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dc CB  21:10:50 GMT - 06/20/2016  
Getting dicey: more that Brexit at stake. more like the EU itself.

Italy elections: Big wins for Five Star protest party.

The anti-establishment Five Star Movement has won key mayoral races in Italy's capital Rome and Turin, cementing its role in Italian politics.

Virginia Raggi won 67% of the Rome vote and becomes its first female mayor.

Her victory is a blow to Prime Minister Matteo Renzi's centre-left Democratic Party (PD), which won in Milan and Bologna.

The results could give anti-globalisation Five Star a platform for parliamentary elections due in 2018.


Livingston nh  21:08:37 GMT - 06/20/2016  
CB - ya think the algos are trading the polls on Brexit ?? -- I can put together a very "official" poll showing whatever outcome we need?
and THEN we can push out another showing the opposite?


dc CB  20:57:35 GMT - 06/20/2016  
Ben Hunt

Market swings on UK betting lines = high risk of mkt manipulation. Could move $10 trillion in global risk assets with 1 million bet


To this we have just one comment: not 1 million - far, far less.

As Matthew Shaddick, head of politics at Ladbrokes explains in the following BBG TV interview, the biggest bet today moving the odds was a meager 25,000!

"We took a 25,000 bet on Remain this morning which helped move the odds in their direction."

Which direction? The one which sent stocks soaring, of course.

The trade here is simple: buy millions worth of ES calls while go long the GBPUSD, then buy a few thousand worth of "Remain" bets, move the betting market, and send both the transfied S&P500 and cable sky high.

Outcome: small bet, huge profits. ZH


Great Minds think alike
Manny I Pulation

Livingston nh  19:57:37 GMT - 06/20/2016  
If on Friday Cameron is looking for someone to pitch over the side Osborne should be the first to go - LINK --- anybody recognize the chap in the background

PAR 19:51:59 GMT - 06/20/2016  
Brexit can no longer be used as an excuse for the weakness of the US economy . She has to find a new excuse for not to raise rates. Maybe the heat on the east coast ?

Livingston nh  19:40:44 GMT - 06/20/2016  
We see tomorrow if Yellen tries to get the markets back onside for July LIVE -- she may need an appearance on SNL to put July hike back on the Radar

I Hope Brexit is the EVENT - trading on personality and dubious economic theories is crazy

LONDON SFH  12:22:48 GMT - 06/20/2016  
Think overnight

Singapore SC  12:09:28 GMT - 06/20/2016  
When is next Brexit poll due?

nw kw  10:26:18 GMT - 06/20/2016  
sdgjpy 4h // xagjpy dally mid range good driver still this year. trapped to move. gl.

PAR 09:24:44 GMT - 06/20/2016  
Yellen may have to raise US rates rather sooner than later in case of a REMAIN . She was so worried about a Brexit and has been proven WRONG AGAIN.

Another excuse not to raise rates GONE .

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