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Mtl JP  03:42:20 GMT - 03/11/2016  
Merle Hazard on How Long (Will Interest Rates Stay Low)?

Merle Hazard How Long (Will Interest Rates Stay Low)?



Livingston nh  22:23:59 GMT - 03/10/2016  
jp - if they are TRULY data dependent The FOMC will hike - this is a lie but I'll buy it because of the election year effect

More Likely they will pass with two dissents -- this is the real market risk because the Fomc has only 4 firm doves


Mtl JP  22:16:21 GMT - 03/10/2016  
Care for your prognostication for next week's FED:
Hike : y/n
IF No: yikyak bias: dovish / hawkish
Expectation for usd: weak / strong
tia
-
I am looking for opps to go long usd already.


Livingston nh  22:12:53 GMT - 03/10/2016  
1.0750 is 21 dma - this will be the crusher - TOMORROW, Monday? The draghi effect wears off sooner and faster

JP - not saying no effect but not what is intended - you can't fix deflation with interest rates so if FED does not hike you get an Expectation Rate that defeats the Loan Ratio the more you screw w/ rates the more deflation you get


Mtl JP  22:00:42 GMT - 03/10/2016  
nh / 99.99999% sure they won't get to zero
if only because they still appear on GV Econ calendar
A USFRB Fed Rates
A CH SNB
A GB Bank of England

unless GV changes A to z before Monday


london red  21:55:36 GMT - 03/10/2016  
11080 should shelter big stops so thats the ones bears will go for. its a long way off but poss since brent seems ready to do 43 or 38 tomorrow so that would mean big moves elsewhere. look at brent wkly candle looks like we are still monday afternoon. euro fibs have not been tested yet thou neither has top side of triangle at 11320 on weeklies so those are topside tomorrow if swings abv fibs.


Livingston nh  20:40:24 GMT - 03/10/2016  
I just saw Flip's sarcastic comment about the courage to act - these brave CBers -- somebody ought to tell them that shooting one's self in the Foot does not usually garner medals for bravery


Livingston nh  20:34:39 GMT - 03/10/2016  
JP - we'll see next week if they can get to ZERO


Singapore SGFXTrader  20:32:49 GMT - 03/10/2016  
Red, u reckon any chance for Eurusd to revisit 1.10?


london red 19:45 GMT 03/10/2016
11320/30 a whole bunch of tech. if they can close at or abv that lot then a squeeze on for tomorrow.


nw kw  20:30:40 GMT - 03/10/2016  
longed usa/jpy 113.25 for imbalance pull


Mtl JP  20:30:04 GMT - 03/10/2016  
nh but as long as these CB PhDs have some (other than 0) credibility they will continue to have potential impact on your account


Livingston nh  20:25:46 GMT - 03/10/2016  
This morning's move in Yen cleaned out a lot of positions both sides -- 21 dma is like a magnet // GBP/JPY position looked good for a micro second

Pretty obvious that the Fed has even less credibility than the ECB or BoJ


london red  19:45:29 GMT - 03/10/2016  
11320/30 a whole bunch of tech. if they can close at or abv that lot then a squeeze on for tomorrow.






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