD are both higher than where the RBA would like.
4. House price is moderating in the markets that matter - Sydney and Melbourne. There are a significant number of apartments nearing completion that will hit the market over the next two years that will dampen prices.
Inflation is low and lies below the Bank's range. Petrol is prices while having risen from extreme lows of a fortnbight ago are still very low.
5. Most market commentators still look for a cut to the cash rate.

Aussie may have got a little beyond itself maybe today's cut win NZ will bring forawrd a reality check. Must admit I thought we were heading for 77/78 US cents beforehand.

nw kw  20:11:49 GMT - 03/09/2016  
so long gold for bit xauaud. dill cad was marked

GVI Forex john bland  20:05:17 GMT - 03/09/2016  
NZD sharply lower

GVI Forex john bland  20:04:18 GMT - 03/09/2016  
further policy easing may be required

GVI Forex john bland  20:02:24 GMT - 03/09/2016  
BREAKING NEWS: Reserve Bank of New Zealand March 2016

Cuts rates 25 bp to 2.25%.

RELEASE: Reserve Bank of New Zealand

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh  19:00:12 GMT - 03/09/2016  
One more thing -- the general election will be one of the most polarized based on racial/ethnic bias - democrats can't win that kind of an election any more than a Republican could have won following the Idiot Child in 2008

Livingston nh  18:54:08 GMT - 03/09/2016  
JP - this gets complicated but bear with me -- for the last few election cycles Republican candidates have bent to the Conservative dogma in the primaries but had to swing back to the center in the general election (leading to cries of Foul) -- so betrayal has led to an abandonment of the Conservative "establishment" --- the Survivor candidate is Kasich not Cruz (VERY conservative) -- the Great Unwashed are rising against the OWB (older wiser and better folks) who think they know better

Note the demise of the TEA PARTY -- this is a socio/economic uprising there is a similar uprising against Clinton - the GOOD News is the US does not tolerate 3rd Party opinion

dc CB  18:16:12 GMT - 03/09/2016  
Having documented the unprecedented shortage of underlying 10Y paper as a result of record low repo rates which have been at "fails" for the past week, everyone was anxiously awaiting today's 10Y auction to see just how the market would soak up today's $20 billion in 10 year paper. And the answer, somewhat surprisingly, was lousy because traditionally when there is a massive, and in this case record, short overhang, the auction tends to price through the when issued.

Bottom line, whether the result of the overnight fireworks in the Japanese bond market, or some still unknown reason, today's auction was a dud.

Which brings up the next question: now that the 10Y is over, will the issue drop back to 0% in repo, or will the shortage persists with ongoing near-fails rates, and if so, just who is it that continues to press for higher yields?

Tailing 10 Year Auction A Dud As Foreign Central Banks Step Back

dc CB  18:10:19 GMT - 03/09/2016  
apparently the ritalin dose needs to be raised

Mtl JP  18:08:18 GMT - 03/09/2016  
Is this an option:
... "The only way to stop Trump now is for the deep state to literally step in and nullify the electorate's decision on the excuse that Americans have simply lost their minds in a (hopefully) temporary bout of nationalistic, frustrated insanity." ...

"At This Point" It's Over: Establishment's Last Hope Fades As Trump Leads Rubio

GVI Forex john bland  18:04:39 GMT - 03/09/2016  
10-yr auction 1.895% bid to cover 2.49 vs 2.77

Livingston nh  16:31:38 GMT - 03/09/2016  
Any info re: capacity utilization -- ???

dc CB  15:41:01 GMT - 03/09/2016  

PAR 15:33:30 GMT - 03/09/2016  
Buy Crude . WTI heading for $ 40 , Brent to $ 45 .

GVI Forex john bland  15:32:14 GMT - 03/09/2016  
WTI on the big draw in gasoline inventories.

GVI Forex john bland  15:31:20 GMT - 03/09/2016  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts

Crude Oil: +3.900 vs. +3.600 exp vs. +10.40 prev.
Gasoline: -4.500 vs. -1.750 exp vs. -1.500 prev.
Distillates: -1.100 vs. -0.300 exp vs. +2.900 prev.
Cap/Util: 89.1% vs. 88.0% exp..

Weekly Petroleum Status Report

TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red  15:11:00 GMT - 03/09/2016  
bit more hawkish than folk were expecting, tho statement taken on its own neutral. pt is folk were looking other way. that said still fancy 200dma to keep bulls in check. usd longs quite small and rates are going to need to be repriced as fed may not raise march but has to excuses to tap in a dovish statement so mkt likely needs to chase dollars.

PAR 15:08:03 GMT - 03/09/2016  
DJ Wholesale Inventory/Sales Ratio at 7-Year High -- Market Talk

10:04 ET - US wholesale inventories surprisingly rose 0.3% in January as sales plunged, pushing the inventory-to-sales ratio to its highest level since April 2009 at 1.35. The metric measures how many months it would take to sell stockpiles at current sales pace, and the increase suggests wholesalers may try to empty warehouses rather than place new orders near-term. Much of January's ratio rise was in autos, a sector with strong recent demand and traditionally higher inventories, and petroleum--a commodity battered by overproduction. But paper, pharmaceuticals and farm products also saw big inventory growth. ([email protected])

Mtl JP  15:06:54 GMT - 03/09/2016  
so A risk category on BoC almost worth 50 pip player reaction

BoC probably not thrilled with strong(er) CAD but other forces trump

GVI Forex john bland  15:06:20 GMT - 03/09/2016  
"...An assessment of the impact of the upcoming federal budget’s fiscal measures will be incorporated into the Bank’s April projection. All things considered, the risks to the profile for inflation are roughly balanced. Meanwhile, financial vulnerabilities continue to edge higher, in part due to regional shifts in activity associated with the structural adjustment underway in Canada’s economy. The Bank’s Governing Council judges that the overall balance of risks remains within the zone for which the current stance of monetary policy is appropriate, and the target for the overnight rate remains at 1/2 per cent."

Bank of Canada maintains overnight rate target at 1/2 per cent

GVI Forex john bland  15:02:51 GMT - 03/09/2016  
U.S. Wholesale Inventories January 2016
U.S. Data Charts

+0.30% vs. -0.20% exp. vs. -0.10% (r 0.0%) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland  15:00:07 GMT - 03/09/2016  
March 2016 Bank of Canada Policy Decision

target unchanged at 0.50%

RELEASE: Bank of Canada

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GVI Forex john bland  09:31:34 GMT - 03/09/2016  
UK Industrial/Manufacturing Output February 2016


Ind mm: +0.30% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. -0.20% prev.
Mfg mm: +0.70% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. -0.20% (r -0.30%) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB  22:36:14 GMT - 03/08/2016  

Crude +4.4mm
Cushing +692k
Gasoline -2.1mm
Distillates -128k

Sixth weekly rise in Cushing Inventories...

GVI Forex john bland  22:13:41 GMT - 03/08/2016  
Another large build in inventories.

GVI Forex john bland  22:12:30 GMT - 03/08/2016  
US Weekly API Crude


Reportedly +4.400 mn vs. +3.600 mn exp

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Paris ib  17:04:54 GMT - 03/08/2016  
Seriously? Rates to rise in the U.K. ? Whoa. The property market (already in trouble) is gonna love that.

GVI Forex john bland  17:03:29 GMT - 03/08/2016  
BOE's Weale. Next move in rates likely up.

Source: TTN

GVI Forex john bland  10:03:35 GMT - 03/08/2016  
Eurozone GDP 4Q15 Revised

Data News ALERT
qq: +0.30% vs +0.30% exp. vs. +0.30% prev.
yy: +1.60% vs. +1.50% exp. vs. +1.50% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

target="_blank">Eurozone GDP Data

GVI Forex john bland  09:32:53 GMT - 03/08/2016  
Swiss CPI Febuary 2016

mm: +0.20% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. -0.40% prev.
yy: -0.80% vs. -1.30% exp. vs. -1.30% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland  09:26:00 GMT - 03/08/2016  


qq: -0.30% vs. -0.40% exp. vs. -0.40% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 09:17:40 GMT - 03/08/2016  
Chinese Lunar New Year distorted these figures .

GVI Forex john bland  09:15:17 GMT - 03/08/2016  
January 2016 China Trade USDb

- Earlier NEWS --

+32.59b vs. +50.8b exp. vs. +63.3b prev.
Exports (y/y): -25.4% vs. -15.00% exp. vs. -11.2%

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex 06:45:47 GMT - 03/08/2016  
Posted by a GVI Forex member

I know that China have decreed 6.5% GDP for the next decade but those Feb trade numbers (even in the barely believable China context) are pretty horrendous....

Trade: +$ 32.6bn expected +$51bn, prior $63.3bn
Exports: -25.4% y/y Expectd -14.5%, prior was -11.2%
Imports: -13.8% y/y Expected -12.0%, prior was -18.8%

Thank goodness China have decreed the solution to record debt is a bigger record debt sorry stimulus

GVI Forex 22:50:24 GMT - 03/07/2016  
China trade report highlights the calendar on Tuesday

GVI Forex john bland  22:10:45 GMT - 03/07/2016  
I don't think the Bloomberg announcement is truly news. If Bloomberg ran he would likely split the Clinton vote and help Trump get elected.

GVI Forex john bland  22:05:18 GMT - 03/07/2016  
Former NYC Mayor Bloomberg says he will not run for President.

GVI Forex john bland  17:20:19 GMT - 03/07/2016  
-- Ready to add liquidity in weeks around EU Referendum if needed
-- Extra cash auctions June 14, 21, 28
-- To monitor conditions carefully

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