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nw kw  14:36:31 GMT - 04/15/2016  
BBN.usa shorted cad banks , reported their still heavily short gives oil a dismal support.


nw kw  14:33:47 GMT - 04/15/2016  
reversal in xau rand,peso,rubal,cad =soft fx but// xaueur strongest jives eup popper strength some gbp, aud but nail eurcad.
Games Begin. gl/


Hillegom  Purk   14:14:26 GMT - 04/15/2016  
The 7717 short aud/usd closed at 7692.

Have aan Nice weekend.


Livingston nh  12:49:48 GMT - 04/15/2016  
Jay - I don't want to jinx him but PURK looks to have this one right - John pointed out the weakness in employment and kw noted China stockpiling - RBA will cut


GVI Forex john bland  12:48:12 GMT - 04/15/2016  
Obviously the chart (below) shows the market had built their big CO longs several weeks ago. This shows you how far in advance the "smart money" tends to trade. We won't find out anything new about this week until to late today, so it won't really matter. Nevertheless, it is pretty clear that there is oil to be sold on a disappointment. I think longs have probably been trimmed in the latter part of this week.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  12:43:11 GMT - 04/15/2016  
AUDUSD => 3rd day in a row testing .77+ but yet with a confirming close above it.


GVI Forex john bland  12:39:21 GMT - 04/15/2016  
Into the weekend. Last Friday's COT data. We get new data (as of last Tuesday) this afternoon.






GVI Forex Jay Meisler  12:37:33 GMT - 04/15/2016  
I posted this earlier on GVI Forex - contact me for access

Sometimes you feel like you are the only sane one in an insane asylum. Maybe it is just algo world but finally market woke up to the lowered expectations for the Doha meeting.

CAD crosses have unwound and stocks paying some notice to lower oil prices, where $40 is obviously pivotal.

EURUSD took out stops above 1.1295 (target resistance) but only by a few pips.

1.1300 is pivotal as it blocks key levels at 1.1325-45 while on the downside it needs to hold 1.1270-80 to keep a bid.

Not a market of strong convictions.



Livingston nh  11:16:15 GMT - 04/15/2016  
OIL - it's 25% above utility value - unless somebody cuts production every move above $40 is a scam - so DOHA is either priced in on "pre Agreement Announcement" or there will be further discussions as parties say "later" -- with interest at these bargain levels this is not the 1980's and the US producers will jump back in at $50

STOX and oil isn't a correlation it's a coincidence


Hillegom Purk  11:05:47 GMT - 04/15/2016  
To get some movement with the 95% ers. SHORT AUD/USD 7717 and adding to the move.
Think we will see 7740 and more now :)


GVI Forex john bland  10:54:58 GMT - 04/15/2016  
Risk-Off
DAX -54
DJ -22
SP -3.5

10-yr
US 1.769% -2.4
DE 0.139% -2.3
GB 1.397% -3.4
JP -0.105% +1.5

wti $40.69 -0.82

EUR crosses mixed


GVI Forex john bland  09:07:43 GMT - 04/15/2016  

Trading Themes --
  • Crude Oil prices have continued to weaken into the OPEC meeting this weekend in Doha. Many feel they already have a good handle on the likely outcome of the meeting after reports of an agreement between Russia and Saudi Arabia to cap oil production. Odds are the global economy will remain over-supplied oil after this week-end.

  • Equity markets have corrected following the profit-taking trade into the weekend. The USDJPY has stabilized as markets try to discern a direction for oil. Keep in mind, the long-time close correlation between the two markets. Traders are also sensitive to recent threats by Japanese authorities to intervene to contain the strength of the currency.

  • Chinese 1Q16 GDP advanced +6.70% yr/yr, as widely expected. Analysts saw positive omens in the underlying data for economic growth. Due to the size of the economy, some see China a key engine for global economic expansion.






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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