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Livingston nh  20:21:02 GMT - 08/26/2016  
Any other group of professionals would at least see what a joke they have become - This is why we have a president -- time to call her in w/ the treasury secretary, Congressional finance chairmen and say clean up your act "you're an embarrassment" -- Miller had to go but at least the other members of the Fed saw the problem but now there are no adults, just village idiots


GVI Trading Room john bland  19:58:55 GMT - 08/26/2016  
Today saw yet another example of muddled Fed messaging.

Was Yellen correct or was Fischer? Both of them can't be, because they said something different.

The Keystone Kops strike again!

Besides we had a plethora of comments from other Fed officials.


GVI Trading Room john bland  19:45:22 GMT - 08/26/2016  

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





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Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





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G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







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Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details







GVI Trading Room john bland  19:06:09 GMT - 08/26/2016  
The talking heads are blaming the Stanley Fischer comments made after 11AM for the second downleg in the EURUSD. I had the misfortune of listening to him directly and did not hear him say much. The comment about the possibility for rate cuts in September and December was made offhandedly. I thought nothing of it. It looks a lot different in print!

His convoluted answer was made to a convoluted question by Steve Liesman. I took his words to mean that two hikes were a theoretical possibility only and not policy. In fact the market ignored his comments and the EURUSD actually rallied after Fischer finished.


Livingston nh  18:49:49 GMT - 08/26/2016  
Looking at markets you would think Yellen whistled up a Rate Hike certain speech // yen moving towards 102 (above 21 dma first time in Aug), EUR close below21 dma first time since July and cable may break back below 1.31

Bonds selling off even as STOX test monthly lows


london red  17:55:58 GMT - 08/26/2016  
euro. sup 11207. nxt is 11170 if broken but shud see some sup at 07 first. mt will look to fade 30/40 if seen again 2day


london red  17:51:04 GMT - 08/26/2016  
2170 is lvl to watch on s&p. if gets back abv all ok will rally to 2201 nxt wk. if not some rare downside. but btfd soon enough


GVI Trading Room john bland  17:15:35 GMT - 08/26/2016  
looks like a Canada catch up this week. They have been lagging the States for long while. Otherwise. the U.S. counts were flat. CO flat post data.


GVI Trading Room john bland  17:04:25 GMT - 08/26/2016  
US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Total (inc gas) U.S.: 489 vs 491 (-2) prev
US (oil): 406 vs. 406 (0) prev

Canada 146 vs. 121 (+25) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer




PAR 16:06:34 GMT - 08/26/2016  
Yellen on the phone with PPT . Buy programs coming soon .


PAR 15:57:57 GMT - 08/26/2016  
US Q3 growth already being revised down by FED officials .
They have no clue . Dumb and dumber .


Livingston nh  14:41:33 GMT - 08/26/2016  
It appears that September FOMC meeting has been mortally wounded -- it will be Monty Python's Parrot by day's end

Next up US NFP as the Main EVENT


Livingston nh  14:05:24 GMT - 08/26/2016  
She could have mailed this in -- rehash of every statement for the past two years


GVI Trading Room john bland  14:03:55 GMT - 08/26/2016  
My opinion: Yellen hinting at a rate hike leaving her options open for timing.


Livingston nh  14:03:14 GMT - 08/26/2016  
Looking ahead, the FOMC expects moderate growth in real gross domestic
product (GDP), additional strengthening in the labor market, and inflation rising to
2 percent over the next few years. Based on this economic outlook, the FOMC continues
to anticipate that gradual increases in the federal funds rate will be appropriate over time to achieve and sustain employment and inflation near our statutory objectives. Indeed, in light of the continued solid performance of the labor market and our outlook for economic activity and inflation, I believe the case for an increase in the federal funds has strengthened in recent months. Of course, our decisions always depend on the degree to which incoming data continues to confirm the Committee’s outlook.
And


GVI Trading Room john bland  14:01:43 GMT - 08/26/2016  
U.S. Prepared Text of Fed Chair Yellen Speech



NEWS ALERT
Case for rate hike has strengthened


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Trading Room john bland  14:00:50 GMT - 08/26/2016  
University of Michigan Sentiment Index Final August 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
89.8 vs. 90.6 exp. vs. 90.4 preliminary


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading Room john bland  12:31:52 GMT - 08/26/2016  
U.S. (USD bn) Advance Goods Balance July 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-59.3 vs. -62.3 exp. vs. -63.3 prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Trading Room john bland  12:30:40 GMT - 08/26/2016  
in line minor revision.


GVI Trading Room john bland  12:30:15 GMT - 08/26/2016  
U.S. GDP 2Q16
U.S. Data Charts
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+1.10% vs. +1.10% exp. vs. +1.20% prev.

RELEASE: U.S. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading Room john bland  11:49:27 GMT - 08/26/2016  
St Louis Fed President Bullard:
-- agnostic on when to raise rates
-- ideal to raise on "good news".
-- inflation not far from Fed target
-- doesn't see asset bubbles now


GVI Trading Room john bland  08:30:50 GMT - 08/26/2016  
GDP unrevised


GVI Trading Room john bland  08:30:22 GMT - 08/26/2016  

UK GDP-- 2Q16
U.K. Charts




-- NEWS ALERT --

QQ +0.60% vs. +0.60% exp. vs. +0.60% prev.
YY +2.20% vs. +2.20% exp. vs. +2.20% prev.


RELEASE: U.K. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading Room john bland  07:57:19 GMT - 08/26/2016  
Earlier: Japanese core and national CPI Deflation persists







dc CB  18:39:26 GMT - 08/25/2016  
Invest 99-L Soaks Hispaniola; Likely to Become Hermine By This Weekend; Threat to Florida, Gulf Coast


GVI Trading Room john bland  18:23:56 GMT - 08/25/2016  
Dallas Fed President Kaplan
-- Progress on inflation slow
-- Fed can afford to be patient.
-- expects rebound in 2H.

Source: TTN


GVI Trading Room john bland  17:48:12 GMT - 08/25/2016  
Saudi Energy Minister have not discussed specific actions regarding a petroleum production freeze.
-- TTN


GVI Trading Room john bland  17:06:28 GMT - 08/25/2016  
7-yr $1.423%
bid-to-cover 2.38 vs. 2.51 prev

weak


GVI Trading Room john bland  14:37:55 GMT - 08/25/2016  
Atlanta Fed 3Q GDPNow estimate 3.40% vs. 3.60% on Aug 16.

source:TTN


GVI Trading Room john bland  14:32:15 GMT - 08/25/2016  
US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+11 vs. +22 exp vs. +22 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Trading Room john bland  13:45:20 GMT - 08/25/2016  
U.S. Markit flash Services PMI August 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
50.9 vs. 52.1 exp. vs. 51.4

Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading Room john bland  12:35:20 GMT - 08/25/2016  
Weekly jobless data flat.


GVI Trading Room john bland  12:34:24 GMT - 08/25/2016  
Durable Goods beat estimates. Keep in mind that this is a notoriously volatile data series.


GVI Trading Room john bland  12:32:58 GMT - 08/25/2016  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT

Initial Claims (000)
261K vs. 265K exp. vs. 262K (r n/a ) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer




GVI Trading Room john bland  12:32:01 GMT - 08/25/2016  
U.S. Durable Goods Orders July 2016
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
Headline: +4.40% vs. +3.50% exp. vs. -3.90% (r -4.20% prev.
Ex-Trans: +1.50% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. -0.40% (r -0.30% prev.






GVI Trading Room john bland  08:01:30 GMT - 08/25/2016  
IFO broadly weaker


GVI Trading Room john bland  08:01:07 GMT - 08/25/2016  
German IFO Survey August 2016
Global-VIew EZ and German Charts



NEWS ALERT

Climate: 106.2 vs. 108.5 exp. vs. 108.3 prev.
Conditions: 112.8 vs. 114.9 exp. vs. 114.7 prev.
Expectations:100.1 vs. 102.5 exp. vs. 102.2 prev.


IFO Climate Survey



TTN: Live News Special Offer



london red  20:10:25 GMT - 08/24/2016  
s&p. off 2070. bftd still holding up just. 2201 161.8% (fkg huge lvl) if 2070 holds. 2201 is as big as 666 was so may be one of handful of times we pull back more than 1 or 2%.


GVI Trading Room john bland  17:04:31 GMT - 08/24/2016  
5-yr 1.125%
bid to cover 2.54 vs 2.27

strong


GVI Trading Room john bland  14:32:16 GMT - 08/24/2016  
Larger than expected build in crude in line with API build yesterday. CO lower.


GVI Trading Room john bland  14:31:04 GMT - 08/24/2016  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +2.500 vs. -0.825 exp vs. -2.500 prev.
Gasoline: +0.400 vs. -0.800 exp vs. -2.720 prev.
Distillates: +0.100 vs. -0.200 exp vs. -2.700 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading Room john bland  14:05:35 GMT - 08/24/2016  
U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln) July 2016
U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
5.39 vs. 5.550 exp. vs 5.570 (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Livingston nh  21:34:43 GMT - 08/23/2016  
Its a supply problem -- READ the FKin memo

WHY is this a BIG deal?


Livingston nh  21:30:22 GMT - 08/23/2016  
assume this fig is even close -- these MOPES about an OPEC/producer Agreement should just kill themselves


GVI Trading Room john bland  21:27:50 GMT - 08/23/2016  
US Weekly API Crude




ALERT
Reportedly +4.500 mn vs. -0.800 mn exp



TTN: Live News Special Offer



HK [email protected]  17:03:42 GMT - 08/23/2016  

The more violations she has, the more mental, or nerve problem she has, she could be easier controlled by those who own America.

Anyway seems that her mental state is a showcase of half of America.
Trumps sums it up for the other half.

So most of the US are ....



Mtl JP  16:17:08 GMT - 08/23/2016  
first time opening of a jar of pickles is usually no easy feat
was it defective ?


dc CB  16:15:18 GMT - 08/23/2016  
Another reason why we are doomed.

won't release health records, but will go on a late nite talk show.

no this is not the Onion

Hillary Clinton Laughs Off Health Rumors by Opening a Jar of Pickles on Jimmy Kimmel



dc CB  16:11:21 GMT - 08/23/2016  
Unemcumbered by the thought process

Algos gone Wild



Mtl JP  16:11:11 GMT - 08/23/2016  
dc CB bloomberg is a bit late on the "news" trigger
Abadi is spouting some cooling words already


dc CB  16:05:52 GMT - 08/23/2016  
More BULL Sheeet ALGO BAIT....works everytime.

Bloomberg: "Iran to Shun Oil Freeze While Neighbors Boost Output"

IRAN SAID TO SEND SIGNALS MAY SUPPORT JOINT ACTION ON OIL:RTRS.

Iran 'Reportedly' "May Support Actions To Prop Up Oil Market"

IRAN SENDING POSITIVE SIGNALS THAT IT MAY SUPPORT JOINT ACTION TO PROP UP OIL MARKET - SOURCES IN OPEC, OIL INDUSTRY


Mtl JP  16:02:55 GMT - 08/23/2016  
Iran may..
half hour later ... it may not
good yanking of the goat ?

would long usdcad on break N of 100ma

NO FREEZE BEFORE PRE-SANCTION LEVELS ACHIEVED - IRAN



Mtl JP  15:24:23 GMT - 08/23/2016  
oil output freeze yak working against usdcad pop over 100dma for now


Livingston nh  15:16:12 GMT - 08/23/2016  
A rare two day island on SPX 15 min charts - should drop back at lest to 21 86 lvl //oil is popping on talk of TALKS - Saudis, Iran and Russia freeze at current over supply?? that should help a lot -- HOPE is not a plan


GVI Trading Room john bland  14:52:02 GMT - 08/23/2016  
WTI up about a dollar on the headline last $47.95. Waiting to see response of S&P to higher CO.


GVI Trading Room john bland  14:49:27 GMT - 08/23/2016  
Crude Up on reports signs of positive support for higher oil prices...

Source TTN


Mtl JP  14:04:32 GMT - 08/23/2016  
sofar player reaction new house sales far from "A" risk
looks like pressure being bottled for Janet reserve


GVI Trading Room john bland  14:01:30 GMT - 08/23/2016  

U.S. New Home Sales July 2016



ALERT
654K vs. 575K exp. vs. 592K (r 582K) prev.


New Residential Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading Room john bland  13:59:42 GMT - 08/23/2016  
U.S. Richmond Fed Index August 2016
U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT
-11 vs. +6 exp. vs. +10 prev.


TTN: Live News


Direct links to primary data sources


Mtl JP  13:58:00 GMT - 08/23/2016  
player reaction to the data miss: approx 6 pip range


GVI Trading Room john bland  13:46:59 GMT - 08/23/2016  
data miss


GVI Trading Room john bland  13:46:40 GMT - 08/23/2016  
U.S. flash Markit Mfg PMI August 2016





ALERT
52.1 vs. 53.0 exp. vs. 52.9 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Markit PMI Press Release


GVI Trading Room john bland  08:30:46 GMT - 08/23/2016  
Japan flash PMI August 2016





EARLIER NEWS ALERT
49.6 vs. n/a exp. vs. 49.3 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer



EARLIER: Japan flash PMI higher.



GVI Trading Room john bland  08:15:05 GMT - 08/23/2016  
EZ Flash PMIs August 2016





ALERT
EZ
mfg: 51.8 vs. 52.0 exp. vs. 52.0 prev.
svc: 53.1 vs. 52.8 exp. vs. 52.9 prev.

German
mfg: 53.6 vs. 53.6 exp. vs. 53.8
svc: 53.5 vs. 54.4 exp. vs. 54.4

France
mfg: 48.5 vs. 48.6 exp. vs. 48.6
svc: 52.0 vs. 50.5 exp. vs. 50.5


Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer






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