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Mtl JP  20:32:31 GMT - 09/13/2016  
john bland 16:06 / 10-yr back above 1.70%
1.717% +4.7bp
-
that has probably flattened the yield curve
nothing like stirring "worry" in the bond market
give credit to Harvard PhD Brainyard


Bali Sja  19:27:43 GMT - 09/13/2016  
Again usdjpy is saying not to worry. Staying above 102.50 will open up 103.70 and 104.50 this week. Go usd!


Paris ib  18:23:39 GMT - 09/13/2016  
Of course a rising cost of funding will bring stocks down with a thud.



Paris ib  18:23:04 GMT - 09/13/2016  
Stocks don't count a thing. What counts is funding: the cost of funding; debt levels and dependency on international creditors. What counts are bonds and specifically the ability of a government to fund itself. In some cases, like Australia, the massive level of private sector debt and the huge dependency on external savings - available only on a 3 year roll over, which is still better than the 1 year roll over on U.S. Treasuries - means huge economic vulnerability.

Watch bonds they count.

Which bonds?



GVI Trading Room john bland  18:14:23 GMT - 09/13/2016  
Stocks starting to look heavy again.


dc CB  17:30:20 GMT - 09/13/2016  
just a reminder this is Quad Witching week.


Bali Sja  16:19:30 GMT - 09/13/2016  
John, if they cannot go lower then they will go up as we get closer to sep 21. Usd is holding pretty well despite all those odds.


GVI Trading Room john bland  16:17:40 GMT - 09/13/2016  
By my calculations, odds for a September 21 Fed hike are running at 12% today. They can't get much lower than this.


GVI Trading Room john bland  16:06:03 GMT - 09/13/2016  
10-yr back above 1.70%
1.717% +4.7bp


GVI Trading Room john bland  15:39:36 GMT - 09/13/2016  
U.S. equities weak.


GVI Forex Blog  15:38:51 GMT - 09/13/2016  

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