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PAR 16:05:22 GMT - 08/23/2016  
Hank Paulson sold all his shares in GS just before the whole market collapsed . Lucky timing ? He probably advised the Clintons to do the same .


dc CB  15:57:25 GMT - 08/23/2016  
hey IB
I also said Siun nite that crude was a short


dc CB  15:56:39 GMT - 08/23/2016  
hey IB
ZH said that early in the weekend.
If you had shorted crude on the open Sunday nite at 49 ....it fell to 46.60 this morning.



PAR 15:25:56 GMT - 08/23/2016  
Never follow GS. Crude is a screaming buy.


Paris ib  15:25:54 GMT - 08/23/2016  
Hank Paulson endorsed Hillary.... does that mean something? Does this extend into the political arena?


Paris ib  15:24:59 GMT - 08/23/2016  
lol... the kiss of death... yeah when I saw that and the fact it was carried on Zero Hedge I thought.. uh oh... and what do you know it didn't take long for them to collect a bit more egg on their faces. Jeez...


GVI Trading Room john bland  15:12:50 GMT - 08/23/2016  
I believe GS was out with a much weaker oil forecast earlier today. Their CO forecasts are the kiss of death both ways higher or lower!


Paris ib  15:06:25 GMT - 08/23/2016  
Goldman Sachs forecasts what for oil? Up 1.42 percent today....


dc CB  02:09:00 GMT - 08/23/2016  
Exactly 24 hours ago, we explained why - in our view - the oil rally was over, and gave four key reasons: i) after the biggest documented short squeeze in history, all the "weak hands" had been blown out and any incremental covering from here on out would be far more difficult; ii) an oil OPEC freeze will have no impact coming at a time when production by many cartel members is at all time highs, iii) the Niger Delta Avengers have agreed to a ceasefire meaning up to 300kbpd in Nigerian oil production would hit market shortly, and iv) the fundamentals suggest far more supply in the future, notably out of the US shale sector much of which has reorganized with cleaner balance sheets, which in the absence of rising demand (in fact demand out of China is falling) means lower price.

Moments ago, Goldman energy analyst Damien Courvalin released a note titled "More worried about a thaw than a freeze", in which he effectively confirmed everything we said yesterday,

Goldman Calls It For Oil: "OPEC Freeze Insufficient To Support Prices; The Price Rally Should Stall"



dc CB  23:52:43 GMT - 08/22/2016  
hope you got a piece of that Oil collapse.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Today's market action was up there for the "most fucXing idiotically algo-driven ever" award... as equity indices and VIX were spanked at 930, 1030, 1130, 1230, 1330, and 1430 before the self-organization idiots figured out their own pattern and backed off... (NO, there was no headline catalysts for these moves)

"Orchestrated Chaos" - Stocks Rollercoaster Despite Oil, Dollar, Bond Yield Tumble



GVI Trading Room john bland  12:39:12 GMT - 08/22/2016  
Equities Risk-Off
DAX -58
DJ -40
S&P -3.0

10-yr 1.5610% -2.7bp



GVI Trading Room john bland  08:22:05 GMT - 08/22/2016  

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
22-Aug MON
No Major Data
23-Aug TUE
ALL DAY flash PMIs
24-Aug WED
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
14:30 US- Crude
25-Aug THU
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:45 US- flash SVC PMI
26-Aug FRI
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- University of Michigan
14:00 US- Yellen at Jackson Hole


Trading Themes --
  • The highlight of the upcoming week is Fed Chair Yellen's address Friday morning at the Kansas City Fed symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming. She is slated to speak on the economy and presumably will present a hopeful message. Whether she feels the economy is strong enough now to withstand a modest step towards a normalization of monetary policy remains to be seen.

  • I feel Yellen will be laying the groundwork for one rate hike before yearend, but still will keep all her options open. In the larger scheme of things, it is hard to understand why there has been so much angst about one 25bp hike in the Fed Funds rate when its current target rate is near zero.

  • I have felt all along that the Fed would like to avoid making a monetary policy change this close to national election. Waiting until December would be an easy policy decision to make.

  • The calendar Monday is very light, but it picks up on Tuesday with flash global PMIs and a number of U.S. other releases.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com




dc CB  01:38:35 GMT - 08/22/2016  
"This is all courtesy of some very well-timed comments from the Saudi oil minister," said John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital LLC, a New York hedge fund focused on energy. "They’ve been successful over the last year in jawboning the market, and this is the latest example."

Hedge funds trimmed their short position in WTI by 56,907 futures and options during the week ended Aug. 16, the most in data going back to 2006, according to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Futures rose 8.9 percent to $46.58 a barrel in the report week and closed at $48.52 a barrel on Aug. 19. WTI is up more than 20 percent from its Aug. 2 low, meeting the common definition of a bull market.

"This was a very short market so we were bound to get some covering," said Stephen Schork, president of the Schork Group Inc., a consulting company in Villanova, Pennsylvania. "You probably won’t hear a lot from OPEC with prices up here, but if we get down to where we were a few weeks ago we can expect to hear more."

‘Well-Timed’ OPEC Talk Forces Oil Bears Into Record Reversal



dc CB  00:15:12 GMT - 08/22/2016  
Iraq, OPEC’s second-biggest producer, will increase crude exports by about 5% in the next few days: BBG

Also, those "rebels" in Nigeria have called cease fire...so more oil from there.


GVI Trading Room john bland  12:37:57 GMT - 08/21/2016  

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
22-Aug MON
No Major Data
23-Aug TUE
ALL DAY flash PMIs
24-Aug WED
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
14:30 US- Crude
25-Aug THU
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:45 US- flash SVC PMI
26-Aug FRI
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- University of Michigan
14:00 US- Yellen at Jackson Hole


Trading Themes --
  • The highlight of the upcoming week is Fed Chair Yellen's address Friday morning at the Kansas City Fed symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming. She is slated to speak on the economy and presumably will present a hopeful message. Whether she feels the economy is strong enough now to withstand a modest step towards a normalization of monetary policy remains to be seen.

  • I feel Yellen will be laying the groundwork for one rate hike before yearend, but still will keep all her options open. In the larger scheme of things, it is hard to understand why there has been so much angst about one 25bp hike in the Fed Funds rate when its current target rate is near zero.

  • I have felt all along that the Fed would like to avoid making a monetary policy change this close to national election. Waiting until December would be an easy policy decision to make.

  • The calendar Monday is very light, but it picks up on Tuesday with flash global PMIs and a number of U.S. other releases.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com







Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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