ECB Disappoints
It is not often that the policy decision of the ECB every six weeks or so impacts global financial markets, but such was the case on Thursday September 8. With the Eurozone economy growing slowly, many were expecting the central bank to do more to stimulate growth. Since it is increasingly being accepted that negative interest rates do not provide the stimulus that in theory economists felt they would, no reduction (more negative) cut in interest rates was expected. Many had been hoping that the ECB would take technical steps to facilitate additional Quantitative Ease (QE). A growing view is that the ECB is stuck on hold until the Fed begins to adjust its monetary policies. The ECB could be caught out by an unexpected Fed move, so they are on hold...
GVI Trading Room john bland 18:46:21 GMT - 09/10/2016
John M. Bland, MBA
ECB Disappoints
It is not often that the policy decision of the ECB every six weeks or so impacts global financial markets, but such was the case on Thursday September 8. With the Eurozone economy growing slowly, many were expecting the central bank to do more to stimulate growth. Since it is increasingly being accepted that negative interest rates do not provide the stimulus that in theory economists felt they would, no reduction (more negative) cut in interest rates was expected. Many had been hoping that the ECB would take technical steps to facilitate additional Quantitative Ease (QE). A growing view is that the ECB is stuck on hold until the Fed begins to adjust its monetary policies. The ECB could be caught out by an unexpected Fed move, so they are on hold...
Theoretical incompetence - the BoJ should have been an object lesson for the ECB and the Fed -- like the war on terror the CBs are using counterfactual it would have been worse but for ___________ -- fill in the blanks
Now we are bombarded w/ Wicksell's R* and before it was Phillips Curve -- economics is contextual; it's not fkin physics
They don't understand -- so we all suffer while they blunder
Trump sees a hot spot w/ Clinton's inane defense of the Fed against political attax -- so expect more of criticism in the coming weeks
This group as a Group exceeds MILLER's incompetence by a MILE
Mtl JP 20:46:27 GMT - 09/10/2016
nh 20:02 think john had their personal safety in mind when he advised janet that "It would be wise now for the central bank to wait for more data before raising rates." ? sofar no plebs w/pitchforks and flaming torches heading for them in Eccles building on Constitution Ave anywhere on horizon. Personally I am not privy to who of the big-money wallstreet wigs janet picks up to answer the phone when it rings with yey ney rate hike instructions. Even calls to End the Fed seem to have currently subsided.
so what that Japan debt/gdp is 250% +, UK and US at 100+ % ? plebs are still quiet and going to their jobs
Livingston nh 20:53:09 GMT - 09/10/2016
JP - we shall see if Trump starts tying 401(k) savings and state pensions to the Fed -- the Fed has crippled the interest returns in Personal Income account w/ no benefit from the supposed increase in borrowing by corps (who are buying back stox instead of capital investment)
Calls for abolition of CB helped Jackson might help Trump
dc CB 20:54:31 GMT - 09/10/2016
a message from our founder. Mr Audit the Fed Himself
PAUL misunderstands deficits and monetization of debt (gov debt is monetization) - Treasury should eliminate auction price and set an interest rate for each issue
GVI Trading Room john bland 11:15:17 GMT - 09/11/2016
nh- We both remember Bill Miller. In fairness to him, he was way over his head from the start. He never should have been appointed by Carter, who was in over his head as well!
The current set of Keystone Kops can't claim that excuse. What we needed (need) is an independent thinker, someone who can think out of the box, like Larry Summers. I did not realize this back when Yellen was appointed.
The problem with the current era is that a truly independent thinker is no longer acceptable because of political correctness. We can no longer handle the truth.
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