IRAQ AND IRAN REFUSE TO FREEZE OUTPUT - SOURCES
*IRAQ, IRAN SAY OPEC UNDERESTIMATES THEIR PRODUCTION: DJ
*OPEC MTG SAID DEADLOCKED AS IRAQ, IRAN DISPUTE DATA: DJ
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:47:43 GMT - 10/28/2016
S. stocks further extend losses after fbi head says it will review more emails related to clinton's private email use
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:43:29 GMT - 10/28/2016
I should have added stocks took a dive.
Paris ib 17:39:28 GMT - 10/28/2016
Jay that's what you get when you have complacency city. Lots and lots and lots of STOPS.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:38:23 GMT - 10/28/2016
No news, bond yields lower, USD follows, stop city
Paris ib 17:37:15 GMT - 10/28/2016
CB seriously people DO NOT want to know. They do not want to find out. They do not want to discuss this. They vote for Clinton because they are progressive and modern and tolerant and good. That has become their identity. It is seriously SAD and worrying. There were young people in Britain who were seriously suggesting that only THEY should vote because only THEY got it. And these were people who had - to this point - lived off the fat of the land. Never worked. Never paid taxes. But hey.... they were good. Not like the misguided lot who voted OUT. The scale of manipulation has been HUGE. And in the U.S. too. I can not even discuss the election with anyone I know. It's not a P.C. topic. I have suddenly becomes a red neck. Jeez I actually chuckled when I said that.
Livingston nh 17:35:41 GMT - 10/28/2016
There is no LITERACY TEST in elections (or high school, college or marriage)
dc CB 17:33:50 GMT - 10/28/2016
What is known so far by any US voter who can read.
The Top 100 Most Damaging Wikileaks (so far)
Test run for a Trump Presidency. Getting prepared just in case.
Livingston nh 17:32:23 GMT - 10/28/2016
JOHN - again Sorry (political) - BUT NJ Republican votes in National elections tend to get lost - we lose contact w/ motivations in RED states // nothing Clinton has done or may do affects NJ, NY or CA BUT OH, Fla and TX maybe
Paris ib 17:30:32 GMT - 10/28/2016
Did they leak this to ramp the markets on a Friday? What a world.
Paris ib 17:28:59 GMT - 10/28/2016
nh so what do you think? Clinton President?
Paris ib 17:28:13 GMT - 10/28/2016
What I've noticed is how emotional this whole thing has become. Just like BREXIT. You know in some families BREXIT is a taboo topic because people can not discuss it. Too many emotions and too many people have sort of 'identified' with the whole issue. I vote remain: I'm modern and tolerant and progressive and just good. Same with Clinton. Emotional manipulation on a huge scale. Still BREXIT pulled it off. :-)
Livingston nh 17:25:00 GMT - 10/28/2016
Sorry is for POLITICAL forum but Trump said he could shoot somebody and it wouldn't change a vote -- same goes for Clinton
THIS election has no ELECTORATE motivation other than CHANGE
Paris ib 17:24:24 GMT - 10/28/2016
Seriously? Well you guys are really in trouble if a candidate this corrupt can actually get voted in. Honestly it's like a saga from some corrupt third world nation. You don't even have to dig much to feel slightly repelled by what has gone on. This is like the U.K. voting for Cherie Booth. It would never happen. Tony Blair can't even walk the streets in the U.K., had to call off his book tour. The guy is an outcast. He might have made a lot of money - not as much as the Clinton Foundation - but that's it. He is voter poison.
GVI Trading john bland 17:22:26 GMT - 10/28/2016
Implications are a good question. My first thought is that Trump is simply too far gone by now.
Keep mind that the FBI bailed out Clinton several weeks ago. It depends on whether the emails tell us something new.
Another possibility is that whatever comes out could help the Republicans in close House and Senate contests.
Livingston nh 17:21:16 GMT - 10/28/2016
CLINTON = NO BIG DEAL
Paris ib 17:20:44 GMT - 10/28/2016
nh - ok but would the American voter vote for a candidate in these circumstances? Isn't that really pushing the envelope?
Livingston nh 17:19:24 GMT - 10/28/2016
ib - it depends - see Nixon Tapes Clinton e-mail analogy// the Classified acts were enough so its dismissal stands absent Criminal conduct beyond Classified violations
Paris ib 17:17:52 GMT - 10/28/2016
CB.... what? Pardon her NOW? And then she gets elected? I don't think so. I mean how many voting machines do they need to pull that off?
dc CB 17:16:59 GMT - 10/28/2016
Will Obama step in front of this?
Will Obama "pardon" Hillary to save his administration?
GVI Trading john bland 17:16:17 GMT - 10/28/2016
JP- Fair point, but drillers react to market prices.
Paris ib 17:16:04 GMT - 10/28/2016
So what are the implications? Just a shot in the dark? No big deal?
Paris ib 17:15:17 GMT - 10/28/2016
BREXIT goes Hollywood. :-)
Livingston nh 17:15:09 GMT - 10/28/2016
This is more a COMMENTARY on FBI/DoJ - any private sector atty would have been all over Sec of State conflicts in Discovery phase
Like Nixon - Did you know? Criminal // Did you NOT know? Malfeasance
Paris ib 17:13:52 GMT - 10/28/2016
Well I guess we have a dress rehearsal for a Trump election. Whatever happens now will happen times a billion following the election if we do not end up with Hillary.
Mtl JP 17:13:42 GMT - 10/28/2016
john I submit that it is not wti that react to drill wells numbers; rather eager beaver drilling enthusiasts whose risking of capital on new wells reflects their need / greed for cashflow out of future crude pricing.
GVI Trading john bland 17:13:32 GMT - 10/28/2016
FBI is the source. This is not a joke.
Paris ib 17:12:39 GMT - 10/28/2016
Whoa John. Is that a joke headline? Serious source?
dc CB 17:12:34 GMT - 10/28/2016
In a stunning development moments ago Jason Chaffetz tweeted that the FBI's probe into Hillary Clinton emails has been reopened: saying that "The FBI has learned of the existence of emails that appear to be pertinent to the investigation."
According to additional reports, the FBI is said to have learned of the existence of additional material, although FBI Direct Comey adds that it is unclear if the material is significant.
While we seek more information, the Mexian Peso has just crashed in reaction to the news.
John they exist because they get paid to do this stuff. There is a cosy little relationship at the basis of this. We get a nice rating, you get a big fat consultancy type fee. But it's all crap.
Paris ib 16:54:53 GMT - 10/28/2016
Yeah no kidding JP. I had no idea that's what they did. Thanks for tip.
Mtl JP 16:53:26 GMT - 10/28/2016
sovereign rating at AA means that markets should have confidence that pertinent govt has the ability to juice-squeeze taxes from its populace and / or ability print without risk of social mutiny in order to pay interest due on its bonds
GVI Trading john bland 16:49:38 GMT - 10/28/2016
ib- fair point. I only post it because sometimes the markets react to the headlines. I am not even certain why they exist.
Paris ib 16:41:10 GMT - 10/28/2016
Hahahahahahha.... the ratings agencies. Those bastions of right thinking and ethical practice. How quaint of them to continue putting out reports. Remarkable persistence in the face of widespread disdain. Enron was Triple AAA right up to its collapse. You gotta love it.
GVI Trading john bland 16:29:12 GMT - 10/28/2016
Short while ago:
S&P affirms UK sovereign rating at AA; Outlook negative
Paris ib 14:39:10 GMT - 10/28/2016
PAR 12:34 GMT 10/28/2016
Good for stocks and bonds . Perfect numbers before a long European weekend . Consumer a bit weak but basically nothing but good news .
Bingo. Played like a cynic and it works. Good for you.
GVI Trading john bland 14:00:54 GMT - 10/28/2016
UM final data miss.
GVI Trading john bland 14:00:23 GMT - 10/28/2016
University of Michigan Sentiment Index Final October 2016
I saw: GDP deflator 2.2% vs 1.8% exp. Prior 0.4%. Revised to 0.5%. Is that wrong? I haven't looked directly at official data.
Livingston nh 13:09:26 GMT - 10/28/2016
GDP deflator (I thot maybe 2.5%) declined from Q2, only 1.5% vs 2.3% - so yields are not popping on GDP growth // the Employment Cost Index (ECI) increased 0.6% again with benefits still running hotter than wages
london red 12:45:01 GMT - 10/28/2016
consumer a bit soft although wages up, rest pretty gd. but spreads need to move otherwise usd wont budge vs yen, will weaken vs euro
Mtl JP 12:43:18 GMT - 10/28/2016
john gdp growth at fastest pace in two and a half years
z-got to be "good"
Paris ib 12:37:21 GMT - 10/28/2016
The GDP deflator was pretty darn huge. What's with that? Isn't that the smoking gun which influences the headline rate of GDP?
PAR12:34:08 GMT - 10/28/2016
Good for stocks and bonds . Perfect numbers before a long European weekend . Consumer a bit weak but basically nothing but good news .
GVI Trading john bland 12:33:50 GMT - 10/28/2016
GDP a bit stronger than expected. Consumption misses. Stromg headline soft internals??
Earlier: Japanese core and national CPI Deflation persists
PAR15:22:36 GMT - 10/27/2016
My grandson is very good at maths . I even explained him probabilities .
london red 15:17:41 GMT - 10/27/2016
PAR u said it. but traders never were smartest bunch. begins were from street mkts and thats where most belong.
Mtl JP 15:17:18 GMT - 10/27/2016
1) at 9 he is too young to understand
2) he has no PhD
london red 15:16:29 GMT - 10/27/2016
despite a gd showing frm us gdp expected tom, its a gd fade end of month for those short so think may not recoup all losses (the 10) but shud be gd 2 way here
PAR15:15:09 GMT - 10/27/2016
Which idiot has been buying negative yielding bonds . I can not explain to my 9 year old grandson that he gives me 10 euros and I will give him 9 euro s back in a few years . He tells me I am Crazy .
Paris ib 15:06:54 GMT - 10/27/2016
If and when we get a real, sustained sell off in global bond markets, well, THAT will go down in history as a big moment. I think we are getting close. And then we really will see who is swimming naked.
PAR15:03:49 GMT - 10/27/2016
Equities doing very well .
london red 14:58:16 GMT - 10/27/2016
bonds getting butchered...US 10yr cash index low was just a whisker from 50% top 2012 top/2013 bottom. while jgbs stuck this helps usdjpy but bund worse so supportive for eurusd
PAR14:52:03 GMT - 10/27/2016
Probably a smoke screen . Used a lot nowadays .
GVI Trading john bland 14:39:22 GMT - 10/27/2016
This forecast is well below latest street forecasts for Advance 3Q16 GDP of 3.00-3.50% due Friday.
GVI Trading john bland 14:36:48 GMT - 10/27/2016
Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3Q16 GDP forecast 2.10% from 2.00% on October 19.
Fun with Algo triggering Numbers.
Oil was unable to hold $50... as market participants realize EIA data show unexpected drop in U.S. crude stockpiles last week was largely due to a decline in inventories on West Coast, isolated area market tends to ignore.
“PADD 5 might as well be Mars,” Bob Yawger, director of futures division at Mizuho Securities in New York, says by phone. “There’s no way of getting West Coast barrels East of the Rocky Mountains.”
Removing the 2.26m bbl West Coast crude draw from total, stocks would result in +1.7m bbl
20:30 *(AU) AUSTRALIA Q3 CONSUMER PRICES (CPI) Q/Q: 0.7% V 0.5%E; Y/Y: 1.3% V 1.1%E;
TRIMMED MEAN Q/Q: 0.4% V 0.4%E ; Y/Y: 1.7% V 1.7%E
- Source TradeTheNews.com
london red 16:30:17 GMT - 10/25/2016
gbp. mkt wasnt expecting a cut this year, comments were just an excuse to take profits as no more bad news to come in near future so a case of running downside stops and i bet we see a run at top side before nxt wk is out.
GVI Trading john bland 16:27:42 GMT - 10/25/2016
weaker exchange rate is stimulative and presumably mitigates the need for a rate cut? BOC "forever" has explicitly taken into account the value of the exchange rate in monetary policy.
GVI Trading john bland 16:25:48 GMT - 10/25/2016
-- BOE will take moves in GBP into account in next policy decision.
Mtl JP 15:13:54 GMT - 10/25/2016
nh 14:54 these revered cretins with PhD's mitigate the uncertainty principle with pomp, pretense and assumed "I am an "expert" you are a pleb my words mean more than yours" social positioning.
Just remember that Mark has been scaremongering about brexit and he is on record hissing that "global warming is one of the biggest risks to economic stability".
One can make money off this cretin. Either by agreeing or not with him.
Mtl JP 15:04:43 GMT - 10/25/2016
is Mark fighting to keep his job / rock star reverence?
GVI Trading john bland 15:00:50 GMT - 10/25/2016
-- we do not target the exchange rate, but we are not indifferent to it. Watching GBP.
GVI Trading15:00:27 GMT - 10/25/2016
- BOE does not target the exchange rate, but we are not indifferent to it
- Source TradeTheNews.com
Livingston nh 14:54:13 GMT - 10/25/2016
These guys are too much -- they're all on about the SAME thing // How in the world would CARNEY or anybody know the proper level of R*?? Heisenberg ??
GVI Trading john bland 14:50:27 GMT - 10/25/2016
-- Level of equilibrium interest rates has fallen.
LONDON SFH 14:43:47 GMT - 10/25/2016
Monetary Policy is way past what it can do already and now the idiot realises it
PAR14:41:45 GMT - 10/25/2016
Monetary policy is all about wealth distribution , not creation of wealth . Carney never created any wealth for the UK economy , nor for the Canadian economy . He just took a huge salary paid by hard working taxpayers .
GVI Trading john bland 14:40:31 GMT - 10/25/2016
Economic Affairs Committee
Tuesday 25 October 2016 Meeting started at 3.35pm
- says U.S. not at full-employment yet
- sees three quarter-point interest rate hikes between now and end of 2017
Livingston nh 19:12:30 GMT - 10/24/2016
Yellen trying to get thru December w/o a hike - and the accursed 3 dissenters go "poof" // but we need an "excuse"
GVI Trading john bland 17:35:35 GMT - 10/24/2016
Fed officials appear to be turning more dovish again
GVI Trading john bland 17:34:51 GMT - 10/24/2016
Chicago Fed President Evans:
-- Less headroom to raise rates.
-- Overshooting inflation target may be appropriate.
-- Real monetary policy nt as accomodative as it mat appear
th wh 17:02:47 GMT - 10/24/2016
Hope not because the wiener of a prime minister and his stooges can not negotiate their way out of a paper bag. Canada would come in the short end of a deal and get the dirty end of the stick
GVI Trading john bland 16:54:22 GMT - 10/24/2016
- Trade deal with Canada still possible
- New meeting on Thursday
GVI Trading16:19:36 GMT - 10/24/2016
SNB's Jordan: policy will have to normalize eventually; need negative rates for now given the significant overvaluation of the franc and low global rates - negative rates are having the desired effect; side effects increase the longer rates stay low
John - AOL??? LINK - note the unprecedented "combo opportunity" hype
Verizon (FIOS) AOL (and soon YAHOO) made no sense but now AT&T tries to bring delivery and content together AGAIN
plus ca change, plus c'est la meme chose
GVI Trading john bland 13:23:27 GMT - 10/23/2016
This deal is a long shot. This administration has regularly prevented mega-deals of this type. The only question to ask is how much ATT will have to pay for the deal break-up fee, and why are they squandering billions of shareholder dollars?
GVI Trading john bland 13:19:07 GMT - 10/23/2016
Saturday ATT announced an agreement had been reached for it to acquire TWC for USD 86bn.
-- wire services
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