I highlighted the 4 PM end of month London fix as a key event at today's meeting with USD demand likely ahead of it and the dollar has lost its bid after the fix. Stops run above 1.0952-56, next res 1.0971 not tested.
GBPUSD is leading the way as 1.22 continues to attract.
Amazing Trader levels updated
haifa ac 13:43:47 GMT - 10/31/2016
To me this elections is about the fate of America and the World
Do we fight fanatic Islam or not?
Do we let corrupt Washington continue or not?
Do we believe that America is the ONLY standing SHERRIF in the world or not?
Do we favor free enterprise upon FEDERAL (reserve and other) management ?
maybe I am dreaming--but I want to believe that Trump means what he said about the first 100 days- this will be a complete change of disc.
Livingston nh 13:36:54 GMT - 10/31/2016
ac -- in 2000 the market was troubled by the hanging chads that lingered but the STOX were dealing with the Tech bubble -- the crash persisted
in 2008 the election went smoothly but STOX continued to plummet (and BTW the FED was very active up to and thru the election)
even Reagan couldn't save STOX in 1980
haifa ac 13:28:32 GMT - 10/31/2016
"for STOX elections don't change trend/ranges "
this time it will. This whole elections is a unique event.
Livingston nh 12:49:08 GMT - 10/31/2016
for STOX elections don't change trend/ranges --- it takes time for good or bad to settle in
Livingston nh 12:31:04 GMT - 10/31/2016
PCE core is 1.7% unless the pointy heads "adjust" the maths - yellen already gave herself cover from this data w/ her "run a little hot for a little longer" comment (watch for dissents FOMC to see if the hawks lose their talons)
JP - the only significant bloc that might abandon Clinton are the Sanders borderline voters (either stay home or protest vote), a lower turnout hurts dems but a big Clinton cushion in dem states -- the Republican states need to hold and you need a surprise (Nevada, New Mexico) and NH, NC, OH, FL // odds are better than last week but 3-2 Clinton into the Stretch - Is Trump a closer or does run out of TRACK?
The Senate is the real difference maker if Clinton wins
Mtl JP 12:20:05 GMT - 10/31/2016
not a call but can not eliminate 1.10+ as potential price move either
Mtl JP 12:10:50 GMT - 10/31/2016
8:30am NYT gv economic data calendar
definitely agree that PCE releases offer potential for "A" level risk to my account.
I qualify "A" risk as potential for more that +/- 50 pip reaction move.
GVI Trading john bland 12:06:50 GMT - 10/31/2016
The bottom of the hour sees PCE deflator. Its more important than the jobs report on Friday because the focus of the Fed is now on inflation more than jobs. The PCE deflator is the Fed's preferred inflation measure.
Mtl JP 12:02:55 GMT - 10/31/2016
Livingston nh / electoral college
apparently hillary has 263 votes, 7 shy of the 270 needed to win
vs 126 votes for Trump.
what realistic options do u see for the counts to turn ?
I am watching / trying to play SnP
GVI Trading john bland 10:46:57 GMT - 10/31/2016
It seems recently that the DAX consistently has been weaker than the major U.S. indices.
Friday afternoon saw a completely unforeseen development in the U.S. Presidential race when the head of the FBI notified the Congress that it had uncovered new emails related to the Hillary Clinton email investigation. I have no idea how this will play out so close to the Presidential vote on November 8.
There is not enough time for a large number of documents to be cleared for release, and voting has already been underway and will continue. This cannot be helpful for Mrs. Clinton. Markets are not happy with uncertainty, and they will see a lot of uncertainty until slection day.
Another issue that will carry over from the past week is the preliminary 3Q16 GDP data, which came in at a stronger than expected 2.9% level. The data were distorted by a one-off spike in soybean exports. Without this anomaly GDP would have grown by 1.9% pa, which would have been more in line with its recent performance.
Markets Monday will closely scrutinize, German Retail Sales and Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) data for October. Key data from the U.S. will be Personal Income data, which includes the PCE deflator, which is the favored Fed inflation measure. Tuesday will be a holiday on the Continent, and feature global PMI data, plus Central Bank meetings for the Bank of Japan and Reserve Bank of Australia.
Mon 27 May 2019 AAGB/US- Holiday Tue 28 May 2019 A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller Wed 29 May 2019 A 08:55 DE- Employment AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision A 18:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 30 Mar 2019 AAEZ/CH- Holiday A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 31 Mar 2019 AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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