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PAR 09:30:39 GMT - 09/05/2016  
Brent up 5.30% , almost $50 . This is becoming inflationary .

ECB needs to take that into account , as they considered declining oil prices deflationary.


kl shawn  09:28:58 GMT - 09/05/2016  
give it 24-48 hours, oil above 50


GVI Trading Room john bland  09:27:24 GMT - 09/05/2016  
Crude oil up ahead of Saudi- Russia announcement.


GVI Trading Room john bland  09:05:30 GMT - 09/05/2016  

5-SEP Monday
Holiday- CA/US
All Day- Service PMIs
6-SEP Tuesday
04:30 AU- RBA Decision
09:00 EZ- GDP
13:45 US- Final SVC PMI
14:00 US- ISM PMI
7-SEP Wednesday
00:30 AU- GDP
14:00 CA- BOC Decision
8-SEP Thursday
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Crude
9-SEP Friday
01:30 CN- CPI
08:30 GB- Trade
12:30 CA- Employment


Trading Themes --
  • Revisions to flash EZ, PMI's have been generally to weaker data. Notable was the mark down in the German Service PMI to 51.7 from 53.1.

  • The U.K. Service PMI was fresh data and as in the case with the Manufacturing and Construction PMIs saw a major correction to the post-Brexit psychological plunge. The U.S. and Canada are closed today for holidays.

  • German Chancellor Merkel's CDU Party suffered a major defeat in local election to anti-immigration AFD Party. The CDU came in third place.

  • August U.S. Non-farm Payrolls grew by only 151K in the month, while revisions to the June and July data turned out to be a wash. The street had been expecting a gain of 180K in the month, but importantly, average hourly earning increased a scant 0.12% in the month and hours worked declined.

  • There was no smoking gun in the report that should force a rate hike on September 21. In fact this report, taken with the contraction in the ISM Manufacturing PMI should be a cause for caution at the Fed. It would be wiser for the central bank to wait for more data before raising rates. The last thing they should do now is compound their many blunders by trying to save face.

  • Monday sees final Service PMIs for a number of economies. For most of the key reports, this will only be revisions to flash reports from about a week ago. The U.K. Service PMI is fresh data and will be watched for corrections to the post-Brexit psychological plunge. The U.S. and Canada are closed Monday for holidays.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com




GVI Trading Room john bland  13:00:54 GMT - 09/04/2016  

5-SEP Monday
Holiday- CA/US
All Day- Service PMIs
6-SEP Tuesday
04:30 AU- RBA Decision
09:00 EZ- GDP
13:45 US- Final SVC PMI
14:00 US- ISM PMI
7-SEP Wednesday
00:30 AU- GDP
14:00 CA- BOC Decision
8-SEP Thursday
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Crude
9-SEP Friday
01:30 CN- CPI
08:30 GB- Trade
12:30 CA- Employment


Trading Themes --
  • August U.S. Non-farm Payrolls grew by only 151K in the month, while revisions to the June and July data turned out to be a wash. The street had been expecting a gain of 180K in the month, but importantly, average hourly earning increased a scant 0.12% in the month and hours worked declined.

  • There was no smoking gun in the report that should force a rate hike on September 21. In fact this report, taken with the contraction in the ISM Manufacturing PMI should be a cause for caution at the Fed. It would be wiser for the central bank to wait for more data before raising rates. The last thing they should do now is compound their many blunders by trying to save face.

  • Monday sees final Service PMIs for a number of economies. For most of the key reports, this will only be revisions to flash reports from about a week ago. The U.K. Service PMI is fresh data and will be watched for corrections to the post-Brexit psychological plunge. The U.S. and Canada are closed Monday for holidays.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com







Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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