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Mtl JP  18:43:12 GMT - 11/04/2016  
some good news:
Dallas Fed president sees more turmoil ahead for energy sector

Fed’s Kaplan: U.S. oil production won’t pick up until price rises above $55 per barrel



Mtl JP  17:52:56 GMT - 11/04/2016  
cretin Kaplan's yak not getting traction from players
-
2nd genius (after janet) Fischer yaks next an hour before NY close


GVI Trading john bland  17:51:18 GMT - 11/04/2016  
I have to assume that rig counts work with a lag, meaning they are a reflection of recent price moves (rising), and once committed drillers will be slow to shut down what they just reopened.


GVI Trading john bland  17:04:52 GMT - 11/04/2016  
US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Total (inc gas) U.S.: 569 vs 557 (+12) prev
US (oil): 450 vs. 441 (+9) prev

Canada 154 vs. 153 (+1) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer



Mtl JP  16:38:01 GMT - 11/04/2016  
a bit earlier:
Lockhart: 'Turmoil around the election' may alter outlook
-
may... or may not.
lockhart is part of that one group that does not worry about next paycheck / meal


Israel Dil  16:21:07 GMT - 11/04/2016  

Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:
New York, New York

All from New York:
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
James Comey

I wonder if James Comey ever heard Hillary Clinton saying "going to jail is better than Yonkers" - is it or isn't it everything personal ?!


dc CB  16:05:50 GMT - 11/04/2016  
"""The computer was obtained by the FBI in relation to a probe into whether Weiner sent sexts to a teenage girl""".

The key here is that the NYPD got that computer as part of their investigation...the NYPD seized the computer and saw what was on it. The NYPD then turned it over to the FBI. The NYPD has apparently threated to go public it the FBI and the Justice Dept tried to bury this.


Israel Dil  15:40:41 GMT - 11/04/2016  
Comic from Comey & Co.


Mtl JP  15:35:52 GMT - 11/04/2016  
duh ! how much funding, how many software experts does FBI have ?
sorting out Weiner's e-mail data base is a job for a Microsoft low level tech engineer ... w/ a report done by and ready noon


Israel  Dil   15:29:06 GMT - 11/04/2016  
it's up to you what you believe in ;-)

FBI finds Hillary emails on Weiner’s laptop, and they’re not duplicates



Paris ib  15:22:22 GMT - 11/04/2016  
Just a few more days of this rubbish and then it's over. What a blessed relief that will be, provided we have a clear outcome.


GVI Trading john bland  15:13:01 GMT - 11/04/2016  
I never heard of this guy. Story makes no sense.


Paris ib  15:03:35 GMT - 11/04/2016  
Is that a serious site or a joker site?


Israel  Dil   14:52:39 GMT - 11/04/2016  
BREAKING: Comey Mandates All FBI Agents Report to D.C. Offices; Prep for Raids, Possible Arrests in Clinton Probes

this is BREAKING NEWS !!!



GVI Trading john bland  14:39:16 GMT - 11/04/2016  
OPEC's Barkindo
- Saudi's did NOT threaten to raise output at meeting

>> TTN

===========================

WTI higher


GVI Trading john bland  14:18:43 GMT - 11/04/2016  
Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3Q16 forecast +3.10% vs. +2.30% on November 1.

Source: TTN


Mtl JP  14:06:41 GMT - 11/04/2016  
Canada Ivey risk "C" ... lol still too generous (closer to ZZ eh eh) what useless data blip it has become, wasting disk-space and time


GVI Trading john bland  14:00:12 GMT - 11/04/2016  
Canada Ivey PMI (sa) October 2016





ALERT
59.7 vs. 56.0 exp. vs. 58.4 prev.

RELEASE: Ivey Purchasing Managers Report


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading john bland  13:13:46 GMT - 11/04/2016  
UK foreign Secy Johnson
- doesn't feel court decision will affect Brexit timing

>> TTN


GVI Trading john bland  12:38:11 GMT - 11/04/2016  
U.S. (USD bn) & Canada (CAD bn) Trade September 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-36.4 vs. -39.0K exp. vs. -40.70K (r -40.50K) prev.
Canada Trade C$ bln
-4.0 vs. -1.70 exp. vs. -1.90 (r-2.0) prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services

Canadian Trade Balance


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Trading john bland  12:36:55 GMT - 11/04/2016  
Canada EMPLOYMENT October 2016



NEWS ALERT

Jobs: +43.9K vs. -10.0K exp. vs. +67.2K prev.
Rate: 7.00% vs. 7.00% exp. vs. 7.00% prev.



RELEASE: StatCan Monthy Employment Report





TTN: Live News Special Offer



Israel Dil  12:33:47 GMT - 11/04/2016  
JP

how many missiles hitting Saudi oil production facilities it needs to make the Saudi regime to get into $500B arms shopping spread?

Who to be major beneficiary of such shopping spread?
never underestimate the scripts run by the Bilderberg missionaries ;-)


GVI Trading john bland  12:33:32 GMT - 11/04/2016  
U.S. Employment October 2016







ALERT
NFP Jobs:
+161K vs. +175K exp. vs. +156K (r +191K ) prev.
Rate:4.90% vs. 4.90% exp. vs. 5.00% prev.

Avg earnings: +0.40% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.20% (r 0.30%) prev.
BLS: Employment Situation Summary


TTN: Live News Special Offer




Paris ib  12:33:20 GMT - 11/04/2016  
And we care? Not.


GVI Trading john bland  12:30:28 GMT - 11/04/2016  
nfp +161K


Mtl JP  12:26:16 GMT - 11/04/2016  
negotiate ... haha
the saudis are a joke: they are having trouble to afford all those made-in-usa bombs and bullets negotiating tools


Israel Dil  12:25:04 GMT - 11/04/2016  

Buy Crude
Entry: Target: $70+ / $100+ Stop:
John

Logic! - only as a wish

what about few missiles out Yemen hitting Saudi oil production facilities?
what about total chaos in the middle east during the US presidential transition period?

buy crude, hold crude, 50% at least during the coming 18 months when using $45 as the pivot.


Mtl JP  12:22:53 GMT - 11/04/2016  
usdcad thanks the saudis
rofl
-
keeping euro-trading robot constrained to the short side only


GVI Trading john bland  12:21:14 GMT - 11/04/2016  
Negotiating with Iraq, Iran and Russia. Its all just talk


Paris ib  12:19:41 GMT - 11/04/2016  
Any particular reason they are threatening to do that? Get the Russians?


GVI Trading john bland  12:16:28 GMT - 11/04/2016  
Saudis threaten to RAISE oil production substantially

>>TTN

============================

WTI tanking





GVI Trading john bland  09:00:47 GMT - 11/04/2016  
EZ PMI revision misses.


GVI Trading john bland  09:00:19 GMT - 11/04/2016  
Final Service PMIs October 2016





ALERT

EZ- Final Service PMI
52.8 vs. 53.5 exp. vs. 53.5 (flash)
France
51.4 vs. 52.1 exp. vs. 52.1 (flash)
Germany
54.2 vs. 54.1 exp. vs. 54.1 (flash)


Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Trading john bland  14:30:39 GMT - 11/03/2016  
US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+54 vs. +54 exp vs. +73 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer





london red  14:21:21 GMT - 11/03/2016  
selling 84-93 with stop ova 11110 bringing dwn to ova last high if get an hourly close under 60 would b a gud trade.


london red  14:17:22 GMT - 11/03/2016  
11061 is 23.6% while 50 is kijun and yest low


london red  14:13:31 GMT - 11/03/2016  
euro not being able to rally on ism is significant, even if significance watered dwn given imp nfp tom (if no ism tom ud b confident of a break of 11050 getting some followthru). there are indications of a weaker nfp so again if euro cannot break 11140/60 it will test 11050 tom even if nfp weaker.


Mtl JP  14:10:09 GMT - 11/03/2016  
but not significant enought o elicit 50+ pip reaction
rei-nforces euro south bias imo


GVI Trading john bland  14:05:27 GMT - 11/03/2016  
nh- thank you fat finger! 53.1


Livingston nh  14:04:02 GMT - 11/03/2016  
Employment was 53.1


GVI Trading john bland  14:02:37 GMT - 11/03/2016  
Factory Orders September 2016
U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
+0.30% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.20% (r )prev. rev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer





GVI Trading john bland  14:01:34 GMT - 11/03/2016  
ISM significant misses


GVI Trading john bland  14:01:03 GMT - 11/03/2016  
U.S. ISM Services PMI October 2016
MORE: U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
54.8 vs. 56.0 exp. vs. 57.1 prev.
Employment sub-component
53.1 vs. 57.2 prev.


RELEASE: ISM Services PMI


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Trading john bland  13:54:07 GMT - 11/03/2016  
A or not depends on the data. Employment index is closely followed can give an inkling into NFP tomorrow


Mtl JP  13:52:09 GMT - 11/03/2016  
odds r reasonable of "A" risk by way of US ISM SVC PMI
at top of the hour


GVI Trading john bland  13:46:02 GMT - 11/03/2016  
unchanged from flash. More important ISM PMI next


GVI Trading john bland  13:45:20 GMT - 11/03/2016  
U.S. Markit final Services PMI October 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
54.8 vs. 54.8 exp. vs. 54.8 (flash)


Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Mtl JP  13:29:31 GMT - 11/03/2016  
SFH the rockstar has only one useful purpose


Livingston nh  13:13:28 GMT - 11/03/2016  
1. From the Darkside -- Y/Y prod is flat (3 qtrs. of declines) - output in Mfg increased on less hours (non expansionary), services productivity weak (no surprise there)

2. Muted reaction moves to Fed - maybe some action today and tomorrow // If oil breaks $43 a test of my theory of Fed motivations for the past 2 years - a policy based completely on oil price

3. USD moving on shrinking real yields ?? // rising yields either way after Tuesday


london red  13:00:04 GMT - 11/03/2016  
productivity all well and good as it encourages investment but if labour costs stagnant then inflation tame and so one cancels out the other as rates drive mkts.


LONDON SFH  12:51:19 GMT - 11/03/2016  
JP-Cable's relief at his decision to stay until 2019 suggested he is somewhat more important than being an irrelevance....


Mtl JP  12:47:35 GMT - 11/03/2016  
FF microcosm of rockstar Carney's irrelevance:
no interest in his Q&A ?


Mtl JP  12:42:10 GMT - 11/03/2016  
high productivity means making / doing more with less
and vice versa


london red  12:39:09 GMT - 11/03/2016  
labour costs much lower than f/c however.


GVI Trading john bland  12:36:46 GMT - 11/03/2016  
Big jump in productivity. Productivity is a major growth driver.


GVI Trading john bland  12:32:26 GMT - 11/03/2016  
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT

Initial Claims (000)
265K vs. 255K exp. vs. 258K prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading john bland  12:30:53 GMT - 11/03/2016  
U.S. Productivity 3Q16
U.S. Data Charts



   MORE: U.S. Charts

NEWS ALERT

+3.10% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. -0.60% (R -0.20%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading john bland  12:01:33 GMT - 11/03/2016  
BOE- further rate cut guidance has "expired".


GVI Trading john bland  12:00:26 GMT - 11/03/2016  
November 2016 Bank of England Policy Decision







-- NEWS ALERT --

Policy Steady (repo rate 0.25%)
Asset Purchases unch @ GBP 435 bln v. GBP 435 bn


Bank of England




TTN: Live News Special Offer


london red  10:49:16 GMT - 11/03/2016  
cable. 12477 is post flash crash high and then daily kijun by 125


LONDON SFH  10:27:18 GMT - 11/03/2016  
.....and Italian referendum dec 4th....


london red  10:17:12 GMT - 11/03/2016  
the appeal will be early dec 5-8.


GVI Trading john bland  10:09:09 GMT - 11/03/2016  
Ruling sees GBP spike higher on hopes of "soft" Brexit. Ruling will be appealed. Ruling does NOT negate the Brexit vote.


GVI Trading john bland  10:07:38 GMT - 11/03/2016  
High Court Rules Government cannot Trigger article 50 without approval from Parliament
-- TTN


GVI Trading john bland  09:30:53 GMT - 11/03/2016  
Big beat for UK Service PMI.


GVI Trading john bland  09:30:11 GMT - 11/03/2016  
GB Services PMI October 2016
U.K. Charts





-- NEWS ALERT --

54.5 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 52.6 prev.


Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Livingston nh  19:46:56 GMT - 11/02/2016  
Very calm Fed day - no action/reaction to speak of // lack of bond mkt reaction says a hike has been priced in

And now we wait for NFP and some Fed talk


Livingston nh  18:56:45 GMT - 11/02/2016  
John - Agree (2yr unmoved) -- she thinks inflation is tied to jobs so she thinx inflation will show up "soon" /// Beware of True Believers


GVI Trading john bland  18:52:54 GMT - 11/02/2016  
I get the sense that Janet cares a lot more about inflation than jobs. I don't think the market really gets this...


Livingston nh  18:35:09 GMT - 11/02/2016  
Take your lead from the Very Astute bond market (action, reaction and truth)


Livingston nh  18:23:16 GMT - 11/02/2016  
"In light of the current shortfall of inflation from 2 percent, the Committee will carefully monitor actual and expected progress toward its inflation goal." SOP for Brainard cabal but the real basis for further delay in December

"The Committee judges that the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has continued to strengthen but decided, for the time being, to wait for some further evidence of continued progress toward its objectives." Beware if"things" don't improve -- LIKE NFP end of week - the handwringers will be out in force


Livingston nh  18:11:03 GMT - 11/02/2016  
short term trade buy the USD for the reaction -- some mope will say still on ttrack for DEC // and then what?


GVI Trading john bland  18:04:23 GMT - 11/02/2016  
For release at 2:00 p.m. EDT
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in September indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and growth of economic activity has picked up from the modest pace seen in the first half of this year. Although the unemployment rate is little changed in recent months, job gains have been solid. Household spending has been rising moderately but business fixed investment has remained soft. Inflation has increased somewhat since earlier this year but is still below the Committee's 2 percent longer-run objective, partly reflecting earlier declines in energy prices and in prices of non-energy imports. Market-based measures of inflation compensation have moved up but remain low; most survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance, in recent months.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects that, with gradual adjustments in the stance of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace and labor market conditions will strengthen somewhat further. Inflation is expected to rise to 2 percent over the medium term as the transitory effects of past declines in energy and import prices dissipate and the labor market strengthens further. Near-term risks to the economic outlook appear roughly balanced. The Committee continues to closely monitor inflation indicators and global economic and financial developments.

Against this backdrop, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 1/4 to 1/2 percent. The Committee judges that the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has continued to strengthen but decided, for the time being, to wait for some further evidence of continued progress toward its objectives. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting further improvement in labor market conditions and a return to 2 percent inflation.

In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. In light of the current shortfall of inflation from 2 percent, the Committee will carefully monitor actual and expected progress toward its inflation goal. The Committee expects that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant only gradual increases in the federal funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run. However, the actual path of the federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data.

The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction, and it anticipates doing so until normalization of the level of the federal funds rate is well under way. This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Janet L. Yellen, Chair; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Lael Brainard; James Bullard; Stanley Fischer; Jerome H. Powell; Eric Rosengren; and Daniel K. Tarullo. Voting against the action were: Esther L. George and Loretta J. Mester, each of whom preferred at this meeting to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 1/2 to 3/4 percent.


GVI Trading john bland  18:02:04 GMT - 11/02/2016  
vote: 8-2


GVI Trading john bland  18:00:04 GMT - 11/02/2016  
U.S. Fed Policy Decision November 2016





NEWS ALERT
Fed Funds Target Range Steady at 0.25%-0.50%

RELEASE: Policy Statement


TTN: Live News Special Offer


london red  17:27:36 GMT - 11/02/2016  
euro. prev bottom of 11124 tested and so far holding but price staying close to high suggesting further upside until todays low of 11050 taken out. further res at 11160 the cloud bottom plus a couple of bigger ma's 10-20 pips either side of that. assuming they dont back away from a hike but continue on current path, a squeeze to the res band can be faded with price that required to move under 11068 and stay below there in order to rule out new high and then under 11050 to look for further downside. its not a given that fed will prepare mkt for dec hike hence may be some further squeezing but as long as statement is on track price shud move lower once 11140/60/80 band tested. abv 112 rest further stops with downside building under 11050.


Provo John  16:25:10 GMT - 11/02/2016  
All that can be said is, do you remember the Brexit polls?


LONDON SFH  16:22:19 GMT - 11/02/2016  
*CORRECT: TRUMP 49%, CLINTON 44%, CNN/ORC POLL SHOWS
16:18:49 Big lead for the madman over the crazy woman


dc CB  15:18:40 GMT - 11/02/2016  
WTI
after an active storm season. The floating supply made it across the mighty ocean.


GVI Trading john bland  14:38:23 GMT - 11/02/2016  
WTI $45.00, -1.59


GVI Trading john bland  14:31:42 GMT - 11/02/2016  
talk about a miss...

must be something technical in here we are missing?


GVI Trading john bland  14:30:45 GMT - 11/02/2016  
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +14.400 vs. +1.000 exp vs. -0.550 prev.
Distillates: -1.800 vs. -1.600 exp vs. -3.300 prev.
Gasoline: -2.200 vs. -1.100 exp vs. -2.000 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading john bland  12:16:02 GMT - 11/02/2016  
ADP misses. September revised higher.


GVI Trading john bland  12:15:20 GMT - 11/02/2016  
U.S. ADP Private Employment October 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+147K vs. +170K exp. vs. +154K (r +202K ) prev.


RELEASE: ADP National Employment Report®



TTN: Live News Special Offer




GVI Trading john bland  10:52:23 GMT - 11/02/2016  
Earlier: German Council of Economic Advisors-
- Loose ECB monetary policy no longer appropriate
- ECB should slow bond purchases and end them earlier


GVI Trading john bland  09:30:11 GMT - 11/02/2016  
Construction PMI October 2016




-- NEWS ALERT --

52.6 vs. 51.8 exp. vs. 52.3 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Trading john bland  09:00:24 GMT - 11/02/2016  
EZ Final PMIs October 2016





ALERT
EZ
mfg: 53.5 vs. 53.3 exp. vs. 53.3 flash
German
mfg: 55.0 vs. 55.1 exp. vs. 55.1
France
mfg 51.8 vs. 51.3 exp. vs. 51.3



Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading john bland  08:55:22 GMT - 11/02/2016  
German Unemployment October 2016




NEWS ALERT
Rate: 6.00% vs. 6.10% exp. vs. 6.10% prev.
Change: -13K vs. 0K exp. vs. -1K (r) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer




GVI Trading john bland  20:35:35 GMT - 11/01/2016  
Large build in crude. WTI falls.


GVI Trading john bland  20:34:32 GMT - 11/01/2016  
US Weekly API Crude




ALERT
Reportedly +9.300 mn vs. +1.000 mn exp (EIA)



TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Trading john bland  19:22:11 GMT - 11/01/2016  
Reports Colonial Pipeline gasoline pipe rupture in Georgia will be repaired much faster than expected

-- CNBC


GVI Trading john bland  15:54:27 GMT - 11/01/2016  
Atlanta Fed GDP Now 2.30% vs 2.70% Oct 31 (yesterday)

Source: TTN


GVI Trading john bland  14:01:30 GMT - 11/01/2016  
U.S. Construction Spending September 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-0.40% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. -0.70% (r -0.50%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading john bland  14:00:41 GMT - 11/01/2016  
U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI October 2016
U.S. Data Charts




News ALERT

51.9 vs. 51.7 exp. vs. 51.5 prev.
RELEASE: ISM Manufacturing PMI


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Trading john bland  13:45:31 GMT - 11/01/2016  
U.S. Markit PMI October 2016




ALERT
53.4 vs. 53.2 exp. vs. 53.2 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Markit PMI Press Release


GVI Trading john bland  13:30:16 GMT - 11/01/2016  
Markit Mfg PMI October 2016





ALERT
51.1 vs. n/a exp. vs. 50.3 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Israel  Dil  12:58:12 GMT - 11/01/2016  

Buy Crude
Entry: Target: Stop:
CNN: Sources say Turkish military starts to deploy tanks, equipment to Silopi area near Iraqi border


GVI Trading john bland  12:32:56 GMT - 11/01/2016  
Canada: GDP August 2016





ALERT
m/m +0.20% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.50% (r +0.40%) prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading john bland  10:50:21 GMT - 11/01/2016  
Australia PMI October 2016





Earlier News ALERT
50.9 vs. n/a exp. vs. 49.8 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Australian October PMI improves.




london red  10:05:19 GMT - 11/01/2016  
re cable i wouldnt be surprised to see stops over 12330/35 run pre us election but i expect it to go up and stay higher. all rallies are for selling with initial tgt sub 120 again. topside can stretch to 125 126 127 on trump but wont last. similarly yen might see 110 on a hilary win but will get run dwn back to evens within short space of time.


bali sja  09:49:25 GMT - 11/01/2016  
red, are you expecting more upside for cable as well?


london red  09:36:01 GMT - 11/01/2016  
further widening in spreads keeping euro and cable bid and suggests a little more upside certainly for euro. 11040-60 res more at 11108 11160-70. abv 113 required for a change in direction (on a closing basis)


GVI Trading john bland  09:33:14 GMT - 11/01/2016  
UK Nov PMI a bit less than forecast. Prior reading revised up.


GVI Trading john bland  09:31:00 GMT - 11/01/2016  
Manufacturing PMI November 2016
U.K. Charts







-- NEWS ALERT --

54.3 vs. 54.4 exp. vs. 55.4 (r 55.5 ) prev.





TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading john bland  08:42:37 GMT - 11/01/2016  
Switzerland October PMI

54.7 vs. 53.8 vs. 53.2 prev.
Swiss PMI improves to 54.7 from 53.2


GVI Trading john bland  08:36:17 GMT - 11/01/2016  
Japan and China PMIs November 2016

China
NBS: 51.2 vs. 50.3 exp vs. 50.4 prev.
Caixin: 51.2 vs. 50.1 exp vs. 50.1 prev.
China NBS PMI above "50" boom or Bust line. Caixin up.



Japan
51.4 vs. 51.7 exp. vs. 50.1 prev.
Final July Japan PMI revised up





dc CB  01:56:40 GMT - 11/01/2016  
stop me from choking, hahahahahahahahah

NYTimes

(the Worm is Turning)

U.S. Officials Doubt Donald Trump Has Direct Link to Russia



GVI Trading 01:14:38 GMT - 11/01/2016  
MNI: CHINA CFLP OCT MANUFACTURING PMI AT 51.2 VS MNI MEDIAN 50.3 CHINA CFLP OCT SERVICES PMI AT 54.0 VS 53.7 IN SEP


GVI Trading john bland  18:03:40 GMT - 10/31/2016  
BOE's Carney to stay at BOE for an extra year through 2019- Press

Source: TTN


GVI Trading john bland  16:25:18 GMT - 10/31/2016  
Atlanta Fed GDP now initial 4Q16 GDP forecast 2.70%.

TTN


GVI Trading john bland  16:00:06 GMT - 10/31/2016  
Odds for a Fed rate hike by year end are 69%, unchanged from their Thursday close and their close a week ago today. They closed at 69% on Friday. So no lasting impact from the FBI announcement.


GVI Trading john bland  13:45:43 GMT - 10/31/2016  
Big Miss in Chicago PMI


GVI Trading john bland  13:45:17 GMT - 10/31/2016  
Chicago PMI September 2016
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
50.6 vs. 54.0 exp. vs. 54.2 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading 13:43:09 GMT - 10/31/2016  
Chatter that Chicago PMI is below market consensus


GVI Trading john bland  12:30:59 GMT - 10/31/2016  
U.S. Personal Income/PCE Deflator September 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Personal Income +0.30% vs. +0.40% exp v +0.20% prev.
PCE Defl +1.70% vs. +1.70% exp. vs. +1.70% prev.


RELEASE: Personal Income



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading john bland  10:02:06 GMT - 10/31/2016  

Eurozone GDP 3Q16
Global-VIew EZ and German Charts





Data News ALERT
qq: +0.30% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.30% (r ) prev.
yy: +1.60% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. +1.60% (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


target="_blank">Eurozone GDP Data


GVI Trading john bland  10:00:33 GMT - 10/31/2016  
Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) October 2016





ALERT
Headline
yy: +0.50% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.
CORE
yy: +0.80% vs. +0.80% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer




GVI Trading john bland  09:16:13 GMT - 10/31/2016  

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
30-Oct Sun
00:00 EZ/GB Clocks turn back one hour

31-Oct Mon
06:00 DE- Retail Sales
09:00 EZ- GDP
09:30 EZ- flash HICP
12:30 US- Core PCE Deflator
1-Nov Tue
All Day EZ- Holidays
All Day final Mfg PMIs
03:00 AU- RBA Decision
2-Nov Wed
All-Day Mfg PMIs
03:00 JP- Bank of Japan Decision
7:55 DE- Employment
12:15 US- ADP Private Employment
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- FOMC Decision
3-Nov Thu
00:00 JP- Holiday
All Day Service PMIs
11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
12:30 US- Productivity
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
4-Nov Fri
All Day Service PMIs
12:30 US- Jobs/Trade
12:30 CA- Jobs/Trade


Trading Themes--
  • Friday afternoon saw a completely unforeseen development in the U.S. Presidential race when the head of the FBI notified the Congress that it had uncovered new emails related to the Hillary Clinton email investigation. I have no idea how this will play out so close to the Presidential vote on November 8.

  • There is not enough time for a large number of documents to be cleared for release, and voting has already been underway and will continue. This cannot be helpful for Mrs. Clinton. Markets are not happy with uncertainty, and they will see a lot of uncertainty until slection day.

  • German Retail Sales data for September missed

  • Another issue that will carry over from the past week is the preliminary 3Q16 GDP data, which came in at a stronger than expected 2.9% level. The data were distorted by a one-off spike in soybean exports. Without this anomaly GDP would have grown by 1.9% pa, which would have been more in line with its recent performance.

  • Markets Monday will closely scrutinize, German Retail Sales and Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) data for October. Key data from the U.S. will be Personal Income data, which includes the PCE deflator, which is the favored Fed inflation measure. Tuesday will be a holiday on the Continent, and feature global PMI data, plus Central Bank meetings for the Bank of Japan and Reserve Bank of Australia.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


    CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off



GVI Trading john bland  09:09:05 GMT - 10/31/2016  
German Real Retail Sales September 2016




Earlier NEWS Release
mm: -1.40% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. -0.40% (r -0.30%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


EARLIER: German Retail Sales miss.




Mtl JP  04:30:25 GMT - 10/31/2016  
john bland 20:35 So who do you trust?
between crooked po;itician and Gold
the choice is clear


Israel Dil  20:53:45 GMT - 10/30/2016  
didn't we get the clearest signal of all?
when Trump shows as the honest and non-currupt candidate of the US presidential race, what else the Americans need to understand that their political system is dead?


GVI Trading john bland  20:35:44 GMT - 10/30/2016  
So who do you trust?


GVI Trading john bland  20:34:12 GMT - 10/30/2016  
BOE Gov Carney committed to serving his 8-year term; Expected to make an announce this week to end speculation he would step down - FT

- Source TradeTheNews.com


GVI Trading john bland  18:38:21 GMT - 10/30/2016  
Mariano Rajoy wins parliamentary vote, reelected as PM of Spain; won simple majority vote 170-111, with 68 abstentions

- Source TradeTheNews.com


GVI Trading john bland  18:22:04 GMT - 10/30/2016  
Risk is for a lower GBP initially, but timing is always tough.


Mtl JP  18:11:55 GMT - 10/30/2016  
john bland 17:12 / see a posi-pip trade off carney going poof from BoE ?


GVI Trading john bland  17:12:52 GMT - 10/30/2016  
BOE Gov Carney may step down as soon as next week - Daily Mail -

Source TradeTheNews.com






Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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