John... you don't need much to turn this thing. Ask yourself: what would it take for yields to head even lower or more negative? I mean we are done with that. Oil is headed higher, inflation is moving higher, the FED keeps talking rate HIKES.... we are done. The question is: how bad will this go the other side and what will be the fall out? I think carnage.
GVI Trading john bland 15:54:23 GMT - 10/27/2016
I can't find a convincing trigger for the back-up in bond yields across the board today. The only compelling piece of news has been the U.K. GDP data earlier. The only other item I can point to has been the increase this week in expectations for U.S. GDP due early on Friday. The markets may be right or they might be jumping the gun. Only time will tell.
GVI Trading15:32:22 GMT - 10/27/2016
"NEW YORK, Oct 27 U.S. Treasury debt yields climbed to roughly five-month peaks on Thursday, driven by gains in German and British bonds as well as upbeat U.S. jobless claims data that point to another robust non-farm payrolls number next week.
"A lot of the moves today in Treasuries are being led by the dramatic steepening of the bund (German bonds) and gilt (UK bonds) curve," said Subadra Rajappa, head of U.S. rates strategy at Societe Generale in New York.
German 10-year bund yields rose to five-month peaks , while that of 10-year British bonds advanced to more than four-month highs, lifting U.S. Treasury yields in the process..."
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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