A-category account risk
US GDP release
- lets see how wrong Janet's economic forecasting tea leaves are or not
Livingston nh 12:09:50 GMT - 04/28/2016
Well the German and Japanese full employment/inflation figs should be enough to confine the Fed's Philip's curve adherents to a more suitable employment far away from decision making roles/// like most econ theory it is usually only valid in the context and period it was originally developed -- so Yellen stumbles along
Looks like the markets have some more house cleaning todayafter the Fed and BoJ parties
GVI Forex john bland 12:04:32 GMT - 04/28/2016
German HICP inflation lower
GVI Forex john bland 12:03:02 GMT - 04/28/2016
German Prelim HICP:
yy -0.10% vs. 0.00% exp
mm -0.30% vs -0.20% exp.
GVI Forex john bland 07:56:56 GMT - 04/28/2016
German Unemployment data better than forecast.
GVI Forex john bland 07:55:59 GMT - 04/28/2016
German Unemployment April 2016
Rate: 6.2% vs. 6.20% exp. vs. 6.20% prev.
Change: -16K vs. +4K exp. vs. 0K (r -2K) prev.
You think the Eurjpy and Usdjpy might recover 50% of the morning dip?
kl fs 05:05:08 GMT - 04/28/2016
no intervention? ;)
bali sja 04:49:43 GMT - 04/28/2016
jpv moves and Nikkei tanks, but crude stays strong
what happens to the story of weaker stox ---> weaker oil?
GVI Forex03:09:49 GMT - 04/28/2016
Support at 108.76 tested, holding so far. Below is 107.80-10
GVI Forex03:04:33 GMT - 04/28/2016
BoJ shocker: Keeps policy unchanged
GVI21:26:51 GMT - 04/27/2016
Official Cash Rate unchanged at 2.25 percent
Statement by Reserve Bank Governor Graeme Wheeler:
The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate unchanged at 2.25 percent.
The outlook for global growth has deteriorated over recent months due to weaker growth in China and other emerging markets. Prices for some commodities, including oil, have picked up but remain weak.
Monetary conditions are extremely accommodative internationally, with considerable quantitative easing and negative policy rates in some countries. Financial market volatility has eased in recent weeks, but markets continue to watch closely the policy settings of major central banks.
Domestically, the economy is being supported by strong inward migration, construction activity, tourism, and accommodative monetary policy. Dairy export prices have improved slightly, but are below break-even levels for most farmers.
The exchange rate remains higher than appropriate given New Zealandís low commodity export prices. A lower New Zealand dollar is desirable to boost tradables inflation and assist the tradables sector.
There are some indications that house price inflation in Auckland may be picking up. House prices remain at very high levels and additional housing supply is needed. Housing market pressures are building in some other regions.
There are many uncertainties around the outlook. Internationally, these relate to the prospects for global growth, particularly around China, and the outlook for global financial markets. The main domestic risks relate to weakness in the dairy sector, the decline in inflation expectations, the possibility of continued high net immigration, and pressures in the housing market.
Headline inflation remains low, mostly due to low fuel and other import prices. Annual core inflation remains within the target range. Long-term inflation expectations are well-anchored at 2 percent. However, as we have previously noted, there has been a material decline in shorter-term expectations.
We expect inflation to strengthen as the effects of low oil prices drop out and as capacity pressures gradually build. Monetary policy will continue to be accommodative. Further policy easing may be required to ensure that future average inflation settles near the middle of the target range. We will continue to watch closely the emerging flow of economic data.
nobody needs to know - coz it wont affect their account - but my OCO ea which I will launch around 17:59:10+ is restricted to try to pickup long usd only be it against euro or yen
so only fwiw
Livingston nh 17:34:47 GMT - 04/27/2016
The only thing of consequence from the FOMC would be an act - 2 or 3 dissents -- verbal diarrhea about concerns or risk (balanced or otherwise) or data are just talk // the response to talk should always be "so what? who cares?"
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:28:15 GMT - 04/27/2016
No news but perhaps someone setting up for the BoJ meeting, EURJPY and EURUSD spiked, latter running some stops above 1.1328/33/39 before backing off.
This is what trading is like in a pre-event market lacking liquidity.
dc CB 15:39:47 GMT - 04/27/2016
dc CB 15:00 GMT
refiners that retail benefit
your average morning and afternoon on the Wash and the Balt Beltway and on I95
Governments in the OECD in general can not afford for rates to go higher because they have all accumulated such massive debts that they would risk a debt spiral if they did. So rates will stay as low as they possibly can so that the governments of this world can keep rolling over their monstrous levels of debt - and even add to it - while savers get no return and get told that prices are NOT going up, even as they are.
This is not about economics or economic policy this is about keeping the whole rotten system from caving in under its own weight.
You know where this is going? Think Japan in the 1990s. Real wage cuts, massive ongoing government spending and debt, extra low interest rates and NO CREDIT for small businesses and ordinary people. That's where this is going.
GVI Forex john bland 15:19:02 GMT - 04/27/2016
-- well aware of situation for savers
-- ECB obeys the law, not politicians
-- polite and constructive debate welcome
-- policy working, but we must be patient
-- interest rates will rise when economy growing more
dc CB 15:00:58 GMT - 04/27/2016
your average morning and afternoon on the Wash and the Balt Beltway and on I95
The variation between the two polls is too big to consider any of them reliable.
The British, definitely despise Obama, so with his big mouth, has shifted the polls to "LEAVE"!!!
Mtl JP 15:48:12 GMT - 04/26/2016
trying to trade some brexit polls is a good way to get phwacked out of pips. trade at thy risk
weidmann's yak is coming up.
something about "solidarity" - a central banker peddle talking about solidarity !!! rofl
GVI Forex john bland 15:38:04 GMT - 04/26/2016
It all depends on who is running the poll and what results they would like to see!
GVI Forex john bland 15:36:42 GMT - 04/26/2016
Another new poll (Orb/Daily Telegraph) 51% stay; 43% leave.
GVI Forex john bland 14:48:41 GMT - 04/26/2016
GBP (vs USD and EUR) falling on latest Brexit poll results. Lets see if this is an outlier or part of a new trend?
GVI Forex john bland 14:46:58 GMT - 04/26/2016
New Brexit poll from ICM post-Obama comments 44% stay; 46% leave.
Mtl JP 14:04:26 GMT - 04/26/2016
amuzing that cheap/er gasoline and continued low int rates not goading the Mister and Misses consumer
26.04.2016 18:30 - Rome
Deutsche Botschaft Rom
Speech held by Dr Jens Weidmann, title: "Solidity and solidarity in the European Monetary Union"
Participation only on invitation. The speech will be distributed.
that means 12:30NYT
Mtl JP 12:52:03 GMT - 04/26/2016
the next potentially exploitable data with A-grade risk (possible 50+ up/down reaction) is us consumer conf index at 10am NYT
GVI Forex john bland 12:35:08 GMT - 04/26/2016
Durable Goods miss. A stronger rebound from February was expected.
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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