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tokyo joyya  18:28:55 GMT - 06/03/2016  
nw kw 18:16 GMT 06/03/2016

dow and spx possible big push upside then down.....but long is danger best is wait...going to sleep...happy weekend,

nw kw  18:16:15 GMT - 06/03/2016  
cad tsx trading in green and some say long dow for its cheap, unreal

tokyo joyya  18:02:31 GMT - 06/03/2016  
time to buy aud and eur?

tokyo joyya  18:00:50 GMT - 06/03/2016  
non stop usd selling.....

GVI Trading Room john  17:05:48 GMT - 06/03/2016  
WTI breaks on larger rig count

GVI Trading Room john  17:03:23 GMT - 06/03/2016  
US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count
U.S. Data Charts

Total (inc gas) U.S.: 407 vs 404 (+9) prev
US (oil): 325 vs. 316 (-2) prev

Canada 41 vs. 43 (-2) prev

TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB  16:53:31 GMT - 06/03/2016  
Last Friday, stocks soared as Yellen dropped hawkish hints that The Fed would raise rates "because it was appropriate" implying everything is awesome. One week later - following a terrible Fed-narrative-imploding jobs print - Hillary Clinton-donor and Fed member Lael Brainard goes back to full dove-tard:


Nothing would surprise us less to see stock go green today on this dovish news - just as they did last Friday on hawkish sentiment. If (Fed speaks) THEN (Buy).

Additional headlines/excuses are...


That Didn't Take Long: Fed's Brainard Goes Full Dove One Week After Yellen's Hawkstravaganza

GVI Trading Room john  16:35:37 GMT - 06/03/2016  
Fed's Brainard

wants to see more data before voting for a hike

GVI Trading Room john  14:02:30 GMT - 06/03/2016  
Factory Orders April 2016
U.S. Data Charts

+1.90% vs. +0.80% exp. vs. +1.50% (r +1.70%) prev. rev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading Room john  14:02:07 GMT - 06/03/2016  
U.S. ISM Services PMI May 2016
MORE: U.S. Data Charts

52.9 vs. 55.3 exp. vs. 55.7 prev.
Employment sub-component
49.7 vs. 53.0 prev.


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GVI Trading Room john  13:48:33 GMT - 06/03/2016  
U.S. Markit final Services PMI May 2016
U.S. Data Charts

51.3 vs. 51.4 exp. vs. 51.2 (flash)

Markit PMI Press Release

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GVI Trading Room john  12:36:20 GMT - 06/03/2016  
U.S. (USD bn) & Canada (CAD bn) Trade April 2016
U.S. Data Charts

-37.4 vs. -41.9 exp. vs. -40.4 (r -35.54) prev.
Canada Trade C$ bln
-2.90 vs. -2.45 exp. vs. -3.40 (r )prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services

Canadian Trade Balance

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PAR 12:34:04 GMT - 06/03/2016  
Happy NFP is not NEGATIVE . Huge downward revisions to previous months . Maybe America is not GREAT or America is very bad in economic statistics .

Nick Leeson say these figures are not correct we should only look at ADP .

GVI Trading Room john  12:33:31 GMT - 06/03/2016  
U.S. Employment May 2016

NFP Jobs: +35K vs. +160K exp. vs. +160K (r +123K ) prev.
Rate:4.70% vs. 4.90% exp. vs. 5.00% prev.

Avg earnings vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.30% (r +0.20%) prev.
BLS: Employment Situation Summary

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GVI Trading Room john  12:31:39 GMT - 06/03/2016  
NFP +38K vs 160K exp
AHE 0.20% vs. 0.20% exp

PAR 09:24:48 GMT - 06/03/2016  
Euro retail sales hit by Bad weather

GVI Trading Room john  09:01:46 GMT - 06/03/2016  
EZ Retail Sales data misses.

GVI Trading Room john  09:01:19 GMT - 06/03/2016  
Eurozone Retail Sales April 2016

mm: 0.0% vs +0.40% exp. vs. -0.50% (r -0.60%) prev.
yy: +1.40% vs. +1.90% exp. vs. +2.10% (r +1.80%) prev.

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GVI Trading Room john  08:30:13 GMT - 06/03/2016  
GB Services PMI May 2016
U.K. Charts


53.5 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 52.3 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release

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GVI Trading Room john  08:01:15 GMT - 06/03/2016  
Mixed flash Service PMI revisions

GVI Trading Room john  08:00:17 GMT - 06/03/2016  
Final Service PMI May 2016


EZ- Final Service PMI
53.3 vs. 53.1 exp. vs. 53.1 (flash)
51.6 vs. 51.8 exp. vs. 51.8 (flash)
55.2 vs. 55.2 exp. vs. 55.2 (flash)

Markit PMI Press Release

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GVI Trading Room john  15:07:19 GMT - 06/02/2016  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts

Crude Oil: -1.400 vs. -2.720 exp vs. -4.200 prev.
Gasoline: -1.500 vs. -0.700 exp vs. +2.000 prev.
Distillates: -1.300 vs. -0.700 exp vs. -1.300 prev.
Cap/Util: 89.8% vs. 89.70% prev.

Weekly Petroleum Status Report

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GVI Trading Room john  14:32:47 GMT - 06/02/2016  
US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)
U.S. Data Charts

+82 vs. +85 exp vs. +71 prev.

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GVI Trading Room john  13:23:51 GMT - 06/02/2016  
OPEC: supply and demand are converging

source: TTN

GVI Trading Room john  12:31:05 GMT - 06/02/2016  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims


Initial Claims (000)
267K vs. 275K exp. vs. 278K (r 268K) prev.

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GVI Trading Room john  12:30:12 GMT - 06/02/2016  
-- ECB to keep rates at current or lower levels for an extended period

GVI Trading Room john  12:28:22 GMT - 06/02/2016  
Press conference already has stareted

GVI Trading Room john  12:25:38 GMT - 06/02/2016  
ECB @ 12:30 GMT

Watch live webcast

GVI Trading Room john  12:15:30 GMT - 06/02/2016  
U.S. ADP Private Employment May 2016
U.S. Data Charts

+173K vs. +178K exp. vs. +156K (r +166K) prev.

RELEASE: ADP National Employment Report®

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PAR 11:52:43 GMT - 06/02/2016  
Details will be given AFTER ECB press conference to avoid difficult and relevant questions to Capo di Capi Don Draghi .

PAR 11:49:52 GMT - 06/02/2016  
ECB will start corporate bond buying on june 8 th .

Wonder whether list of which bonds ECB will buy has been send to Goldman Sachs ?

ECB bond buying must be an insider traders " Wet Dream " ?

GVI Trading Room john  11:46:28 GMT - 06/02/2016  
No changes in policy by ECB as expected.

GVI Trading Room john  11:45:29 GMT - 06/02/2016  
European Central Bank (ECB) June 2016


Refi Rate Steady at 0.05%
Marginal Lending Rate steady at 0.30%
Deposit Rate steady At -0.40%

Press Release: ECB Decision

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PAR 09:48:38 GMT - 06/02/2016  
Those figures are made to prove that Draghi is right about deflation while actually he is completely wrong .

Those figures are completely manipulated to please the Capo di Capi .

PAR 09:36:39 GMT - 06/02/2016  
I dont know who calculates those inflation figures and how they are calculated . Whatever I buy is always more expensive .

Maybe those guys should once take their car , pay peage on a french highway , full up with gasoline , eat in a restaurant and compare the bill to last year bill . Mind blowing.

Mtl JP  09:04:37 GMT - 06/02/2016  
maybe Not good news for the ECB but price deflation excellent news for consumers. Wal-mart understands.

GVI Trading Room john  09:01:33 GMT - 06/02/2016  
Not good news for the ECB on the inflation front.

GVI Trading Room john  09:00:40 GMT - 06/02/2016  
Eurozone PPI May 2016

mm: -0.30% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. +0.30% (r ) prev.
yy: -4.40% vs. -4.10% exp. vs. -4.20% (r ) prev.

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GVI Trading Room john  08:31:29 GMT - 06/02/2016  
U.K. Construction PMI misses. Use it as a measure of the domestic economy. GBP lower.

GVI Trading Room john  08:30:13 GMT - 06/02/2016  
Construction PMI May 2016


51.2 vs. 52.0 exp. vs. 52.0 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP  22:13:49 GMT - 06/01/2016  
re "reasons for keeping oil prices low" China too has very compelling reasons to see low crude prices: China has made $$$$ loans to oil producers when crude was peddling around $100/bbl to be paid back not in $$$$ but in barrels of crude.

I am sure you can appreciate why China would like to see bbl trade sub 30/25 bux

Mtl JP  22:06:52 GMT - 06/01/2016  
john your verbs would appear to be in wrong tense
"are" -> were
"it is" -> it was
"have been" appears to be ok.

OPEC's (i.e. saudi) mettle is not what it used to be :

UAE Oil Min. Says Hasn't Heard About OPEC Output Target Plan, Says OPEC Can't Unilaterally Do Freeze - Bloomberg

GVI Trading Room john  21:44:47 GMT - 06/01/2016  
JP- I don't get your point. The Saudis are the swing OPEC oil producer and have been for many decades. They have political and long term economic reasons for keeping oil prices low. That's all there is to it.

Should an OPEC cartel be tolerated by consuming nations? I think not, but it is.

Mtl JP  21:34:13 GMT - 06/01/2016  
the saudis are at risk of becoming clowns if not dunces with their pretentions of OPEC rule.

Mtl JP  21:10:51 GMT - 06/01/2016  
last wti quote 48.92
nothing to get excited about either way
usdcad slightly down at 1.3071-ish

GVI Trading Room john  20:42:17 GMT - 06/01/2016  
unexpected build in crude. EIA data (15:00 GMT) on Thursday.

GVI Trading Room john  20:41:05 GMT - 06/01/2016  
US Weekly API Crude

Reportedly +2.300 mn vs. -2.700 mn exp

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Mtl JP  19:06:07 GMT - 06/01/2016  
john it just says that BBook's "A" risk rating is mootcho mas too generous (B or B-). Not worth the time waiting for its release to try to either protec one's account or add to it on the back of this release.

GVI Trading Room john  18:02:57 GMT - 06/01/2016  
not a ringing report?

GVI Trading Room john  18:02:36 GMT - 06/01/2016  
U.S. Fed Beige Book
U.S. Data Charts

-- moderate growth
-- labor markets tighter
-- wages grow modestly

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Mtl JP  16:50:28 GMT - 06/01/2016  
red Draghi should be excused to gloat a bit ... about alleged economic improvements and by him seem improving - how-ever slowly and fragily - economics. Potentially eventual posi-reaction in euro should be a Sell-on-Pops trade opp

Mtl JP  16:45:34 GMT - 06/01/2016  
john OPEC may not be a democracy but its top dog undisputed ruler is poof. POOF ! gone. They need to be careful now.

london red  16:44:34 GMT - 06/01/2016  
i dont see any new low pre draghi. mkt isnt expecting much, he may talk it down during presser, but might go up a little first. mkt will quickly turn to nfp where one will need to consider more than just the headline print. more on that friday pre nfp.

Mtl JP  16:42:37 GMT - 06/01/2016  
so GV and TTN do it again: beat WSJ to the punch.
too bad crude zzzz.... no trade

OPEC’s Rituals Changing as a New Guard Takes Over Changes of venue and personnel are make this week’s meeting different from previous ones

GVI Trading Room john  16:42:03 GMT - 06/01/2016  
OPEC meets tomorrow in Vienna. It is not a democracy. One country in essence holds all the votes!

GVI Trading Room john  16:39:34 GMT - 06/01/2016  
Report OPEC split on Ol production limits

Source: TTN

Belgrade Knez  16:04:56 GMT - 06/01/2016  

london red

where do you see lowest EU for this down move please?

thank you.

GVI Trading Room john  16:00:01 GMT - 06/01/2016  
Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2Q116 GDP 2.50% from 2.90% (May 31)

-- Source: TTN

Mtl JP  15:21:12 GMT - 06/01/2016  
boo-wa-hahahaha... the the neck cutters are really struggling to try to remain relevant eh ?

Can u imagine Janet raises her interest rate and dollar rallies and .... crude pukes to $25 or lower ?!?!
double buwahaha

Stay usdcad BoD biased.
go janet go! raise that rate ! go janet go !

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler  15:13:03 GMT - 06/01/2016  
11:12 Sources say OPEC likely to consider new oil output ceiling at tomorrow's meeting - press

- Source

london red  15:03:34 GMT - 06/01/2016  
euro watches note eurgbp, right on long stable ichy kijun 7755. pop here either way will spike euro and thats likely to be last stop run of interest for the day and price should drift in reverse of spike.

london red  14:45:10 GMT - 06/01/2016  
JP, monthly candle shows all need to see. closed month at low, could do with some back fill. likely some backfill will take place after brexit vote but some may take place earlier. 11245 is the key on the upside. if that breaks we can backfill to 11450 max ie 11250-11450 top of monthly candle prior to brexit. after brexit, its imp to remember end of month closing point likely to differ vastly from initial move.

london red  14:41:50 GMT - 06/01/2016  
prior saw a big rise but that falls into q1 (march) and old news. april will pullback q2 f/c but not by much still will be well over 2% - we are on the "will raise as long as nothing bad happens" train again as last q4.

PAR 14:31:58 GMT - 06/01/2016  
How does that big drop in construction spending correlates to all those strong NAHB and housing figures ?

GVI Trading Room john  14:02:41 GMT - 06/01/2016  
U.S. Construction Spending April 2016
U.S. Data Charts

-1.80% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.30% (r +1.50%) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading Room john  14:00:14 GMT - 06/01/2016  
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI May 2016
U.S. Data Charts


51.3 vs. 50.5 exp. vs. 50.8 prev.
RELEASE: ISM Manufacturing PMI

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading Room john  13:45:13 GMT - 06/01/2016  
U.S. Markit PMI May 2016

50.7 vs. 50.5 exp. vs. 50.5 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Markit PMI Press Release

GVI Trading Room john  13:31:02 GMT - 06/01/2016  
Canada Markit PMI May 2016

52.1 vs. n/a exp. vs. 52.3 prev.

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GVI Trading Room john  08:30:08 GMT - 06/01/2016  
Manufacturing PMI May 2016
U.K. Charts


50.1 vs. 49.6 exp. vs. 49.2 (r 49.4) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading Room john  08:00:16 GMT - 06/01/2016  

Final MFG PMI May 2016


51.5 vs. 51.5 exp. vs. 51.5 (flash)
48.4 vs. 48.3 exp. vs. 48.3 (flash)
52.1 vs. 52.4 exp. vs. 52.4 (flash)

Markit PMI Press Release

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GVI 01:53:41 GMT - 06/01/2016  
China may caixin MFG PMI final decrease to 49.2 (fcast 49.3 ) vs. prev 49.4

GVI 01:41:16 GMT - 06/01/2016  
AUD up on


GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler  15:52:42 GMT - 05/31/2016  
Thanks ACC, suggest reading some of my articles (see link below).

Sydney ACC  15:41:05 GMT - 05/31/2016  
IN my opinion there are three aspectss that won't be factored into an opinion poll:
1. Voting is not compulsory. At the last general election 66% of those enrolled (no idea of the general population not even enrolled to vote), that was up from 59% in 2001 but much lower than the postwar high of 84% in 1950. Although at the Scottish referendum voter turnout was 85%.
That voting is optional makes the opinion polls flaky at best.

2.It is more likely Brexit voters will cast their votes given they want change.

3, Regional interests. The SNP has indicated a Brexit vote would see another push for independence. Northern Ireland is the region of the UK that would be most affected by an EU withdrawal.

GVI Trading Room john  15:34:20 GMT - 05/31/2016  
Atlanta Fed 2Q16 GDPNow 2.90% unchanged from May 26.


GVI Trading Room 15:33:35 GMT - 05/31/2016  
11:25 (US) State Dept issues a 'travel alert' notice for Europe, citing risk of terrorist attacks during summer events in Europe

As part of the State Departments continuous efforts to provide Americans travelling abroad with information about relevant events, we are alerting U.S. citizens to the risk of potential terrorist attacks throughout Europe, targeting major events, tourist sites, restaurants, commercial centers and transportation. The large number of tourists visiting Europe in the summer months will present greater targets for terrorists planning attacks in public locations, especially at large events. This Travel Alert expires August 31, 2016.

- Source

PAR 15:05:09 GMT - 05/31/2016  
How reliable and relevant are these polls . What is the margin of error . How much Gin have those enquêteurs been dinking ?

DJ GBP Falls as Polls Show Brexit Support -- Market Talk

1449 GMT GBP slides, dropping to trade down 0.5% at $1.4559 from around $1.4640 beforehand, after two ICM polls--one phone poll and one online--reveal greater support for leaving the EU rather than remaining, ahead of a June 23 referendum. An ICM phone poll for the Guardian has 'leave' on 45% and 'remain' on 42%, while an online poll has 'leave' on 47% and 'remain' on 44%. GBP also falls against the EUR, with EUR/GBP up 0.6% at 0.7667, up from around 0.7627 before the polls were announced. ([email protected])

PAR 14:53:30 GMT - 05/31/2016  
Again FSA sleeping at the wheel . Release of those polls is market moving info ?

PAR 14:51:26 GMT - 05/31/2016  
Or Big City banks manipulating the polls to profit . Kind of LIBOR scandal revisited . Money is extremely powerfull . LOL

GVI Trading Room john  14:38:26 GMT - 05/31/2016  
Brexit tide turning again? GBP weaker...

GVI Trading Room john  14:36:32 GMT - 05/31/2016  
ICM Brexit polls

42% stay
45% leave

44% stay
47% leave


PAR 14:03:26 GMT - 05/31/2016  
Higher crude prices hitting consumer confidence . Spending goes up as gasoline prices move higher . Higher crude is good for Wallstreet , bad for JoeSixpack .

GVI Trading Room john  14:01:04 GMT - 05/31/2016  
more weak sentiment data.

GVI Trading Room john  14:00:25 GMT - 05/31/2016  
U.S. Conference Board Survey May 2016
U.S. Data Charts


92.6 vs. 96.0 exp. vs. 94.2 (r 94.7) prev.

RELEASE: Consumer Confidence Data

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PAR 13:51:41 GMT - 05/31/2016  
I guess Chicago is really not that important to the US economy ?

PAR 13:50:16 GMT - 05/31/2016  
As usual . Legalised insider trading . How rigged can US markets be ?

GVI Trading Room john  13:49:21 GMT - 05/31/2016  
Sometimes you can get a feel for the data from the market moves in few minute before the public release.

GVI Trading Room john  13:46:41 GMT - 05/31/2016  
weaker than expected. Data were released to subscribers about 3min before the public release

GVI Trading Room john  13:45:10 GMT - 05/31/2016  
Chicago PMI May 2016
U.S. Data Charts

49.3 vs. 50.7 exp. vs. 50.4 prev.

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GVI Trading Room john  13:08:19 GMT - 05/31/2016  
U.S. Case Shiller-20 February 2016
U.S. Data Charts

+5.40% vs. +5.50% exp. vs. +5.70% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP  12:34:52 GMT - 05/31/2016  
maybe consumer confidence at 10am another risk "A"

Mtl JP  12:32:40 GMT - 05/31/2016  
player reaction approximately +/- 2 pips ... poof goes risk "A"
need something else to push prices around

GVI Trading Room john  12:32:08 GMT - 05/31/2016  
U.S. data dead in line. CA GDP misses

GVI Trading Room john  12:31:24 GMT - 05/31/2016  
Canada: GDP March 2016

m/m -0.20% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. -0.10% () prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading Room john  12:30:43 GMT - 05/31/2016  
U.S. Personal Income/PCE Deflator April 2016
U.S. Data Charts

Personal Income +0.40% vs. +0.40% exp v +0.40% prev.
PCE Defl +1.60% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. +1.60% prev.

RELEASE: Personal Income

TTN: Live News Special Offer

tokyo joyya  12:26:43 GMT - 05/31/2016  
Mtl JP 12:23 GMT 05/31/2016

i am short usd no problem.....yeah right

Mtl JP  12:23:54 GMT - 05/31/2016  
look... almost everybody thinks usd is BoD
that in itself is an alarm
to stay sharp

tokyo joyya  12:16:41 GMT - 05/31/2016  
and us30 can make new high?or down bfore that?

Mtl JP  12:12:42 GMT - 05/31/2016  
usdyen needs to go N of 111.50 first

tokyo joyya  12:10:16 GMT - 05/31/2016  
Mtl JP 12:07 GMT 05/31/2016

what do you think about usdjpy?112?115?120?next?

Mtl JP  12:07:42 GMT - 05/31/2016  
for now usd is BoD
at half past the hour comes risk to my account category "A" via US PCE release

tokyo joyya  11:58:29 GMT - 05/31/2016  
Mtl JP 10:14 GMT 05/31/2016

my guess is that she will not hike in june disapointment...hahaha

Mtl JP  10:14:14 GMT - 05/31/2016  
OPEC has lost its MOJO.
Saudis are struggling.
- increasingly looking like they need to depeg their Riyal

Bottom Line
Janet hiking her rate should make the usd rocket
dollar rockets = crude's price goes back into the toilet
Janet holds a sharp blade to the Saudi's banking and a spear to their financial heart.

PAR 10:00:37 GMT - 05/31/2016  
Oil headed for the longest run of monthly advances in more than five years as OPEC delegates prepared to meet this week in Vienna to assess output.

Futures in New York are up about 8 percent in May, rising for a fourth month. Libya’s Petroleum Facilities Guard captured a town near the Es Sider and Ras Lanuf oil-loading terminals after fierce clashes with Islamic State militants.

Oil has surged since slumping to a 12-year low in February on signs the worldwide surplus is easing amid declining production from the U.S. to Nigeria

GVI Trading Room john  09:00:24 GMT - 05/31/2016  
Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) May 2016

yy: -0.10% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. -0.20% prev.
yy: +0.80% vs. vs. +0.80% exp. vs. +0.70% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading Room john  07:59:00 GMT - 05/31/2016  
German employment data better than forecast. EURUSD a bit weaker.

GVI Trading Room john  07:56:01 GMT - 05/31/2016  
German Unemployment May 2016

Rate: -6.10% vs. 6.20% exp. vs. 6.20% prev.
Change: -11K vs. -5K exp. vs. -16K (r) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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