Relax, usd will be ok it is still world's reserve currency. The best among the worst :)
nw kw 16:21:06 GMT - 09/13/2016
invisible hand in jpy?
nw kw 16:19:57 GMT - 09/13/2016
out for the stop hunt gbpaud
nw kw 16:16:40 GMT - 09/13/2016
poss time china cut for x charts separating so g dumdums 20, for chong in red?
Paris ib 16:13:21 GMT - 09/13/2016
No I don't think so. Current account surplus. External funding is not an issue. I was thinking the United States actually. Major vulnerability and with the political circus they have going on now, not to mention the geopolitical joke arena, the vulnerability just got worse.
Australia also looks vulnerable. Britain less so because government debt has such a long maturity. Striking how long the maturity is actually. As if they were planning for this.
Bali Sja 16:10:29 GMT - 09/13/2016
Ib, in such event, euro is the one to suffer more IMO.
nw kw 16:09:28 GMT - 09/13/2016
audjpy last support//xaud room top side under dog long gbpaud
Paris ib 16:05:44 GMT - 09/13/2016
If we have another financial market 'event' remember this: in times of danger money goes home. What does that mean? Countries reliant on external funding (ie. with current account deficits and large accumulated levels of foreign debt - and don't look at net debt - look at gross debt -and look very closely at whether it is short term or long term debt) are vulnerable to currency depreciation and bond market sell offs.
Think Greece. Only much, much bigger.
Take a look at the data and draw your own conclusions.
Paris ib 15:44:46 GMT - 09/13/2016
From the wonderful world of Australian parliament.
Paris ib, dont destroy 104.60 and 113 dreams please...
Paris ib 09:21:24 GMT - 08/02/2016
Moving right along here, it sure is going to be an interesting Summer and an even more interesting election in the U.S., the economic environment might be such that American voters become convinced that it is better to have a reality-TV business man in charge.
Meanwhile back at the farm.... another test of 100 on the USD/JPY is coming up. They will be doing well if they manage to hold it above 100.
End of the carry trade and a new wave of speculative unwinding straight ahead. So ask yourself: what have been the trends of 2016 which need to be unwound? gl gt
dc CB 17:52:22 GMT - 07/28/2016
It's all on Kurossive.
will he Choke or come thru on the last day of the Month
Bonuses are at Stake...
dc CB 17:51:15 GMT - 07/28/2016
Cut your loses! LOL
WHITE HOUSE SAYS FBI HAS NOT REVEALED ANY INFORMATION ABOUT WHO HAS PERPETRATED THE HACK OF DNC EMAILS
dc CB 17:30:47 GMT - 07/28/2016
maybe this is why my prediction script for the New Highs to compliment the DNC - Obama and tonite HRC acceptance speech may turn out to be the FADE of the Summer.
Stop and Reverse on the Script that didn't pan out????
Last I Looked the rate on the Sovereign debt level is as low as it has been since man has walked upright
But notwithstanding that detail government debt is merely currency w/ a coupon -- the Fed has proven that over the past 8 years -- Japan is finding its way to that little detail with Ben's Perpetual Bond // there are no widget based currencies anymore
Paris ib 16:49:12 GMT - 07/28/2016
nh - you heard what has happened to U.S. sovereign debt levels, right? And you understand about U.S. dependency on foreign capital inflows, right? And you understand that recent foreign policy decisions by the U.S. have not been wildly popular around the world, right? After that it's not a huge leap to understand where the problem is.
The problem has festered but it hasn't been solved.
Hats off though. They pulled the USD/JPY from 80 to 125. That is a major achievement. But you can't keep doing that. Won't work. Recent little rally managed 100 to 107.50 circa before failing. I guess there will be more attempts. But the rot has set in.
I heard this statistic today: in a recent poll 80 percent of Americans said that they do not believe the official 9 11 narrative. I thought: that can't possibly be true. If it is true: big trouble ahead as the narrative collapses.
Paris ib 16:38:10 GMT - 07/28/2016
nh - I don't buy the USD/JPY bull case. I know the budget stuff and the printing stuff and the whole ABE government would like to comply with demands for a higher USD/JPY but I don't think it can be pulled off. That's just my opinion. The real trouble is elsewhere.
And no, not Europe.
Livingston nh 16:35:16 GMT - 07/28/2016
ib - the annual rate of domestic outflow from Japan is ~$400 bio - the currency is being supported by buyers who believe it will appreciate further // Japan is a hostage to the FOMC
Paris ib 16:29:52 GMT - 07/28/2016
They should though.
Stocks, the USD/JPY (nice try guys with the Abe budget crap - how many times you gonna try that trick?).... timber.
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