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GVI Trading john bland  19:41:33 GMT - 10/26/2016  

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
27-Oct Thu
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- Weekly Jobs
12:30 US- Durable Goods
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
23:30 JP- CPI
28-Oct Fri
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- University of Michigan
30-Oct Sun
00:00 RZ/GB Clocks turn back one hour


Trading Themes--
  • Forex Markets opened up further on Wednesday as early in the day, EURUSD short-covering driven by stop-losses drove the pair through a number of key levels before an unexpected draw in weekly crude figures saw the price of crude spike higher and give the S&P a lift. That spike in WTI faded over the session and saw the S&P recovery fade.

  • Following September Advance Trade data Wednesday, CNBC said its tracking of private GDP estimates (due Friday) have been raised substantially to 3%+ from about 2.5%.

  • The GBP picked up support Wednesday after a junior government Minister said that both U.K. Houses will want to examine any agreement made between the EU and U.K. on Brexit. Parliament tends to favor a "soft Brexit". Tuesday, Bank of England Governor Carney impacted trade by not sending the signal for another rate cut that many had been hoping for. His comments imply that a rate cut is improbable in light of the recent GBP slide.

  • Markets continue to try to reconcile the prospects for a Fed policy tightening in December with Yellen's new notion of a high-pressure economy. Odds are the Fed will hike rates before putting policy on hold again for most of 2017. Fed Funds futures have zeroed in on roughly 70% odds (69%) on a rate hike. It looks to me like the hawks and doves have reached a deal. The hawks get a December token rate hike in return for the doves getting a steady monetary policy next year.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com




GVI Trading john bland  20:09:00 GMT - 10/26/2016  
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GVI Trading john bland  08:14:58 GMT - 10/27/2016  

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
27-Oct Thu
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- Weekly Jobs
12:30 US- Durable Goods
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
23:30 JP- CPI
28-Oct Fri
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- University of Michigan
30-Oct Sun
00:00 RZ/GB Clocks turn back one hour


Trading Themes--
  • Today sees the first estimate for 3Q16 UK GDP. This is first broad snapshot of how the economy has performed since the Brexit. The data could have implications for Bank of England policy. U.S. duable Goods Orders and Pending Homes Sales data are due, along with Weekly Jobless Claims.

  • Following September Advance Trade data Wednesday, CNBC said its tracking of private GDP estimates (due Friday) have been raised substantially to 3%+ from about 2.5%.

  • The GBP picked up support from comments by a junior government Minister who said both U.K. Houses would want to examine any agreement made between the EU and U.K. on Brexit. Parliament leans in favor of a "soft Brexit". Tuesday, Bank of England Governor Carney comments implied that a rate cut is improbable in light of the recent GBP slide.

  • Markets continue to try to reconcile the prospects for a Fed policy tightening in December with Yellen's new notion of a high-pressure economy. Odds are the Fed will hike rates before putting policy on hold again for most of 2017. Fed Funds futures have zeroed in on roughly 70% odds (69%) on a rate hike. It looks to me like the hawks and doves have reached a deal. The hawks get a December token rate hike in return for the doves getting a steady monetary policy next year.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


    CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off



GVI Trading john bland  08:28:15 GMT - 10/27/2016  
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GVI Trading john bland  10:39:20 GMT - 10/27/2016  
Equities: flat
DAX -5
DJ +18
SP+1

Note U.S. above 1.80%
10-yr 1.832% +4.2bp


GVI Trading john bland  12:06:08 GMT - 10/27/2016  
Steady
DAX 0
DJ +27
SP +6

10-yr 1.825% +2.5bp


Mtl JP  12:09:39 GMT - 10/27/2016  
1.0925
for MY book, 8:30am NYT presents good odds of being a grade "A" risk for making/losing pips:

GV FOREX CALENDAR
Time Country Title Cons Last
27/10/16 12:30 A US Weekly Jobless 240 260
27/10/16 12:30 B US D/G ex-trans 0.20% -0.20%
27/10/16 12:30 B US Dur Goods 0.10% 0.10%

Beat or at least no "disappointing" data should see usd boogie


london red  12:20:56 GMT - 10/27/2016  
durables will be last look b4 the gdp. v little exp on cap spending side. if can do well (ex trans) can lift usd. that said 10yr spread moved on a bit and favours further euro strength.


london red  12:22:58 GMT - 10/27/2016  
so buy euro dip on headline beat as long as non defence cap goods soft.


Mtl JP  12:37:25 GMT - 10/27/2016  
definitely a dis-appointing set of data release for trade action...
need a new catalyst


Mtl JP  12:49:05 GMT - 10/27/2016  
Nowoty yaks at top of the hour
not expecting much in terms of market reaction






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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