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GVI Trading john bland  17:30:13 GMT - 10/07/2016  
Volcanic eruption at Mt Aso in Japan largest volcano.
no details yet
Source: TTN

GVI Trading john bland  17:05:12 GMT - 10/07/2016  
US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count
U.S. Data Charts

Total (inc gas) U.S.: 524 vs 522 (+2) prev
US (oil): 428 vs. 425 (+3) prev

Canada 165 vs. 162 (+3) prev

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GVI Trading john bland  14:50:58 GMT - 10/07/2016  
Vice-Chair Fischer
-- Jobs report close to a "goldilocks" number
-- growth NOT close to what we are used to

Source: TTN

Livingston nh  13:51:56 GMT - 10/07/2016  
I agree John she will use any reason to avoid a hike

GVI Trading john bland  13:36:16 GMT - 10/07/2016  
nh- I'm not saying what they SHOULD do, I'm stuck trying to predict what they WILL do.

Livingston nh  13:31:51 GMT - 10/07/2016  
John - Yellen is dreaming if she puts that stupid line about a continued improvement needed in employment -- we are at the natural limits -- BLS repeated throughout today's labor report "virtually unchanged" "nearly unchanged" or unchanged for every stat over the last year

She has sacrificed good at the altar of the perfect - Brainard talks today and this is Yellen's proxy for any delay (she keeps the BoG w/o dissent) because the focus is inflation and the mythical "neutral rate" that they are banging the drum for


PAR 13:29:57 GMT - 10/07/2016  
Worse, however, than even the breakdown in September job quality, was another seldom-touted series: the number of Multiple jobholders, or people who are forced to hold more than one job due to insufficient wages. It was here that the red flashing light came on because as a result of the 301K monthly surge in Americans holding more than one job, the 5th highest monthly spike in the past decade, the total number of Multiple jobholders soared to 7.863 million, the highest number since the financial crisis, and a number surpassed just once in the past decade: in August of 2008, just before all hell broke loose.

PAR 13:27:09 GMT - 10/07/2016  
Part-Time Jobs Soar By 430,000 As Multiple Jobholders Surge To August 2008 Levels

GVI Trading john bland  13:09:52 GMT - 10/07/2016  
So NFP miss after a miss in August

AHE Misses after a weak August reading

Unemployment 5.00% vs 4.70% in June

Recall this is a cautious Fed...

Fed still could plow ahead with a rate hike in December, but we will need a strong November number first.

london red  12:56:32 GMT - 10/07/2016  
euro. stops abv 70. once done can fade 85/90 stop over 11215/20

GVI Trading john bland  12:51:21 GMT - 10/07/2016  
Canada Jobs: Stronger than expected

PAR 12:38:59 GMT - 10/07/2016  
Capital vs Labor . Capital always wins . Good number for stock market and for Hilary . New record high on S&P ?

GVI Trading john bland  12:36:20 GMT - 10/07/2016  
Slight data miss, but not fatal for Fed hike?

GVI Trading john bland  12:34:24 GMT - 10/07/2016  
Canada EMPLOYMENT September 2016


Jobs: +67.2K vs. +10.0K exp. vs. +26.2K prev.
Rate: 7.00% vs. 7.00% exp. vs. 7.00% prev.

RELEASE: StatCan Monthy Employment Report

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GVI Trading john bland  12:33:02 GMT - 10/07/2016  
U.S. Employment September 2016

NFP Jobs:
+156K vs. +170K exp. vs. +151K (r +167K ) prev.
Rate:5.00% vs. 4.90% exp. vs. 4.90% prev.

Avg earnings: +0.20% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.
BLS: Employment Situation Summary

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GVI Trading john bland  12:30:30 GMT - 10/07/2016  

GVI Trading john bland  08:33:58 GMT - 10/07/2016  
UK Output data misses.

GVI Trading john bland  08:32:55 GMT - 10/07/2016  
UK Trade September 2016
U.K. Charts


Total: -12.1 vs. -11.2 exp. vs. -11.8 (r -9.5) prev.

Non-EU: -3.8 vs. -3.7 exp. vs. -4.2 prev (r -2.2 )

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GVI Trading john bland  08:31:07 GMT - 10/07/2016  
UK Industrial/Manufacturing Output August 2016


Ind mm: -0.40% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.10% (r ) prev.
Mfg mm: +0.20% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.80% (r ) prev.

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Paris ib  16:24:52 GMT - 10/06/2016  
I remain of the view that the first market to crack will be the bond market. After which I guess you get stocks and then chaos on currency markets... and someone at some point will have to jail all the Central Bankers of the world and their enablers. Whoever they may be. Gonna be fun. Not. gl gt

Paris ib  16:23:21 GMT - 10/06/2016  
And we are all sitting here waiting for someone to pull the plug...

Paris ib  16:20:37 GMT - 10/06/2016  
John we all know the history. It's just we prefer not to think about it.

GVI Trading john bland  16:12:17 GMT - 10/06/2016  
Makes me a bit nervous that the major central banks at some point are going to own everything! They will have bought it all with "printed paper" I think we have seen this story once before after WWI and that did not end well in Germany. But of course nobody knows any history any more!

Paris ib  16:04:18 GMT - 10/06/2016  
How this all ends John is anyone's guess but seriously does anyone think this money madness can end well? Anywhere? I just don't see that happening. How the mess explodes is an open question but that's just the detail.

GVI Trading john bland  16:01:45 GMT - 10/06/2016  
There was never any chance the ECB was ready to taper. I believe they accept that QE and negative interest rates have been a boondoggle, but they don't like to admit that they were wrong.

Paris ib  15:54:13 GMT - 10/06/2016  
Sure but the USD is gaining a bit against everything (except OIL). AUD down, USD/JPY up....

GVI Trading john bland  15:53:06 GMT - 10/06/2016  
ECB's Constancio Report nearing consensus to taper QE incorrect.

Source: TTN

GVI Trading Jay Meisler  15:50:59 GMT - 10/06/2016  
EURUSD down on this

11:47 (EU) ECB's Constancio (Portugal): earlier report ECB was near tapering consensus is not correct; QE to go until inflation is back on path to target - press
- no foundation to rumors surrounding future QE policy- council has not discussed anything on QE timetable

- Source

GVI Trading john bland  15:20:27 GMT - 10/06/2016  
>> Delayed <<

US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)
U.S. Data Charts

+80 vs. +65 exp vs. +49 prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  15:20:26 GMT - 10/06/2016  
>> Delayed <<

US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)
U.S. Data Charts

+80 vs. +65 exp vs. +49 prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  12:30:14 GMT - 10/06/2016  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims
U.S. Data Charts


Initial Claims (000)
249K vs. 250K exp. vs. 254K rev prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  08:11:29 GMT - 10/06/2016  
Retail PMI September 2016


49.6 vs. n/a exp. vs. 51.0

Markit PMI Press Release

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GVI Trading john bland  07:41:11 GMT - 10/06/2016  
Swiss CPI September 2016

mm: +0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. -0.10% prev.
yy: -0.20% vs. 0.00% exp. vs. -0.10% prev.

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EARLIER: Swiss CPI (y/y) Deflation persists

GVI Trading john bland  17:27:38 GMT - 10/05/2016  
Fed's Lacker:
-- strong case to raise rates more rapidly

GVI Trading john bland  15:49:09 GMT - 10/05/2016  
Atlanta Fed 3Q16 forecast 2.20% vs 2.20% on 3 Oct.

Source: TTN

GVI Trading john bland  14:30:58 GMT - 10/05/2016  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts

Crude Oil: -3.000 vs. +2.690 exp vs. -1.900 prev.
Gasoline: -0.200 vs. +0.900 exp vs. -1.900 prev.
Distillates: -2.400 vs. -1.370 exp vs. -1.900 prev.

Weekly Petroleum Status Report

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GVI Trading john bland  14:02:18 GMT - 10/05/2016  
Factory Orders August 2016
U.S. Data Charts

0.20% vs. -0.30% exp. vs. +1.90% (r +1.40% )prev. rev.

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GVI Trading john bland  14:01:00 GMT - 10/05/2016  
U.S. ISM Services PMI August 2016
MORE: U.S. Data Charts

57.1 vs. 52.0 exp. vs. 51.4 prev.
Employment sub-component
57.2 vs. 50.7 prev.


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GVI Trading john bland  13:45:51 GMT - 10/05/2016  
Slight upward revision to the flash data a week ago.

GVI Trading john bland  13:45:09 GMT - 10/05/2016  
U.S. Markit final Services PMI September 2016
U.S. Data Charts

52.3 vs. 52.0 exp. vs. 51.9 (flash)

Markit PMI Press Release

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GVI Trading john bland  13:32:51 GMT - 10/05/2016  
Markit Service PMI due at 13:45 GMT. This is a relatively new series and is not too widely followed. The major report of the day is the well-established ISM servic PMI due at the top of the hour. This report is closely monitored. Last month it was much weaker than expected and put the final nail in the coffin for a September Fed rate hike.

GVI Trading john bland  12:32:31 GMT - 10/05/2016  
U.S. trades in line

GVI Trading john bland  12:31:46 GMT - 10/05/2016  
U.S. (USD bn) & Canada (CAD bn) Trade August 2016
U.S. Data Charts

-40.7 vs. -40.5 exp. vs. -39.5 (r-39.55 prev.
Canada Trade C$ bln
-1.90 vs. -2.50 exp. vs. -2.50 (r -2.49)prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services

Canadian Trade Balance

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GVI Trading john bland  12:16:58 GMT - 10/05/2016  
ADP roughly in line. Doesn't tell us much.

GVI Trading john bland  12:15:22 GMT - 10/05/2016  
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ADP Private Employment September 2016
U.S. Data Charts

+154K vs. +165K exp. vs. +177K (r +175) prev.

RELEASE: ADP National Employment Report®

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GVI Trading john bland  09:03:40 GMT - 10/05/2016  
Previous data were revised lower.

GVI Trading john bland  09:00:53 GMT - 10/05/2016  
Eurozone Retail Sales August 2016

mm: -0.10% vs -0.30% exp. vs. +1.10% (r +0.30%) prev.
yy: +0.60% vs. +1.50 exp. vs. +2.90% (r +1.80%) prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  08:30:40 GMT - 10/05/2016  
UK Service PMI beats

GVI Trading john bland  08:30:11 GMT - 10/05/2016  
GB Services PMI September 2016
U.K. Charts


52.6 vs. 52.0 exp. vs. 52.9 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release

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GVI Trading john bland  08:00:50 GMT - 10/05/2016  
Final Service PMIs September 2016


EZ- Final Service PMI
52.2 vs. 52.1 exp. vs. 52.1 (flash)
53.3 vs. 54.1 exp. vs. 54.1 (flash)
50.9 vs. 50.6 exp. vs. 50.6 (flash)

Markit PMI Press Release

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GVI Trading john bland  20:35:33 GMT - 10/04/2016  
big draw as prices suggested.

GVI Trading john bland  20:35:02 GMT - 10/04/2016  
US Weekly API Crude

Reportedly -7.600 mn vs. +2.70 mn exp

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GVI Trading john bland  20:34:35 GMT - 10/04/2016  
Must have been a big API crude draw. Prices up sharply

Livingston nh  16:15:53 GMT - 10/04/2016  
Draghi been getting heat from banks and pols about NIRP - the only way to rein in the CBs short of impeachment or national treasury finance folks putting the bankers back under the thumb

london red  16:08:42 GMT - 10/04/2016  
might be some covering at 75

london red  16:04:21 GMT - 10/04/2016  
euro. no hourly close over 200hma. if nxt hr closes abv can move higher but doesnt look like it. so possie may now work into nfp. but that sup 11115/20 shud hold into nfp.

london red  15:56:20 GMT - 10/04/2016  
no higher daily high made yet. proper stops will be over 11284 but they shud be safe. folk will be fading mids 30's 50 and 70 odd with stops abv said lvl.

Livingston nh  15:51:45 GMT - 10/04/2016  
Squeezes in nervous markets

Livingston nh  15:50:06 GMT - 10/04/2016  
Sounds like DB rumor redux

GVI Trading Jay Meisler  15:42:38 GMT - 10/04/2016  
EURUSD spiked on this:

11:39 (EU) ECB QE tapering scenarios reportedly include slowing by increments of €10B/month; timing on tapering to depend on economic outlook - press - program could still be extended at full 80B/mo pace beyond March 2017 -

GVI Trading john bland  13:23:00 GMT - 10/04/2016  
Paychex indicator is another ADP type number. What caught my eye is "lowest point in 2016". Lets watch to see if it was a harbinger for the Friday data.

GVI Trading john bland  13:20:34 GMT - 10/04/2016  
"The Paychex - IHS Small Business Jobs Index declined in September to its lowest point in 2016. Nevertheless, at 100.52, the national index continues to show solid small business employment gains. "

nw kw  08:50:54 GMT - 10/04/2016  
chf trend softest,?

LONDON SFH  08:49:12 GMT - 10/04/2016  
sja- The mkt is hitting the politicians hard...and the idiots deserve it..

nw kw  08:40:14 GMT - 10/04/2016  
year out looking for 125 that's not much down side?

bali sja  08:38:28 GMT - 10/04/2016  
yesterday's beat data could not bring it above 1.29, today's data also beat cannot bring it above 1.28, stairways down to hell for cable

GVI Trading john bland  08:31:01 GMT - 10/04/2016  
Strong beat by U.K. Construction PMI.

GVI Trading john bland  08:30:12 GMT - 10/04/2016  
Construction PMI September 2016


52.3 vs. 49.0 exp. vs. 49.2 prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  16:20:10 GMT - 10/03/2016  
I believe they started the 3Q16 forecasts at 3.7 or 3.8% in early August.

Livingston nh  16:02:58 GMT - 10/03/2016  
John - don't be Giving Yellen any new excuse -- she'll be arguing for 5 intrinsic MANDATES

GVI Trading john bland  16:01:17 GMT - 10/03/2016  
GDP forecast keeps slipping away

GVI Trading john bland  16:00:28 GMT - 10/03/2016  
Atlanta Fed GDP now 3Q16 +2.20% vs. +2.40% on 9/30

Source: TTN

GVI Trading john bland  14:00:32 GMT - 10/03/2016  
U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI September 2016
U.S. Data Charts


51.5 vs. 50.5 exp. vs. 49.4 prev.
RELEASE: ISM Manufacturing PMI

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GVI Trading john bland  13:45:49 GMT - 10/03/2016  
U.S. Final Markit PMI September 2016

51.5 vs. 51.4 exp. vs. 51.4 prev.

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Markit PMI Press Release

GVI Trading john bland  13:30:21 GMT - 10/03/2016  
Markit Mfg PMI September 2016

50.3 vs. 51.5 exp. vs. 51.1 prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  08:31:14 GMT - 10/03/2016  
Big beat in UK mfg PMI.

GVI Trading john bland  08:30:20 GMT - 10/03/2016  
Manufacturing PMI September 2016
U.K. Charts


55.4 vs. 52.1 exp. vs. 53.3 (r 53.4) prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  08:01:04 GMT - 10/03/2016  
minor PMI revisions

GVI Trading john bland  08:00:14 GMT - 10/03/2016  
EZ Final PMIs September 2016

mfg: 52.6 vs. 52.6 exp. vs. 52.6 flash.
mfg: 54.3 vs. 54.3 exp. vs. 54.3
mfg: 49.7 vs. 49.5 exp. vs. 49.5

Markit PMI Press Release

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GVI Trading john bland  07:33:24 GMT - 10/03/2016  
Swiss PMI improves to 53.2 from 50.1


GVI Trading john bland  07:30:20 GMT - 10/03/2016  
Swiss PMI August 2016

Data News

53.2 vs. 50.5 vs. 50.1 prev.

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Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Trading john bland  07:06:03 GMT - 10/03/2016  
EARLIER: BOJ Tankan Survey. Large Manufacturers 6 to from September forecast of 8

GVI Trading john bland  07:00:14 GMT - 10/03/2016  
Japan Quarterly Tankan Survey 3Q16

Big Mfg +6 vs. +8 exp. vs. +6 prev.

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GVI Trading john bland  22:30:20 GMT - 10/02/2016  
Australia PMI September 2016


49.8 vs. n/a exp. vs. 46.9 prev.

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Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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