On Wall Street miracles happen every day. Don t worry be happy .
Paris ib 16:01:14 GMT - 10/27/2016
So buy bonds? Don't think so. Bonds first. Currencies next I guess and then stocks.
PAR16:06:14 GMT - 10/27/2016
Yellen and the Queens are only focused on stocks .
Paris ib 16:10:18 GMT - 10/27/2016
So I give you stocks for now. But the damage is being done. Honestly who would WANT to be President of the U.S. at a time like this? Better not answer that question.... :-)
GVI Trading john bland 16:20:19 GMT - 10/27/2016
ib- my worry is about fixed income. I don't want to be around when everyone rushes for the door. That will make 2008 look like a picnic!
Paris ib 16:25:48 GMT - 10/27/2016
Exactly John. The question is: have they already started the rush for the exits? No-one (except maybe the FED) is gonna buy this stuff until we're done. And everyone is long to the gills. The bond market is where it's at. Everything else is just filler.
Paris ib 16:28:38 GMT - 10/27/2016
And this is not about 'relative yields'. That is an idiotic idea. This is about DURATION. How much paper is short term and needs to be refunded? How much is in the hands of foreign investors? When you find that out you know which currencies are gonna get hit as a consequence.
Relative yield is a dumb concept IMVHO.
Mtl JP 16:56:58 GMT - 10/27/2016
Until I "<When you find that out" (thanks for the tip Paris ib) prospect of relative yields is what I use.
I d be all ears n eyes to see some DURATION based trade calls.
tia
Paris ib 17:02:41 GMT - 10/27/2016
JP let me know how those relative yield trades work out for you. :-)
Mtl JP 17:05:14 GMT - 10/27/2016
john bland 16:20 I can think of at least one good reason you would want to be around "when everyone rushes for the door": it is when you could be taking advantage of the madly for the door rushing crowd.
(make in one - two - three days what otherwise takes years if not decades trading off the 5 -60 min charts)
Mtl JP 17:06:14 GMT - 10/27/2016
Paris ib all you have to do is watch my trade calls I make on this forum
london red 17:14:23 GMT - 10/27/2016
fwiw relative yield is whats driven PAR's long usdjpy trade thru 105 today and whats stopped the euro becoming toast so far vs usd today.
Paris ib 17:19:37 GMT - 10/27/2016
red it's just not a concept I'm interested in. I don't think it dictates long term trends. In a calm market, why not? But not if things get crazy.
PAR17:22:21 GMT - 10/27/2016
I don t care . Out at 105.30 and going to watch the Night Manager on France 3 . Enjoy your evening .
Mtl JP 17:26:51 GMT - 10/27/2016
ib I agree that prospects of relative rates matter "not if things get crazy"
crazy and / or panicked means all reason s gone out the window
to take advantage of such situation one has to be present, sanguine and quick. makes for a great trading opp.
GVI Forex Blog 07:53 time to review Paris ib 16:28 GMT October 27 perhaps ?
such a sad sad story to leave good pips on the table
Paris ib 12:14:00 GMT - 10/28/2016
So you are having a go at me JP. Well it's Friday. Enjoy. Dear god. What I admire about you is your courage. Not.
Mtl JP 12:22:53 GMT - 10/28/2016
ib I do not think making posipips is idiotic.
I would gladly take posipips coming even out of elephants donkey.
and one day happily pay u a drink of your choice *-^
-
currently keeping a BoD usd bias
eurdlr
dlrcad
usdyen
Paris ib 12:25:47 GMT - 10/28/2016
But you just wanted to take a shot using a selective quote. Give me a break.
FWIW
Paris ib 15:45 GMT October 6, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit: Reply
I take it the view on the street is a bond dummy spit will be USD supportive because... well just because. Because a major sell off in a major financial market is just gonna suck in all this new foreign capital or something... foreign capital being attracted to markets which are taking a major hit. We're going with THAT narrative for the moment. You gotta laugh.
So we go with the narrative even though it's not gonna work long term.
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