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GVI Forex john bland  17:05:07 GMT - 03/18/2016  
US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Total (inc gas) U.S.: 476 vs 480 (-4) prev
US (oil): 387 vs. 386 (+1) prev

Canada 69 vs. 98 (-29) prev



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PAR 14:01:49 GMT - 03/18/2016  
Higher oil prices and rising service prices are hurting US consumer sentiment . How absurd?


GVI Forex john bland  14:00:39 GMT - 03/18/2016  
Uof M misses.


GVI Forex john bland  14:00:14 GMT - 03/18/2016  
Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index March 2016
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
90.0 vs. 92.2 exp. vs. 91.7 prev


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


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GVI Forex john bland  12:33:23 GMT - 03/18/2016  
Retail Sales beat estimates. CPI misses.


GVI Forex john bland  12:32:17 GMT - 03/18/2016  
Canada: CPI (February) Retail Sales (January) 2016
Canada Charts





NEWS ALERT
Bank of Canada Core
yy: 1.90% vs. 2.00% exp. vs. +2.00% prev.
Headline
mm: +0.20% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.
yy: +1.40% vs. +1.50% exp. vs. +2.00% prev.

Retail Sales
Headline: +2.10% vs. -0.60% exp. vs. +2.20% (r +2.10%) prev.
X-Autos: +1.20% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. -1.60% prev.




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GVI Forex john bland  14:31:40 GMT - 03/17/2016  
US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-1 vs. -10 exp vs. -57 prev.


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GVI Forex john bland  14:02:06 GMT - 03/17/2016  
U.S. BLS JOLTS Survey January 2016
U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
mln: 5.540 vs. 5.500 exp. vs. 5.610 prev (r 5.280) rev.

BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary




GVI Forex john bland  14:00:40 GMT - 03/17/2016  
U.S. Leading Indicators February 2016
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
+0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. -0.20% prev.


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Mtl JP  13:27:07 GMT - 03/17/2016  
SnP at 2026.6 - poof go global economic worries


Mtl JP  13:05:49 GMT - 03/17/2016  
The FED gang under Janet's chairmanship has shifted from data dependency (i.e . allegedly market leading it) to “global economic and financial developments continue to pose risks"

3 yrs later those financial risks appear to be roosting in Janet's brain
"We can and must safeguard the financial system" - Yellen October 9, 2013


GVI Forex john bland  12:40:41 GMT - 03/17/2016  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims in line



<Click on chart for over twelve-year history


GVI Forex john bland  12:35:09 GMT - 03/17/2016  
Philly Fed beats. Jobless claims in line.


GVI Forex john bland  12:33:58 GMT - 03/17/2016  
U.S. Current Account 4Q15 (USD bln)




ALERT
-125.3 vs. -116.1 exp. vs. -124.8 (r -129.8) prev.


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GVI Forex john bland  12:32:55 GMT - 03/17/2016  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims
U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT

Initial Claims (000)
265K vs. 266K exp. vs. 258K (r 258K prev.

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GVI Forex john bland  12:30:39 GMT - 03/17/2016  
U.S. Philly Fed Index February 2016
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
12.4 vs. -1.4 exp. vs. -2.8 prev.


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GVI Forex john bland  12:02:11 GMT - 03/17/2016  
BOE
-- rate hike more likely than not over forecast period
-- Brexit uncertainty could restrain demand


GVI Forex john bland  12:00:26 GMT - 03/17/2016  
January 2016 Bank of England Policy Decision







-- NEWS ALERT --

Policy Unchanged (repo rate 0.50%)
Asset Purchases unch @ GBP 375 bln v. GBP 375 bn

Rates:Tighten = 0 Unchanged =9 Ease =0

Bank of England




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GVI Forex john bland  10:02:34 GMT - 03/17/2016  
Final EZ HICP (CPI) February 2016





ALERT
yy: -0.20% vs. -0.20% exp. vs. -0.20% prev.
HICP core
yy: +0.70% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +0.70% prev.


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GVI Forex john bland  09:02:44 GMT - 03/17/2016  
Norway cuts rates by 25bp as expected to 0.50%. Leaves door open to another easing.

Source: TTN


GVI Forex john bland  08:36:17 GMT - 03/17/2016  
No SNB surprises. USDCHF lower.


GVI Forex john bland  08:30:19 GMT - 03/17/2016  
Swiss National Bank Decision March 2016





DATA NEWS

Swiss National Bank
Target Left Unchanged (-0.75%)
Libor target unchanged (-1.25% to -0.25%)


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PAR 19:36:55 GMT - 03/16/2016  
CATS or LES MISERABLES . Hihi strong labor market with low wages .


dc CB  19:19:43 GMT - 03/16/2016  
PAR 18:40 GMT
Fed presentation starts to look like Mamma Mia .

no actually its' CATS


dc CB  18:51:57 GMT - 03/16/2016  
zerohedge ‏@zerohedge 42s42 seconds ago

Yellen unleashes the random word generator


PAR 18:50:21 GMT - 03/16/2016  
And it is always the fault of the rest of the world .


dc CB  18:49:01 GMT - 03/16/2016  
With that question, Liesman just lost his job


GVI Forex john bland  18:48:51 GMT - 03/16/2016  
As usual, this Fed has my head spinning. just as the economy starts to look better they turn more dovish.


PAR 18:48:25 GMT - 03/16/2016  
Hard to believe she will raise rates this year with economic growth coming down . Unemployment rate looks strange when taking in the total economic contest , probably some statistical errors or seasonal adjustments gone wild .

But with lower yields , bonds go up and ... Yellen is making money for the American People .

Trump will have a lot of work .


PAR 18:40:52 GMT - 03/16/2016  
Fed presentation starts to look like Valeant presentation . Lower and lower growth till 2018 Mama Mia .


dc CB  18:35:13 GMT - 03/16/2016  
link thru ZH

presser



dc CB  18:34:35 GMT - 03/16/2016  
4 more years of having to listen to this voice ....Plus Hillary Clinton.


dc CB  18:29:14 GMT - 03/16/2016  
Roget's thoroughly thumbed. New set on order for April

Redlined - the Tweaks



london red  18:27:18 GMT - 03/16/2016  
CB, euro hourly candles. current and last. should close hour close to highs otherwise will lose the lot dwn to pre fomc by top of hour.


GVI Forex john bland  18:26:19 GMT - 03/16/2016  
For release at 2:00 p.m. EDT
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January suggests that economic activity has been expanding at a moderate pace despite the global economic and financial developments of recent months. Household spending has been increasing at a moderate rate, and the housing sector has improved further; however, business fixed investment and net exports have been soft. A range of recent indicators, including strong job gains, points to additional strengthening of the labor market. Inflation picked up in recent months; however, it continued to run below the Committee's 2 percent longer-run objective, partly reflecting declines in energy prices and in prices of non-energy imports. Market-based measures of inflation compensation remain low; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance, in recent months.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee currently expects that, with gradual adjustments in the stance of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace and labor market indicators will continue to strengthen. However, global economic and financial developments continue to pose risks. Inflation is expected to remain low in the near term, in part because of earlier declines in energy prices, but to rise to 2 percent over the medium term as the transitory effects of declines in energy and import prices dissipate and the labor market strengthens further. The Committee continues to monitor inflation developments closely.

Against this backdrop, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 1/4 to 1/2 percent. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting further improvement in labor market conditions and a return to 2 percent inflation.

In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. In light of the current shortfall of inflation from 2 percent, the Committee will carefully monitor actual and expected progress toward its inflation goal. The Committee expects that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant only gradual increases in the federal funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run. However, the actual path of the federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data.

The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction, and it anticipates doing so until normalization of the level of the federal funds rate is well under way. This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Janet L. Yellen, Chair; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Lael Brainard; James Bullard; Stanley Fischer; Loretta J. Mester; Jerome H. Powell; Eric Rosengren; and Daniel K. Tarullo. Voting against the action was Esther L. George, who preferred at this meeting to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 1/2 to 3/4 percent.


dc CB  18:24:21 GMT - 03/16/2016  
so now the Presser. Will Yellen put her foot in it, like Draggie did...and reverse everything within the first 30 mins?


Livingston nh  18:23:25 GMT - 03/16/2016  
JP -- Worked out pretty well for that kid that said the Emperor had no clothes - the Great Unwashed made him the New emperor


Mtl JP  18:20:34 GMT - 03/16/2016  
and lose their career ?
u r not that nasty nh r u ?


Livingston nh  18:18:34 GMT - 03/16/2016  
Other than a RATE Cut this was as dovish as could be imagined -- how's that Forward Guidance from December workin' out -- Never Mind

I hope there is at least one hostile interlocutor at the presser


dc CB  18:07:01 GMT - 03/16/2016  
Janet panicked and folded again in the face of "unequivocally good" data based on what The Fed has said it monitors. Of course there were plenty of excuses:

*FED LEAVES RATES UNCHANGED AT 0.25%-0.5% AS EXPECTED
*FED SAYS GLOBAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS CONTINUE TO POSE RISKS
*FED MEDIAN FORECAST IMPLIES TWO 2016 RATE HIKES VS FOUR IN DEC

Not too dovish, not too hawkish, a goldilocks statement - just a little more inflation and just a little less unemployment and just another month or two of near-ZIRP rates is what it takes. We are breathless in anticipation.

"Data Dependent" Fed Chickens Out Again - Blames Global Uncertainty For US Rate Hold



london red  18:06:39 GMT - 03/16/2016  
yen 11280 sup. shud hold into presser.


Livingston nh  18:03:52 GMT - 03/16/2016  
Fed Chairwoman Brainerd has decided that the World conditions shall henceforth determine Fed Policy - two hikes and only a half point


GVI Forex john bland  18:00:26 GMT - 03/16/2016  
U.S. Fed Policy Decision March 2016





NEWS ALERT
Rates: Fed Funds Target Range Steady at 0.25%-0.50%

RELEASE: Policy Statement


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GVI Forex john bland  14:31:08 GMT - 03/16/2016  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +1.300 vs. +3.330 exp vs. +3.810 prev.
Gasoline: -0.700 vs. -2.600 exp vs. -4.530 prev.
Distillates: -1.100 vs. -1.260 exp vs. -1.120 prev.
Cap/Util: 89.0% vs. 89.10% prev.




Weekly Petroleum Status

Report



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GVI Forex john bland  13:16:10 GMT - 03/16/2016  
U.S. Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization February 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Ind Production: -0.50% vs. -0.20% exp. vs. +0.90% (r +0.80%) prev.
Capacity Utilization: 76.70% vs. 76.90% exp. vs. 77.10% prev.



target="blank">RELEASE: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization





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GVI Forex john bland  12:35:15 GMT - 03/16/2016  
New construction data generally higher than forecast. CPI mixed to higher.


GVI Forex john bland  12:34:15 GMT - 03/16/2016  
U.S. House Starts & Permits (000) February 2016
U.S. Data Charts



NEWS ALERT
Starts: 1.178 vs. 1.150 exp. vs. 1.100 (r +1.120) prev.
Permits: 1.167 vs. 1.200 exp. vs. 1.200 (r +1.204) prev.


New Residential Construction



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GVI Forex john bland  12:32:00 GMT - 03/16/2016  
U.S. Consumer Price Index February 2016
U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
Headline:
m/m: -0.20% vs. -0.20% exp. v 0.00% pre
y/y: +1.00% vs. +0.90% exp. v +1.40% pre
Core:
y/y: +2.30% vs. +2.10% exp. v +2.10% pre


RELEASE: Consumer Price Index


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GVI Forex john bland  09:33:41 GMT - 03/16/2016  
U.K. Employment January/February 2016




-- NEWS ALERT --

Claimant Count: -18.0 vs. -9.600 exp. vs. -14.8 (r -28.4) prev.
ILO Rate: 2.10% vs. 5.10% exp. vs. 5.10% prev.
earnings x-bonus: 2.20% vs. 2.10% exp. vs. 2.00% prev.
earnings: 2.10% vs. 2.00% exp. vs. 1.90% prev.


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HK [email protected]  01:41:52 GMT - 03/16/2016  


When Obama says Trump will not be the next president of the US, it may mean intentional crush of STOX, to make people mad at Trump nomination.



HK [email protected]  01:26:55 GMT - 03/16/2016  

Trump is a threat to Wall Street-crooks and market manipulators feeding Lazy Democrats with grease money to ignore their monkey business.

So now W.S. is expected to celebrate for next few days.


Haifa ac  01:19:22 GMT - 03/16/2016  
risk of what?!


Cleveland JK  01:13:35 GMT - 03/16/2016  
Trump wins Florida but loses Ohio...risk on?


GVI Forex john bland  20:39:52 GMT - 03/15/2016  
US Weekly API Crude




ALERT

Reportedly +1.500 mn vs. +3.380 mn prev



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GVI Forex john bland  14:01:23 GMT - 03/15/2016  
U.S. Business Inventories January 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+0.10% vs. 0.00% exp. vs. +0.10% (r ) prev.


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GVI Forex john bland  14:00:43 GMT - 03/15/2016  
U.S. NAHB Index March 2016
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
58 vs. 59 exp. vs. 58 (r) prev.

RELEASE: NAHB Index


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GVI Forex john bland  14:00:42 GMT - 03/15/2016  
U.S. NAHB Index March 2016
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
58 vs. 59 exp. vs. 58 (r) prev.

RELEASE: NAHB Index


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PAR 12:42:54 GMT - 03/15/2016  
DJ US Retail Sales Down in 2016's 1st 2 Months -- Market Talk

8:39 ET - US retail sales slipped 0.1% in February from the prior month, a reading which matches economists' estimates but is nonetheless disappointing. That's because January sales fell 0.4% from December, a big revision from the previously reported 0.2% gain. January's decline was the largest since the same month in 2015. That as revised data show Americans pulled back on car purchases to start 2016. New estimates show sales at dealerships fell 0.4% during January, versus the previously reported 0.6% gain. Retail sales are measured in dollars, so the weak auto figures could in part reflect cars and trucks being sold at a discount. ([email protected]; @ericmorath)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires


PAR 12:37:21 GMT - 03/15/2016  
DJ PPI Report Hints at Firming Underlying Inflation -- Market Talk

8:34 ET - February's PPI fell 0.2% on-month and was flat from a year earlier. But that was the first month the metric didn't fall year-over-year since January 2015. Energy-related goods remain the biggest weight, with diesel down 40.5%, LPG down 39%, gasoline off 29.5% and home heating oil down 29% from a year earlier. Meanwhile, food prices inched lower. But the index for finished goods less food and energy rose 1.6% from a year earlier and for services, growth was 1.5%. While hardly a breakout for inflation, the report suggests some firming on core goods and services. ([email protected])


GVI Forex john bland  12:35:37 GMT - 03/15/2016  
PPI soft Large downward revisions in prior Retail Sales


GVI Forex john bland  12:34:05 GMT - 03/15/2016  
U.S. PPI February 2016
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
Headline: -0.20% vs. -0.20% exp. vs. +0.10% (r. ) prev.
Core: 0.0% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. +0.40% (r. ) prev.


RELEASE: Producer Price Index



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GVI Forex john bland  12:33:09 GMT - 03/15/2016  
U.S. Advance Retail Sales February 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-0.10% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. +0.20% (r -0.40%)

x-autos & gas +0.30% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.40% (r -0.10%)



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PAR 12:31:04 GMT - 03/15/2016  
Berlin car bomb probaly mafia related . Bild


GVI Forex john bland  12:30:47 GMT - 03/15/2016  
Empire PMI March 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
0.62 vs. -12.0 vs. -16.6 prev.


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PAR 10:44:18 GMT - 03/15/2016  
Une voiture explose à Berlin, le chauffeur tué BFMTV


GVI Forex john bland  10:06:07 GMT - 03/15/2016  
Reports of a possible car bomb in Berlin...

Source: TTN


Mtl JP  13:49:49 GMT - 03/14/2016  
so according to Jim Edwards "They just don't function in any useful way."

someone posted the link below - it is in german - but essentially link goes thru a calculation to find a point when retail banks are better off hoarding cash in their vault than leave it sit at the Mother bank...

hoarding physical cash... buy retail banks. How (not) useful a thing is that is that , eh ?

Google translation of the headline:

Penalty interest: Bayerische Sparkassen want extra money to hide from ECB



Livingston nh  13:39:08 GMT - 03/14/2016  
JP - CBs forget "First, do no harm"
- the costs?? LINK

the future?? FT LINK


Mtl JP  13:21:05 GMT - 03/14/2016  
any word on what ECB ease has an impact ?

any speculation on what Mario and Co. think / hope the impact would be ?

what does going negative do to the perception of CB credibility as experts who allegedly know what they are doing ?


GVI Forex john bland  12:48:29 GMT - 03/14/2016  
Fitch:
-- ECB ease has no impact on bank ratings
-- Ease unlikely to provide significant boost to subdued economy
-- Will not have significant impact on bank profits/willingness to lend


GVI Forex john bland  10:06:54 GMT - 03/14/2016  
Eurozone Industrial Output January 2016

EZ and German Charts




NEWS ALERT
mm: +2.10% vs. +1.70% exp. vs. -1.00% (r -0.50%)prev.
yy: +2.80% vs. +1.80% exp. vs. n/a (r -0.10%) prev.


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GVI Forex john bland  09:39:44 GMT - 03/14/2016  
BOJ Advisor Hamada
-- does not expect BOJ to ease at March meeting
-- current JPY leve vs USD not too strong
-- risks of sales take hike outweigh rewards

Source: TTN






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