Working again. The Fed Funds futures dragging EURUSD lower. Amazing the way this works. This is contrary to what I was expecting because I have zero faith in the economy at the present time.
Livingston nh 17:04:34 GMT - 04/26/2016
Fighting the Fed originated in a pre-transparency world -- it was a variation on "fighting the tape" and presumed that the Fed was turning the monetary policy ship -- until this Fed does something other than talk there is no policy to follow or fight, the Fed is in stasis -- the half-life of market reaction to Fed yak is growing shorter as Yellen continues to channel Hamlet
Best to wait for the initial reaction and then just resume normal operations
GVI Forex john bland 16:43:21 GMT - 04/26/2016
chart shows odds of one Fed rate hike by the END of this year. What the odds are don't matter. They are always wrong. All that matters is how sentiment is currently changing. That is what moves the forex market.
Mtl JP 16:36:37 GMT - 04/26/2016
the 1 in 4 June odds of pricing cretins' hiking rate opens the door for the FED gang to try to "correct" the odds to something more uncertain. In odds-making maximum uncertainty reading is shown as 5:5
Mtl JP 16:27:41 GMT - 04/26/2016
re predicting bias:
0% probability of April rate hike
23% probability of June rate hike
JP- as I told you before, this analysis does not give trading signals, but it is shockingly accurate at predicting future market bias.
GVI Forex john bland 16:11:30 GMT - 04/26/2016
Atlanta Fed GDPNow raised 1Q16 forecast to 0.40% from 0.30% on April19.
Mtl JP 15:59:33 GMT - 04/26/2016
pray tell your target
GVI Forex john bland 15:58:24 GMT - 04/26/2016
Divergence both markets are moving in opposite directions ahead of the other. My bet is on the forex market to be right.'
Mtl JP 12:08:16 GMT - 04/26/2016
so euro goes after 1.13
and pulls back 30-ish pips.
looks like players are play-hunting stops and ditzing (making use of) the Don't Fight The Fed crowd
GVI Forex john bland 10:12:43 GMT - 04/26/2016
8% odds for a June hike. Virtually zero
GVI Forex john bland 09:38:28 GMT - 04/26/2016
Fed Funds odds for a rate hike tomorrow below zero (-4%).
GVI Forex john bland 09:35:39 GMT - 04/26/2016
Declining odds of a Fed rate hike this year boosting EURUSD early...
nw kw 21:28:44 GMT - 04/25/2016
looks like in 30y bond cot players are on the move and housing busted can be firm fed,?
nw kw 16:34:32 GMT - 04/25/2016
support banks for now.
nw kw 16:31:10 GMT - 04/25/2016
looks like in 30y bond, you take on it.
GVI Forex john bland 16:10:43 GMT - 04/25/2016
Look at the convergence on this chart. Not only has EURUSD risen, but the odds for a rate hike by the end of the year are up as well. I am not sure what Fed Fund futures traders are reacting to. It still fascinates me how these markets interact with one another.
GVI Forex john bland 10:50:14 GMT - 04/25/2016
For the record, Fed Funds odds for rate hike are 0% for Wednesday and sub-10% for June.
These are not forecasts, per se. You can actually buy or sell at these prices. So traders are making real prices at these levels.
GVI Forex john bland 10:35:40 GMT - 04/25/2016
GVI Exclusive Fed Funds Indicator
As of the end of last week the EURUSD to EURUSD spread was looking "stretched" as I posted over the weekend. I was suggesting that EURUSD would need higher odds for a rate hike this year to fall further. So the two lines have converged partially...
Mtl JP 11:37:47 GMT - 04/24/2016
lets see what players will do with the genuflecting "Don't Fight The Fed" suggestion to submit to the cretins:
Fed seen holding rates this week with hike still on horizon
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
Global-View Affiliate Program
We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.
Send me an email if you would be interested or if you know someone who would like to be an affiliate. Generous commissions payout for those accepted.
Put the word "affiliate" in the email subject line.
looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are
more critical things to consider than you might have thought.
We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View
has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've
seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.
The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.
The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.
Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by Global-View.com.
The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.
Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.
Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.
Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.
WARNING: FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRADING AND INVESTMENT IN DERIVATIVES
CAN BE VERY SPECULATIVE AND MAY RESULT IN LOSSES AS WELL AS PROFITS. FOREIGN
EXCHANGE AND DERIVATIVES TRADING IS NOT SUITABLE FOR MANY MEMBERS OF THE
PUBLIC AND ONLY RISK CAPITAL SHOULD BE APPLIED. THE WEBSITE DOES NOT TAKE
INTO ACCOUNT SPECIAL INVESTMENT GOALS, THE FINANCIAL SITUATION OR SPECIFIC
REQUIREMENTS OF INDIVIDUAL USERS. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR FINANCIAL
SITUATION AND CONSULT YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISORS AS TO THE SUITABILITY TO YOUR
SITUATION PRIOR TO MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR ENTERING INTO ANY TRANSACTIONS.