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nw kw  17:53:48 GMT - 05/13/2016  
don't care, for gold tells me strong side for day or week so I play my game and win if market on the move,

banks= banks= crafty.


nw kw  17:50:27 GMT - 05/13/2016  
see xauaud at top weekly so xauaud can drop for its at top gives audusa power move to up side big time seen this time and time but the big but let the aud/usa move first to see the side is planed to go///


tokyo joyya  17:47:17 GMT - 05/13/2016  
nw kw 17:41 GMT 05/13/2016

i doubt this time go below 70audjpy commodities crash 2016 you reamember people was thinking audusd top 0.9/0.95 2010/2011 but it went 1.1 this time down side break...i will be careful


nw kw  17:44:22 GMT - 05/13/2016  
your using charts im using world all in same boot, one cant move with out repercussions so charts are obsolete.


nw kw  17:41:39 GMT - 05/13/2016  
audjpy linked to u/j,


tokyo joyya  17:40:04 GMT - 05/13/2016  
then i will short euraud do not buy audjpy before 68 and 0.60


nw kw  17:39:16 GMT - 05/13/2016  
audjpy this time audusd .55/,60 then buy heavly // than china has right to devalue and that is up to usd, in time will be so not now


nw kw  17:35:57 GMT - 05/13/2016  
ya than gov has different plans for world is on fine tight road to next fire to put out for kill old hard savings that are at unreal starvation from 1980s free trade, dum f.

aka, trust nothing, banks big time.


tokyo joyya  17:29:59 GMT - 05/13/2016  
70/77 audjpy so many orders


tokyo joyya  17:28:28 GMT - 05/13/2016  
nw kw 17:25 GMT 05/13/2016

i think 70 easy target or even 55 for audjpy this time audusd .55/,60 then buy heavly


nw kw  17:25:19 GMT - 05/13/2016  
audjpy monthly support if support gives out market kayos for all gov. pumping aud and jpy. gl///////////// might long audjpy for range hold/// im swing or day trading from its gov. trading so im in and out all day .


tokyo joyya  17:15:40 GMT - 05/13/2016  
nw kw 17:09 GMT 05/13/2016
audjpy go faster i have short from 86.35 some gbpjpy from 163.5


nw kw  17:09:16 GMT - 05/13/2016  
audusa can drop now but time left in day might hamper it for my set up turned to the high risk for aud in amassment and will not give the bank formula.
but can go up so be flexible,


Mtl JP  16:39:48 GMT - 05/13/2016  
how - and why - many explanations needed for 10-yr note yield giving 1.70% for 10years besides folk thinking it will yield less yet - and thus the paper go uP in price still and make em look like geniuses ?
folks betting on future relative prices always need a seller and a buyer for it to happen. Is the market weird or perfect when very time one guy sells and another one buys and they both think they’re smart ?


GVI Forex john bland  16:34:32 GMT - 05/13/2016  
Fed Funds sentiment and EURUSD back in phase. Post (16:26 GMT) below explains non-participation of fixed income. These are complex markets, no one's without an idea...



Livingston nh  16:31:07 GMT - 05/13/2016  
AUD/USD trading below 21 wkly MA - a lot of white space beneath

GBP/USD broke thru daily 55 EMA resting on the 21 wkly MA @1.4363 - white space beneath

EUR/USD tested daily 55 ema (1.1278) and the wkly 55 EMA is just below that @56
__________
STOX are doing their random walk again


GVI Forex john bland  16:26:36 GMT - 05/13/2016  
I'm sticking to this scenario I posted much earlier below:

The USD remains in demand as it appears than near-zero and negative interest rates have been spurring demand for U.S. government debt. That is the only way I can explain a 1.72% yield on 10-yr Treasuries. This demand serves as a counterbalance for demand for JPY and EUR as carry trades are unwound.


GVI Forex john bland  16:17:07 GMT - 05/13/2016  
US 10-yr yield falling 1.720% -3.2bp

Suggests demand for U.S. treasuries. Could also mean USD demand. to buy them


nw kw  14:12:20 GMT - 05/13/2016  


Friday Trading
nw kw 23:28 GMT 05/12/2016
and day starts short audjpy.

see im gust green trader with 30y old toll box if I need to

trade.



Mtl JP  13:47:53 GMT - 05/13/2016  
london red if u r around what d-u c for 1.13 heading to 10am NYT ?


GVI Forex Jay Meisler  12:42:38 GMT - 05/13/2016  
I posted this on the GVI Trading Room last night and target reached

Friday Trading
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 22:39 GMT 05/12/2016 - My Profile
EURUSD: 1.1375

Pattern is 6 days where 1.14 traded. If the pattern is broken Friday then risk is for a directional move to 1.1310 with potential for 1.1265-70. For this to occur, 1.1365 and 1.1357 => potential stops (suggests 1.1350 as well) would need to be firmly broken. Otherwise, expect more chop.


Mtl JP  12:29:35 GMT - 05/13/2016  
 
ya, that would be logical on the theory that USD/commodities paid attention to Fed gang members George and Rosengren higher rates on horizon yikyak.
-
It so nice n fuzzy n friendly of the FED gang to look out for one and all ...


GVI Forex john bland  12:15:57 GMT - 05/13/2016  
Re EUR Crosses--

Note heat map colors on EUR crosses about half are RED (weaker). EURGBP is unchanged. All the green is against the commodity currencies (AUD, CAD, NZD).



Mtl JP  12:15:27 GMT - 05/13/2016  
ok - thks.
But that confuses the inverse correlation theory that says "risk off" = eurdlr uP


GVI Forex john bland  12:09:32 GMT - 05/13/2016  
Divergence ahead of Retail Sales data. I think this is all about the distortions central banks are generating in the capital markets with their futile efforts to generate growth by pushing on strings.



GVI Forex john bland  12:09:08 GMT - 05/13/2016  
BIas on EUR crosses is down for EUR.


Mtl JP  12:06:38 GMT - 05/13/2016  
john to be extra ultra clear: is your "bias is down" referring to euro or usd ?


GVI Forex john bland  11:59:56 GMT - 05/13/2016  
DAX +11
DJ -68
SP -7

US 1.728% -2.4 bp
DE 0.140% -1.3
GB 1.347% -3.2
JP -0.107% +0.1

EUR crosses about evenly mixed; bias is down
WTI $46.23 -0.47


Mtl JP  09:21:15 GMT - 05/13/2016  
if it matters to anyone:

Deutsche Bank becomes latest currency dealer to lower its dollar forecast



GVI Forex Trading Room 08:41:43 GMT - 05/13/2016  

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

13-May FRIDAY
09:00 EZ- GDP
12:30 US- Retail Sales
12:30 US- PPI
14:00 US- University of Michigan

16-May MONDAY
EZ/CH-holiday
08:30 GB- Employment
12:30 US- Empire PMI
14:00 US- NAHB Index
17-May TUESDAY
08:30 GB- CPI
12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
12:30 US- CPI
13:15 US- Industrial Production
23:50 JP- GDP
18-May WEDNESDAY
09:00 EZ- HICP
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
19-May THURSDAY
00:30 AU- Employment
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
20-May FRIDAY
12:30 CA- Retail Sales
12:30 CA- CPI
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales


Trading Themes --
  • Equity markets are off to a soft start today. U.S. Retail Sales could be key to trading. They could be a problem for U.S. stocks if they come in weak. My focus is on the 2040 level in the S&P. Below 2040 could start to trigger serious selling with a number of high-profile companies struggling.

  • Equities in general are looking for direction and a story they can go with. Nordstrom reported poor data after disappointments this week from Macy's and Disney. Apple has become a cause for concern as well.

  • The USD remains in demand as it appears than near-zero and negative interest rates have been spurring demand for U.S. government debt. That is the only way I can explain a 1.72% yield on 10-yr Treasuries. This demand serves as a counterbalance for demand for JPY and EUR as carry trades are unwound.

  • With the IEA saying that global oil production is coming back into line with demand, oil prices remain funderpinned. It will still take a couple of years to work down excess supply. Furthermore, higher prices should spur additional production.


John M.Bland MBA, CTA,
co-founder global-View.com




nw kw  01:52:34 GMT - 05/13/2016  
is there a bond trader hear bund down more than 10y usa bond so = what long eur

long euraud


GVI Forex 01:31:19 GMT - 05/13/2016  
Risk off start...


nw kw  23:28:53 GMT - 05/12/2016  
and day starts short audjpy.


nw kw  23:10:09 GMT - 05/12/2016  
Forex Jay do you have trading approach for audcad for youl see the market on a bigger move is this pivot going to move other trading pairs for your trading unmatched in a green market players .

for gvi not me, tki.


nw kw  22:30:21 GMT - 05/12/2016  
so bonds help lumber so gold 1400// by by fed see you in year pin heads that are gutless.


nw kw  22:21:05 GMT - 05/12/2016  
Forex john bland can you help for lumber to strong is there a reason in new buildings or just soft usd play?
for copper ded cat so masked market must find out in time. tki. kw.


GVI Forex john bland  20:54:57 GMT - 05/12/2016  
I think everyone has been cutting back


dc CB  20:52:40 GMT - 05/12/2016  
Retail Sales.

Nordstrom tanks after hours.
Even the Upper Middle Class is Refusing to Spend.


dc CB  20:50:17 GMT - 05/12/2016  
YELLEN: MUST CONSIDER UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES OF NEGATIVE RATES

like stealing from saver's to force them to spend after forcing them to draw down their savings by Not Paying them any interest for 8 Years.

As the Wash Post Opined yest. The Problem with GDP is that Consumers aren't Spending enough.
The Problem with the GDP is that People ARE SAVING TOO MUCH.


GVI Forex john bland  20:48:06 GMT - 05/12/2016  
Retail Sales will be key to trading on Friday. They could be a problem for stocks if they come in weak. My focus will be on the 2040 level in the S&P (closing 2064). Below 2040 could trigger serious selling after a number of high-profile companies struggling.

The broader market is looking for direction and a story it can go with. A decisive downturn in stocks would drive USDJPY lower and EURUSD higher.


GVI Forex john bland  20:42:07 GMT - 05/12/2016  
Sentiment Convergence developing again



GVI Forex john bland  20:25:49 GMT - 05/12/2016  

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

13-May FRIDAY
09:00 EZ- GDP
12:30 US- Retail Sales
12:30 US- PPI
14:00 US- University of Michigan

16-May MONDAY
EZ/CH-holiday
08:30 GB- Employment
12:30 US- Empire PMI
14:00 US- NAHB Index
17-May TUESDAY
08:30 GB- CPI
12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
12:30 US- CPI
13:15 US- Industrial Production
23:50 JP- GDP
18-May WEDNESDAY
09:00 EZ- HICP
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
19-May THURSDAY
00:30 AU- Employment
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
20-May FRIDAY
12:30 CA- Retail Sales
12:30 CA- CPI
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales


Trading Themes --
  • The Bank of England kept policy steady as expected, but raised their inflation forecasts modestly. The bank took the unusual step of injecting itself into the Brexit debate. Traditionally, the central bank has stayed out of political debates. They warned a vote to exit the EU could trigger a recession, and that the economy appears to be slowing due to investor caution ahead of the referendum. Furthermore, BOE Governor Carney expressed concern that the vote outcome could trigger volatility in the GBP.

  • Equites continue to be a focus of activity and have seen some of the correlation trades kick back in again. Key are the USDJPY to Nikkei trade in the Far East and the USDJPY to S&P trade. An item that caused a stir today was the unpredicted jump in weekly jobless claims, which some saw as a confirmation of recent soft employment data.

  • I always keep a close eye on stocks generally because buys (or sales) of stocks can generate sales or demand for carry trade funding currencies, e.g. EUR, JPY, against the USD or on their crosses. Carry trade flows are the driver behind the equity correlation trades.

  • The IEA predicted that global oil production is quickly coming back into line with demand, but it might take a couple of years to work down excess supply. The forest fires in Alberta continue. We have heard that some production has resumed. Oil prices continue to work higher.


John M.Bland MBA, CTA,
co-founder global-View.com







Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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